A Fundamentally Different Interpretation of the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis A Fundamentally Different Interpretation of the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility by : Federico M. Bandi

Download or read book A Fundamentally Different Interpretation of the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility written by Federico M. Bandi and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that the persistence properties of financial market volatility need to be taken into account when carrying out inference about volatility measures, for example when assessing the relation between realized and implied volatility series. If these volatility measures display long memory, as often argued in recent work, then the conventional predictive regression between implied volatility (regressor) and realized volatility over the remaining life of the option (regressand) appears to be a (fractional) cointegrating relation. Since cointegration is associated with long-run comovements, this finding modifies the usual interpretation of such regression as a study towards assessing option market efficiency (based on a certain option pricing model) and/or short-term unbiasedness of implied volatility as a predictor of realized volatility. In this paper we use spectral methods and exploit the potential long memory in the data to design an econometric methodology which is robust to the various issues that the literature on the relation between implied and realized volatility has proposed as plausible explanations (measurement errors and presence of an unobservable time-varying risk premium, for instance) for an estimated slope coefficient less than one, implying biasedness, in the standard predictive regression. Our evidence in favor of long-run unbiasedness is rather strong. Little can be said about market efficiency and/or short-term unbiasedness which were the objects of the previous studies.

Volatility Trading, + website

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470181990
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility Trading, + website by : Euan Sinclair

Download or read book Volatility Trading, + website written by Euan Sinclair and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-06-23 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility Trading, Sinclair offers you a quantitative model for measuring volatility in order to gain an edge in your everyday option trading endeavors. With an accessible, straightforward approach. He guides traders through the basics of option pricing, volatility measurement, hedging, money management, and trade evaluation. In addition, Sinclair explains the often-overlooked psychological aspects of trading, revealing both how behavioral psychology can create market conditions traders can take advantage of-and how it can lead them astray. Psychological biases, he asserts, are probably the drivers behind most sources of edge available to a volatility trader. Your goal, Sinclair explains, must be clearly defined and easily expressed-if you cannot explain it in one sentence, you probably aren't completely clear about what it is. The same applies to your statistical edge. If you do not know exactly what your edge is, you shouldn't trade. He shows how, in addition to the numerical evaluation of a potential trade, you should be able to identify and evaluate the reason why implied volatility is priced where it is, that is, why an edge exists. This means it is also necessary to be on top of recent news stories, sector trends, and behavioral psychology. Finally, Sinclair underscores why trades need to be sized correctly, which means that each trade is evaluated according to its projected return and risk in the overall context of your goals. As the author concludes, while we also need to pay attention to seemingly mundane things like having good execution software, a comfortable office, and getting enough sleep, it is knowledge that is the ultimate source of edge. So, all else being equal, the trader with the greater knowledge will be the more successful. This book, and its companion CD-ROM, will provide that knowledge. The CD-ROM includes spreadsheets designed to help you forecast volatility and evaluate trades together with simulation engines.

The Relation Between Implied and Realized Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis The Relation Between Implied and Realized Volatility by : Bent J. Christensen

Download or read book The Relation Between Implied and Realized Volatility written by Bent J. Christensen and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fundamental Analysis and Equity Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (846 download)

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Book Synopsis Fundamental Analysis and Equity Volatility by : Suhas A. Sridharan

Download or read book Fundamental Analysis and Equity Volatility written by Suhas A. Sridharan and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I examine whether financial statement information can predict future realized volatility incremental to the volatility implied by option market prices. Prior research establishes that option-implied volatility is a biased estimator of future realized volatility. I hypothesize that financial statement information, by providing information about economic events correlated with future volatility, is informative in the prediction of future volatility and not fully incorporated in either past volatility or the market's expectation of future volatility. I confirm this empirically and show that the finding is robust to the measurement of option-implied volatility using either the Black-Scholes formula or a model-free approach. I also document abnormal returns to an option-based trading strategy that takes a long (short) position in firms with financial statement information indicative of high (low) future volatility. Additionally, I provide evidence that contradicts a risk-based explanation for the incremental predictive ability of accounting information. Taken together, my results indicate that the market's failure to fully process accounting-based fundamental information explains some of the previously documented bias in implied volatility.

