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The Macroeconomic Returns Of Investment In Resilience To Natural Disasters Under Climate Change A Dsge Approach
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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Returns of Investment in Resilience to Natural Disasters Under Climate Change: A DSGE Approach by : Emilio Fernández Corugedo
Download or read book The Macroeconomic Returns of Investment in Resilience to Natural Disasters Under Climate Change: A DSGE Approach written by Emilio Fernández Corugedo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-30 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a Markov switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed to evaluate the macroeconomic return of adaptation investment to natural disasters (NDs) and the impact of climate change. While the model follows the existing literature in assuming that NDs destroy a share of the public and private capital stocks and a government that can invest in adaptation at an additional cost, it adds several features that are key to the analysis, both in the near (transition) and long (steady state) terms. Those include incomplete markets, financial frictions with collateral constraints, foreign remittances, full menu of tax and government spending instruments, and endogenous climate risk premium. The model is calibrated to the case of Dominica. It finds that NDs have large and persistent negative effects on output and public finances. It also shows that adaptation investment has large returns in terms of private investment, employment, output and tax revenue in the long term, especially under climate change.
Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Returns of Investment in Resilience to Natural Disasters under Climate Change by : Emilio Fernandez Corugedo
Download or read book The Macroeconomic Returns of Investment in Resilience to Natural Disasters under Climate Change written by Emilio Fernandez Corugedo and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific by : Ezequiel Cabezon
Download or read book Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific written by Ezequiel Cabezon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-19 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Natural disasters and climate change are interrelated macro-critical issues affecting all Pacific small states to varying degrees. In addition to their devastating human costs, these events damage growth prospects and worsen countries’ fiscal positions. This is the first cross-country IMF study assessing the impact of natural disasters on growth in the Pacific islands as a group. A panel VAR analysis suggests that, for damage and losses equivalent to 1 percent of GDP, growth drops by 0.7 percentage point in the year of the disaster. We also find that, during 1980-2014, trend growth was 0.7 percentage point lower than it would have been without natural disasters. The paper also discusses a multi-pillar framework to enhance resilience to natural disasters at the national, regional, and multilateral levels and the importance of enhancing countries’ risk-management capacities. It highlights how this approach can provide a more strategic and less ad hoc framework for strengthening both ex ante and ex post resilience and what role the IMF can play.
Book Synopsis Small States Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Small States Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Small developing states are disproportionately vulnerable to natural disasters. On average, the annual cost of disasters for small states is nearly 2 percent of GDP—more than four times that for larger countries. This reflects a higher frequency of disasters, adjusted for land area, as well as greater vulnerability to severe disasters. About 9 percent of disasters in small states involve damage of more than 30 percent of GDP, compared to less than 1 percent for larger states. Greater exposure to disasters has important macroeconomic effects on small states, resulting in lower investment, lower GDP per capita, higher poverty, and a more volatile revenue base.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Outcomes in Disaster-Prone Countries by : Mr.Alessandro Cantelmo
Download or read book Macroeconomic Outcomes in Disaster-Prone Countries written by Mr.Alessandro Cantelmo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-11 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, we study the channels through which natural disaster shocks affect macroeconomic outcomes and welfare in disaster-prone countries. We solve the model using Taylor projection, a solution method that is shown to deal effectively with high-impact weather shocks calibrated in accordance to empirical evidence. We find large and persistent effects of weather shocks that significantly impact the income convergence path of disaster-prone countries. Relative to non-disaster-prone countries, on average, these shocks cause a welfare loss equivalent to a permanent fall in consumption of 1.6 percent. Welfare gains to countries that self-finance investments in resilient public infrastructure are found to be negligible, and international aid has to be sizable to achieve significant welfare gains. In addition, it is more cost-effective for donors to contribute to the financing of resilience before the realization of disasters, rather than disbursing aid after their realization.
Book Synopsis Policy Trade-Offs in Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: The Case of St. Lucia by : Alessandro Cantelmo
Download or read book Policy Trade-Offs in Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: The Case of St. Lucia written by Alessandro Cantelmo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resilience to climate change and natural disasters hinges on two fundamental elements: financial protection —insurance and self-insurance— and structural protection —investment in adaptation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to the St. Lucia’s economy, this paper shows that both strategies considerably reduce the output loss from natural disasters and studies the conditions under which each of the two strategies provides the best protection. While structural protection normally delivers a larger payoff because of its direct dampening effect on the cost of disasters, financial protection is superior when liquidity constraints limit the ability of the government to rebuild public capital promptly. The estimated trade-off is very sensitive to the efficiency of public investment.
