Survival Under Uncertainty

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Survival under Uncertainty

Author : Dimitri Volchenkov
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319394215
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Survival under Uncertainty by : Dimitri Volchenkov

Download or read book Survival under Uncertainty written by Dimitri Volchenkov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces and studies a number of stochastic models of subsistence, communication, social evolution and political transition that will allow the reader to grasp the role of uncertainty as a fundamental property of our irreversible world. At the same time, it aims to bring about a more interdisciplinary and quantitative approach across very diverse fields of research in the humanities and social sciences. Through the examples treated in this work – including anthropology, demography, migration, geopolitics, management, and bioecology, among other things – evidence is gathered to show that volatile environments may change the rules of the evolutionary selection and dynamics of any social system, creating a situation of adaptive uncertainty, in particular, whenever the rate of change of the environment exceeds the rate of adaptation. Last but not least, it is hoped that this book will contribute to the understanding that inherent randomness can also be a great opportunity – for social systems and individuals alike – to help face the challenge of “survival under uncertainty”.

Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty

Author : Frederick Funston
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470617489
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty by : Frederick Funston

Download or read book Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty written by Frederick Funston and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-06-03 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new book to help senior executives and boards get smart about risk management The ability of businesses to survive and thrive often requires unconventional thinking and calculated risk taking. The key is to make the right decisions—even under the most risky, uncertain, and turbulent conditions. In the new book, Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty: Creating the Risk Intelligent Enterprise, authors Rick Funston and Steve Wagner suggest that effective risk taking is needed in order to innovate, stay competitive, and drive value creation. Based on their combined decades of experience as practitioners, consultants, and advisors to numerous business professionals throughout the world, Funston and Wagner discuss the adoption of 10 essential and practical skills, which will improve agility, resilience, and realize benefits: Challenging basic business assumptions can help identify "Black Swans" and provide first-mover advantage Defining the corporate risk appetite and risk tolerances can help reduce the risk of ruin. Anticipating potential causes of failure can improve chances of survival and success through improved preparedness. Factoring in velocity and momentum can improve speed of response and recovery. Verifying sources and the reliability of information can improve insights for decision making and thus decision quality. Taking a longer-term perspective can aid in identifying the potential unintended consequences of short-term decisions.

Managing Uncertainty

Author : Michel Syrett
Publisher : The Economist
ISBN 13 : 1610395131
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Uncertainty by : Michel Syrett

Download or read book Managing Uncertainty written by Michel Syrett and published by The Economist. This book was released on 2014-02-25 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. • Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business • Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty • Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Quinetiq, Philips, China Telecom, Ford, Apple, Shell, Glaxo SmithKline and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.

Surviving Uncertainty

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (254 download)

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Book Synopsis Surviving Uncertainty by :

Download or read book Surviving Uncertainty written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Conquering Uncertainty

Author : Theodore Modis
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN 13 : 9780070434059
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Conquering Uncertainty by : Theodore Modis

Download or read book Conquering Uncertainty written by Theodore Modis and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theorizing that business people can focus on the "big picture" by studying natural laws, this text evaluates what business leaders can and cannot do in response to the changes of "business seasons". Scientific methods are used in conjunction with the observation of natural laws to solve problems.

Living with Uncertainty and Still Enjoying Life

Author : Karen Kay Dunn M. A.
Publisher : WestBow Press
ISBN 13 : 9781512777208
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (772 download)

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Book Synopsis Living with Uncertainty and Still Enjoying Life by : Karen Kay Dunn M. A.

Download or read book Living with Uncertainty and Still Enjoying Life written by Karen Kay Dunn M. A. and published by WestBow Press. This book was released on 2017-04-28 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Karen Kay Dunn and her family were living a somewhat predictable life. They would plan future events with confidence and those events would usually occur as planned. Two words shook the very foundation of this family. Those words were "invasive melanoma." With the diagnosis of a cancer that is often referred to as, "the deadly skin cancer," nothing could be planned with confidence that it would take place as scheduled in the future. In fact, no future was assured for Karen. Karen and her family were experiencing a dramatic life change. They now found themselves adjusting to living with uncertainty, because they no longer knew what their future would look like. There are so many life situations that result in people needing to adjust themselves to living with uncertainty. Examples of these are coping with any significant loss, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, cancer, accidents with permanent injuries, death, alienation from loved ones, financial ruin, plus many other traumatic events. Living with uncertainty and still finding ways to enjoy life is an attainable goal! This book will familiarize you with some useful tools to bring peace and joy back despite enduring uninvited life circumstances. In this book, the reader is encouraged to overcome the devastating effects of a very painful life event by discovering a plan to accomplish that. It is helpful to both the person passing through the life crisis as well as family members and friends who are helping others. As a mental health therapist, Karen has dedicated her life to helping people successfully walk through traumatic life events. She carefully presents a lifeline to readers. Her professional accomplishments have earned her the honor of being listed in: Who's Who Among Students in American Universities and Colleges Who's Who in Medicine and Healthcare Who's Who Among Human Services Professionals Who's Who in the South and Southwest Who's Who in America Who's Who in the World Karen maintains an encouraging blog on her website,

Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty

Author : Frederick Funston
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781119205630
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (56 download)

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Book Synopsis Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty by : Frederick Funston

Download or read book Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty written by Frederick Funston and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new book to help senior executives and boards get smart about risk management. The ability of businesses to survive and thrive often requires unconventional thinking and calculated risk taking. The key is to make the right decisionseven under the most risky, uncertain, and turbulent conditions. In the new book, Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty: Creating the Risk Intelligent Enterprise, authors Rick Funston and Steve Wagner suggest that effective risk taking is needed in order to innovate, stay competitive, and drive value creation. Based on their combined decades of experience as pract.

