The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan

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The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan

Author : Mr.Niklas J Westelius
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475569599
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan by : Mr.Niklas J Westelius

Download or read book The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan written by Mr.Niklas J Westelius and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-18 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is Japan’s aging and, more recently, declining population hampering growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting demographic and economic variation in prefectural data between 1990 and 2007, we find that aging of the working age population has had a significant negative impact on total factor productivity. Moreover, prefectures that aged at a faster pace experienced lower overall inflation, while prefectures with higher population growth experienced higher inflation. The results give strong support to the notion that demographic headwinds can have a non-trivial impact on total factor productivity and deflationary pressures.

Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan

Author : Mr.Fei Han
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484396235
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan by : Mr.Fei Han

Download or read book Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan written by Mr.Fei Han and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-15 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Japan’s aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on the natural rate by lowering trend potential growth. We also find that the negative impact has been increasing over time amid stronger demographic headwinds. These findings highlight the importance of boosting potential growth to offset the negative demographic impact and lift the natural rate in Japan.

Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan

Author : Mr.Fei Han
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781498301206
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan by : Mr.Fei Han

Download or read book Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan written by Mr.Fei Han and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Korea’s Challenges Ahead—Lessons from Japan’s Experience

Author : Ms.Edda Zoli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475568894
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Korea’s Challenges Ahead—Lessons from Japan’s Experience by : Ms.Edda Zoli

Download or read book Korea’s Challenges Ahead—Lessons from Japan’s Experience written by Ms.Edda Zoli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-18 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper draws out the parallels between Korea and Japan in terms of demographics, potential growth, balance sheets, asset prices and inflation. Korea’s demographic trends seem to track Japan’s with a lag of about 20 years. Low productivity in the service sector and labor market duality are common to both countries and need to be addressed with structural reforms. While Korea’s corporate balance sheets are stronger than Japan’s in the early 1990s, Korea needs to progress with the restructuring of nonviable firms to avoid the adverse consequences of delayed balance-sheet repair that Japan experienced. Given its strong fiscal balance sheet position, Korea can afford using fiscal policy actively to incentivize corporate restructuring and structural reforms and cushion their possible short-term adverse impact. Korea can prevent bubbles in asset prices that were at the origin of Japan’s initial crisis with the continued use of macroprudential policies. Although Korea does not appear to be headed toward deflation, new econometric analysis presented in the paper suggests that aging will exert a downward drag on its inflation going forward.

The Great Demographic Reversal

Author : Charles Goodhart
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030426572
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Demographic Reversal by : Charles Goodhart

Download or read book The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-08 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.

Japan

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475522525
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Japan by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Japan written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-02 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper discusses the findings of the IMF staff research focusing on labor market dynamics, economic growth, the financial sector, private investment, and monetary policy in Japan. Japan’s labor market has fared relatively well considering the occasional substantial output losses, with unemployment remaining low. Although Japan’s employment responsiveness to the cyclical position has been relatively low, it has been rising over time reflecting the higher share of the nonregular workforce. The lower employment response to output compared with other countries during the Great Recession reflects the quick implementation of an employment subsidy program, a more flexible wage system, and strong employment protection.

Global Productivity

Author : Alistair Dieppe
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464816093
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Productivity by : Alistair Dieppe

Download or read book Global Productivity written by Alistair Dieppe and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-06-09 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic struck the global economy after a decade that featured a broad-based slowdown in productivity growth. Global Productivity: Trends, Drivers, and Policies presents the first comprehensive analysis of the evolution and drivers of productivity growth, examines the effects of COVID-19 on productivity, and discusses a wide range of policies needed to rekindle productivity growth. The book also provides a far-reaching data set of multiple measures of productivity for up to 164 advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies, and it introduces a new sectoral database of productivity. The World Bank has created an extraordinary book on productivity, covering a large group of countries and using a wide variety of data sources. There is an emphasis on emerging and developing economies, whereas the prior literature has concentrated on developed economies. The book seeks to understand growth patterns and quantify the role of (among other things) the reallocation of factors, technological change, and the impact of natural disasters, including the COVID-19 pandemic. This book is must-reading for specialists in emerging economies but also provides deep insights for anyone interested in economic growth and productivity. Martin Neil Baily Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution Former Chair, U.S. President’s Council of Economic Advisers This is an important book at a critical time. As the book notes, global productivity growth had already been slowing prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and collapses with the pandemic. If we want an effective recovery, we have to understand what was driving these long-run trends. The book presents a novel global approach to examining the levels, growth rates, and drivers of productivity growth. For anyone wanting to understand or influence productivity growth, this is an essential read. Nicholas Bloom William D. Eberle Professor of Economics, Stanford University The COVID-19 pandemic hit a global economy that was already struggling with an adverse pre-existing condition—slow productivity growth. This extraordinarily valuable and timely book brings considerable new evidence that shows the broad-based, long-standing nature of the slowdown. It is comprehensive, with an exceptional focus on emerging market and developing economies. Importantly, it shows how severe disasters (of which COVID-19 is just the latest) typically harm productivity. There are no silver bullets, but the book suggests sensible strategies to improve growth prospects. John Fernald Schroders Chaired Professor of European Competitiveness and Reform and Professor of Economics, INSEAD

