When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion?

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion? by : William Russell Easterly

Download or read book When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion? written by William Russell Easterly and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion? by : William Easterly

Download or read book When is Fiscal Adjustment an Illusion? written by William Easterly and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A simple model shows that when an outside agent forces a reduction in a government's conventional deficit (debt accumulation), the government will respond by lowering its asset accumulation or by increasing hidden liabilities. That leaves net worth unchanged, so fiscal adjustment is an illusion.Fiscal adjustment is an illusion when it lowers the budget deficit or public debt but leaves the government's net worth unchanged, says Easterly.Conventional measures of the budget deficit largely measure the change in explicit public sector liabilities (debt). A more appropriate measure of the deficit would be the change in public sector net worth, but many criticize this concept as impossible to measure.Easterly takes a positive, rather than normative, approach to the net worth definition of fiscal balance.A simple model shows that when an outside agent forces a reduction in a government's conventional deficit (debt accumulation), the government will respond by lowering its asset accumulation or by increasing hidden liabilities. That leaves net worth unchanged, so fiscal adjustment is an illusion.He performs some simple empirical tests on the observational predictions of the model, examining a sample of countries with World Bank and International Monetary Fund adjustment programs and case studies of Maastricht Euro countries.The results confirm the model predictions: Fiscal adjustment in these countries was at least partly an illusion.This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the political economy of policymaking. The author may be contacted at [email protected].

Accounting Devices and Fiscal Illusions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475571321
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Accounting Devices and Fiscal Illusions by : Timothy Irwin

Download or read book Accounting Devices and Fiscal Illusions written by Timothy Irwin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-28 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proposed SDN surveys the various accounting stratagems which governments have used to meet fiscal targets—thereby sidestepping the need for true adjustment—and suggests remedial actions to limit this type of fiscal non-transparency. Types of creative accounting covered includes, for instance, currency swaps to hide a debt build-up (as in Greece in 2001–07), sale and leaseback of government property (for example, in the United States), assumption of long-term pension obligations in exchange for short-term revenue (Argentina, Hungary, and other Eastern European countries), use of public-private partnerships to defer the recognition of investment spending (for instance, Portugal), and reliance on non-cash compensation (such as pension rights) to reduce measured wage bills (in the United States, United Kingdom, etc.) As is evident from the examples given, these fiscal tricks have recently come under increased international scrutiny, highlighting the importance of good fiscal reporting, accounting, and transparency in general, for avoiding unpleasant surprises, ensuring government accountability, and containing fiscal vulnerabilities.

Fiscal Adjustment in Hungary

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment in Hungary by :

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment in Hungary written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Adjustment in EU Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451856377
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment in EU Countries by : Mr.Kenji Moriyama

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment in EU Countries written by Mr.Kenji Moriyama and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-08-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several European Union countries have recently implemented or are envisaging fiscal that operations improve budgetary figures but have no structural impact on government finances. This paper evaluates some of these measures using a balance sheet approach. In particular, it examines the degree to which reductions in government debt in EU countries has been accompanied by a decumulation of government assets. In the run-up to Maastricht (1997) it finds a strong correlation between changes in government liabilities and government assets, and larger declines in government assets in countries starting from higher public debt levels.

Quasi-fiscal activities, hidden government subsidies, and fiscal adjustment in Armenia

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821356043
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (56 download)

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Book Synopsis Quasi-fiscal activities, hidden government subsidies, and fiscal adjustment in Armenia by : Lev M. Freinkman

Download or read book Quasi-fiscal activities, hidden government subsidies, and fiscal adjustment in Armenia written by Lev M. Freinkman and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2003 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Adjustment and Contingent Government Liabilities

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment and Contingent Government Liabilities by : Hana Polackova Brixi

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment and Contingent Government Liabilities written by Hana Polackova Brixi and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Governments' contingent liabilities increase fiscal vulnerability, but are omitted in traditional measures of the current deficit. In the Czech Republic this omission may mean that fiscal adjustment has been overstated by 3 to 4 percent of annual GDP, with future budgets having to pay for past guarantees. The stock of existing contingent liabilities in Macedonia could add 2 to 4 percent of GDP to that country's future deficits.

Dispelling Fiscal Illusions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475552823
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Dispelling Fiscal Illusions by : Mr.Timothy Irwin

Download or read book Dispelling Fiscal Illusions written by Mr.Timothy Irwin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-21 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When rights and obligations are not recognized as assets and liabilities on a government’s balance sheet, the government’s deficit can be reduced by selling off-balance-sheet assets or incurring off-balance-sheet liabilities. This paper examines how much progress has been made in recognizing assets and liabilities and thus dispelling the fiscal illusions that such transactions create. Looking at the accounts, government-finance statistics, and long-term fiscal projections produced in 28 advanced economies in the period since 2003, it finds good progress in the recognition of some assets and liabilities, such as accounts payable and simple financial assets, but much less in others, such as civil-service pensions.

Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589062744
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment in IMF-Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-11-17 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a cross-country sample of 169 IMF-supported programs and detailed studies of 15 programs, this evaluation report examines various aspects of fiscal adjustment in IMF-supported programs. It presents evidence that does not support some critics’ view that IMF-supported programs typically adopt a one-size-fits-all approach to fiscal adjustment, nor the perception that programs always involve austerity by targeting reductions in public spending. The report also proposes a number of recommendations for IMF surveillance and program design in the future.

