Picturing the Uncertain World

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400832896
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the Uncertain World by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Picturing the Uncertain World written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his entertaining and informative book Graphic Discovery, Howard Wainer unlocked the power of graphical display to make complex problems clear. Now he's back with Picturing the Uncertain World, a book that explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse sampling of graphical display, from heartrending autobiographical displays of genocide in the Kovno ghetto to the "Pie Chart of Mystery" in a New Yorker cartoon, Wainer illustrates the many ways graphs can be used--and misused--as we try to make sense of an uncertain world. Picturing the Uncertain World takes readers on an extraordinary graphical adventure, revealing how the visual communication of data offers answers to vexing questions yet also highlights the measure of uncertainty in almost everything we do. Are cancer rates higher or lower in rural communities? How can you know how much money to sock away for retirement when you don't know when you'll die? And where exactly did nineteenth-century novelists get their ideas? These are some of the fascinating questions Wainer invites readers to consider. Along the way he traces the origins and development of graphical display, from William Playfair, who pioneered the use of graphs in the eighteenth century, to instances today where the public has been misled through poorly designed graphs. We live in a world full of uncertainty, yet it is within our grasp to take its measure. Read Picturing the Uncertain World and learn how.

Acting in an Uncertain World

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262515962
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Acting in an Uncertain World by : Michel Callon

Download or read book Acting in an Uncertain World written by Michel Callon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-01-21 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A call for a new form of democracy in which “hybrid forums” composed of experts and laypeople address such sociotechnical controversies as hazardous waste, genetically modified organisms, and nanotechnology. Controversies over such issues as nuclear waste, genetically modified organisms, asbestos, tobacco, gene therapy, avian flu, and cell phone towers arise almost daily as rapid scientific and technological advances create uncertainty and bring about unforeseen concerns. The authors of Acting in an Uncertain World argue that political institutions must be expanded and improved to manage these controversies, to transform them into productive conversations, and to bring about “technical democracy.” They show how “hybrid forums”—in which experts, non-experts, ordinary citizens, and politicians come together—reveal the limits of traditional delegative democracies, in which decisions are made by quasi-professional politicians and techno-scientific information is the domain of specialists in laboratories. The division between professionals and laypeople, the authors claim, is simply outmoded. The authors argue that laboratory research should be complemented by everyday experimentation pursued in the real world, and they describe various modes of cooperation between the two. They explore a range of concrete examples of hybrid forums that have dealt with sociotechnical controversies including nuclear waste disposal in France, industrial waste and birth defects in Japan, a childhood leukemia cluster in Woburn, Massachusetts, and mad cow disease in the United Kingdom. The authors discuss the implications for political decision making in general and describe a “dialogic” democracy that enriches traditional representative democracy. To invent new procedures for consultation and representation, they suggest, is to contribute to an endless process that is necessary for the ongoing democratization of democracy.

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

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Author :
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412959039
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2010 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

Uneducated Guesses

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400839572
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Uneducated Guesses by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Uneducated Guesses written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-08 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What statistical evidence shows us about our misguided educational policies Uneducated Guesses challenges everything our policymakers thought they knew about education and education reform, from how to close the achievement gap in public schools to admission standards for top universities. In this explosive book, Howard Wainer uses statistical evidence to show why some of the most widely held beliefs in education today—and the policies that have resulted—are wrong. He shows why colleges that make the SAT optional for applicants end up with underperforming students and inflated national rankings, and why the push to substitute achievement tests for aptitude tests makes no sense. Wainer challenges the thinking behind the enormous rise of advanced placement courses in high schools, and demonstrates why assessing teachers based on how well their students perform on tests—a central pillar of recent education reforms—is woefully misguided. He explains why college rankings are often lacking in hard evidence, why essay questions on tests disadvantage women, why the most grievous errors in education testing are not made by testing organizations—and much more. No one concerned about seeing our children achieve their full potential can afford to ignore this book. With forceful storytelling, wry insight, and a wealth of real-world examples, Uneducated Guesses exposes today's educational policies to the light of empirical evidence, and offers solutions for fairer and more viable future policies.