Level Shifts in Volatility and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Level Shifts in Volatility and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation by : Bent Jesper Christensen

Download or read book Level Shifts in Volatility and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation written by Bent Jesper Christensen and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a simple model in which realized stock market return volatility and implied volatility backed out of option prices are subject to common level shifts corresponding to movements between bull and bear markets. The model is estimated using the Kalman filter in a generalization to the multivariate case of the univariate level shift technique by Lu and Perron (2008). An application to the S&P500 index and a simulation experiment show that the recently documented empirical properties of strong persistence in volatility and forecastability of future realized volatility from current implied volatility, which have been interpreted as long memory (or fractional integration) in volatility and fractional co-integration between implied and realized volatility, are accounted for by occasional common level shifts.

Long Memory and the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Memory and the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility by : Federico M. Bandi

Download or read book Long Memory and the Relation between Implied and Realized Volatility written by Federico M. Bandi and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that the predictive regression between implied volatility (regressor) and realized volatility over the remaining life of a European option (regressand) is likely to be a fractional cointegrating relation. Because cointegration is associated with long-run comovements, this classical regression cannot be used to test for option market efficiency and short-term unbiasedness of implied volatility as a predictor of realized volatility. Using narrow-band spectral methods, we provide consistent estimates of the long-run relation between implied and realized volatility even when implied volatility is measured with error and/or volatility is priced but the volatility risk premium is unobservable. Although little can be said about short-term unbiasedness, our results largely support a notion of long-run unbiasedness of implied volatility as a predictor of realized volatility.

Trading Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781461108757
Total Pages : 316 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading Volatility by : Colin Bennett

Download or read book Trading Volatility written by Colin Bennett and published by . This book was released on 2014-08-17 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council

Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118477219
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis by : Doug Huggins

Download or read book Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis written by Doug Huggins and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-05-20 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As western governments issue increasing amounts of debt, the fixed income markets have never been more important. Yet the methods for analyzing these markets have failed to keep pace with recent developments, including the deterioration in the credit quality of many sovereign issuers. In Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis, Doug Huggins and Christian Schaller address this gap with a set of analytic tools for assessing value in the markets for government bonds, interest rate swaps, and related basis swaps, as well as associated futures and options. Taking a practitioner’s point of view, the book presents the theory behind market analysis in connection with tools for finding and expressing trade ideas. The extensive use of actual market examples illustrates the ways these analytic tools can be applied in practice. The book covers: Statistical models for quantitative market analysis, in particular mean reversion models and principal component analysis. An in-depth approach to understanding swap spreads in theory and in practice. A comprehensive discussion of the various basis swaps and their combinations. The incorporation of credit default swaps in yield curve analysis. A classification of option trades, with appropriate analysis tools for each category. Fitted curve techniques for identifying relative value among different bonds. A multi-factor delivery option model for bond future contracts. Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis provides an insightful presentation of the relevant statistical and financial theories, a detailed set of statistical and financial tools derived from these theories, and a multitude of actual trades resulting from the application of these tools to the fixed income markets. As such, it’s an indispensable guide for relative value analysts, relative value traders, and portfolio managers for whom security selection and hedging are part of the investment process.

Options Markets

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Publisher : Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Options Markets by : John C. Cox

Download or read book Options Markets written by John C. Cox and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1985 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes the first published detailed description of option exchange operations, the first published treatment using only elementary mathematics and the first step-by-step procedure for implementing the Black-Scholes formula in actual trading.

Volatility and Correlation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

The Mathematics of Options

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319566350
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mathematics of Options by : Michael C. Thomsett

Download or read book The Mathematics of Options written by Michael C. Thomsett and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-08-30 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is written for the experienced portfolio manager and professional options traders. It is a practical guide offering how to apply options math in a trading world that demands mathematical measurement. Every options trader deals with an array of calculations: beginners learn to identify risks and opportunities using a short list of strategies, while researchers and academics turn to advanced technical manuals. However, almost no books exist for the experienced portfolio managers and professional options traders who fall between these extremes. Michael C. Thomsett addresses this glaring gap with The Mathematics of Options, a practical guide with actionable tools for the practical application of options math in a world that demands quantification. It serves as a valuable reference for advanced methods of evaluating issues of pricing, payoff, probability, and risk. In his characteristic approachable style, Thomsett simplifies complex hot button issues—such as strategic payoffs, return calculations, and hedging options—that may be mentioned in introductory texts but are often underserved. The result is a comprehensive book that helps traders understand the mathematic concepts of options trading so that they can improve their skills and outcomes.

Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 155738486X
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (573 download)

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Book Synopsis Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques by : Sheldon Natenberg

Download or read book Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques written by Sheldon Natenberg and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1994-08 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a thorough discussion of volatility, the most important aspect of options trading. Shows how to identify mispriced options and to construct volatility and "delta neutral" spreads.

The Art of Quantitative Finance Vol.2

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031238702
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)

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Book Synopsis The Art of Quantitative Finance Vol.2 by : Gerhard Larcher

Download or read book The Art of Quantitative Finance Vol.2 written by Gerhard Larcher and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-03-23 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides the necessary techniques from financial mathematics and stochastic analysis for the valuation of more complex financial products and strategies. The author discusses how to make use of mathematical methods to analyse volatilities in capital markets. Furthermore, he illustrates how to apply and extend the Black-Scholes theory to several fields in finance. In the final section of the book, the author introduces the readers to the fundamentals of stochastic analysis and presents examples of applications. This book builds on the previous volume of the author’s trilogy on quantitative finance. The aim of the second volume is to present and discuss more complex and advanced techniques of modern financial mathematics in a way that is intuitive and easy to follow. As in the previous volume, the author provides financial mathematicians with insights into practical requirements when applying financial mathematical techniques in the real world.

The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3658089695
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index by : Florian Auinger

Download or read book The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index written by Florian Auinger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-13 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.

Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis + Website

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1394189109
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (941 download)

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Book Synopsis Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis + Website by : Doug Huggins

Download or read book Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis + Website written by Doug Huggins and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-04-02 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An invaluable guide for fixed income practitioners, fully updated to incorporate the shift from LIBOR to SOFR Since its first edition in 2013, Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis: A Practitioner’s Guide to the Theory, Tools, and Trades has become the gold standard for guides linking financial theories with practical analysis tools. The newly revised second edition reflects both the progress in statistical tools over the last decade and the impact of the transition to SOFR on swap spreads. You’ll find a set of statistical and financial tools, a multitude of actual trades resulting from the application of these tools, as well as access to a companion website featuring spreadsheets illustrating some of the models contained in the book. This book covers: Statistical models for quantitative market analysis, in particular mean reversion models and principal component analysis, now including the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. An in-depth approach to understanding swap spreads in theory and practice. A comprehensive discussion of the various basis swaps and their combinations. The incorporation of credit default swaps in yield curve analysis. A classification of option trades into three types and the appropriate analysis tools. Fitted curve techniques for identifying relative value among different bonds. A multi-factor delivery option model for bond future contracts. Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis has proven to be an indispensable desk reference for buy- and sell-side fixed income professionals, including traders, quantitative analysts, portfolio managers, financial engineers, fixed income salespeople with sophisticated clientele and risk managers.

Quantitative Finance with Python

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000582302
Total Pages : 698 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Finance with Python by : Chris Kelliher

Download or read book Quantitative Finance with Python written by Chris Kelliher and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-19 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantitative Finance with Python: A Practical Guide to Investment Management, Trading and Financial Engineering bridges the gap between the theory of mathematical finance and the practical applications of these concepts for derivative pricing and portfolio management. The book provides students with a very hands-on, rigorous introduction to foundational topics in quant finance, such as options pricing, portfolio optimization and machine learning. Simultaneously, the reader benefits from a strong emphasis on the practical applications of these concepts for institutional investors. Features Useful as both a teaching resource and as a practical tool for professional investors. Ideal textbook for first year graduate students in quantitative finance programs, such as those in master’s programs in Mathematical Finance, Quant Finance or Financial Engineering. Includes a perspective on the future of quant finance techniques, and in particular covers some introductory concepts of Machine Learning. Free-to-access repository with Python codes available at www.routledge.com/ 9781032014432 and on https://github.com/lingyixu/Quant-Finance-With-Python-Code.

The Volatility Surface

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781119202073
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Surface by : Jim Gatheral

Download or read book The Volatility Surface written by Jim Gatheral and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: