Small States Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498345093
Total Pages : 99 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Small States Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Small States Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Small developing states are disproportionately vulnerable to natural disasters. On average, the annual cost of disasters for small states is nearly 2 percent of GDP—more than four times that for larger countries. This reflects a higher frequency of disasters, adjusted for land area, as well as greater vulnerability to severe disasters. About 9 percent of disasters in small states involve damage of more than 30 percent of GDP, compared to less than 1 percent for larger states. Greater exposure to disasters has important macroeconomic effects on small states, resulting in lower investment, lower GDP per capita, higher poverty, and a more volatile revenue base.

Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513577077
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific by : Ezequiel Cabezon

Download or read book Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific written by Ezequiel Cabezon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-19 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Natural disasters and climate change are interrelated macro-critical issues affecting all Pacific small states to varying degrees. In addition to their devastating human costs, these events damage growth prospects and worsen countries’ fiscal positions. This is the first cross-country IMF study assessing the impact of natural disasters on growth in the Pacific islands as a group. A panel VAR analysis suggests that, for damage and losses equivalent to 1 percent of GDP, growth drops by 0.7 percentage point in the year of the disaster. We also find that, during 1980-2014, trend growth was 0.7 percentage point lower than it would have been without natural disasters. The paper also discusses a multi-pillar framework to enhance resilience to natural disasters at the national, regional, and multilateral levels and the importance of enhancing countries’ risk-management capacities. It highlights how this approach can provide a more strategic and less ad hoc framework for strengthening both ex ante and ex post resilience and what role the IMF can play.

The Economic Impact of Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries: Adaptation and Preparedness

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356381
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic Impact of Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries: Adaptation and Preparedness by : Dongyeol Lee

Download or read book The Economic Impact of Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries: Adaptation and Preparedness written by Dongyeol Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pacific island countries are highly vulnerable to various natural disasters which are destructive, unpredictable and occur frequently. The frequency and scale of these shocks heightens the importance of medium-term economic and fiscal planning to minimize the adverse impact of disasters on economic development. This paper identifies the intensity of natural disasters for each country in the Pacific based on the distribution of damage and population affected by disasters, and estimates the impact of disasters on economic growth and international trade using a panel regression. The results show that “severe” disasters have a significant and negative impact on economic growth and lead to a deterioration of the fiscal and trade balance. We also find that the negative impact on growth is stronger for more intense disasters. Going further this paper proposes a simple and consistent method to adjust IMF staff’s economic projections and debt sustainability analysis for disaster shocks for the Pacific islands. Better incorporating the economic impact of natural disasters in the medium- and long-term economic planning would help policy makers improve fiscal policy decisions and to be better adapted and prepared for natural disasters.

Building Resilience in Developing Countries Vulnerable to Large Natural Disasters

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149832102X
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Resilience in Developing Countries Vulnerable to Large Natural Disasters by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Building Resilience in Developing Countries Vulnerable to Large Natural Disasters written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-26 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses how countries vulnerable to natural disasters can reduce the associated human and economic cost. Building on earlier work by IMF staff, the paper views disaster risk management through the lens of a three-pillar strategy for building structural, financial, and post-disaster (including social) resilience. A coherent disaster resilience strategy, based on a diagnostic of risks and cost-effective responses, can provide a road map for how to tackle disaster related vulnerabilities. It can also help mobilize much-needed support from the international community.

Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484326296
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States by : Ricardo Marto

Download or read book Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States written by Ricardo Marto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters. In addition to permanent damages to public and private capital, the disaster causes temporary losses of productivity, inefficiencies during the reconstruction process, and damages to the sovereign's creditworthiness. We use the model to study the debt sustainability concerns that arise from the need to rebuild public infrastructure over the medium term and analyze the feasibility of ex ante policies, such as building adaptation infrastructure and fiscal buffers, and contrast these policies with the post-disaster support provided by donors. Investing in resilient infrastructure may prove useful, in particular if it is viewed as complementary to standard infrastructure, because it raises the marginal product of private capital, crowding in private investment, while helping withstand the impact of the natural disaster. In an application to Vanuatu, we find that donors should provide an additional 50% of pre-cyclone GDP in grants to be spent over the following 15 years to ensure public debt remains sustainable following Cyclone Pam. Helping the government build resilience on the other hand, reduces the risk of debt distress and at lower cost for donors.