Bankruptcy and Survival in Times of Economic Uncertainty

Author : Shafii A. Ndanusa MBA ACCA
Publisher : Xlibris Corporation
ISBN 13 : 1465383115
Total Pages : 91 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (653 download)

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Book Synopsis Bankruptcy and Survival in Times of Economic Uncertainty by : Shafii A. Ndanusa MBA ACCA

Download or read book Bankruptcy and Survival in Times of Economic Uncertainty written by Shafii A. Ndanusa MBA ACCA and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2011-11-21 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bankruptcy and Survival in times of Economic Uncertainty is a book about the potential impact of bankruptcies on individuals, households, businesses and nations. The effect of economic downturns on the mental and physical health of people is highlighted. The book traces the background history of economic crises beginning with the Great Depression to the looming European sovereign debt crisis. The second part focused on different dimensions of bankruptcy. The concluding part of the book presents a collection of five step tips for individuals, businesses and nation states as recommendations in the course of crafting an economic survival plan.

Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty

Author : Hans-Werner Sinn
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642615473
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (426 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty by : Hans-Werner Sinn

Download or read book Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Hans-Werner Sinn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fundamental Issues Involved Why do we need a theory of uncertainty? It is a fact that almost all man's economic decisions are made under conditions of uncertainty, but this fact alone does not provide a strong enough argument for making the effort necessary to generalize ordinary preference theory designed for a world of perfect certainty. In accordance with Occam's Razor, the mathematician may well welcome a generalization of assumptions even if it does not promise more than a restatement of known results. The economist, however, will only be well disposed towards making the effort if he can expect to achieve new insights and interesting results, for he is interested in the techniques necessary for the generalization only as means to an end, not as ends in themselves. A stronger reason for developing a theory of uncertainty, therefore, seems to be the fact that there are kinds of economic activities to which the non-stochastic preference theory has no access or has access only through highly artificial constructions. Such activities include portfolio decisions of wealth holders, speculation, and insurance. These will be considered in detail in the last chapter of the book. The main purpose of this book, however, is not to apply a theory of uncertainty to concrete economic problems, the purpose rather is to formulate such a theory.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030052524
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau

Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

The Uncertainty Mindset

Author : Vaughn Tan
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231551878
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis The Uncertainty Mindset by : Vaughn Tan

Download or read book The Uncertainty Mindset written by Vaughn Tan and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2020-07-28 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Innovation is how businesses stay ahead of the competition and adapt to market conditions that change in unpredictable and uncertain ways. In the first decade of the twenty-first century, high-end cuisine underwent a profound transformation. Once an industry that prioritized consistency and reliability, it turned into one where constant change was a competitive necessity. A top restaurant’s reputation and success have become so closely bound up with its ability to innovate that a new organizational form, the culinary research and development team, has emerged. The best of these R&D teams continually expand the frontiers of food—they invent a constant stream of new dishes, new cooking processes and methods, and even new ways of experiencing food. How do they achieve this nonstop novelty? And what can culinary research and development teach us about how organizations innovate? Vaughn Tan opens up the black box of elite culinary R&D to provide essential insights. Drawing on years of unprecedented access to the best and most influential culinary R&D teams in the world, he reveals how they exemplify what he calls the uncertainty mindset. Such a mindset intentionally incorporates uncertainty into organization design rather than simply trying to reduce risk. It changes how organizations hire, set goals, and motivate team members and leads organizations to work in highly unconventional ways. A revelatory look at the R&D kitchen, The Uncertainty Mindset upends conventional wisdom about how to organize for innovation and offers practical insights for businesses trying to become innovative and adaptable.

Completing the Forecast

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309180538
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Completing the Forecast by : National Research Council

Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Risk Intelligence

Author : Dylan Evans
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1451610912
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Intelligence by : Dylan Evans

Download or read book Risk Intelligence written by Dylan Evans and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author of Placebo: The Belief Effect draws on real-life examples and detailed research findings to counsel readers on how to make appropriate decisions based on accurate assessments of risk, revealing common flaws in human thinking processes that compromise personal judgment. 40,000 first printing.