Book Synopsis Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States by : Ricardo Marto
Download or read book Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States written by Ricardo Marto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters. In addition to permanent damages to public and private capital, the disaster causes temporary losses of productivity, inefficiencies during the reconstruction process, and damages to the sovereign's creditworthiness. We use the model to study the debt sustainability concerns that arise from the need to rebuild public infrastructure over the medium term and analyze the feasibility of ex ante policies, such as building adaptation infrastructure and fiscal buffers, and contrast these policies with the post-disaster support provided by donors. Investing in resilient infrastructure may prove useful, in particular if it is viewed as complementary to standard infrastructure, because it raises the marginal product of private capital, crowding in private investment, while helping withstand the impact of the natural disaster. In an application to Vanuatu, we find that donors should provide an additional 50% of pre-cyclone GDP in grants to be spent over the following 15 years to ensure public debt remains sustainable following Cyclone Pam. Helping the government build resilience on the other hand, reduces the risk of debt distress and at lower cost for donors.
Book Synopsis Natural Disasters and Climate Change by : Stéphane Hallegatte
Download or read book Natural Disasters and Climate Change written by Stéphane Hallegatte and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-17 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores economic concepts related to disaster losses, describes mechanisms that determine the economic consequences of a disaster, and reviews methodologies for making decisions regarding risk management and adaptation. The author addresses the need for better understanding of the consequences of disasters and reviews and analyzes three scientific debates on linkage between disaster risk management and adaptation to climate change. The first involves the existence and magnitude of long-term economic impact of natural disasters on development. The second is the disagreement over whether any development is the proper solution to high vulnerability to disaster risk. The third debate involves the difficulty of drawing connections between natural disasters and climate change and the challenge in managing them through an integrated strategy. The introduction describes economic views of disaster, including direct and indirect costs, output and welfare losses, and use of econometric tools to measure losses. The next section defines disaster risk, delineates between “good” and “bad” risk-taking, and discusses a pathway to balanced growth. A section entitled “Trends in Hazards and the Role of Climate Change” sets scenarios for climate change analysis, discusses statistical and physical models for downscaling global climate scenarios to extreme event scenarios, and considers how to consider extremes of hot and cold, storms, wind, drought and flood. Another section analyzes case studies on hurricanes and the US coastline; sea-level rises and storm surge in Copenhagen; and heavy precipitation in Mumbai. A section on Methodologies for disaster risk management includes a study on cost-benefit analysis of coastal protections in New Orleans, and one on early-warning systems in developing countries. The next section outlines decision-making in disaster risk management, including robust decision-making, No-regret and No-risk strategies; and strategies that reduce time horizons for decision-making. Among the conclusions is the assertion that risk management policies must recognize the benefits of risk-taking and avoid suppressing it entirely. The main message is that a combination of disaster-risk-reduction, resilience-building and adaptation policies can yield large potential gains and synergies.
Book Synopsis Realising the 'Triple Dividend of Resilience' by : Swenja Surminski
Download or read book Realising the 'Triple Dividend of Resilience' written by Swenja Surminski and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-25 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why aren’t we investing more in disaster resilience, despite the rising costs of disaster events? This book argues that decision-makers in governments, businesses, households, and development agencies tend to focus on avoiding losses from disasters, and perceive the return on investment as uncertain – only realised if a somewhat unlikely disaster event actually happens. This book develops a new business case for investment based on the multiple dividends of resilience. This looks beyond only avoided losses (the first dividend) to the wider benefits gained independently of whether or not the disaster event occurs. These include unleashing entrepreneurial activities and productive investments by lowering the looming threat of losses from disasters and enabling businesses, farmers and homeowners to take positive risks (the second dividend); and co-benefits of resilience measures beyond just disaster risk (the third dividend), such as flood embankments in Bangladesh that double as roads, or wetlands in Colombo that reduce urban heat extremes.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Climate-Resilient Development by : Sam Fankhauser
Download or read book The Economics of Climate-Resilient Development written by Sam Fankhauser and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some climate change is now inevitable and strategies to adapt to these changes are quickly developing. The question is particularly paramount for low-income countries, which are likely to be most affected. This timely and unique book takes an integrated look at the twin challenges of climate change and development. The book treats adaptation to climate change as an issue of climate-resilient development, rather than as a bespoke set of activities (flood defences, drought plans, and so on), combining climate and development challenges into a single strategy. It asks how the standard approaches to development need to change, and what socio-economic trends and urbanisation mean for the vulnerability of developing countries to climate risks. Combining conceptual thinking with practical policy prescriptions and experience the contributors argue that, to address these questions, climate risk has to be embedded fully into wider development strategies
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Risk Management Against Natural Disasters by : Stefan Hochrainer
Download or read book Macroeconomic Risk Management Against Natural Disasters written by Stefan Hochrainer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stefan Hochrainer develops a catastrophe risk management model. It illustrates which trade-offs and choices a country must make in managing economic risks due to natural disasters. Budgetary resources are allocated to pre-disaster risk management strategies to reduce the probability of financing gaps. The framework and model approach allows cross country comparisons as well as the assessment of financial vulnerability, macroeconomic risk, and risk management strategies. Three case studies demonstrate its flexibility and coherent approach.
