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The Uncertain Verdict
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Book Synopsis The Uncertain Verdict by : Ramashray Roy
Download or read book The Uncertain Verdict written by Ramashray Roy and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 1975 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Uncertain Judgements by : Anthony O'Hagan
Download or read book Uncertain Judgements written by Anthony O'Hagan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-08-30 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.
Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives by : David R. Mandel
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives written by David R. Mandel and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2019-09-26 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :American Bar Association. House of Delegates Publisher :American Bar Association ISBN 13 :9781590318737 Total Pages :216 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (187 download)
Book Synopsis Model Rules of Professional Conduct by : American Bar Association. House of Delegates
Download or read book Model Rules of Professional Conduct written by American Bar Association. House of Delegates and published by American Bar Association. This book was released on 2007 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.
Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight
Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.
Download or read book The English Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1907 with total page 1220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Michigan Law Journal written by and published by . This book was released on 1896 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contains proceedings of the Michigan State Bar Association, 1892-1894.
Book Synopsis Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers by : John Kay
Download or read book Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers written by John Kay and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2020-03-17 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential book, now with a preface on COVID-19. Invented numbers offer a false sense of security; we need instead robust narratives that give us the confidence to manage uncertainty. “An elegant and careful guide to thinking about personal and social economics, especially in a time of uncertainty. The timing is impeccable." — Christine Kenneally, New York Times Book Review Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry’s actuarial tables and the gambler’s roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most situations in life, however, involve a deeper kind of uncertainty, a radical uncertainty for which historical data provide no useful guidance to future outcomes. Radical uncertainty concerns events whose determinants are insufficiently understood for probabilities to be known or forecasting possible. Before President Barack Obama made the fateful decision to send in the Navy Seals, his advisers offered him wildly divergent estimates of the odds that Osama bin Laden would be in the Abbottabad compound. In 2000, no one—not least Steve Jobs—knew what a smartphone was; how could anyone have predicted how many would be sold in 2020? And financial advisers who confidently provide the information required in the standard retirement planning package—what will interest rates, the cost of living, and your state of health be in 2050?—demonstrate only that their advice is worthless. The limits of certainty demonstrate the power of human judgment over artificial intelligence. In most critical decisions there can be no forecasts or probability distributions on which we might sensibly rely. Instead of inventing numbers to fill the gaps in our knowledge, we should adopt business, political, and personal strategies that will be robust to alternative futures and resilient to unpredictable events. Within the security of such a robust and resilient reference narrative, uncertainty can be embraced, because it is the source of creativity, excitement, and profit.
Book Synopsis The Manuscripts of the House of Lords by : Great Britain. Parliament. House of Lords
Download or read book The Manuscripts of the House of Lords written by Great Britain. Parliament. House of Lords and published by . This book was released on 1912 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Northeastern Reporter written by and published by . This book was released on 1905 with total page 1206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes the decisions of the Supreme Courts of Massachusetts, Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois, and Court of Appeals of New York; May/July 1891-Mar./Apr. 1936, Appellate Court of Indiana; Dec. 1926/Feb. 1927-Mar./Apr. 1936, Courts of Appeals of Ohio.
Book Synopsis Reports of Cases Argued and Determined in the Supreme Court of Montana Territory ... by : Henry Nichols Blake
Download or read book Reports of Cases Argued and Determined in the Supreme Court of Montana Territory ... written by Henry Nichols Blake and published by . This book was released on 1877 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Wisconsin Reports by : Wisconsin. Supreme Court
Download or read book Wisconsin Reports written by Wisconsin. Supreme Court and published by . This book was released on 1925 with total page 774 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cases determined in the Supreme Court of Wisconsin.
Book Synopsis Tort Liability Under Uncertainty by : Ariel Porat
Download or read book Tort Liability Under Uncertainty written by Ariel Porat and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a comprehensive and principled account of the uncertainty problem that arises in tort litigation, this text critically examines the existing doctrinal solutions of the problem, as evolved in England, United States, Canada & Israel.
Book Synopsis Reports of Cases at Law and in Chancery Determined in the Supreme Court of the State of Colorado by : Colorado. Supreme Court
Download or read book Reports of Cases at Law and in Chancery Determined in the Supreme Court of the State of Colorado written by Colorado. Supreme Court and published by . This book was released on 1927 with total page 760 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Cases Argued and Decided in the Supreme Court of the United States by : United States. Supreme Court
Download or read book Cases Argued and Decided in the Supreme Court of the United States written by United States. Supreme Court and published by . This book was released on 1911 with total page 1132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Abbott's Cyclopedic Digest by : Austin Abbott
Download or read book Abbott's Cyclopedic Digest written by Austin Abbott and published by . This book was released on 1902 with total page 1146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Robert Ludlum's(TM) The Ares Decision by : Kyle Mills
Download or read book Robert Ludlum's(TM) The Ares Decision written by Kyle Mills and published by Grand Central Publishing. This book was released on 2011-10-04 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In northern Uganda, an American special forces team is decimated by a group of normally peaceful farmers. Video of the attack shows even women and children possessing almost supernatural speed and strength, consumed with a rage that makes them immune to pain, fear, and all but the most devastating injuries. Covert-One's top operative, army microbiologist Colonel Jon Smith, is sent to investigate the attack and finds evidence of a parasitic infection that for centuries has been causing violent insanity and then going dormant. This time, though, it's different. The parasite had been purposely kept alive and crudely transmitted in acts of terrorism. Now the director of Iranian Intelligence is in Uganda trying to obtain this biological weapon to unleash it on the West. Smith and his team are ambushed and cut off from all outside support just as they begin to suspect that forces much more powerful than the Iranians are in play-forces that can be traced to Washington itself.