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European Labor Markets And The Covid 19 Pandemic Fallout And The Path Ahead
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Book Synopsis European Labor Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Fallout and the Path Ahead by : Mr. Sakai Ando
Download or read book European Labor Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Fallout and the Path Ahead written by Mr. Sakai Ando and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-03-03 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused by far the largest shock to European economies since World War II. Yet, astonishingly, the EU unemployment rate had already declined to its pre-crisis level by 2021Q3, and in some countries the labor force participation rate is at a record high. This paper documents that the widespread use of job retention schemes has played an essential role in mitigating the pandemic’s impact on labor markets and thereby facilitating the restart of European economies after the initial lockdowns.
Book Synopsis How Effective Were Job-Retention Schemes During the COVID-19 Pandemic? A Microsimulation Approach for European Countries by : W. Raphael Lam
Download or read book How Effective Were Job-Retention Schemes During the COVID-19 Pandemic? A Microsimulation Approach for European Countries written by W. Raphael Lam and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-01-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic had posed a dramatic impact on labor markets across Europe. Forceful fiscal responses have prevented an otherwise sharper contraction. Many countries introduced or expanded job-retention schemes to preserve jobs and support households. This paper uses a microsimulation approach (EUROMOD) and household data to assess the effectiveness of those schemes in stabilizing household income during the pandemic across European countries. Empirical evidence shows that job-retention schemes were effective in stabilizing income and, along with other measures, absorbed nearly 80 percent of market income shocks—almost doubling the extent of the automatic stabilization of the pre-pandemic tax and benefit systems. The large effects are related to the widespread use and scaling up of those schemes and a deep but short-lived disruption to labor markets during the pandemic. Along with other fiscal support measures, job-retention schemes helped mitigate the rise in the unemployment rate, by about 3 percentage points, and income inequality during the pandemic. Our results show that job-retention schemes were largely targeted, in which households more vulnerable to income losses, such as lower-income families, youth, and low-skilled workers, are able to stabilize their income.
Book Synopsis The Economic and Social Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic by : Valentina Vasile
Download or read book The Economic and Social Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic written by Valentina Vasile and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Rising Child Poverty in Europe: Mitigating the Scarring from the COVID-19 Pandemic by : Mr. Jean-Jacques Hallaert
Download or read book Rising Child Poverty in Europe: Mitigating the Scarring from the COVID-19 Pandemic written by Mr. Jean-Jacques Hallaert and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-30 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Child poverty increased dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020 alone, the number of children suffering from poverty in the EU increased by 19 percent, or close to 1 million. Left unaddressed, this would not only affect individuals’ life prospects and well-being but also have long-term economic implications. This paper argues that, to limit this potential scarring effect of the pandemic, policies should be deployed to reduce rapidly the number of children affected by poverty and mitigate the long-term impact of poverty. Reducing the number of children affected by poverty can be achieved by (i) labor policies and reforms that increase parental work and the labor income of poor parents and (ii) fiscal spending on family and children that can have a powerful and immediate impact. These policies need to be complemented by public investment in education and childcare, health, and housing to mitigate the long-term impact of child poverty.
Book Synopsis A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area by : Thomas McGregor
Download or read book A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area written by Thomas McGregor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-12-16 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a bottom-up model of inflation in the euro area based on a set of augmented Phillips curves for seven subcomponents of core inflation and auxiliary regressions for non-core items. We use the model’s disaggregated structure to explore which factors drove the deterioration in forecasting performance during the pandemic period and use these insights to improve on the ability to forecast inflation. In the baseline, the projection for core inflation is centered above 3 percent at end-2023, while headline inflation is expected to drop quite sharply over 2023, with energy base effects pulling inflation down from the currently very elevated levels to below 3 percent by 2023q4. The confidence intervals around these projections are wide given elevated uncertainty. We argue that the bottom-up approach offers a useful complement to the forecasters toolbox – even in the current uncertain environment - by improving forecast accuracy, shedding additional light on the drivers of inflation and providing a framework in which to apply ex post judgement in a structured way.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :51 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Portugal by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Portugal written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-22 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portugal: Selected Issues
Book Synopsis Cars and the Green Transition: Challenges and Opportunities for European Workers by : Oya Celasun
Download or read book Cars and the Green Transition: Challenges and Opportunities for European Workers written by Oya Celasun and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-02 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reducing transport sector emissions is an important pillar of the green transition. However, the transition to electric vehicles (EV) portends major changes in vehicle manufacturing activity, on which many livelihoods in Europe depend. Using the heterogeneity across European countries in the speed of transition to EV production and variation in sectoral and regional exposure to the automotive sector, this paper offers early evidence of the labor market implications of the EV transition. Our results suggest that the transformation of the auto sector is already having an adverse impact on employment in the affected sectors and regions, which can be expected to grow at least in the near term. Many of the affected workers will be able to retire and our analysis suggests that those who will have to transition to new “greener” jobs have a fair chance to do so when compared to other workers in the manufacturing sector. Furthermore, we find evidence that active labor market policies, specifically training, can help to reduce the adjustment costs for the affected workers.
