Uncertain Science Uncertain World

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Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World

Author : Henry N. Pollack
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139435442
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World by : Henry N. Pollack

Download or read book Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World written by Henry N. Pollack and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-06-23 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is the world warming due to the Greenhouse Effect? Can nuclear weapon arsenals be relied upon without periodic testing? Is the world running out of oil? What action should be taken against an outbreak of foot-and-mouth or BSE? Why can't scientists provide certain answers to these and many other questions? The uncertainty of science is puzzling. It arises when scientists have more than one answer to a problem or disagree amongst themselves. In this engaging book, Henry Pollack guides the reader through the maze of contradiction and uncertainty, acquainting them with the ways that uncertainty arises in science, how scientists accommodate and make use of uncertainty, and how in the face of uncertainty they reach their conclusions. Taking examples from recent science headlines and every day life, Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World enables the reader to evaluate uncertainty from their own perspectives, and find out more about how science actually works.

Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World

Author : H. N. Pollack
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780511077760
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (777 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World by : H. N. Pollack

Download or read book Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World written by H. N. Pollack and published by . This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using science headlines and everyday examples, this engaging book describes why science is uncertain for the general reader.

Acting in an Uncertain World

Author : Michel Callon
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262515962
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Acting in an Uncertain World by : Michel Callon

Download or read book Acting in an Uncertain World written by Michel Callon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-01-21 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A call for a new form of democracy in which “hybrid forums” composed of experts and laypeople address such sociotechnical controversies as hazardous waste, genetically modified organisms, and nanotechnology. Controversies over such issues as nuclear waste, genetically modified organisms, asbestos, tobacco, gene therapy, avian flu, and cell phone towers arise almost daily as rapid scientific and technological advances create uncertainty and bring about unforeseen concerns. The authors of Acting in an Uncertain World argue that political institutions must be expanded and improved to manage these controversies, to transform them into productive conversations, and to bring about “technical democracy.” They show how “hybrid forums”—in which experts, non-experts, ordinary citizens, and politicians come together—reveal the limits of traditional delegative democracies, in which decisions are made by quasi-professional politicians and techno-scientific information is the domain of specialists in laboratories. The division between professionals and laypeople, the authors claim, is simply outmoded. The authors argue that laboratory research should be complemented by everyday experimentation pursued in the real world, and they describe various modes of cooperation between the two. They explore a range of concrete examples of hybrid forums that have dealt with sociotechnical controversies including nuclear waste disposal in France, industrial waste and birth defects in Japan, a childhood leukemia cluster in Woburn, Massachusetts, and mad cow disease in the United Kingdom. The authors discuss the implications for political decision making in general and describe a “dialogic” democracy that enriches traditional representative democracy. To invent new procedures for consultation and representation, they suggest, is to contribute to an endless process that is necessary for the ongoing democratization of democracy.

Picturing the Uncertain World

Author : Howard Wainer
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400832896
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the Uncertain World by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Picturing the Uncertain World written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his entertaining and informative book Graphic Discovery, Howard Wainer unlocked the power of graphical display to make complex problems clear. Now he's back with Picturing the Uncertain World, a book that explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse sampling of graphical display, from heartrending autobiographical displays of genocide in the Kovno ghetto to the "Pie Chart of Mystery" in a New Yorker cartoon, Wainer illustrates the many ways graphs can be used--and misused--as we try to make sense of an uncertain world. Picturing the Uncertain World takes readers on an extraordinary graphical adventure, revealing how the visual communication of data offers answers to vexing questions yet also highlights the measure of uncertainty in almost everything we do. Are cancer rates higher or lower in rural communities? How can you know how much money to sock away for retirement when you don't know when you'll die? And where exactly did nineteenth-century novelists get their ideas? These are some of the fascinating questions Wainer invites readers to consider. Along the way he traces the origins and development of graphical display, from William Playfair, who pioneered the use of graphs in the eighteenth century, to instances today where the public has been misled through poorly designed graphs. We live in a world full of uncertainty, yet it is within our grasp to take its measure. Read Picturing the Uncertain World and learn how.

