Testing Problems with Linear or Angular Inequality Constraints

Download Testing Problems with Linear or Angular Inequality Constraints PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461233925
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing Problems with Linear or Angular Inequality Constraints by : Johan C. Akkerboom

Download or read book Testing Problems with Linear or Angular Inequality Constraints written by Johan C. Akkerboom and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Represents a self-contained account of a new promising and generally applicable approach to a large class of one-sided testing problems, where the alternative is restricted by at least two linear inequalities. It highlights the geometrical structure of these problems. It gives guidance in the construction of a so-called Circular Likelihood Ratio (CLR) test, which is obtained if the linear inequalities, or polyhedral cone, are replaced by one suitable angular inequality, or circular cone. Such a test will often constitute a nice and easy-to-use compromise between the LR-test and a suitable linear test against the original alternative. The book treats both theory and practice of CLR-tests. For cases with up to 13 linear inequalities, it evaluates the power of CLR-tests, derives the most stringent CLR-test, and provides tables of critical values. It is of interest both to the specialist in order- restricted inference and to the statistical consultant in need of simple and powerful one-sided tests. Many examples are worked out for ANOVA, goodness-of-fit, and contingency table problems. Case studies are devoted to Mokken's one- dimensional scaling model, one-sided treatment comparison in a two-period crossover trial, and some real data ANOVA- layouts (biology and educational psychology).

Constrained Statistical Inference

Download Constrained Statistical Inference PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118165632
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Constrained Statistical Inference by : Mervyn J. Silvapulle

Download or read book Constrained Statistical Inference written by Mervyn J. Silvapulle and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-15 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date approach to understanding statistical inference Statistical inference is finding useful applications in numerous fields, from sociology and econometrics to biostatistics. This volume enables professionals in these and related fields to master the concepts of statistical inference under inequality constraints and to apply the theory to problems in a variety of areas. Constrained Statistical Inference: Order, Inequality, and Shape Constraints provides a unified and up-to-date treatment of the methodology. It clearly illustrates concepts with practical examples from a variety of fields, focusing on sociology, econometrics, and biostatistics. The authors also discuss a broad range of other inequality-constrained inference problems that do not fit well in the contemplated unified framework, providing a meaningful way for readers to comprehend methodological resolutions. Chapter coverage includes: Population means and isotonic regression Inequality-constrained tests on normal means Tests in general parametric models Likelihood and alternatives Analysis of categorical data Inference on monotone density function, unimodal density function, shape constraints, and DMRL functions Bayesian perspectives, including Stein’s Paradox, shrinkage estimation, and decision theory

Statistical Hypothesis Testing

Download Statistical Hypothesis Testing PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812814361
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Statistical Hypothesis Testing by : Ning-Zhong Shi

Download or read book Statistical Hypothesis Testing written by Ning-Zhong Shi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents up-to-date theory and methods of statistical hypothesis testing based on measure theory. The so-called statistical space is a measurable space adding a family of probability measures. Most topics in the book will be developed based on this term. The book includes some typical data sets, such as the relation between race and the death penalty verdict, the behavior of food intake of two kinds of Zucker rats, and the per capita income and expenditure in China during the 1978?2002 period. Emphasis is given to the process of finding appropriate statistical techniques and methods of evaluating these techniques.

Stochastic Networks

Download Stochastic Networks PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146124062X
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Stochastic Networks by : Paul Glasserman

Download or read book Stochastic Networks written by Paul Glasserman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two of the most exciting topics of current research in stochastic networks are the complementary subjects of stability and rare events - roughly, the former deals with the typical behavior of networks, and the latter with significant atypical behavior. Both are classical topics, of interest since the early days of queueing theory, that have experienced renewed interest mo tivated by new applications to emerging technologies. For example, new stability issues arise in the scheduling of multiple job classes in semiconduc tor manufacturing, the so-called "re-entrant lines;" and a prominent need for studying rare events is associated with the design of telecommunication systems using the new ATM (asynchronous transfer mode) technology so as to guarantee quality of service. The objective of this volume is hence to present a sample - by no means comprehensive - of recent research problems, methodologies, and results in these two exciting and burgeoning areas. The volume is organized in two parts, with the first part focusing on stability, and the second part on rare events. But it is impossible to draw sharp boundaries in a healthy field, and inevitably some articles touch on both issues and several develop links with other areas as well. Part I is concerned with the issue of stability in queueing networks.

