Summary Of Superforecasting Review Keypoints And Take Aways

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Summary of Superforecasting – [Review Keypoints and Take-aways]

Author : PenZen Summaries
Publisher : by Mocktime Publication
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Summary of Superforecasting – [Review Keypoints and Take-aways] by : PenZen Summaries

Download or read book Summary of Superforecasting – [Review Keypoints and Take-aways] written by PenZen Summaries and published by by Mocktime Publication. This book was released on 2022-11-29 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The summary of Superforecasting – The Art and Science of Prediction presented here include a short review of the book at the start followed by quick overview of main points and a list of important take-aways at the end of the summary. The Summary of The book "Superforecasting," published in 2015, details how to improve the accuracy of your forecasts, whether you're trying to anticipate shifts in the stock market, politics, or your day-to-day life. The book's findings are based on decades of research and the outcomes of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. Superforecasting summary includes the key points and important takeaways from the book Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. Disclaimer: 1. This summary is meant to preview and not to substitute the original book. 2. We recommend, for in-depth study purchase the excellent original book. 3. In this summary key points are rewritten and recreated and no part/text is directly taken or copied from original book. 4. If original author/publisher wants us to remove this summary, please contact us at [email protected].

Summary of Superforecasting

Author : InstaRead Summaries Staff
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781522758204
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (582 download)

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Book Synopsis Summary of Superforecasting by : InstaRead Summaries Staff

Download or read book Summary of Superforecasting written by InstaRead Summaries Staff and published by . This book was released on 2015-12-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and NOT the original book. Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting, and to study the people and conditions that create the most accurate forecasts... Inside this Instaread of Superforecasting: Overview of the book Important People Key Takeaways Analysis of Key Takeaways About the Author With Instaread, you can get the key takeaways and analysis of a book in 15 minutes. We read every chapter, identify the key takeaways and analyze them for your convenience.

Summary of Superforecasting

Author : Instaread
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781530127016
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (27 download)

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Book Synopsis Summary of Superforecasting by : Instaread

Download or read book Summary of Superforecasting written by Instaread and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-02-18 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and NOT the original book. Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting, and to study the people and conditions that create the most accurate forecasts... Inside this Instaread of Superforecasting: Overview of the book Important People Key Takeaways Analysis of Key Takeaways About the Author With Instaread, you can get the key takeaways and analysis of a book in 15 minutes. We read every chapter, identify the key takeaways and analyze them for your convenience.

Summary of Superforecasting

Author : Instaread Summaries
Publisher : Idreambooks
ISBN 13 : 9781945251832
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Summary of Superforecasting by : Instaread Summaries

Download or read book Summary of Superforecasting written by Instaread Summaries and published by Idreambooks. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inside this Instaread of Superforecasting:* Overview of the book* Important People* Key Takeaways* Analysis of Key Takeaways

Superforecasting

Author : Instaread
Publisher : Instaread
ISBN 13 : 1944195483
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis Superforecasting by : Instaread

Download or read book Superforecasting written by Instaread and published by Instaread. This book was released on 2015-12-14 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review Preview: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about the accuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a professor of psychology and marketing at the Wharton School of Business of the University of Pennsylvania, to create accurate measurements of the accuracy of forecasting, and to study the people and conditions that create the most accurate forecasts… PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and NOT the original book. Inside this Instaread of Superforecasting:Overview of the bookImportant PeopleKey TakeawaysAnalysis of Key Takeaways

Superforecasting

Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 080413670X
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis Superforecasting by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

Experiments With People

Author : Robert P. Abelson
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1135680132
Total Pages : 365 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (356 download)

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Book Synopsis Experiments With People by : Robert P. Abelson

Download or read book Experiments With People written by Robert P. Abelson and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2014-04-04 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experiments With People showcases 28 intriguing studies that have significantly advanced our understanding of human thought and social behavior. These studies, mostly laboratory experiments, shed light on the irrationality of everyday thinking, the cruelty and indifference of 'ordinary' people, the operation of the unconscious mind, and the intimate bond between the self and others. This book tells the inside story of how social psychological research gets done and why it matters. Each chapter focuses on the details and implications of a single study, but cites related research and real-life examples. All chapters are self-contained, allowing them to be read in any order. Each chapter is divided into: *Background--provides the rationale for the study; *What They Did--outlines the design and procedure used; *What They Found--summarizes the results obtained; *So What?--articulates the significance of those results; *Afterthoughts--explores the broader issues raised by the study; and *Revelation--encapsulates the 'take-home message' of each chapter. This paperback is ideal as a main or supplementary text for courses in social psychology, introductory psychology, or research design.

