The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

Download The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475581025
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch

Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.

The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

Download The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Francisco Roch

Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Francisco Roch and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the strategy with the minimal actuarially fair intervention which guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.

The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs

Download The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484393414
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs by : Hippolyte W. Balima

Download or read book The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs written by Hippolyte W. Balima and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-11 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the role of IMF-supported programs in mitigating the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults in borrowing countries. Using a panel of 106 developing countries from 1970 to 2016 and an entropy balancing methodology, we find that IMF-supported programs significantly reduce the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults. This finding is robust to different specifications of the entropy balancing and alternative identification strategies. Our results suggest that a country that signs a program with the IMF, typically experiences a slight improvement in its sovereign credit rating and a decrease in both government debt-to-GDP and fiscal deficit-to-GDP.

Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public

Download Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484363825
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public by : Samba Mbaye

Download or read book Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public written by Samba Mbaye and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper documents a form of private sector bailout that is much more common (and yet unnoticed) than the typical bank bailout. Building on the newly-created Global Debt Database, we show that excess private debt systematically turns into higher public debt, regardless of whether the credit boom resulted in a crisis or a more orderly deleveraging process. This debt migration operates mainly through growth rather than explicit bailouts: private deleveraging weighs on activity, prompting a countercyclical government response to support economic activity. Ultimately, whether this debt substitution results in a net increase or a net decline of overall indebtedness in the economy depends on the extent of the growth slowdown during the deleveraging spell. These findings suggest that markets and policymakers should move away from looking at private and sovereign debt in silos and pay closer attention to the total stock of debt in the economy, as the line between the two tends to become blurry.

The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts, and the Eurozone Crisis

Download The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts, and the Eurozone Crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts, and the Eurozone Crisis by : Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

Download or read book The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts, and the Eurozone Crisis written by Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-25 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite a formal ‘no-bailout clause,’ we estimate significant net present value transfers from the European Union to Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain, ranging from roughly 0.5% (Ireland) to a whopping 43% (Greece) of 2010 output during the Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed differences across countries. We characterize bailout size and likelihood as a function of the economic fundamentals (economic activity, debt-to-gdp ratio, default costs). Our model embeds a ‘Southern view’ of the crisis (transfers did not help) and a ‘Northern view’ (transfers weaken fiscal discipline). While a stronger no-bailout commitment reduces risk-shifting, it may not be optimal from the perspective of the creditor country, even ex-ante, if it increases the risk of immediate insolvency for high debt countries. Hence, the model provides a potential justification for the often decried policy of ‘kicking the can down the road.’ Mapping the model to the estimated transfers, we find that the main purpose of the outsized Greek bailout was to prevent an exit from the eurozone and possible contagion. Bailouts to avoid sovereign default were comparatively modest.

Bailouts Or Bail-Ins?

Download Bailouts Or Bail-Ins? PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881325300
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (253 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Bailouts Or Bail-Ins? by : Nouriel Roubini

Download or read book Bailouts Or Bail-Ins? written by Nouriel Roubini and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2004-04-30 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study calls for a two-track strategy: first, deep multilateral liberalization involving phased but complete elimination of industrial-county protection and deep reduction of protection by at least the middle-income developing countries, albeit on a more gradual schedule; and second, immediate free entry for imports from high risk low-income countries (heavily indebted poor countries, least developed countries, and sub-Saharan Africa), coupled with a 10-year tax holiday for direct investment in these countries.

The Economics of Sovereign Debt

Download The Economics of Sovereign Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781785360572
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (65 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Economics of Sovereign Debt by : Robert W. Kolb

Download or read book The Economics of Sovereign Debt written by Robert W. Kolb and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This expansive collection contains more than one hundred of the very best and most influential scholarly articles on the sovereign debt of central governments around the world. It features discussions of the debt of many emerging nations as well as the largest sovereign debtors in the world. Collectively, these articles provide a thorough understanding of sovereign debt as seen by the best economists from around the world. The extensive and in-depth introductory chapter also discusses each of the articles individually. This collection is an essential tool to libraries, academic institutions, economic scholars and students alike.

Global Debt Dynamics

Download Global Debt Dynamics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429619154
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Debt Dynamics by : Andreas Antoniades

Download or read book Global Debt Dynamics written by Andreas Antoniades and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-05-21 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive volume explores debt dynamics and the intensification of debt crises across the globe, bringing together several recent but underexplored debt crises from different regional and socioeconomic contexts. Using detailed case studies, the authors recast the perils of debt-based growth in the context of regional/global imbalances; not to advocate ‘one-size-fits-all’ reforms, but to point to the need for accommodating diversity. They examine how current economic developments put developing and developed countries under new strain. They also interrogate the opportunities and challenges generated for developing countries by the new development finance landscape and newly (re)emerged geopolitical tensions. The book also explores the inability of existing dominant structures and thinking to effectively manage the multiple facets of the ongoing global debt crisis, pointing to responses that exacerbate rather than address unsustainable debt dynamics. The authors illustrate the adverse effects of ad hoc crisis management mechanisms which are not fit for purpose, and indicate the negative consequences that existing policies may have for democracy. They then put forward a framework for alternative thinking as well as concrete ideas on what needs to be done, in response. This book will be of great interest to students, scholars and professionals in the field of global debt studies. It was originally published as a special issue of the online journal Third World Thematics.