Wavelets and Statistics

Download Wavelets and Statistics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461225442
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Wavelets and Statistics by : Anestis Antoniadis

Download or read book Wavelets and Statistics written by Anestis Antoniadis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite its short history, wavelet theory has found applications in a remarkable diversity of disciplines: mathematics, physics, numerical analysis, signal processing, probability theory and statistics. The abundance of intriguing and useful features enjoyed by wavelet and wavelet packed transforms has led to their application to a wide range of statistical and signal processing problems. On November 16-18, 1994, a conference on Wavelets and Statistics was held at Villard de Lans, France, organized by the Institute IMAG-LMC, Grenoble, France. The meeting was the 15th in the series of the Rencontres Pranco-Belges des 8tatisticiens and was attended by 74 mathematicians from 12 different countries. Following tradition, both theoretical statistical results and practical contributions of this active field of statistical research were presented. The editors and the local organizers hope that this volume reflects the broad spectrum of the conference. as it includes 21 articles contributed by specialists in various areas in this field. The material compiled is fairly wide in scope and ranges from the development of new tools for non parametric curve estimation to applied problems, such as detection of transients in signal processing and image segmentation. The articles are arranged in alphabetical order by author rather than subject matter. However, to help the reader, a subjective classification of the articles is provided at the end of the book. Several articles of this volume are directly or indirectly concerned with several as pects of wavelet-based function estimation and signal denoising.

Practical Nonparametric and Semiparametric Bayesian Statistics

Download Practical Nonparametric and Semiparametric Bayesian Statistics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461217326
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Practical Nonparametric and Semiparametric Bayesian Statistics by : Dipak D. Dey

Download or read book Practical Nonparametric and Semiparametric Bayesian Statistics written by Dipak D. Dey and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A compilation of original articles by Bayesian experts, this volume presents perspectives on recent developments on nonparametric and semiparametric methods in Bayesian statistics. The articles discuss how to conceptualize and develop Bayesian models using rich classes of nonparametric and semiparametric methods, how to use modern computational tools to summarize inferences, and how to apply these methodologies through the analysis of case studies.

Tools for Statistical Inference

Download Tools for Statistical Inference PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1468405101
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (684 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Tools for Statistical Inference by : Martin A. Tanner

Download or read book Tools for Statistical Inference written by Martin A. Tanner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: The purpose of the book under review is to give a survey of methods for the Bayesian or likelihood-based analysis of data. The author distinguishes between two types of methods: the observed data methods and the data augmentation ones. The observed data methods are applied directly to the likelihood or posterior density of the observed data. The data augmentation methods make use of the special "missing" data structure of the problem. They rely on an augmentation of the data which simplifies the likelihood or posterior density. #Zentralblatt für Mathematik#

Conditionally Specified Distributions

Download Conditionally Specified Distributions PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146122912X
Total Pages : 165 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Conditionally Specified Distributions by : Barry C. Arnold

Download or read book Conditionally Specified Distributions written by Barry C. Arnold and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of conditional specification is not new. It is likely that earlier investigators in this area were deterred by computational difficulties encountered in the analysis of data following con ditionally specified models. Readily available computing power has swept away that roadblock. A broad spectrum of new flexible models may now be added to the researcher's tool box. This mono graph provides a preliminary guide to these models. Further development of inferential techniques, especially those involving concomitant variables, is clearly called for. We are grateful for invaluable assistance in the preparation of this monograph. In Riverside, Carole Arnold made needed changes in grammer and punctuation and Peggy Franklin miraculously transformed minute hieroglyphics into immaculate typescript. In Santander, Agustin Manrique ex pertly transformed rough sketches into clear diagrams. Finally, we thank the University of Cantabria for financial support which made possible Barry C. Arnold's enjoyable and productive visit to S- tander during the initial stages of the project. Barry C. Arnold Riverside, California USA Enrique Castillo Jose Maria Sarabia Santander, Cantabria Spain January, 1991 Contents 1 Conditional Specification 1 1.1 Why? ............. ........ . 1 1.2 How may one specify a bivariate distribution? 2 1.3 Early work on conditional specification 4 1.4 Organization of this monograph . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 5 2 Basic Theorems 7 Compatible conditionals: The finite discrete case.