Picturing the World

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Publisher : State University of New York Press
ISBN 13 : 9781438404103
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the World by : John C. Gilmour

Download or read book Picturing the World written by John C. Gilmour and published by State University of New York Press. This book was released on 1985-11-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientists are portrayed as champions of objectivity and truth, and artists as champions of subjectivity and creative expression. Through analysis of modern art, John C. Gilmour shows how misleading is this separation of the world into objective and subjective spheres. This false dichotomy depends upon a dated philosophy of mind. The issues posed are developed from the ideas of Nietzche, Heidegger, Merleau-Ponty, Gadamer, Ricoeur, Wittgenstein, Rorty, Dewey, and Whitehead. Picturing the World requires us to reconceive the role of the artist in the creative process and the role of the arts in general.

Picturing the Face of Jesus

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Publisher : Abingdon Press
ISBN 13 : 1426729405
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (267 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the Face of Jesus by : Beth Booram

Download or read book Picturing the Face of Jesus written by Beth Booram and published by Abingdon Press. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For many who identify themselves as Christians, Jesus has never become experientially personal or real. Countless others who have faithfully followed Christ confess to a spiritual dryness and lack of joy. These individuals are weary and unmoved by the plethora of information about Jesus. What they long for is an experience with Jesus. Picturing the Face of Jesus is an invitation to experience Christ more deeply. Through a rich palette of experiential media—art contemplation, gospel story-telling, and imaginative prayer—the reader is invited to picture the face of Jesus, his expressive, one-of-a-kind, human face. As a result, Jesus will become a real person with whom they candidly relate, instead of a hero they merely admire. Through this encounter, their own hearts will be transformed as they begin to reflect the face of Christ to others.

Twenty-one Mental Models That Can Change Policing

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000402754
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Twenty-one Mental Models That Can Change Policing by : Renée J. Mitchell

Download or read book Twenty-one Mental Models That Can Change Policing written by Renée J. Mitchell and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-09-16 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book goes beyond other police leadership books to teach practitioners how to think about policing in a structured way that synthesizes criminological theory, statistics, research design, applied research, and what works and what doesn’t in policing into Mental Models. A Mental Model is a representation of how something works. Using a Mental Model framework to simplify complex concepts, readers will take away an in-depth understanding of how cognitive biases affect our ability to understand and interpret data, what empirical research says about effective police interventions, how statistical data should be structured for management meetings, and how to evaluate interventions for efficiency and effectiveness. While evidence-based practice is critical to advancing the police profession, it is limited in scope, and is only part of what is necessary to support sustainable change in policing. Policing requires a scientifically based framework to understand and interpret data in a way that minimizes cognitive bias to allow for better responses to complex problems. Data and research have advanced so rapidly in the last several decades that it is difficult for even the most ambitious of police leaders to keep pace. The Twenty-one Mental Models were synthesized to create a framework for any police, public, or community leader to better understand how cognitive bias contributes to misunderstanding data and gives the reader the tools to overcome those biases to better serve their communities. The book is intended for a wide range of audiences, including law enforcement and community leaders; scholars and policy experts who specialize in policing; students of criminal justice, organizations, and management; reporters and journalists; individuals who aspire to police careers; and citizen consumers of information about policing. Anyone who is going to make decisions about their communities based on data has a responsibility to be numerate and this book Twenty-one Mental Models That Can Change Policing: A Framework For Using Data and Research For Overcoming Cognitive Bias, will help you become just that.

Mapping AIDS

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108425771
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Mapping AIDS by : Lukas Engelmann

Download or read book Mapping AIDS written by Lukas Engelmann and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-11-08 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offers an innovative study of visual traditions in modern medical history through debates about the causes, impact and spread of AIDS.