A New Contract with the Middle Class

Author : Richard V. Reeves
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815739133
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)

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Book Synopsis A New Contract with the Middle Class by : Richard V. Reeves

Download or read book A New Contract with the Middle Class written by Richard V. Reeves and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A better future for the middle class is no longer an aspiration. It is a necessity. The disintegration of the American Dream is more visible than ever before. The understanding—the contract—that existed between individuals willing to work and contribute and a society willing to support those individuals when they needed it is falling apart. Now is the time to draft a new contract with America's middle class. One that rewards work and service, improves upward mobility, and reduces inequality. In A New Contract with the Middle Class Brookings senior fellows Isabel Sawhill and Richard Reeves outline the foundations of what that new contract should be, based on discussions they had across the country with middle-class Americans. Sawhill and Reeves' recommendations provide solutions to issues that came up time and time again in these conversations: money, time, relationships, health, and respect. Some of the bold recommendations included in A New Contract with the Middle Class: • Eliminate virtually all income taxes paid by the middle class. • Raise the minimum wage and subsidize wages below the median with a worker tax credit. • Offer scholarships for those who undertake at least a year of national service. • Ensure four weeks of paid leave per year. • Align school and working hours and boost child care to help working parents. America is only as strong as the American middle-class. A New Contract with the Middle Class proposes a new way forward.

Modeling and Management of Resources under Uncertainty

Author : Thomas L. Vincent
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642933653
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (429 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Management of Resources under Uncertainty by : Thomas L. Vincent

Download or read book Modeling and Management of Resources under Uncertainty written by Thomas L. Vincent and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This vol ume contains the proceedings of the second U. S. -Austral ia workshop on Renewable Resource Management held at the East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, December 9-12, 1985. The workshop was jointly sponsored by the National Science Foundation (USA) and the Department of Science and Technology (Austral ia) under the U. S. -Austral ia Cooperative Science Program. The objective of the workshop was to focus on problems associated with the management of renewable resource systems. A particular emphasis was given to methods for handling uncertain elements whieh are present in any real system. Toward this end, the partiei pants were chosen so that the collective expertise included mathematical modeling, dynamical control/game theory, ecology, and practical management of real systems. Each participant was invited to give an informal presentation in his field of expertise as related to the overall theme. The formal papers (contained in this vo 1 ume) were written after the workshop so that the authors coul d util ize the workshop experience in relating their own work to others. To further encourage this exchange, each paper contained in this volume was reviewed by two other participants who then wrote formal comments. These comments (with author's reply in some cases) are attached to the end of each paper.

Beyond Survival

Author : Barrett Williams
Publisher : Barrett Williams
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond Survival by : Barrett Williams

Download or read book Beyond Survival written by Barrett Williams and published by Barrett Williams. This book was released on 2024-04-22 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Announcing "Beyond Survival" the essential guide to preparing for, enduring, and prevailing over any apocalyptic scenario that fate might throw your way. In an unpredictable world, safety and security are not guaranteed. Whether facing the aftermath of natural disasters, the spread of disease, or the breakdown of societal structures, the key to not just surviving, but thriving, is preparedness. Imagine having a comprehensive manual that equips you to face such cataclysms with confidence. That's "Beyond Survival" your blueprint for building a future when the days seem bleakest. This resource delves deep into the heart of survivalism, extending beyond mere physical readiness to encompass the mental resilience and community fortitude necessary for long-term endurance. Each chapter invites you on a journey of mastery over the art of survival, from understanding the psychological impact of catastrophe to pioneering new frontiers in a changed world. Discover how to navigate through the chaos with chapters dedicated to the nuances of food security, water purification, shelter creation, and the ingenious methods of fortifying a place to call your own. Explore the intricate strategies for self-protection, the subtleties of establishing law and order, and the critical importance of maintaining health and medical preparedness in situations where professional care may no longer be accessible. In a world disconnected, communication becomes a lifeline. "Beyond Survival" offers invaluable insights into establishing contact with fellow survivors, bartering for necessities without the luxury of currency, and the underestimated power of leadership in a fledgling society. Witness a treasure trove of skill-building chapters structured to guide you through the essentials of navigating treacherous new environments, adapting to climate shifts, and passing on vital knowledge to ensure the survival of future generations. And for those who dare to look beyond the precipice, "Beyond Survival" provides visionary perspectives on restoring civilization and embracing an adaptive mindset for whatever unknowns the future presents. Step into a world of possibility. Secure your copy of "Beyond Survival" and embark on the ultimate journey of preparation and resilience. For it's not just about making it through the storm; it's about reshaping the world in the calm that follows. Your legacy of endurance awaits.

The Uncertainty Effect

Author : Michelle Lazarus
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781922633415
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (334 download)

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Book Synopsis The Uncertainty Effect by : Michelle Lazarus

Download or read book The Uncertainty Effect written by Michelle Lazarus and published by . This book was released on 2023-03-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an age of pandemic and economic precarity, how can we learn to embrace uncertainty in our workplaces, schools and businesses? And how can better understanding uncertainty help us to build resilience, foster social justice and deal with the big issues, such as climate change?Award-winning educator Michelle Lazarus shows us how uncertainty tolerance can help. From how teachers can prepare students for an uncertain workforce, to reducing burnout in trainee doctors, to confronting the effects of climate change, this smart, practical popular-science book has an affirming message: we may not be able to predict the future, but we can learn to navigate it. Drawing on Michelle' s original research, it will appeal to readers of Emily Ehler' s Hope is a Verb and Jonica Newby' s Beyond Climate Grief.