The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis

Download The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis by : Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

Download or read book The Economics of Sovereign Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis written by Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite a formal 'no-bailout clause', we estimate significant net present value transfers from the European Union to Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, ranging from roughly 0.5% (Ireland) to 43% (Greece) of 2011 output during the recent Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed differences across countries. We characterize bailout size and likelihood as a function of the economic fundamentals (economic activity, debt-to-gdp ratio, default costs). Our model embeds a 'Southern view' of the crisis (transfers did not help) and a 'Northern view' (transfers weaken fiscal discipline). While a stronger no-bailout commitment reduces risk-shifting, it may not be optimal from the perspective of the creditor country, even ex-ante, if it increases the risk of immediate insolvency for high debt countries. Hence, the model provides a potential justification for the often decried policy of 'kicking the can down the road'.

Sovereign Debt Crises

Download Sovereign Debt Crises PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316510441
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (165 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Crises by : Juan Pablo Bohoslavsky

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Crises written by Juan Pablo Bohoslavsky and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contributes to a better understanding of the policy, economic, and legal options of countries struggling with debt problems.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Download Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Sovereign Debt

Download Sovereign Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Chatham House (Formerly Riia)
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : Vinod K. Aggarwal

Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by Vinod K. Aggarwal and published by Chatham House (Formerly Riia). This book was released on 2003 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines the ongoing debate on resolving sovereign debt defaults and alleviating the debt burden of heavily indebted poor countries. Concentrating primarily on the period from the 1982 and focusing on money owed to both the public and the private sector, the volume examines the origins of debt crises, rescheduling tactics, and efforts to create a more enduring solution to the problem of coping with debt, as well as its efficacy. Policy recommendations are put forward for dealing with the onerous problem of debt default and rescheduling.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Download Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505531
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.

Overcoming Developing Country Debt Crises

Download Overcoming Developing Country Debt Crises PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0199578796
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Overcoming Developing Country Debt Crises by : Barry Herman

Download or read book Overcoming Developing Country Debt Crises written by Barry Herman and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book looks at historical sovereign debt crises in developing and transition economies, and concludes that these occurrences have been economic and social catastrophes and are likely to happen again in the future due to the boom and bust nature of economic cycles, which can wreak havoc in liberalized financial environments.

Last Resort

Download Last Resort PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022642023X
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (264 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Last Resort by : Eric A. Posner

Download or read book Last Resort written by Eric A. Posner and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2018-04-02 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The bailouts during the recent financial crisis enraged the public. They felt unfair—and counterproductive: people who take risks must be allowed to fail. If we reward firms that make irresponsible investments, costing taxpayers billions of dollars, aren’t we encouraging them to continue to act irresponsibly, setting the stage for future crises? And beyond the ethics of it was the question of whether the government even had the authority to bail out failing firms like Bear Stearns and AIG. The answer, according to Eric A. Posner, is no. The federal government freely and frequently violated the law with the bailouts—but it did so in the public interest. An understandable lack of sympathy toward Wall Street has obscured the fact that bailouts have happened throughout economic history and are unavoidable in any modern, market-based economy. And they’re actually good. Contrary to popular belief, the financial system cannot operate properly unless the government stands ready to bail out banks and other firms. During the recent crisis, Posner agues, the law didn’t give federal agencies sufficient power to rescue the financial system. The legal constraints were damaging, but harm was limited because the agencies—with a few exceptions—violated or improvised elaborate evasions of the law. Yet the agencies also abused their power. If illegal actions were what it took to advance the public interest, Posner argues, we ought to change the law, but we need to do so in a way that also prevents agencies from misusing their authority. In the aftermath of the crisis, confusion about what agencies did do, should have done, and were allowed to do, has prevented a clear and realistic assessment and may hamper our response to future crises. Taking up the common objections raised by both right and left, Posner argues that future bailouts will occur. Acknowledging that inevitability, we can and must look ahead and carefully assess our policy options before we need them.

Global Waves of Debt

Download Global Waves of Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt

Download From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342434
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-22 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how banking sector developments and characteristics influence the propagation of risks from the banking sector to sovereign debt, including how they affect the extent of fiscal costs of banking crises when those occur. It then proposes practices and policies for the fiscal authorities to help manage the risks and enhance crisis preparedness.