Global Trends 2040

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Author :
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Future of Intelligence

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135095647
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of Intelligence by : Isabelle Duyvesteyn

Download or read book The Future of Intelligence written by Isabelle Duyvesteyn and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-11 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume discusses the challenges the future holds for different aspects of the intelligence process and for organisations working in the field. The main focus of Western intelligence services is no longer on the intentions and capabilities of the Soviet Union and its allies. Instead, at present, there is a plethora of threats and problems that deserve attention. Some of these problems are short-term and potentially acute, such as terrorism. Others, such as the exhaustion of natural resources, are longer-term and by nature often more difficult to foresee in their implications. This book analyses the different activities that make up the intelligence process, or the ‘intelligence cycle’, with a focus on changes brought about by external developments in the international arena, such as technology and security threats. Drawing together a range of key thinkers in the field, The Future of Intelligence examines possible scenarios for future developments, including estimations about their plausibility, and the possible consequences for the functioning of intelligence and security services. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, foreign policy, security studies and IR in general.

Social and Behavioral Sciences for National Security

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Author :
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309456525
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Social and Behavioral Sciences for National Security by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Social and Behavioral Sciences for National Security written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-06-12 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the coming years, complex domestic and international environments and challenges to national security will continue. Intelligence analysts and the intelligence community will need access to the appropriate tools and developing knowledge about threats to national security in order to provide the best information to policy makers. Research and knowledge from the social and behavioral sciences (SBS) can help inform the work of intelligence analysis; however, in the past, bringing important findings from research to bear on the day-to-day work of intelligence analysis has been difficult. In order to understand how knowledge from science can be directed and applied to help the intelligence community fulfill its critical responsibilities, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine will undertake a 2-year survey of the social and behavioral sciences. To launch this discussion, a summit designed to highlight cutting-edge research and identify future directions for research in a few areas of the social and behavioral sciences was held in October 2016. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from the summit.

Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309163420
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow by : National Research Council

Download or read book Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The intelligence community (IC) plays an essential role in the national security of the United States. Decision makers rely on IC analyses and predictions to reduce uncertainty and to provide warnings about everything from international diplomatic relations to overseas conflicts. In today's complex and rapidly changing world, it is more important than ever that analytic products be accurate and timely. Recognizing that need, the IC has been actively seeking ways to improve its performance and expand its capabilities. In 2008, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to establish a committee to synthesize and assess evidence from the behavioral and social sciences relevant to analytic methods and their potential application for the U.S. intelligence community. In Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences, the NRC offers the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) recommendations to address many of the IC's challenges. Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow asserts that one of the most important things that the IC can learn from the behavioral and social sciences is how to characterize and evaluate its analytic assumptions, methods, technologies, and management practices. Behavioral and social scientific knowledge can help the IC to understand and improve all phases of the analytic cycle: how to recruit, select, train, and motivate analysts; how to master and deploy the most suitable analytic methods; how to organize the day-to-day work of analysts, as individuals and teams; and how to communicate with its customers. The report makes five broad recommendations which offer practical ways to apply the behavioral and social sciences, which will bring the IC substantial immediate and longer-term benefits with modest costs and minimal disruption.

Autistic Intelligence

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226816001
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis Autistic Intelligence by : Douglas W. Maynard

Download or read book Autistic Intelligence written by Douglas W. Maynard and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-05-25 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the diagnostic process to question how we understand autism as a category and to better recognize its intelligence and uncommon sense. As autism has become a widely prevalent diagnosis, we have grown increasingly desperate to understand it. Whether by placing baseless blame on vaccinations or seeking a genetic cause, Americans have struggled to understand what autism is and where it comes from. In Autistic Intelligence, Douglas Maynard and Jason Turowetz focus on a different origin of autism: the diagnostic process. By looking at how autism is diagnosed, they ask us to question the norms we use to measure autistic behavior against, why we understand autistic behavior as disordered, and how we go about assigning that disorder to particular people. To do so, the authors take a close look at a clinic in which children are assessed for and diagnosed with autism. Their research draws on hours observing assessment evaluations among psychologists, pediatricians, parents, and children in order to make plain the systems, language, and categories that clinicians rely upon when making their assessments. Those diagnostic tools determine the kind of information doctors can gather about children, and indeed, those assessments affect how children act. Autistic Intelligence shows that autism is not a stable category, but the result of an interpretive act, and in the process of diagnosing children with autism, we often miss all of the unique contributions they make to the world around them.

Intelligence Analysis

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309210925
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligence Analysis by : National Research Council

Download or read book Intelligence Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-03-08 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.