Japan’s Quiet Leadership

Author : Mireya Solis
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815739982
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis Japan’s Quiet Leadership by : Mireya Solis

Download or read book Japan’s Quiet Leadership written by Mireya Solis and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2023-08-14 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Japan’s Quiet Leadership provides a sweeping look at Japan’s domestic economic and political evolution, its economic statecraft, and the array of geopolitical challenges that have triggered a gradual but substantial shift in the country’s security profile.

Japan

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Japan by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Japan written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-05-13 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Japan: Selected Issues

The Demographic Dividend

Author : David Bloom
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833033735
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis The Demographic Dividend by : David Bloom

Download or read book The Demographic Dividend written by David Bloom and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003-02-13 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is long-standing debate on how population growth affects national economies. A new report from Population Matters examines the history of this debate and synthesizes current research on the topic. The authors, led by Harvard economist David Bloom, conclude that population age structure, more than size or growth per se, affects economic development, and that reducing high fertility can create opportunities for economic growth if the right kinds of educational, health, and labor-market policies are in place. The report also examines specific regions of the world and how their differing policy environments have affected the relationship between population change and economic development.

Demographics Unravelled

Author : Amlan Roy
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119799155
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographics Unravelled by : Amlan Roy

Download or read book Demographics Unravelled written by Amlan Roy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-12-29 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover what demographics can tell us about the economy, markets, and the future In Demographics Unravelled, renowned Macro-Demographics expert Amlan Roy delivers an insightful and timely exploration of the impact that "people characteristics" have on national economies. Considering factors like gender, race, migrant status, family background, and education, the author delves deeply into a subject that drives market behavior and economic variables, including growth, debt, inflation, employment, and productivity. These have national and international policy implications. In this one-of-a-kind book, you’ll discover: Why the study of demographics is the hidden key to understanding economic growth, asset prices, and capital flows How to use detailed demographics to forecast future scenarios in economics, socioeconomics, geopolitics, and the environment The short-, medium-, and long-term effects of consumer and worker behavior How understanding demographics is key to understanding health, pensions, migration, sustainability and social policies. It is intimately linked to the Sustainable Development Goals of the UN—Gender, Climate, Poverty and Inequality Perfect for institutional investors, insurance professionals, economists, and business leaders, Demographics Unravelled will also earn a place in the libraries of academics and students studying a variety of economic disciplines and seeking a one-stop and in-depth discussion of demographics-driven macroeconomic effects.

Sustaining Economic Growth in Asia

Author : Jeremie Cohen-Setton
Publisher : Peterson Institute for International Economics
ISBN 13 : 0881327344
Total Pages : 494 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Sustaining Economic Growth in Asia by : Jeremie Cohen-Setton

Download or read book Sustaining Economic Growth in Asia written by Jeremie Cohen-Setton and published by Peterson Institute for International Economics. This book was released on 2018-12-01 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic growth, inflation, and interest rates have declined in Asia, just as they have in the United States and Europe. This volume explores the relevance to several Asian economies of the diagnosis known as “secular stagnation.” Leading experts on the region discuss the fiscal and monetary policy challenges of reviving growth without generating domestic financial imbalances. The essays on innovation, demographics, spillovers, and various policy proposals are accompanied by case studies focusing on Japan, South Korea, China, India, and Indonesia.

Asian Economic Integration Report 2019/2020

Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292618571
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Economic Integration Report 2019/2020 by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Asian Economic Integration Report 2019/2020 written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Asian Economic Integration Report is an annual review of economic cooperation and integration that covers the 49 members of ADB in Asia and the Pacific. It documents progress made in trade and global value chains, cross-border investment, financial integration, the movement of people, and subregional cooperation. The theme chapter of this year’s report explores the potential of technology to boost productivity in aging economies. It also discusses how innovations can help turn demographic challenges into opportunities.