You Are What You Risk

Author : Michele Wucker
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1643136798
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (431 download)

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Book Synopsis You Are What You Risk by : Michele Wucker

Download or read book You Are What You Risk written by Michele Wucker and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The #1 international bestselling author of The Gray Rhino offers a bold new framework for understanding and re-shaping our relationship with risk and uncertainty to live more productive and successful lives. What drives a sixty-four-year-old woman to hurl herself over Niagara Falls in a barrel? Why do we often create bigger risks than the risks we try to avoid? Why are corporate boards newly worried about risky personal behavior by CEOs? Why are some nations quicker than others to recognize and manage risks like pandemics, technological change, and climate crisis? The answers define each person, organization, and society as distinctively as a fingerprint. Understanding the often-surprising origins of these risk fingerprints can open your eyes, inspire new habits, catalyze innovation and creativity, improve teamwork, and provide a beacon in a world that seems suddenly more uncertain than ever. How you see risk and what you do about it depend on your personality and experiences. How you make these cost-benefit calculations depend on your culture, your values, the people in the room, and even unexpected things like what you’ve eaten recently, the temperature, the music playing, or the fragrance in the air. Being alert to these often-unconscious influences will help you to seize opportunity and avoid danger. You Are What You Risk is a clarion call for an entirely new conversation about our relationship with risk and uncertainty. In this ground-breaking, accessible and eminently timely book, Michele Wucker examines why it’s so important to understand your risk fingerprint and how to make your risk relationship work better in business, life, and the world. Drawing on compelling risk stories around the world and weaving in economics, anthropology, sociology, and psychology research, Wucker bridges the divide between professional and lay risk conversations. She challenges stereotypes about risk attitudes, re-frames how gender and risk are related, and shines new light on generational differences. She shows how the new science of “risk personality” is re-shaping business and finance, how healthy risk ecosystems support economies and societies, and why embracing risk empathy can resolve conflicts. Wucker shares insights, practical tools, and proven strategies that will help you to understand what makes you who you are –and, in turn, to make better choices, both big and small.

Knowledge in an Uncertain World

Author : Jeremy Fantl
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019955062X
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Knowledge in an Uncertain World by : Jeremy Fantl

Download or read book Knowledge in an Uncertain World written by Jeremy Fantl and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2009-11-05 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study explores the relation between knowledge, reasons and justification. It argues that you can rely on what you know, since what you know can be a reason you have and you can rely on your reasons. But the assumption that knowledge allows for a chance of error makes this a controversial position in epistemology.

Public Policy in an Uncertain World

Author : Charles F. Manski
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674067541
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Policy in an Uncertain World by : Charles F. Manski

Download or read book Public Policy in an Uncertain World written by Charles F. Manski and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2013-02-14 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Manski argues that public policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. Failing to account for uncertainty in an uncertain world, policy analysis routinely misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Manski critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve both how policy research is conducted and how it is used by policy makers.

Quantum Legacies

Author : David Kaiser
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022681999X
Total Pages : 357 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantum Legacies by : David Kaiser

Download or read book Quantum Legacies written by David Kaiser and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-06-16 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Physicists have grappled with quantum theory for over a century. They have learned to wring precise answers from the theory's governing equations, and no experiment to date has found compelling evidence to contradict it. Even so, the conceptual apparatus remains stubbornly, famously bizarre. Physicists have tackled these conceptual uncertainties while navigating still larger ones: the rise of fascism, cataclysmic world wars and a new nuclear age, an unsteady Cold War stand-off and its unexpected end. Quantum Legacies introduces readers to physics' still-unfolding quest by treating iconic moments of discovery and debate among well-known figures like Albert Einstein, Erwin Schrèodinger, and Stephen Hawking, and many others whose contributions have indelibly shaped our understanding of nature"--

Is the Temperature Rising?

Author : S. George Philander
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691050348
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis Is the Temperature Rising? by : S. George Philander

Download or read book Is the Temperature Rising? written by S. George Philander and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In explaining why there is no consensus on whether global warming is real or a myth based on misleading data, Philander "guides the nonscientific reader through new ideas about the remarkable and intricate factors that determine the world's climate."--Jacket.