The Money Illusion

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226826562
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis The Money Illusion by : Scott Sumner

Download or read book The Money Illusion written by Scott Sumner and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2023-05-06 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first book-length work on market monetarism, written by its leading scholar. Is it possible that the consensus around what caused the 2008 Great Recession is almost entirely wrong? It’s happened before. Just as Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz led the economics community in the 1960s to reevaluate its view of what caused the Great Depression, the same may be happening now to our understanding of the first economic crisis of the 21st century. Foregoing the usual relitigating of problems such as housing markets and banking crises, renowned monetary economist Scott Sumner argues that the Great Recession came down to one thing: nominal GDP, the sum of all nominal spending in the economy, which the Federal Reserve erred in allowing to plummet. The Money Illusion is an end-to-end case for this school of thought, known as market monetarism, written by its leading voice in economics. Based almost entirely on standard macroeconomic concepts, this highly accessible text lays the groundwork for a simple yet fundamentally radical understanding of how monetary policy can work best: providing a stable environment for a market economy to flourish.

Transparency in Government Operations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 155775697X
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Transparency in Government Operations by : Mr.J. D. Craig

Download or read book Transparency in Government Operations written by Mr.J. D. Craig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-02-03 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transparency in government operations is widely regarded as an important precondition for macroeconomic fiscal sustainability, good governance, and overall fiscal rectitude. Notably, the Interim Committee, at its April and September 1996 meetings, stressed the need for greater fiscal transparency. Prompted by these concerns, this paper represents a first attempt to address many of the aspects of transparency in government operations. It provides an overview of major issues in fiscal transparency and examines the IMF's role in promoting transparency in government operations.

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity by : Richard Hemming

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.

When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475510209
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances by : Fabian Bornhorst

Download or read book When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances written by Fabian Bornhorst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-11 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technical Notes and Manuals are produced by IMF departments to expand the dissemination of their technical assistance advice. These papers present general advice and guidance, drawn in part from unpublished technical assistance reports, to a broader audience. This new series was launched in August 2009.

Government at Risk

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821348352
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (483 download)

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Book Synopsis Government at Risk by : Hana Polackova Brixi

Download or read book Government at Risk written by Hana Polackova Brixi and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2002 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many governments have faced serious instability as a result of their contingent liabilities. But conventional public finance analysis and institutions fail to address such fiscal risks. This book aims to provide motivation and practical guidance to governments seeking to improve their management of fiscal risks. The book addresses some of the difficult analytical and institutional challenges that face reformers tooling up to manage government fiscal risks. It discusses the inadequacies of conventional practices as well as recent advances in dealing with fiscal risk.

Fiscal Management

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821361429
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Management by : World Bank

Download or read book Fiscal Management written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accountability of government to citizens is the foundation for good governance. Unfortunately, many developing countries suffer the results of dysfunctional governance systems that fail to provide even minimal levels of vital public services. The key message of the New Institutional Economics is that incentives matter. In the public sphere, the countries' accountability frameworks rewards, sanctions, and measurement of performance shape public sector performance. This book applies this fundamental insight to fiscal/budgetary analysis and public service delivery, giving the reader tools and around the globe examples of institutional arrangements that help citizens hold government accountable for their performance.

Walking up the down escalator : public investment and fiscal stability

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Walking up the down escalator : public investment and fiscal stability by : William Easterly

Download or read book Walking up the down escalator : public investment and fiscal stability written by William Easterly and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Fiscal adjustment becomes like walking up the down escalator when growth-promoting spending is cut so much as to lower growth and thus the present value of future tax revenues to a degree that more than offsets the improvement in the cash deficit. Although short-term cash flows matter, a preponderant focus on them encourages governments to invest too little. Cash flow targets also encourage governments to shift investment spending off budget, by seeking private investment in public projects-irrespective of its real fiscal or economic benefits. To evade the action of cash flow targets, some have suggested excluding from their scope certain investments (such as those undertaken by public enterprises deemed commercial or financed by multilaterals). These stopgap remedies might sometimes help protect investment, but they do not provide a satisfactory solution to the underlying problem. Governments can more effectively reduce the biases created by the focus on short-term cash flows by developing indicators of the long-term fiscal effects of their decisions, including accounting and economic measures of net worth, and where appropriate including such measures in fiscal targets or even fiscal rules, replacing the exclusive focus on liquidity and debt.

Some Algebra of Fiscal Transparency

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475510578
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Some Algebra of Fiscal Transparency by : Timothy Irwin

Download or read book Some Algebra of Fiscal Transparency written by Timothy Irwin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-09-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accounting devices that artificially reduce the measured fiscal deficit can be analyzed as transactions involving unrecognized assets and liabilities. Different accounting systems recognize different sets of assets and liabilities and are thus vulnerable to different sets of devices. Some devices can be revealed by moving progressively from cash accounting to modified accrual accounting to full accrual accounting. Revealing all would require the publication of extended fiscal accounts in which all future cash flows give rise to assets or liabilities.