Book Synopsis Collapse and Recovery by : Norbert Schady
Download or read book Collapse and Recovery written by Norbert Schady and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2023-03-16 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Worldwide, the COVID-19 pandemic has been an enormous shock to mortality, economies, and daily life. But what has received insufficient attention is the impact of the pandemic on the accumulation of human capital—the health, education, and skills—of young people. How large was the setback, and how far are we still from a recovery? Collapse and Recovery estimates the impacts of the pandemic on the human capital of young children, school-age children, and youth and discusses the urgent actions needed to reverse the damage. It shows that there was a collapse of human capital and that, unless that collapse is remedied, it is a time bomb for countries. Specifically, the report documents alarming declines in cognitive and social-emotional development among young children, which could translate into a 25 percent reduction in their earnings as adults. It finds that 1 billion children in low- and middle-income countries missed at least one year of in-person schooling. And despite enormous efforts in remote learning, children did not learn during the unprecedentedly long school closures, which could reduce future lifetime earnings around the world by US$21 trillion. The report quantifies the dramatic drops in employment and skills among youth that resulted from the pandemic as well as the substantial increase in the number of youth neither employed nor enrolled in education or training. In all of these age groups, the impacts of the pandemic were consistently worse for children from poorer backgrounds. These losses call for immediate action. The good news is that evidence-based policies can recover these losses. Collapse and Recovery reviews governments’ responses to the pandemic, assessing why there was a collapse in human capital accumulation, what was missing in the policy architecture to protect human capital during the crisis, and how governments can better prepare to withstand future shocks. It offers concrete policy recommendations to recover losses in human capital—programs that will end up paying for themselves in the long term. To better prepare for future shocks such as climate change and wars, the report emphasizes the need for solutions that bring health, education, and social protection programs together in an integrated human development system. If countries fail to act, the losses in human capital documented in this report will become permanent and last for multiple generations. The time to act is now.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Monitor, October 2022 by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Fiscal Monitor, October 2022 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-10-12 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The report explores how fiscal policy can foster resilience by protecting households against large income and employment losses. Governments face increasingly difficult trade-offs in tackling the spikes in food and energy prices when policy buffers are largely exhausted after two years of pandemic. They should prioritize protecting vulnerable groups through targeted support while keeping a tight fiscal stance to help reduce inflation. Building fiscal buffers in normal times would allow governments to respond swiftly and flexibly during adversities. Several fiscal tools, such as job-retention schemes, have proven useful to preserve jobs and income for workers. Social safety nets should be made more readily scalable and better targeted, leveraging digital technologies. Exceptional support to firms should be reserved for severe situations and requires sound fiscal risk management.
Book Synopsis Virtual Management and the New Normal by : Svein Bergum
Download or read book Virtual Management and the New Normal written by Svein Bergum and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-31 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines how Human Resource Management and leadership have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, what organizations can learn from this, and how these new experiences could be applied in the “New Normal”. The editors of this book have compiled the new knowledge that exists around remote leadership and organizational practices, relative to pre-COVID-19 studies, and the experiences learned during the pandemic. Key discussion themes focus on the role of distance in leadership, organizations and HR, the sustainability aspects involved, innovations and knowledge development achieved, the role of digitalization and new requirements and possibilities for management post-COVID-19. The editors conclude by investigating the strategic processes and factors influencing the “New Normal”. This book will be of great importance for academics, students and practitioners in the fields of Management, Leadership, Human Resource Management, Sustainability, Change Management and Crisis Management.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :81 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Republic of Latvia by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Republic of Latvia written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-09-15 with total page 81 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Latvia is facing an inflation shock, slow growth, and geopolitical challenges, while the long-term policy concern is to sustain the income convergence process. Headline inflation has surged over the past year in Latvia, measuring 12.3 percent y/y in May, while core inflation increased to 12.4 percent y/y in May. The new government, which took office in December 2022, will also have to continue to deal with the spillovers in the Baltic region from the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the impact of sanctions imposed on Russia and Belarus, the cost-of-living crisis, energy security, and the expected slowdown in growth. To secure high long-term growth in a low-inflation environment, Latvia needs to address three structural issues: (i) low productivity, (ii) low investment, and (iii) skilled labor shortages.