Statistical Inference for Spatial Poisson Processes

Download Statistical Inference for Spatial Poisson Processes PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461217067
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Statistical Inference for Spatial Poisson Processes by : Yu A. Kutoyants

Download or read book Statistical Inference for Spatial Poisson Processes written by Yu A. Kutoyants and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work is devoted to several problems of parametric (mainly) and nonparametric estimation through the observation of Poisson processes defined on general spaces. Poisson processes are quite popular in applied research and therefore they attract the attention of many statisticians. There are a lot of good books on point processes and many of them contain chapters devoted to statistical inference for general and partic ular models of processes. There are even chapters on statistical estimation problems for inhomogeneous Poisson processes in asymptotic statements. Nevertheless it seems that the asymptotic theory of estimation for nonlinear models of Poisson processes needs some development. Here nonlinear means the models of inhomogeneous Pois son processes with intensity function nonlinearly depending on unknown parameters. In such situations the estimators usually cannot be written in exact form and are given as solutions of some equations. However the models can be quite fruitful in en gineering problems and the existing computing algorithms are sufficiently powerful to calculate these estimators. Therefore the properties of estimators can be interesting too.

Nonparametric Statistics for Stochastic Processes

Download Nonparametric Statistics for Stochastic Processes PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461217180
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Nonparametric Statistics for Stochastic Processes by : D. Bosq

Download or read book Nonparametric Statistics for Stochastic Processes written by D. Bosq and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to the theory and applications of nonparametic functional estimation and prediction. Chapter 1 provides an overview of inequalities and limit theorems for strong mixing processes. Density and regression estimation in discrete time are studied in Chapter 2 and 3. The special rates of convergence which appear in continuous time are presented in Chapters 4 and 5. This second edition is extensively revised and it contains two new chapters. Chapter 6 discusses the surprising local time density estimator. Chapter 7 gives a detailed account of implementation of nonparametric method and practical examples in economics, finance and physics. Comarison with ARMA and ARCH methods shows the efficiency of nonparametric forecasting. The prerequisite is a knowledge of classical probability theory and statistics. Denis Bosq is Professor of Statistics at the Unviersity of Paris 6 (Pierre et Marie Curie). He is Editor-in-Chief of "Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes" and an editor of "Journal of Nonparametric Statistics". He is an elected member of the International Statistical Institute. He has published about 90 papers or works in nonparametric statistics and four books.

Latent Variable Modeling and Applications to Causality

Download Latent Variable Modeling and Applications to Causality PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146121842X
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Latent Variable Modeling and Applications to Causality by : Maia Berkane

Download or read book Latent Variable Modeling and Applications to Causality written by Maia Berkane and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume gathers refereed papers presented at the 1994 UCLA conference on "La tent Variable Modeling and Application to Causality. " The meeting was organized by the UCLA Interdivisional Program in Statistics with the purpose of bringing together a group of people who have done recent advanced work in this field. The papers in this volume are representative of a wide variety of disciplines in which the use of latent variable models is rapidly growing. The volume is divided into two broad sections. The first section covers Path Models and Causal Reasoning and the papers are innovations from contributors in disciplines not traditionally associated with behavioural sciences, (e. g. computer science with Judea Pearl and public health with James Robins). Also in this section are contri butions by Rod McDonald and Michael Sobel who have a more traditional approach to causal inference, generating from problems in behavioural sciences. The second section encompasses new approaches to questions of model selection with emphasis on factor analysis and time varying systems. Amemiya uses nonlinear factor analysis which has a higher order of complexity associated with the identifiability condi tions. Muthen studies longitudinal hierarchichal models with latent variables and treats the time vector as a variable rather than a level of hierarchy. Deleeuw extends exploratory factor analysis models by including time as a variable and allowing for discrete and ordi nal latent variables. Arminger looks at autoregressive structures and Bock treats factor analysis models for categorical data.