Problematising Intelligence Studies

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Author :
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000591360
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Problematising Intelligence Studies by : Hager Ben Jaffel

Download or read book Problematising Intelligence Studies written by Hager Ben Jaffel and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-06-14 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a new research agenda for intelligence studies in contemporary times. In contrast to Intelligence Studies (IS), whose aim has largely been to improve the performance of national security services and assist in policy making, this book takes the investigation of the new professionals and everyday practices of intelligence as the immediate point of departure. Starting from the observation that intelligence today is increasingly about counter-terrorism, crime control, surveillance, and other security-related issues, this book adopts a transdisciplinary approach for studying the shifting logics of intelligence, how it has come to involve an expanding number of empirical sites, such as the police, local community, prison and the Internet, as well as a corresponding multiplicity of new actors in these domains. Shifting the focus away from traditional spies and Anglo-American intelligence services, this book addresses the transformations of contemporary intelligence through empirically detailed and theoretically innovative analyses, making a key contribution to existing scholarship. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, critical security studies, foreign policy, and International Relations.

AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780997527308
Total Pages : 788 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (273 download)

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Book Synopsis AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence by : Peter C. Oleson

Download or read book AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence written by Peter C. Oleson and published by . This book was released on 2016-10-15 with total page 788 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of the Guide to the Study of Intelligence is to help instructors teach about the field of intelligence. This includes... undergraduate and graduate professors of History, Political Science, International Relations, Security Studies, and related topics, especially those with no or limited professional experience in the field. The assumption is that none of the... instructors is an expert in the topic of intelligence. Even those who are former practitioners are likely to have only a limited knowledge of the very broad field of intelligence, as most spend their careers in one or two agencies at most and may have focused only on collection or analysis of intelligence or support to those activities."In each of the articles the intent is to identify the important learning points for students and the materials that an instructor can use to teach. This includes books, articles, and websites..."

Human-Centered AI

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192845292
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (928 download)

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Book Synopsis Human-Centered AI by : Ben Shneiderman

Download or read book Human-Centered AI written by Ben Shneiderman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The remarkable progress in algorithms for machine and deep learning have opened the doors to new opportunities, and some dark possibilities. However, a bright future awaits those who build on their working methods by including HCAI strategies of design and testing. As many technology companies and thought leaders have argued, the goal is not to replace people, but to empower them by making design choices that give humans control over technology. In Human-Centered AI, Professor Ben Shneiderman offers an optimistic realist's guide to how artificial intelligence can be used to augment and enhance humans' lives. This project bridges the gap between ethical considerations and practical realities to offer a road map for successful, reliable systems. Digital cameras, communications services, and navigation apps are just the beginning. Shneiderman shows how future applications will support health and wellness, improve education, accelerate business, and connect people in reliable, safe, and trustworthy ways that respect human values, rights, justice, and dignity.

Moral Issues in Intelligence-led Policing

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351864505
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Moral Issues in Intelligence-led Policing by : Helene Gundhus

Download or read book Moral Issues in Intelligence-led Policing written by Helene Gundhus and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-27 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The core baseline of Intelligence-led Policing is the aim of increasing efficiency and quality of police work, with a focus on crime analysis and intelligence methods as tools for informed and objective decisions both when conducting targeted, specialized operations and when setting strategic priorities. This book critically addresses the proliferation of intelligence logics within policing from a wide array of scholarly perspectives. It considers questions such as: How are precautionary logics becoming increasingly central in the dominant policing strategies? What kind of challenges will this move entail? What does the criminalization of preparatory acts mean for previous distinctions between crime prevention and crime detection? What are the predominant rationales behind the proactive use of covert cohesive measures in order to prevent attacks on national security? How are new technological measures, increased private partnerships and international cooperation challenging the core nature of police services as the main providers of public safety and security? This book offers new insights by exploring dilemmas, legal issues and questions raised by the use of new policing methods and the blurred and confrontational lines that can be observed between prevention, intelligence and investigation in police work.

Intelligence Leadership and Governance

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351968653
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligence Leadership and Governance by : Patrick F. Walsh

Download or read book Intelligence Leadership and Governance written by Patrick F. Walsh and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-11-22 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the challenges leaders in intelligence communities face in an increasingly complex security environment and how to develop future leaders to deal with these issues. As the security and policy-making environment becomes increasingly complicated for decision-makers, the focus on intelligence agencies ‘to deliver’ more value will increase. This book is the first extensive exploration of contemporary leadership in the context of intelligence agencies, principally in the ‘Five Eyes’ nations (i.e. Australia, United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and New Zealand). It provides a grounded theoretical approach to building practitioner and researcher understanding of what individual and organisational factors result in better leadership. Using interviews from former senior intelligence leaders and a survey of 208 current and former intelligence leaders, the work explores the key challenges that leaders will likely face in the twenty-first century and how to address these. It also explores what principles are most likely to be important in developing future leaders of intelligence agencies in the future. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, leadership studies, security studies, and international relations.