Book Synopsis Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand by : Mr.Geoffrey J Bannister
Download or read book Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand written by Mr.Geoffrey J Bannister and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-12-11 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the world is focused on addressing the near-term ramifications of the COVID-19 shock, we turn attention to another important aspect of the pandemic: its fallout on medium-term potential output through scarring. Taking Australia and New Zealand as examples, we show that the pandemic will likely have a large and persistent impact on potential output, broadly in line with the experience of advanced economies from past recessions. The impact is driven by employment, capital stock, and productivity losses in the wake of an unprecedented sectoral reallocation, hightened uncertainty, and reduced migration. Maintaining fiscal and monetary policy support until the recovery is firmly entrenched and putting in place a strong structural policy agenda to counter the pandemic’s adverse effects on medium-term potential output will be important to support standards of living and strengthen economic resilience in case of renewed shocks.
Book Synopsis The Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Labor Markets, Poverty and Inequality in Brazil by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Labor Markets, Poverty and Inequality in Brazil written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-05 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document the short-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Brazilian labor market focusing on employment, wages and hours worked using the nationally representative household surveys PNAD-Continua and PNAD COVID. Sectors most susceptible to the shock because they are more contact-intensive and less teleworkable, such as construction, domestic services and hospitality, suffered large job losses and reductions in hours. Given low income workers experienced the largest decline in earnings, extreme poverty and the Gini coefficient based on labor income increased by around 9.2 and 5 percentage points, respectively, due to the immediate shock. The government’s broad based, temporary Emergency Aid transfer program more than offset the labor income losses for the bottom four deciles, however, such that poverty relative to the pre-COVID baseline fell. At a cost of around 4 percent of GDP in 2020 such support is not fiscally sustainable beyond the short-term and ended in late 2020. The challenge will be to avoid a sharp increase in poverty and inequality if the labor market does not pick up sufficiently fast in 2021.
Book Synopsis Policy Advice to Asia in the COVID-19 Era by : Changyong Rhee
Download or read book Policy Advice to Asia in the COVID-19 Era written by Changyong Rhee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-05 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Asia-Pacific region was the first to be hit by the COVID-19 pandemic; it put a strain on its people and economies, and policymaking became exceptionally difficult. This departmental paper contains the assessment of the key challenges facing Asia at this critical juncture and policy advice to the region both to address the current challenges and to build the foundations for a more sustainable and inclusive future. The paper focuses on (1) adjusting to the COVID-19 shock, (2) using unconventional policies when policy space is limited, (3) dealing with debt, and (4) helping the vulnerable and greening the recovery. The paper first presents the different ways countries are adjusting to the COVID-19 shock.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781513539744 Total Pages :177 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (397 download)
Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2020 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2020 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-04-14 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound--the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic, including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak health care systems.
Book Synopsis A TIP Against the COVID-19 Pandemic by : Reda Cherif
Download or read book A TIP Against the COVID-19 Pandemic written by Reda Cherif and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-07-03 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A universal testing and isolation policy is the most viable way to vanquish a pandemic. Its implementation requires: (i) an epidemiological rather than clinical approach to testing, sacrificing accuracy for scalability, convenience and speed; and (ii) state intervention to ramp up production, similar to True Industrial Policy (TIP), on a global level to achieve a scale and speed the market alone would fail to provide. We sketch a strategy to tackle market failures and implement smart testing, especially in densely populated areas. The estimated cost of testing is dwarfed by its return, mitigating the economic fallout of the pandemic.
Book Synopsis Social policy in the European Union: state of play 2015 by : David Natali (OSE)
Download or read book Social policy in the European Union: state of play 2015 written by David Natali (OSE) and published by ETUI. This book was released on 2015-09-23 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sixteenth edition of Social policy in the European Union: state of play has a triple ambition. First, it provides easily accessible information to a wide audience about recent developments in both EU and domestic social policymaking. Second, the volume provides a more analytical reading, embedding the key developments of the year 2014 in the most recent academic discourses. Third, the forward-looking perspective of the book aims to provide stakeholders and policymakers with specific tools that allow them to discern new opportunities to influence policymaking. In this 2015 edition of Social policy in the European Union: state of play, the authors tackle the topics of the state of EU politics after the parliamentary elections, the socialisation of the European Semester, methods of political protest, the Juncker investment plan, the EU’s contradictory education investment, the EU’s contested influence on national healthcare reforms, and the neoliberal Trojan Horse of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP).