Seychelles

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484304802
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Seychelles by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Seychelles written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-20 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of Seychelles’ plans to manage climate change, from the perspective of its macroeconomic implications. It suggests macro-relevant reforms that could strengthen the plans’ likelihood of success. It highlights high public awareness and a body of existing sustainable development planning, which puts Seychelles several steps ahead toward preparedness. Next steps would be to ensure that climate change planning is integrated with the forthcoming National Development Plan. Disaster preparedness is a relatively strong point, but there is much still to be done—from improving warning systems to resilience building to contingency financing.

Unleashing Growth and Strengthening Resilience in the Caribbean

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484315197
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Unleashing Growth and Strengthening Resilience in the Caribbean by : Mr.Krishna Srinivasan

Download or read book Unleashing Growth and Strengthening Resilience in the Caribbean written by Mr.Krishna Srinivasan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-13 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a diagnosis of the central economic and financial challenges facing Caribbean policymakers and offers broad policy recommendations for promoting a sustained and inclusive increase in economic well-being. The analysis highlights the need for Caribbean economies to make a concerted effort to break the feedback loops between weak macroeconomic fundamentals, notably pertaining to fiscal positions and financial sector strains, and structural impediments, such as high electricity costs, limited financial deepening, violent crime, and brain drain, which have depressed private investment and growth. A recurring theme in the book is the need for greater regional coordination in finding solutions to address the Caribbean’s shared and intertwined macroeconomic and structural challenges. The analysis suggests that strengthening regional and global market integration of Caribbean economies would provide an impetus to sustained growth in incomes and jobs. Greater regional and global economic integration would also facilitate structural transformation and a shift toward new economic activities, resulting in more diversified and less vulnerable economies. A central challenge for the Caribbean is thus to come together as a region, overcome the limitations posed by size, and garner the benefits of globalization. Efforts should build on existing regional arrangements; accelerating progress in implementing these agreements would stimulate trade. Policymakers could also promote deeper integration with Latin America and the rest of the world by pursuing new trade agreements, leveraging current agreements more effectively, or deepening them to include areas beyond traditional trade issues, and developing port and transport infrastructure.

Tonga

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513548794
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Tonga by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Download or read book Tonga written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tonga is one of the world’s most exposed countries to climate change and natural disasters. It suffered the highest loss from natural disasters in the world (as a ratio to GDP) in 2018 and is among the top five over the last decade (Table 1). Climate change will make this worse. Cyclones will become more intense, with more damage from wind and sea surges. Rising sea levels will cause more flooding, coastal erosion and contaminate fresh water. Daily high temperatures will become more extreme, with more severe floods and drought.

Climate and Disaster Resilience Financing in Small Island Developing States

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Author :
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264266917
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate and Disaster Resilience Financing in Small Island Developing States by : OECD

Download or read book Climate and Disaster Resilience Financing in Small Island Developing States written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2016-11-10 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Storms, hurricanes, and cyclones have been a feature of life on Small Island Developing States (SIDS) for centuries. But climate change is now increasing the intensity of these disasters, as well as creating new developmental challenges - like rising sea levels and increasing ocean acidity - ...

Excerpt: Resilience and Growth in the Small States of the Pacific

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484319834
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Excerpt: Resilience and Growth in the Small States of the Pacific by : Hoe Ee Khor

Download or read book Excerpt: Resilience and Growth in the Small States of the Pacific written by Hoe Ee Khor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-07 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a prepublication excerpt of Resilience and Growth in the Small States of the Pacific.