The performance of the intelligence community

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis The performance of the intelligence community by : United States. Congress. House. Select Committee on Intelligence

Download or read book The performance of the intelligence community written by United States. Congress. House. Select Committee on Intelligence and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Intelligence-Based Medicine

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128233389
Total Pages : 549 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (282 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligence-Based Medicine by : Anthony C. Chang

Download or read book Intelligence-Based Medicine written by Anthony C. Chang and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-06-27 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligence-Based Medicine: Data Science, Artificial Intelligence, and Human Cognition in Clinical Medicine and Healthcare provides a multidisciplinary and comprehensive survey of artificial intelligence concepts and methodologies with real life applications in healthcare and medicine. Authored by a senior physician-data scientist, the book presents an intellectual and academic interface between the medical and the data science domains that is symmetric and balanced. The content consists of basic concepts of artificial intelligence and its real-life applications in a myriad of medical areas as well as medical and surgical subspecialties. It brings section summaries to emphasize key concepts delineated in each section; mini-topics authored by world-renowned experts in the respective key areas for their personal perspective; and a compendium of practical resources, such as glossary, references, best articles, and top companies. The goal of the book is to inspire clinicians to embrace the artificial intelligence methodologies as well as to educate data scientists about the medical ecosystem, in order to create a transformational paradigm for healthcare and medicine by using this emerging new technology. - Covers a wide range of relevant topics from cloud computing, intelligent agents, to deep reinforcement learning and internet of everything - Presents the concepts of artificial intelligence and its applications in an easy-to-understand format accessible to clinicians and data scientists - Discusses how artificial intelligence can be utilized in a myriad of subspecialties and imagined of the future - Delineates the necessary elements for successful implementation of artificial intelligence in medicine and healthcare

Routledge Companion to Intelligence Studies

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134480369
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis Routledge Companion to Intelligence Studies by : Robert Dover

Download or read book Routledge Companion to Intelligence Studies written by Robert Dover and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-09-05 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Routledge Companion to Intelligence Studies provides a broad overview of the growing field of intelligence studies. The recent growth of interest in intelligence and security studies has led to an increased demand for popular depictions of intelligence and reference works to explain the architecture and underpinnings of intelligence activity. Divided into five comprehensive sections, this Companion provides a strong survey of the cutting-edge research in the field of intelligence studies: Part I: The evolution of intelligence studies; Part II: Abstract approaches to intelligence; Part III: Historical approaches to intelligence; Part IV: Systems of intelligence; Part V: Contemporary challenges. With a broad focus on the origins, practices and nature of intelligence, the book not only addresses classical issues, but also examines topics of recent interest in security studies. The overarching aim is to reveal the rich tapestry of intelligence studies in both a sophisticated and accessible way. This Companion will be essential reading for students of intelligence studies and strategic studies, and highly recommended for students of defence studies, foreign policy, Cold War studies, diplomacy and international relations in general.

Intelligence and International Security

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317965515
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligence and International Security by : Len Scott

Download or read book Intelligence and International Security written by Len Scott and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-10-31 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of 9/11 and subsequent acts of jihadist terrorism, together with the failures of intelligence agencies over Iraq’s Weapons of Mass Destruction, have arguably heralded a new age of intelligence. For some this takes the form of a crisis of legitimacy. For others the threat of cataclysmic terrorism involving chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear attack gives added poignancy to the academic contention that intelligence failure is inevitable. Many of the challenges facing intelligence appear to be both new and deeply worrying. In response, intelligence has clearly taken on new forms and new agendas. How these various developments are viewed depends upon the historical, normative and political frameworks in which they are analysed. This book addresses fundamental questions arising in this new age. The central aim of the collection is to identify key issues and questions and subject them to interrogation from different methodological perspectives using internationally acclaimed experts in the field. A key focus in the collection is on British and North American perspectives. Recent trends and debates about the organisation and conduct of intelligence provide key themes for exploration. Underpinning several contributions is the recognition that intelligence faces a conflict of ideas as much as practices and threats. This book was published as a special issue of Intelligence and National Security.

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

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Author :
Publisher : Pickle Partners Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1839743050
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (397 download)

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Book Synopsis Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by : Richards J Heuer

Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J Heuer and published by Pickle Partners Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-05 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.

Why Secret Intelligence Fails

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Author :
Publisher : Potomac Books, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1612343074
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (123 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Secret Intelligence Fails by : Michael A. Turner

Download or read book Why Secret Intelligence Fails written by Michael A. Turner and published by Potomac Books, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-07 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Michael Turner argues that the root causes of failures in American intelligence can be found in the way it is organized and in the intelligence process itself. Intelligence that has gone awry affects national decision making and, ultimately, American national security. Intelligence officials are reluctant to talk about intelligence successes, claiming "the secret of our success is the secret of our success." But these officials also shy away from talking about failures, largely because doing so would expose the failings of American intelligence and have an impact on policy consumers who may become more reluctant to accept and act on the intelligence they receive. Rather than focusing on case studies, the book takes a holistic approach, beginning with structural issues and all dysfunctions that emanate from them. Turner explores each step of the intelligence cycle--priority setting, intelligence collection, analysis, production, and dissemination--to identify the "inflection points" within each stage that contribute to intelligence failures. Finally, he examines a variety of plans that, if implemented, would reduce the likelihood of intelligence failures. While examining the causes of intelligence failures, Turner also explores intelligence as a critical governmental activity, making the book an excellent primer on secret intelligence. Turner writes in jargon-free prose for the informed reader interested in foreign policy and national security policy matters and brings enough depth to his subject that even experts will find this a must-read.