Read Books Online and Download eBooks, EPub, PDF, Mobi, Kindle, Text Full Free.
Nos 1 538
Download Nos 1 538 full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Nos 1 538 ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Book Synopsis Predicting the Next President by : Allan J. Lichtman
Download or read book Predicting the Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2024-07-01 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
Book Synopsis Delivering the People’s Message by : Julia R. Azari
Download or read book Delivering the People’s Message written by Julia R. Azari and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2014-03-18 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presidents have long invoked electoral mandates to justify the use of executive power. In Delivering the People’s Message, Julia R. Azari draws on an original dataset of more than 1,500 presidential communications, as well as primary documents from six presidential libraries, to systematically examine choices made by presidents ranging from Herbert Hoover in 1928 to Barack Obama during his 2008 election. Azari argues that Ronald Reagan’s election in 1980 marked a shift from the modern presidency formed by Franklin Delano Roosevelt to what she identifies as a more partisan era for the presidency. This partisan model is a form of governance in which the president appears to require a popular mandate in order to manage unruly and deeply contrary elements within his own party and succeed in the face of staunch resistance from the opposition party. Azari finds that when the presidency enjoys high public esteem and party polarization is low, mandate rhetoric is less frequent and employs broad themes. By contrast, presidents turn to mandate rhetoric when the office loses legitimacy, as in the wake of Watergate and Vietnam and during periods of intense polarization. In the twenty-first century, these two factors have converged. As a result, presidents rely on mandate rhetoric to defend their choices to supporters and critics alike, simultaneously creating unrealistic expectations about the electoral promises they will be able to fulfill.
Book Synopsis The Signal and the Noise by : Nate Silver
Download or read book The Signal and the Noise written by Nate Silver and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 577 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "One of the more momentous books of the decade." —The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.
Book Synopsis The Biggest Bluff by : Maria Konnikova
Download or read book The Biggest Bluff written by Maria Konnikova and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New York Times bestseller • A New York Times Notable Book “The tale of how Konnikova followed a story about poker players and wound up becoming a story herself will have you riveted, first as you learn about her big winnings, and then as she conveys the lessons she learned both about human nature and herself.” —The Washington Post It's true that Maria Konnikova had never actually played poker before and didn't even know the rules when she approached Erik Seidel, Poker Hall of Fame inductee and winner of tens of millions of dollars in earnings, and convinced him to be her mentor. But she knew her man: a famously thoughtful and broad-minded player, he was intrigued by her pitch that she wasn't interested in making money so much as learning about life. She had faced a stretch of personal bad luck, and her reflections on the role of chance had led her to a giant of game theory, who pointed her to poker as the ultimate master class in learning to distinguish between what can be controlled and what can't. And she certainly brought something to the table, including a Ph.D. in psychology and an acclaimed and growing body of work on human behavior and how to hack it. So Seidel was in, and soon she was down the rabbit hole with him, into the wild, fiercely competitive, overwhelmingly masculine world of high-stakes Texas Hold'em, their initial end point the following year's World Series of Poker. But then something extraordinary happened. Under Seidel's guidance, Konnikova did have many epiphanies about life that derived from her new pursuit, including how to better read, not just her opponents but far more importantly herself; how to identify what tilted her into an emotional state that got in the way of good decisions; and how to get to a place where she could accept luck for what it was, and what it wasn't. But she also began to win. And win. In a little over a year, she began making earnest money from tournaments, ultimately totaling hundreds of thousands of dollars. She won a major title, got a sponsor, and got used to being on television, and to headlines like "How one writer's book deal turned her into a professional poker player." She even learned to like Las Vegas. But in the end, Maria Konnikova is a writer and student of human behavior, and ultimately the point was to render her incredible journey into a container for its invaluable lessons. The biggest bluff of all, she learned, is that skill is enough. Bad cards will come our way, but keeping our focus on how we play them and not on the outcome will keep us moving through many a dark patch, until the luck once again breaks our way.
Author :IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans Publisher :IARC Monographs on the Evaluat ISBN 13 :9789283201472 Total Pages :0 pages Book Rating :4.2/5 (14 download)
Book Synopsis Outdoor Air Pollution by : IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans
Download or read book Outdoor Air Pollution written by IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans and published by IARC Monographs on the Evaluat. This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This publication represents the views and expert opinions of an IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risk to Humans, which met in Lyon, 8-15 October 2013."
Book Synopsis INDEX TO FARMERS' BULLETINS Nos. 1-1000 by :
Download or read book INDEX TO FARMERS' BULLETINS Nos. 1-1000 written by and published by . This book was released on 1920 with total page 824 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Breaking the Two-party Doom Loop by : Lee Drutman
Download or read book Breaking the Two-party Doom Loop written by Lee Drutman and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: American democracy is in deep crisis. But what do we do about it? That depends on how we understand the current threat.In Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop, Lee Drutman argues that we now have, for the first time in American history, a genuine two-party system, with two fully-sorted, truly national parties, divided over the character of the nation. And it's a disaster. It's a party system fundamentally at odds withour anti-majoritarian, compromise-oriented governing institutions. It threatens the very foundations of fairness and shared values on which our democracy depends.Deftly weaving together history, democratic theory, and cutting-edge political science research, Drutman tells the story of how American politics became so toxic and why the country is now trapped in a doom loop of escalating two-party warfare from which there is only one escape: increase the numberof parties through electoral reform. As he shows, American politics was once stable because the two parties held within them multiple factions, which made it possible to assemble flexible majorities and kept the climate of political combat from overheating. But as conservative Southern Democrats andliberal Northeastern Republicans disappeared, partisan conflict flattened and pulled apart. Once the parties became fully nationalized - a long-germinating process that culminated in 2010 - toxic partisanship took over completely. With the two parties divided over competing visions of nationalidentity, Democrats and Republicans no longer see each other as opponents, but as enemies. And the more the conflict escalates, the shakier our democracy feels.Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop makes a compelling case for large scale electoral reform - importantly, reform not requiring a constitutional amendment - that would give America more parties, making American democracy more representative, more responsive, and ultimately more stable.