Large Natural Disasters--Enhancing the Financial Safety Net for Developing Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498346839
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Large Natural Disasters--Enhancing the Financial Safety Net for Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Large Natural Disasters--Enhancing the Financial Safety Net for Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-15 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) and Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) are valuable components of the disaster risk financing tool kit for Fund members, especially developing countries. They help to meet urgent balance of payments needs, and are designed to play a catalytic role in mobilizing other external financing. This paper develops proposals for a higher annual access limit under the RCF and RFI, building on a November 2016 staff paper on small states’ resilience to natural disasters and climate change (IMF, 2016c). Directors generally supported the proposal in that paper to establish higher annual access limits of 60 percent of quota under the RCF and RFI for countries experiencing severe natural disaster-related damages. The focus of this paper is to specify the threshold of damage from a natural disaster that would allow members experiencing urgent balance of payments needs arising from such disasters to access emergency financing at the higher annual limit. In the November 2016 paper, staff proposed, among other things, the possibility of establishing a higher access limit under the RCF and RFI where the amount of damage reached the threshold of 30 percent of GDP. Most Directors regarded the proposed threshold of disaster damage as overly restrictive, and suggested lowering the threshold to 20 percent of GDP or lower, provided that this did not jeopardize the self-sustainability of the PRGT. For a range of future disaster outcomes, a damage threshold of 20 percent of GDP could increase projected annual average PRGT loan demand in the 1-5 percent range over the next decade, which should not pose significant risks to the robustness of PRGT self-sustainability. Cautious stewardship of PRGT resources argues against a lower disaster damage threshold, pending further experience with disaster trends and associated PRGT loan demand. This paper does not propose changes to the current cumulative access limits for the RCF and RFI. The cumulative access limits play an important role in the Fund’s financing architecture, constraining the extent to which countries can access Fund resources without implementing a Fund-supported program with upper credit tranche (UCT) conditionality and associated policies in circumstances where such a program would be more appropriate. The Board will have the opportunity to review the cumulative access limits in the context

Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals in Small Developing States with Climate Vulnerabilities: Cost and Financing

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513571575
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals in Small Developing States with Climate Vulnerabilities: Cost and Financing by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals in Small Developing States with Climate Vulnerabilities: Cost and Financing written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-05 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Small Developing States (SDS) face substantial challenges in achieving sustainable development. Many of these challenges relate to the small size and limited diversification of their economies. SDS are also among the most vulnerable countries to the impact of climate change and natural disasters. Meeting SDS sustainable development goals goes hand-in-hand with building their climate resilience. But the additional costs to meet development and resilience objectives are substantial and difficult to finance. This work adapts the IMF SDG Costing methodology to capture the unique characteristics and challenges of climate-vulnerable SDS. It also zooms into financing options, estimating domestic tax potential and discussing the possibility of accessing ‘climate funds.’

Dominica: Disaster Resilience Strategy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151358846X
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominica: Disaster Resilience Strategy by : International Monetary

Download or read book Dominica: Disaster Resilience Strategy written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-08-12 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dominica is among the countries most vulnerable to natural disasters and climate change. During 1997-2017, it was the country with highest GDP losses to climate-related natural disasters and ranked in the top 10 percent among 182 countries for climate-related fatalities. Following a huge devastation, owing to back-to-back major storms in 2015 and 2017, Dominica announced its intention to become the first disaster resilient nation. In 2019, it was agreed with the government that the Fund, in consultation and collaboration with other development partners, would provide support for preparing a Disaster Resilience Strategy (DRS), a comprehensive plan including policies, cost, and financing to build resilience against natural disasters.

Natural Disasters

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475512716
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Disasters by : Ms.Nicole Laframboise

Download or read book Natural Disasters written by Ms.Nicole Laframboise and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-10-09 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters and presents the IMF’s role in assisting countries coping with natural catastrophes. Focusing on seven country cases, the paper describes the emergency financing, policy support, and technical assistance provided by the Fund to help governments put together a policy response or build a macro framework to lay the foundation for recovery and/or unlock other external financing. The literature and experience suggests there are ways to strengthen policy frameworks to increase resilience to natural disaster shocks, including identifying the risks and probability of natural disasters and integrating them more explicitly into macro frame-works, increasing flexibility within fiscal frameworks, and improving coordination amongst international partners ex post and ex ante.