Graphic Discovery

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691134057
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Graphic Discovery by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Graphic Discovery written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2007-10-21 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Good graphs make complex problems clear. From the weather forecast to the Dow Jones average, graphs are so ubiquitous today that it is hard to imagine a world without them. Yet they are a modern invention. This book is the first to comprehensively plot humankind's fascinating efforts to visualize data, from a key seventeenth-century precursor--England's plague-driven initiative to register vital statistics--right up to the latest advances. In a highly readable, richly illustrated story of invention and inventor that mixes science and politics, intrigue and scandal, revolution and shopping, Howard Wainer validates Thoreau's observation that circumstantial evidence can be quite convincing, as when you find a trout in the milk. The story really begins with the eighteenth-century origins of the art, logic, and methods of data display, which emerged, full-grown, in William Playfair's landmark 1786 trade atlas of England and Wales. The remarkable Scot singlehandedly popularized the atheoretical plotting of data to reveal suggestive patterns--an achievement that foretold the graphic explosion of the nineteenth century, with atlases published across the observational sciences as the language of science moved from words to pictures. Next come succinct chapters illustrating the uses and abuses of this marvelous invention more recently, from a murder trial in Connecticut to the Vietnam War's effect on college admissions. Finally Wainer examines the great twentieth-century polymath John Wilder Tukey's vision of future graphic displays and the resultant methods--methods poised to help us make sense of the torrent of data in our information-laden world.

The Success Equation

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Publisher : Harvard Business Press
ISBN 13 : 1422184234
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (221 download)

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Book Synopsis The Success Equation by : Michael J. Mauboussin

Download or read book The Success Equation written by Michael J. Mauboussin and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this provocative book, Michael Mauboussin offers the structure needed to analyze the relative importance of skill and luck, offering concrete suggestions for making these insights work to your advantage by making better decisions.

Sound, Image, Silence

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452960909
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Sound, Image, Silence by : Michael Gaudio

Download or read book Sound, Image, Silence written by Michael Gaudio and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 2019-11-26 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A visionary new approach to the Americas during the age of colonization, made by engaging with the aural aspects of supposedly “silent” images Colonial depictions of the North and South American landscape and its indigenous inhabitants fundamentally transformed the European imagination—but how did those images reach Europe, and how did they make their impact? In Sound, Image, Silence, noted art historian Michael Gaudio provides a groundbreaking examination of the colonial Americas by exploring the special role that aural imagination played in visible representations of the New World. Considering a diverse body of images that cover four hundred years of Atlantic history, Sound, Image, Silence addresses an important need within art history: to give hearing its due as a sense that can inform our understanding of images. Gaudio locates the noise of the pagan dance, the discord of battle, the din of revivalist religion, and the sublime sounds of nature in the Americas, such as lightning, thunder, and the waterfall. He invites readers to listen to visual media that seem deceptively couched in silence, offering bold new ideas on how art historians can engage with sound in inherently “mute” media. Sound, Image, Silence includes readings of Brazilian landscapes by the Dutch painter Frans Post, a London portrait of Benjamin Franklin, Thomas Edison’s early Kinetoscope film Sioux Ghost Dance, and the work of Thomas Cole, founder of the Hudson River School of American landscape painting. It masterfully fuses a diversity of work across vast social, cultural, and spatial distances, giving us both a new way of understanding sound in art and a powerful new vision of the New World.

The Image of the City

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262620017
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Image of the City by : Kevin Lynch

Download or read book The Image of the City written by Kevin Lynch and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1964-06-15 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classic work on the evaluation of city form. What does the city's form actually mean to the people who live there? What can the city planner do to make the city's image more vivid and memorable to the city dweller? To answer these questions, Mr. Lynch, supported by studies of Los Angeles, Boston, and Jersey City, formulates a new criterion—imageability—and shows its potential value as a guide for the building and rebuilding of cities. The wide scope of this study leads to an original and vital method for the evaluation of city form. The architect, the planner, and certainly the city dweller will all want to read this book.