Suspicious Minds

Author : Rob Brotherton
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN 13 : 147291564X
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (729 download)

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Book Synopsis Suspicious Minds by : Rob Brotherton

Download or read book Suspicious Minds written by Rob Brotherton and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2015-11-19 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'A first class book' Sunday Times We're all conspiracy theorists. Some of us just hide it better than others. Conspiracy theorists do not wear tin-foil hats (for the most part). They are not just a few kooks lurking on the paranoid fringes of society with bizarre ideas about shape-shifting reptilian aliens running society in secret. They walk among us. They are us. Everyone loves a good conspiracy. Yet conspiracy theories are not a recent invention. And they are not always a harmless curiosity. In Suspicious Minds, Rob Brotherton explores the history and consequences of conspiracism, and delves into the research that offers insights into why so many of us are drawn to implausible, unproven and unproveable conspiracy theories. They resonate with some of our brain's built-in quirks and foibles, and tap into some of our deepest desires, fears, and assumptions about the world. The fascinating and often surprising psychology of conspiracy theories tells us a lot – not just why we are drawn to theories about sinister schemes, but about how our minds are wired and, indeed, why we believe anything at all. Conspiracy theories are not some psychological aberration – they're a predictable product of how brains work. This book will tell you why, and what it means. Of course, just because your brain's biased doesn't always mean you're wrong. Sometimes conspiracies are real. Sometimes, paranoia is prudent.

The Economists' Hour

Author : Binyamin Appelbaum
Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 0316512273
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (165 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economists' Hour by : Binyamin Appelbaum

Download or read book The Economists' Hour written by Binyamin Appelbaum and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this "lively and entertaining" history of ideas (Liaquat Ahamed, The New Yorker), New York Times editorial writer Binyamin Appelbaum tells the story of the people who sparked four decades of economic revolution. Before the 1960s, American politicians had never paid much attention to economists. But as the post-World War II boom began to sputter, economists gained influence and power. In The Economists' Hour, Binyamin Appelbaum traces the rise of the economists, first in the United States and then around the globe, as their ideas reshaped the modern world, curbing government, unleashing corporations and hastening globalization. Some leading figures are relatively well-known, such as Milton Friedman, the elfin libertarian who had a greater influence on American life than any other economist of his generation, and Arthur Laffer, who sketched a curve on a cocktail napkin that helped to make tax cuts a staple of conservative economic policy. Others stayed out of the limelight, but left a lasting impact on modern life: Walter Oi, a blind economist who dictated to his wife and assistants some of the calculations that persuaded President Nixon to end military conscription; Alfred Kahn, who deregulated air travel and rejoiced in the crowded cabins on commercial flights as the proof of his success; and Thomas Schelling, who put a dollar value on human life. Their fundamental belief? That government should stop trying to manage the economy.Their guiding principle? That markets would deliver steady growth, and ensure that all Americans shared in the benefits. But the Economists' Hour failed to deliver on its promise of broad prosperity. And the single-minded embrace of markets has come at the expense of economic equality, the health of liberal democracy, and future generations. Timely, engaging and expertly researched, The Economists' Hour is a reckoning -- and a call for people to rewrite the rules of the market. A Wall Street Journal Business BestsellerWinner of the Porchlight Business Book Award in Narrative & Biography

Bulletproof Problem Solving

Author : Charles Conn
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119553032
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Bulletproof Problem Solving by : Charles Conn

Download or read book Bulletproof Problem Solving written by Charles Conn and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-04 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complex problem solving is the core skill for 21st Century Teams Complex problem solving is at the very top of the list of essential skills for career progression in the modern world. But how problem solving is taught in our schools, universities, businesses and organizations comes up short. In Bulletproof Problem Solving: The One Skill That Changes Everything you’ll learn the seven-step systematic approach to creative problem solving developed in top consulting firms that will work in any field or industry, turning you into a highly sought-after bulletproof problem solver who can tackle challenges that others balk at. The problem-solving technique outlined in this book is based on a highly visual, logic-tree method that can be applied to everything from everyday decisions to strategic issues in business to global social challenges. The authors, with decades of experience at McKinsey and Company, provide 30 detailed, real-world examples, so you can see exactly how the technique works in action. With this bulletproof approach to defining, unpacking, understanding, and ultimately solving problems, you’ll have a personal superpower for developing compelling solutions in your workplace. Discover the time-tested 7-step technique to problem solving that top consulting professionals employ Learn how a simple visual system can help you break down and understand the component parts of even the most complex problems Build team brainstorming techniques that fight cognitive bias, streamline workplanning, and speed solutions Know when and how to employ modern analytic tools and techniques from machine learning to game theory Learn how to structure and communicate your findings to convince audiences and compel action The secrets revealed in Bulletproof Problem Solving will transform the way you approach problems and take you to the next level of business and personal success.

The Creative Curve

Author : Allen Gannett
Publisher : Random House
ISBN 13 : 0753548755
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (535 download)

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Book Synopsis The Creative Curve by : Allen Gannett

Download or read book The Creative Curve written by Allen Gannett and published by Random House. This book was released on 2018-06-14 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A great idea isn't a sudden light-bulb moment. It's taking something familiar and making it feel new. We’ve been told a lie about the nature of creativity. We're told stories about creative geniuses – the young Mozart who effortlessly overshadows the hardworking Salieri; Paul McCartney coming up with the tune for Yesterday in a dream one morning; JK Rowling finding inspiration for Harry Potter sitting on a train to London. What we aren’t told is the actual story behind such hits. In fact there is a science and method for mainstream success, whether writing a popular novel, starting a company or creating an effective marketing campaign, and in this book Allen Gannett – data wizard and successful entrepreneur – reveals the four laws of creativity that are proven to work. New ideas are surprising at first, and slowly become familiar as we get used to them. Allan Gannett reveals there’s a sweet spot between what feels familiar and safe to us, and what is innovative and new: the point of optimal tension between safety and surprise, similarity and difference. The people we think of as creative geniuses are people who understand this sweet spot instinctively; they know what people find familiar and reassuring, and they find ways to reinvent it fresh. Packed with stories and insights ranging from the team behind Dear Evan Hansen to the founder of Reddit, from the Chief Content Officer of Netflix to Michelin starred chefs, The Creative Curve will help you spend less time on ideas destined to fail and more time on ideas that really break out. This book is for everyone, whether you’re a business leader, a creative artist or a budding entrepreneur – and will teach you the secret to conceiving great ideas that can achieve major success.

The Startup Owner's Manual

Author : Steve Blank
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119690722
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis The Startup Owner's Manual by : Steve Blank

Download or read book The Startup Owner's Manual written by Steve Blank and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-03-17 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than 100,000 entrepreneurs rely on this book. The National Science Foundation pays hundreds of startup teams each year to follow the process outlined in the book, and it's taught at Stanford, Berkeley, Columbia and more than 100 other leading universities worldwide. Why? The Startup Owner's Manual guides you, step-by-step, as you put the Customer Development process to work. This method was created by renowned Silicon Valley startup expert Steve Blank, co-creator with Eric Ries of the "Lean Startup" movement and tested and refined by him for more than a decade. This 608-page how-to guide includes over 100 charts, graphs, and diagrams, plus 77 valuable checklists that guide you as you drive your company toward profitability. It will help you: Avoid the 9 deadly sins that destroy startups' chances for success Use the Customer Development method to bring your business idea to life Incorporate the Business Model Canvas as the organizing principle for startup hypotheses Identify your customers and determine how to "get, keep and grow" customers profitably Compute how you'll drive your startup to repeatable, scalable profits. The Startup Owners Manual was originally published by K&S Ranch Publishing Inc. and is now available from Wiley. The cover, design, and content are the same as the prior release and should not be considered a new or updated product.

The Model Thinker

Author : Scott E. Page
Publisher : Basic Books
ISBN 13 : 0465094635
Total Pages : 585 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis The Model Thinker by : Scott E. Page

Download or read book The Model Thinker written by Scott E. Page and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2018-11-27 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja. From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models—from linear regression to random walks and far beyond—that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

Unlearn: Let Go of Past Success to Achieve Extraordinary Results

Author : Barry O'Reilly
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 1260143023
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis Unlearn: Let Go of Past Success to Achieve Extraordinary Results by : Barry O'Reilly

Download or read book Unlearn: Let Go of Past Success to Achieve Extraordinary Results written by Barry O'Reilly and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2018-11-27 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A transformative system that shows leaders how to rethink their strategies, retool their capabilities, and revitalize their businesses for stronger, longer-lasting success. There’s a learning curve to running any successful business. But when leaders begin to rely on past achievements or get stuck in old thinking and practices that no longer work, they need to take a step back—and unlearn. This innovative and actionable framework from executive coach Barry O’Reilly shows leaders how to break the cycle and move away from once-useful mindsets and behaviors that were effective in the past but are no longer relevant in the current business climate and may now stand in the way of success. With this simple but powerful three-step system, leaders can: 1. Unlearn the behaviors and mindsets that keep them and their businesses from moving forward. 2. Relearn the skills, strategies, and innovations that are transforming the world every day. 3. Break through old habits and thinking by opening up to new ideas, perspectives, and resources. Good leaders know they need to continuously learn. But great leaders know when to unlearn the past to succeed in the future. This book shows them the way.