A Possible Approach to Fiscal Rules in Small Islands — Incorporating Natural Disasters and Climate Change

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513511041
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis A Possible Approach to Fiscal Rules in Small Islands — Incorporating Natural Disasters and Climate Change by : Ryota Nakatani

Download or read book A Possible Approach to Fiscal Rules in Small Islands — Incorporating Natural Disasters and Climate Change written by Ryota Nakatani and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-09-06 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A big challenge for the economic development of small island countries is dealing with external shocks. The Pacific Islands are vulnerable to natural disasters, climate change, commodity price changes, and uncertain donor grants. The question that arises is how should small developing countries formulate a fiscal policy to achieve economic stability and fiscal sustainability when prone to various shocks? We study how natural disasters affect long-term debt dynamics and propose fiscal policy rules that could help insulate the economy from such unexpected shocks. We propose fiscal rules to address these shocks and uncertainties using the example of Papua New Guinea. Our study finds the advantages of expenditure rules, especially a recurrent expenditure rule based on non-resource and non-grant revenue, interdependently determined by government debt and budget balance targets with expected disaster shocks. This paper contributes to the literature and policy dialogue by theoretically analyzing the impact of natural disasters on debt sustainability and proposing fiscal rules against natural disasters and climate changes. Our fiscal policy framework is practically applicable for many developing countries facing increasing frequency and impact of natural disasters and climate change. Our rules-based fiscal framework is crucial for sustainable and countercyclical macroeconomic policies to build resilience against devastating natural hazards.

Strengthening Disaster Resilience in Small States

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Publisher : Commonwealth Secretariat
ISBN 13 : 1849291896
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (492 download)

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Book Synopsis Strengthening Disaster Resilience in Small States by : Wonderful Hope Khonje

Download or read book Strengthening Disaster Resilience in Small States written by Wonderful Hope Khonje and published by Commonwealth Secretariat. This book was released on 2019-10-07 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strengthening Disaster Resilience in Small States: Commonwealth Perspectives offers timely and expert analysis of differentiated exposure of small states to natural disasters, including an examination of specific interventions for strengthening small states’ resilience to this phenomenon

Unbreakable

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464810044
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Unbreakable by : Stephane Hallegatte

Download or read book Unbreakable written by Stephane Hallegatte and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2016-11-24 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Economic losses from natural disasters totaled $92 billion in 2015.' Such statements, all too commonplace, assess the severity of disasters by no other measure than the damage inflicted on buildings, infrastructure, and agricultural production. But $1 in losses does not mean the same thing to a rich person that it does to a poor person; the gravity of a $92 billion loss depends on who experiences it. By focusing on aggregate losses—the traditional approach to disaster risk—we restrict our consideration to how disasters affect those wealthy enough to have assets to lose in the first place, and largely ignore the plight of poor people. This report moves beyond asset and production losses and shifts its attention to how natural disasters affect people’s well-being. Disasters are far greater threats to well-being than traditional estimates suggest. This approach provides a more nuanced view of natural disasters than usual reporting, and a perspective that takes fuller account of poor people’s vulnerabilities. Poor people suffer only a fraction of economic losses caused by disasters, but they bear the brunt of their consequences. Understanding the disproportionate vulnerability of poor people also makes the case for setting new intervention priorities to lessen the impact of natural disasters on the world’s poor, such as expanding financial inclusion, disaster risk and health insurance, social protection and adaptive safety nets, contingent finance and reserve funds, and universal access to early warning systems. Efforts to reduce disaster risk and poverty go hand in hand. Because disasters impoverish so many, disaster risk management is inseparable from poverty reduction policy, and vice versa. As climate change magnifies natural hazards, and because protection infrastructure alone cannot eliminate risk, a more resilient population has never been more critical to breaking the cycle of disaster-induced poverty.