Book Synopsis Congressional Record by : United States. Congress
Download or read book Congressional Record written by United States. Congress and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 1462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Congressional Record is the official record of the proceedings and debates of the United States Congress. It is published daily when Congress is in session. The Congressional Record began publication in 1873. Debates for sessions prior to 1873 are recorded in The Debates and Proceedings in the Congress of the United States (1789-1824), the Register of Debates in Congress (1824-1837), and the Congressional Globe (1833-1873)
Book Synopsis Generalizability Theory by : Robert L. Brennan
Download or read book Generalizability Theory written by Robert L. Brennan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Generalizability theory offers an extensive conceptual framework and a powerful set of statistical procedures for characterizing and quantifying the fallibility of measurements. Robert Brennan, the author, has written the most comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of generalizability theory. The book provides a synthesis of those parts of the statistical literature that are directly applicable to generalizability theory. The principal intended audience is measurement practitioners and graduate students in the behavioral and social sciences, although a few examples and references are provided from other fields. Readers will benefit from some familiarity with classical test theory and analysis of variance, but the treatment of most topics does not presume specific background.
Download or read book Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 1913 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Ceramics, Lithics, And Ornaments Of Chaco Canyon, Analyses Of Artifacts From The Chaco Project, 1971-1978, Volume 1, Ceramics, 1997 by :
Download or read book Ceramics, Lithics, And Ornaments Of Chaco Canyon, Analyses Of Artifacts From The Chaco Project, 1971-1978, Volume 1, Ceramics, 1997 written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis 1982 Census of Governments: no. 1. Finances of public school systems. no. 2. Finances of special districts. no. 3. Finances of county governments. no. 4. Finances of municipal and township governments. no. 5. Compendium of government finances by : United States. Bureau of the Census
Download or read book 1982 Census of Governments: no. 1. Finances of public school systems. no. 2. Finances of special districts. no. 3. Finances of county governments. no. 4. Finances of municipal and township governments. no. 5. Compendium of government finances written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 696 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis 1967 Census of Governments: Government finances. no. 1. Finances of school districts. no. 3. Finances of county governments by : United States. Bureau of the Census
Download or read book 1967 Census of Governments: Government finances. no. 1. Finances of school districts. no. 3. Finances of county governments written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Census of Governments, 1967: Government finances. no. 1 Finances of school districts.no. 2 Finances of special districts. no. 3 Finances of county governments. no. 4 Finances of municipalities and township governments. no. 5 Compendium of government finances by : United States. Bureau of the Census
Download or read book Census of Governments, 1967: Government finances. no. 1 Finances of school districts.no. 2 Finances of special districts. no. 3 Finances of county governments. no. 4 Finances of municipalities and township governments. no. 5 Compendium of government finances written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The War of the Rebellion: v. 1-53 [serial no. 1-111] Formal reports, both Union and Confederate, of the first seizures of United States property in the southern states, and of all military operations in the field, with the correspondence, order and returns relating specially thereto. 1880-1898. 111 v by : United States. War Department
Download or read book The War of the Rebellion: v. 1-53 [serial no. 1-111] Formal reports, both Union and Confederate, of the first seizures of United States property in the southern states, and of all military operations in the field, with the correspondence, order and returns relating specially thereto. 1880-1898. 111 v written by United States. War Department and published by . This book was released on 1881 with total page 1218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Official records produced by the armies of the United States and the Confederacy, and the executive branches of their respective governments, concerning the military operations of the Civil War, and prisoners of war or prisoners of state. Also annual reports of military departments, calls for troops, correspondence between national and state governments, correspondence between Union and Confederate officials. The final volume includes a synopsis, general index, special index for various military divisions, and background information on how these documents were collected and published. Accompanied by an atlas.
Book Synopsis Census of Governments, 1967: State reports. no. 1-52 including Alabama to Wyoming including the Disctrict of Columbia and Puerto Rico by : United States. Bureau of the Census
Download or read book Census of Governments, 1967: State reports. no. 1-52 including Alabama to Wyoming including the Disctrict of Columbia and Puerto Rico written by United States. Bureau of the Census and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis 1990 Census of Housing: no. 1. United States by :
Download or read book 1990 Census of Housing: no. 1. United States written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 712 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
![Download The War of the Rebellion: v. 1-53 [serial no. 1-111] Formal reports, both Union and Confederate, of the first seizures of United States property in the southern states, and of all military operations in the field, with the correspondence, order and returns relating specially thereto. 1880-1898. 111 v PDF Online Free](https://books.google.com/books/content/images/frontcover/97QUmci2Go4C?fife=w200-h370)