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

Author : Reid Hastie
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412959039
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2010 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

The Laws of Medicine

Author : Siddhartha Mukherjee
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 147678485X
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (767 download)

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Book Synopsis The Laws of Medicine by : Siddhartha Mukherjee

Download or read book The Laws of Medicine written by Siddhartha Mukherjee and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2015-10-13 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essential, required reading for doctors and patients alike: A Pulitzer Prize-winning author and one of the world’s premiere cancer researchers reveals an urgent philosophy on the little-known principles that govern medicine—and how understanding these principles can empower us all. Over a decade ago, when Siddhartha Mukherjee was a young, exhausted, and isolated medical resident, he discovered a book that would forever change the way he understood the medical profession. The book, The Youngest Science, forced Dr. Mukherjee to ask himself an urgent, fundamental question: Is medicine a “science”? Sciences must have laws—statements of truth based on repeated experiments that describe some universal attribute of nature. But does medicine have laws like other sciences? Dr. Mukherjee has spent his career pondering this question—a question that would ultimately produce some of most serious thinking he would do around the tenets of his discipline—culminating in The Laws of Medicine. In this important treatise, he investigates the most perplexing and illuminating cases of his career that ultimately led him to identify the three key principles that govern medicine. Brimming with fascinating historical details and modern medical wonders, this important book is a fascinating glimpse into the struggles and Eureka! moments that people outside of the medical profession rarely see. Written with Dr. Mukherjee’s signature eloquence and passionate prose, The Laws of Medicine is a critical read, not just for those in the medical profession, but for everyone who is moved to better understand how their health and well-being is being treated. Ultimately, this book lays the groundwork for a new way of understanding medicine, now and into the future.

Community Development in an Uncertain World

Author : Jim Ife
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107543363
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis Community Development in an Uncertain World by : Jim Ife

Download or read book Community Development in an Uncertain World written by Jim Ife and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-09-20 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Community Development in an Uncertain World is an essential resource for students and professionals in the human services.

Independent Thinking in an Uncertain World

Author : Valerie A. Brown
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429760876
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (297 download)

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Book Synopsis Independent Thinking in an Uncertain World by : Valerie A. Brown

Download or read book Independent Thinking in an Uncertain World written by Valerie A. Brown and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-04-29 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Any effective response to an uncertain future will require independently thinking individuals working together. Human ideas and actions have led to unprecedented changes in the relationships among humans, and between humans and the Earth. Changes in the air we breathe, the water we drink and the energy we use are evidence of Nature – which has no special interest in sustaining human life – looking out for itself. Even the evolutionary context for humans has altered. Evolutionary pressures from the digital communication revolution have been added to those from natural systems. For humans to meet these challenges requires social re-organisation that is neither simple nor easy. Independent Thinking in an Uncertain World explores workable, field-tested strategies from the frontiers of creating a viable future for humans on Earth. Based on research results from hundreds of social learning workshops with communities worldwide, many of them part of Australian National University’s Local Sustainability Project, authors with diverse interests explore the gap between open-minded individual thinking and closed socially defined knowledges. The multiple dimensions of individual, social and biophysical ways of thinking are combined in ways that allow open-minded individuals to learn from one another.

Rationality In An Uncertain World

Author : Nick Chater
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1135471754
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (354 download)

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Book Synopsis Rationality In An Uncertain World by : Nick Chater

Download or read book Rationality In An Uncertain World written by Nick Chater and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this work focus on problems with logic-based approaches to human reasoning, showing how a probablistic approach can provide a more psychologically plausible, computationally viable and philosophically respectable account of human

Uncertain Knowledge

Author : Riki G. A. Dolby
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521892629
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Knowledge by : Riki G. A. Dolby

Download or read book Uncertain Knowledge written by Riki G. A. Dolby and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-04-18 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the image of science in the modern world.

Sustainable Thinking

Author : Rebekkah Smith Aldrich
Publisher : American Library Association
ISBN 13 : 0838916953
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (389 download)

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Book Synopsis Sustainable Thinking by : Rebekkah Smith Aldrich

Download or read book Sustainable Thinking written by Rebekkah Smith Aldrich and published by American Library Association. This book was released on 2018-01-29 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book will show you how to harness sustainable thinking to move forward with confidence into the unknown.

In an Uncertain World

Author : Robert Rubin
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 0375757309
Total Pages : 463 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis In an Uncertain World by : Robert Rubin

Download or read book In an Uncertain World written by Robert Rubin and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2004-09-07 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period in the global economy; it also captured the essence of Rubin himself--short on formality, quick to get into the nitty-gritty. From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World, Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy. Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events. With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.