Exact Confidence Bounds when Sampling from Small Finite Universes

Download Exact Confidence Bounds when Sampling from Small Finite Universes PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146123140X
Total Pages : 446 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Exact Confidence Bounds when Sampling from Small Finite Universes by : Tommy Wright

Download or read book Exact Confidence Bounds when Sampling from Small Finite Universes written by Tommy Wright and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a very simple and fundamental concept· to much of probability and statistics that can be conveyed using the following problem. PROBLEM. Assume a finite set (universe) of N units where A of the units have a particular attribute. The value of N is known while the value of A is unknown. If a proper subset (sample) of size n is selected randomly and a of the units in the subset are observed to have the particular attribute, what can be said about the unknown value of A? The problem is not new and almost anyone can describe several situations where a particular problem could be presented in this setting. Some recent references with different focuses include Cochran (1977); Williams (1978); Hajek (1981); Stuart (1984); Cassel, Samdal, and Wretman (1977); and Johnson and Kotz (1977). We focus on confidence interval estimation of A. Several methods for exact confidence interval estimation of A exist (Buonaccorsi, 1987, and Peskun, 1990), and this volume presents the theory and an extensive Table for one of them. One of the important contributions in Neyman (1934) is a discussion of the meaning of confidence interval estimation and its relationship with hypothesis testing which we will call the Neyman Approach. In Chapter 3 and following Neyman's Approach for simple random sampling (without replacement), we present an elementary development of exact confidence interval estimation of A as a response to the specific problem cited above.

Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis

Download Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146123154X
Total Pages : 169 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis by : Masanobu Taniguchi

Download or read book Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis written by Masanobu Taniguchi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial basis of this book was a series of my research papers, that I listed in References. I have many people to thank for the book's existence. Regarding higher order asymptotic efficiency I thank Professors Kei Takeuchi and M. Akahira for their many comments. I used their concept of efficiency for time series analysis. During the summer of 1983, I had an opportunity to visit The Australian National University, and could elucidate the third-order asymptotics of some estimators. I express my sincere thanks to Professor E.J. Hannan for his warmest encouragement and kindness. Multivariate time series analysis seems an important topic. In 1986 I visited Center for Mul tivariate Analysis, University of Pittsburgh. I received a lot of impact from multivariate analysis, and applied many multivariate methods to the higher order asymptotic theory of vector time series. I am very grateful to the late Professor P.R. Krishnaiah for his cooperation and kindness. In Japan my research was mainly performed in Hiroshima University. There is a research group of statisticians who are interested in the asymptotic expansions in statistics. Throughout this book I often used the asymptotic expansion techniques. I thank all the members of this group, especially Professors Y. Fujikoshi and K. Maekawa foItheir helpful discussion. When I was a student of Osaka University I learned multivariate analysis and time series analysis from Professors Masashi Okamoto and T. Nagai, respectively. It is a pleasure to thank them for giving me much of research background.

Probability Towards 2000

Download Probability Towards 2000 PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461222249
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Probability Towards 2000 by : L. Accardi

Download or read book Probability Towards 2000 written by L. Accardi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Senior probabilists from around the world with widely differing specialities gave their visions of the state of their specialty, why they think it is important, and how they think it will develop in the new millenium. The volume includes papers given at a symposium at Columbia University in 1995, but papers from others not at the meeting were added to broaden the coverage of areas. All papers were refereed.