Principles of Risk Analysis

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429667612
Total Pages : 816 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Risk Analysis by : Charles Yoe

Download or read book Principles of Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-01-30 with total page 816 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In every decision problem there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis science uses the best available evidence to assess what we know while it is carefully intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we do not know in the evaluation of decision choices and decision outcomes. The field of risk analysis science continues to expand and grow and the second edition of Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty responds to this evolution with several significant changes. The language has been updated and expanded throughout the text and the book features several new areas of expansion including five new chapters. The book’s simple and straightforward style—based on the author’s decades of experience as a risk analyst, trainer, and educator—strips away the mysterious aura that often accompanies risk analysis. Features: Details the tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication in a straightforward, conceptual manner Provides sufficient detail to empower professionals in any discipline to become risk practitioners Expands the risk management emphasis with a new chapter to serve private industry and a growing public sector interest in the growing practice of enterprise risk management Describes dozens of quantitative and qualitative risk assessment tools in a new chapter Practical guidance and ideas for using risk science to improve decisions and their outcomes is found in a new chapter on decision making under uncertainty Practical methods for helping risk professionals to tell their risk story are the focus of a new chapter Features an expanded set of examples of the risk process that demonstrate the growing applications of risk analysis As before, this book continues to appeal to professionals who want to learn and apply risk science in their own professions as well as students preparing for professional careers. This book remains a discipline free guide to the principles of risk analysis that is accessible to all interested practitioners. Files used in the creation of this book and additional exercises as well as a free student version of Palisade Corporation’s Decision Tools Suite software are available with the purchase of this book. A less detailed introduction to the risk analysis science tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication is found in Primer of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition, ISBN: 978-1-138-31228-9.

Blogwars

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780199719341
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Blogwars by : David D. Perlmutter

Download or read book Blogwars written by David D. Perlmutter and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2008-03-07 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political blogs have grown astronomically in the last half-decade. In just one month in 2005, for example, popular blog DailyKos received more unique visitors than the population of Iowa and New Hampshire combined. But how much political impact do bloggers really have? In Blogwars, David D. Perlmutter examines this rapidly burgeoning phenomenon, exploring the degree to which blogs influence--or fail to influence--American political life. Challenging the hype, Perlmutter points out that blogs are not that powerful by traditional political measures: while bloggers can offer cogent and convincing arguments and bring before their readers information not readily available elsewhere, they have no financial, moral, social, or cultural leverage to compel readers to engage in any particular political behavior. Indeed, blogs have scored mixed results in their past political crusades. But in the end, Perlmutter argues that blogs, in their wide dissemination of information and opinions, actually serve to improve democracy and enrich political culture. He highlights a number of the particularly noteworthy blogs from the specialty to the superblog-including popular sites such as Daily Kos, The Huffington Post, Powerlineblog, Instapundit, and Talking Points Memo--and shows how blogs are becoming part of the tool kit of political professionals, from presidential candidates to advertising consultants. While the political future may be uncertain, it will not be unblogged. For many Internet users, blogs are the news and editorial sites of record, replacing traditional newspapers, magazines, and television news programs. Blogwars offers the first full examination of this new and controversial force on America's political landscape.

The Starry Sky Within

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199686963
Total Pages : 313 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis The Starry Sky Within by : Anna Henchman

Download or read book The Starry Sky Within written by Anna Henchman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2014-02 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Starry Sky Within is an innovative study of previously unexplored connections between nineteenth-century astronomy and British literature. Nineteenth-century astronomers revealed a staggeringly mobile world extending far beyond the scope of human vision and Henchman examines how this discovery inspired the novelists of the day.

The Numbers Game

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 9781592404230
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis The Numbers Game by : Michael Blastland

Download or read book The Numbers Game written by Michael Blastland and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2009 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numbers saturate the news, politics, and life. The average person can use basic knowledge and common sense to put the never-ending onslaught of facts and figures in their proper place.

Design for Information

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 1592538061
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Design for Information by : Isabel Meirelles

Download or read book Design for Information written by Isabel Meirelles and published by . This book was released on 2013-10 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Design for Information provides a series of visualizations that are analyzed for their design principles and methods. This book provides critical and analytical tools that benefit the design process.