Meltdown

Author : Chris Clearfield
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0735233349
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (352 download)

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Book Synopsis Meltdown by : Chris Clearfield

Download or read book Meltdown written by Chris Clearfield and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2019-03-19 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the 2019 National Business Book Award A groundbreaking take on how complexity causes failure in all kinds of modern systems—from social media to air travel—this practical and entertaining book reveals how we can prevent meltdowns in business and life. A crash on the Washington, D.C. metro system. An accidental overdose in a state-of-the-art hospital. An overcooked holiday meal. At first glance, these disasters seem to have little in common. But surprising new research shows that all these events—and the myriad failures that dominate headlines every day—share similar causes. By understanding what lies behind these failures, we can design better systems, make our teams more productive, and transform how we make decisions at work and at home. Weaving together cutting-edge social science with riveting stories that take us from the frontlines of the Volkswagen scandal to backstage at the Oscars, and from deep beneath the Gulf of Mexico to the top of Mount Everest, Chris Clearfield and András Tilcsik explain how the increasing complexity of our systems creates conditions ripe for failure and why our brains and teams can't keep up. They highlight the paradox of progress: Though modern systems have given us new capabilities, they've become vulnerable to surprising meltdowns—and even to corruption and misconduct. But Meltdown isn't just about failure; it's about solutions—whether you're managing a team or the chaos of your family's morning routine. It reveals why ugly designs make us safer, how a five-minute exercise can prevent billion-dollar catastrophes, why teams with fewer experts are better at managing risk, and why diversity is one of our best safeguards against failure. The result is an eye-opening, empowering, and entirely original book—one that will change the way you see our complex world and your own place in it.

The Elements of Choice

Author : Eric J. Johnson
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0593084438
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis The Elements of Choice by : Eric J. Johnson

Download or read book The Elements of Choice written by Eric J. Johnson and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-10-12 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A leader in decision-making research reveals how choices are designed—and why it’s so important to understand their inner workings Every time we make a choice, our minds go through an elaborate process most of us never even notice. We’re influenced by subtle aspects of the way the choice is presented that often make the difference between a good decision and a bad one. How do we overcome the common faults in our decision-making and enable better choices in any situation? The answer lies in more conscious and intentional decision design. Going well beyond the familiar concepts of nudges and defaults, The Elements of Choice offers a comprehensive, systematic guide to creating effective choice architectures, the environments in which we make decisions. The designers of decisions need to consider all the elements involved in presenting a choice: how many options to offer, how to present those options, how to account for our natural cognitive shortcuts, and much more. These levers are unappreciated and we’re often unaware of just how much they influence our reasoning every day. Eric J. Johnson is the lead researcher behind some of the most well-known and cited research on decision-making. He draws on his original studies and extensive work in business and public policy and synthesizes the latest research in the field to reveal how the structure of choices affects outcomes. We are all choice architects, for ourselves and for others. Whether you’re helping students choose the right school, helping patients pick the best health insurance plan, or deciding how to invest for your own retirement, this book provides the tools you need to guide anyone to the decision that’s right for them.

Decision Quality

Author : Carl Spetzler
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119144698
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Quality by : Carl Spetzler

Download or read book Decision Quality written by Carl Spetzler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-24 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Add value with every decision using a simple yet powerful framework Few things are as valuable in business, and in life, as the ability to make good decisions. Can you imagine how much more rewarding your life and your business would be if every decision you made were the best it could be? Decision Quality empowers you to make the best possible choice and get more of what you truly want from every decision. Dr. Carl Spetzler is a leader in the field of decision science and has worked with organizations across industries to improve their decision-making capabilities. He and his co-authors, all experienced consultants and educators in this field, show you how to frame a problem or opportunity, create a set of attractive alternatives, identify relevant uncertain information, clarify the values that are important in the decision, apply tools of analysis, and develop buy-in among stakeholders. Their straightforward approach is elegantly simple, yet practical and powerful. It can be applied to all types of decisions. Our business and our personal lives are marked by a stream of decisions. Some are small. Some are large. Some are life-altering or strategic. How well we make those decisions truly matters. This book gives you a framework and thinking tools that will help you to improve the odds of getting more of what you value from every choice. You will learn: The six requirements for decision quality, and how to apply them The difference between a good decision and a good outcome Why a decision can only be as good as the best of the available alternatives Methods for making both "significant" and strategic decisions The mental traps that undermine decision quality and how to avoid them How to deal with uncertainty—a factor in every important choice How to judge the quality of a decision at the time you're making it How organizations have benefited from building quality into their decisions. Many people are satisfied with 'good enough' when making important decisions. This book provides a method that will take you and your co-workers beyond 'good enough' to true Decision Quality.