Discretization and MCMC Convergence Assessment

Download Discretization and MCMC Convergence Assessment PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461217164
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Discretization and MCMC Convergence Assessment by : Christian P. Robert

Download or read book Discretization and MCMC Convergence Assessment written by Christian P. Robert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The exponential increase in the use of MCMC methods and the corre sponding applications in domains of even higher complexity have caused a growing concern about the available convergence assessment methods and the realization that some of these methods were not reliable enough for all-purpose analyses. Some researchers have mainly focussed on the con vergence to stationarity and the estimation of rates of convergence, in rela tion with the eigenvalues of the transition kernel. This monograph adopts a different perspective by developing (supposedly) practical devices to assess the mixing behaviour of the chain under study and, more particularly, it proposes methods based on finite (state space) Markov chains which are obtained either through a discretization of the original Markov chain or through a duality principle relating a continuous state space Markov chain to another finite Markov chain, as in missing data or latent variable models. The motivation for the choice of finite state spaces is that, although the resulting control is cruder, in the sense that it can often monitor con vergence for the discretized version alone, it is also much stricter than alternative methods, since the tools available for finite Markov chains are universal and the resulting transition matrix can be estimated more accu rately. Moreover, while some setups impose a fixed finite state space, other allow for possible refinements in the discretization level and for consecutive improvements in the convergence monitoring.

Wavelets, Approximation, and Statistical Applications

Download Wavelets, Approximation, and Statistical Applications PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461222222
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Wavelets, Approximation, and Statistical Applications by : Wolfgang Härdle

Download or read book Wavelets, Approximation, and Statistical Applications written by Wolfgang Härdle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The mathematical theory of ondelettes (wavelets) was developed by Yves Meyer and many collaborators about 10 years ago. It was designed for ap proximation of possibly irregular functions and surfaces and was successfully applied in data compression, turbulence analysis, image and signal process ing. Five years ago wavelet theory progressively appeared to be a power ful framework for nonparametric statistical problems. Efficient computa tional implementations are beginning to surface in this second lustrum of the nineties. This book brings together these three main streams of wavelet theory. It presents the theory, discusses approximations and gives a variety of statistical applications. It is the aim of this text to introduce the novice in this field into the various aspects of wavelets. Wavelets require a highly interactive computing interface. We present therefore all applications with software code from an interactive statistical computing environment. Readers interested in theory and construction of wavelets will find here in a condensed form results that are somewhat scattered around in the research literature. A practioner will be able to use wavelets via the available software code. We hope therefore to address both theory and practice with this book and thus help to construct bridges between the different groups of scientists. This te. xt grew out of a French-German cooperation (Seminaire Paris Berlin, Seminar Berlin-Paris). This seminar brings together theoretical and applied statisticians from Berlin and Paris. This work originates in the first of these seminars organized in Garchy, Burgundy in 1994.

A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems

Download A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441986847
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems by : Eduardo M.R.A. Engel

Download or read book A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems written by Eduardo M.R.A. Engel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are many ways of introducing the concept of probability in classical, i. e, deter ministic, physics. This work is concerned with one approach, known as "the method of arbitrary funetionJ. " It was put forward by Poincare in 1896 and developed by Hopf in the 1930's. The idea is the following. There is always some uncertainty in our knowledge of both the initial conditions and the values of the physical constants that characterize the evolution of a physical system. A probability density may be used to describe this uncertainty. For many physical systems, dependence on the initial density washes away with time. Inthese cases, the system's position eventually converges to the same random variable, no matter what density is used to describe initial uncertainty. Hopf's results for the method of arbitrary functions are derived and extended in a unified fashion in these lecture notes. They include his work on dissipative systems subject to weak frictional forces. Most prominent among the problems he considers is his carnival wheel example, which is the first case where a probability distribution cannot be guessed from symmetry or other plausibility considerations, but has to be derived combining the actual physics with the method of arbitrary functions. Examples due to other authors, such as Poincare's law of small planets, Borel's billiards problem and Keller's coin tossing analysis are also studied using this framework. Finally, many new applications are presented.