Extreme Economies

Author : Richard Davies
Publisher : Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN 13 : 1250170508
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Economies by : Richard Davies

Download or read book Extreme Economies written by Richard Davies and published by Farrar, Straus and Giroux. This book was released on 2020-01-14 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New Statesman best book of the year | New York Times Editors' Choice pick A Financial Times best economics book of 2019 An accessible, story-driven look at the future of the global economy, written by a leading expert To predict our future, we must look to the extremes. So argues the economist Richard Davies, who takes readers to the margins of the modern economy and beyond in his globe-trotting book. From a prison in rural Louisiana where inmates purchase drugs with prepaid cash cards to the poorest major city on earth, where residents buy clean water in plastic bags, from the world’s first digital state to a prefecture in Japan whose population is the oldest in the world, how these extreme economies function—most often well outside any official oversight—offers a glimpse of the forces that underlie human resilience, drive societies to failure, and will come to shape our collective future. While the people who inhabit these places have long been dismissed or ignored, Extreme Economies revives a foundational idea from medical science to turn the logic of modern economics on its head, arguing that the outlier economies are the place to learn about our own future. Whether following Punjabi migrants through the lawless Panamanian jungle or visiting a day-care for the elderly modeled after a casino, Davies brings a storyteller’s eye to places where the economy has been destroyed, distorted, and even turbocharged. In adapting to circumstances that would be unimaginable to most of us, the people he encounters along the way have helped to pioneer the economic infrastructure of the future. At once personal and keenly analytical, Extreme Economies is an epic travelogue for the age of global turbulence, shedding light on today’s most pressing economic questions.

Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth

Author : Adam S. Posen
Publisher : Peterson Institute for International Economics
ISBN 13 : 0881327328
Total Pages : 499 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth by : Adam S. Posen

Download or read book Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth written by Adam S. Posen and published by Peterson Institute for International Economics. This book was released on 2019-02-01 with total page 499 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Labor productivity growth in the United States and other advanced countries has slowed dramatically since the mid-2000s, a major factor in their economic stagnation and political turmoil. Economists have been debating the causes of the slowdown and possible remedies for some years. Unaddressed in this discussion is what happens if the slowdown is not reversed. In this volume, a dozen renowned scholars analyze the impact of sustained lower productivity growth on public finances, social protection, trade, capital flows, wages, inequality, and, ultimately, politics in the advanced industrial world. They conclude that slow productivity growth could lead to unpredictable and possibly dangerous new problems, aggravating inequality and increasing concentration of market power. Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth also proposes ways that countries can cope with these consequences.

Gone with the Headwinds

Author : Gustavo Adler
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475589824
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Gone with the Headwinds by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book Gone with the Headwinds written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-04-03 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: to come

Smaller Cities in a Shrinking World

Author : Alan Mallach
Publisher : Island Press
ISBN 13 : 1642832286
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Smaller Cities in a Shrinking World by : Alan Mallach

Download or read book Smaller Cities in a Shrinking World written by Alan Mallach and published by Island Press. This book was released on 2023-06-13 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past hundred years, the global motto has been “more, more, more” in terms of growth – of population, of the built environment, of human and financial capital, and of all manner of worldly goods. This was the reality as the world population boomed during the 1960s and 1970s. But reality is changing in front of our eyes. Growth is already slowing down, and according to the most sophisticated demographers, the earth’s population will begin to decline not hundreds of years from now, but within the lifetimes of many of the people now living on the planet. In Smaller Cities in a Shrinking World, urban policy expert Alan Mallach seeks to understand how declining population and economic growth, coupled with the other forces that will influence their fates, particularly climate change, will affect the world’s cities over the coming decades. What will it mean to have a world full of shrinking cities? Does it mean that they are doomed to decline in more ways than simply population numbers, or can we uncouple population decline from economic decay, abandoned buildings and impoverishment? Mallach has spent much of the last thirty or more years working in, looking at, thinking, and writing about shrinking cities—from Trenton, New Jersey, where he was director of housing and economic development, to other American cities like Detroit, Flint, and St. Louis, and from there to cities in Japan and Central and Eastern Europe. He has woven together his experience, research, and analysis in this fascinating, realistic yet hopeful look at how smaller, shrinking cities can thrive, despite the daunting challenges they face.