Book Synopsis Economics of Natural Disasters and Climate Change by : Derya Dogan
Download or read book Economics of Natural Disasters and Climate Change written by Derya Dogan and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Economics - Macro-economics, general, grade: 1,3, University of Wuppertal (Schumpeter School of Business and economics), course: VWL, Makroökonomie, language: English, abstract: During past centuries, natural disasters occurred more often in our environment and caused more serious damage worldwide. The Hurricane Irene in the Caribbean and the USA, the floods in Australia, the earthquake in New Zealand and especially in Japan in 2011 had enormous extends concerning the caused loss and damages in the specific regions. Within the past four decades, the frequency of large natural disasters raised three times more. Furthermore, the economic losses - after adjusting for inflation – increased even eight times more compared to the past decades. This also has a great impact on the insurance industry, since the insured losses increase even in a larger amount compared to other factors affected by natural disasters. However, the insurance industry uses in spite of these unfavorable loss trends, a wide range of coverage against disasters such as Cat Bonds to transfer the disaster risk, and to avoid unnecessary expenses. Climate change also plays a big role in the frequently occurring amount of disasters. Since it is still hard to estimate the impacts of future climate changes for the frequency and intensity of natural disasters with its huge losses, new policies such as Green Growth have been introduced for mitigation effects. The purpose of this thesis is to represent and describe the economics of natural disasters due to climate change with its macroeconomic aspects and structural effects. While demonstrating the impacts on natural disasters to a region’s economy, it is important to know that many other factors are linked with natural disasters that have an effect on a region’s economy. Therefore, after defining the important terms in the first section of this thesis, the scope and costs of natural disasters will be illustrated in chapter 2 for a better demonstration of the disaster events impacts in general. This will start by describing the reasons for climate change to demonstrate in the latter the increasing number of disaster appearances due to the effects of climate change. Different regions will be considered within this analysis, whereas in the following sections only the regions which are economically vulnerable to natural disasters will be taken into account to illustrate the costs of natural disasters........
Book Synopsis Policy Trade-offs in Building Resilience to Natural Disasters by :
Download or read book Policy Trade-offs in Building Resilience to Natural Disasters written by and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resilience to climate change and natural disasters hinges on two fundamental elements: financial protection —insurance and self-insurance— and structural protection —investment in adaptation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to the St. Lucia’s economy, this paper shows that both strategies considerably reduce the output loss from natural disasters and studies the conditions under which each of the two strategies provides the best protection. While structural protection normally delivers a larger payoff because of its direct dampening effect on the cost of disasters, financial protection is superior when liquidity constraints limit the ability of the government to rebuild public capital promptly. The estimated trade-off is very sensitive to the efficiency of public investment.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Natural Disasters by : Mark Skidmore
Download or read book The Economics of Natural Disasters written by Mark Skidmore and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2017-06-30 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely new collection presents essential readings for those interested in the economics of natural disasters. It features influential articles on the macroeconomic and regional impacts of natural disasters, natural disaster vulnerability, resilience, recovery and adaptation. Topics covered include short-run and long-run economic impacts, poverty and vulnerability, emerging life-saving technologies, the role of government in fostering resilience and adaptation in response to disasters. Together with an original introduction by the editor, this volume will be an invaluable source of reference for researchers and policymakers alike.
Book Synopsis Towards Climate Resilience and Neutrality in Latin America and the Caribbean Key Policy Priorities by : OECD
Download or read book Towards Climate Resilience and Neutrality in Latin America and the Caribbean Key Policy Priorities written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2023-10-06 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report identifies LAC countries’ main climate change policy priorities, which were discussed through a series of Regional Policy Dialogues and Expert Workshops and complements these with findings of recent analyses by the OECD and other international partners. It explores issues related to their implementation on climate adaptation, mitigation, and cross-cutting policy areas.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :22 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Belize by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Belize written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-05-15 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Belize: Selected Issues
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :42 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Peru by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Peru written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-05-21 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Peru: Selected Issues
