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State Space Modeling To Support Management Of Brucellosis In The Yellowstone Bison Population
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Book Synopsis State-space Modeling to Support Management of Brucellosis in the Yellowstone Bison Population by : N. Thompson Hobbs
Download or read book State-space Modeling to Support Management of Brucellosis in the Yellowstone Bison Population written by N. Thompson Hobbs and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The bison (Bison bison) of the Yellowstone ecosystem, USA, exemplify the difficulty of conserving large mammals that migrate across the boundaries of conservation areas. Bison are infected with brucellosis (Brucella abortus) and their seasonal movements can expose livestock to infection. Yellowstone National Park has embarked on a program of adaptive management of bison, which requires a model that assimilates data to support management decisions. We constructed a Bayesian state-space model to reveal the influence of brucellosis on the Yellowstone bison population. A frequency-dependent model of brucellosis transmission was superior to a density-dependent model in predicting out-of-sample observations of horizontal transmission probability. A mixture model including both transmission mechanisms converged on frequency dependence. Conditional on the frequency-dependent model, brucellosis median transmission rate was 1.87 yr-1. The median of the posterior distribution of the basic reproductive ratio (R0) was 1.75. Seroprevalence of adult females varied around 60% over two decades, but only 9.6 of 100 adult females were infectious. Brucellosis depressed recruitment; estimated population growth rate ? averaged 1.07 for an infected population and 1.11 for a healthy population. We used five-year forecasting to evaluate the ability of different actions to meet management goals relative to no action. Annually removing 200 seropositive female bison increased by 30-fold the probability of reducing seroprevalence below 40% and increased by a factor of 120 the probability of achieving a 50% reduction in transmission probability relative to no action. Annually vaccinating 200 seronegative animals increased the likelihood of a 50% reduction in transmission probability by fivefold over no action. However, including uncertainty in the ability to implement management by representing stochastic variation in the number of accessible bison dramatically reduced the probability of achieving goals using interventions relative to no action. Because the width of the posterior predictive distributions of future population states expands rapidly with increases in the forecast horizon, managers must accept high levels of uncertainty. These findings emphasize the necessity of iterative, adaptive management with relatively short-term commitment to action and frequent reevaluation in response to new data and model forecasts. We believe our approach has broad applications.
Author :National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :0309458315 Total Pages :211 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (94 download)
Book Synopsis Revisiting Brucellosis in the Greater Yellowstone Area by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Download or read book Revisiting Brucellosis in the Greater Yellowstone Area written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2021-01-30 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brucellosis is a nationally and internationally regulated disease of livestock with significant consequences for animal health, public health, and international trade. In cattle, the primary cause of brucellosis is Brucella abortus, a zoonotic bacterial pathogen that also affects wildlife, including bison and elk. As a result of the Brucellosis Eradication Program that began in 1934, most of the country is now free of bovine brucellosis. The Greater Yellowstone Area (GYA), where brucellosis is endemic in bison and elk, is the last known B. abortus reservoir in the United States. The GYA is home to more than 5,500 bison that are the genetic descendants of the original free-ranging bison herds that survived in the early 1900s, and home to more than 125,000 elk whose habitats are managed through interagency efforts, including the National Elk Refuge and 22 supplemental winter feedgrounds maintained in Wyoming. In 1998 the National Research Council (NRC) issued a report, Brucellosis in the Greater Yellowstone Area, that reviewed the scientific knowledge regarding B. abortus transmission among wildlifeâ€"particularly bison and elkâ€"and cattle in the GYA. Since the release of the 1998 report, brucellosis has re-emerged in domestic cattle and bison herds in that area. Given the scientific and technological advances in two decades since that first report, Revisiting Brucellosis in the Greater Yellowstone Area explores the factors associated with the increased transmission of brucellosis from wildlife to livestock, the recent apparent expansion of brucellosis in non-feedground elk, and the desire to have science inform the course of any future actions in addressing brucellosis in the GYA.
Book Synopsis Wildlife Disease and Health in Conservation by : David A. Jessup
Download or read book Wildlife Disease and Health in Conservation written by David A. Jessup and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2023-08-15 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides wildlife professionals with cutting-edge scientific information on the most damaging and newly emerging wildlife diseases. Wildlife diseases and their implications are at the forefront of many sectors of scientific endeavor, especially in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nearly 60 percent of all human diseases and 75 percent of all emerging infectious diseases are zoonotic. Edited by pioneering wildlife veterinarians David A. Jessup and Robin W. Radcliffe, Wildlife Disease and Health in Conservation explores the origins and impacts of as well as the responses to the most damaging and persistent diseases currently threatening wildlife conservation. Focusing mainly on newer, invasive, and controversial wildlife health challenges, this book also reexamines classic diseases that provide warnings and important lessons for wildlife professionals and policy makers. Each chapter offers cutting-edge scientific information and extensive references to help readers plan for, respond to, and conduct research on these serious health challenges. This book: • Reports crucial findings on newly emerging diseases and how to recognize and manage them • Explores the health of critical but often neglected aquatic ecosystems, including both vertebrate and invertebrate examples • Covers a vast diversity of wildlife health threats, from epizootic bighorn sheep pneumonia and African swine fever to sea star wasting disease, avian influenza, and rabbit hemorrhagic disease • Explains zoonotic dangers to humans, including coronaviruses • Includes information on marine and aquatic species, wild ungulate species, carnivores and omnivores, birds, and more • Provides insight into the social, legal, financial, and political factors that may override or influence conservation priorities in response to biomedical challenges Featuring detailed and attractive field notes–style illustrations by Laura Donohue and essential essays from experts in the field, Wildlife Disease and Health in Conservation combines theory and practice to inform and inspire wildlife health and conservation.
Book Synopsis Natural Resource Management Reimagined by : Robert G. Woodmansee
Download or read book Natural Resource Management Reimagined written by Robert G. Woodmansee and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brings scientists, policy makers, land and water managers and citizen stakeholders together to resolve natural resource and environmental problems.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Environmental and Ecological Statistics by : Alan E. Gelfand
Download or read book Handbook of Environmental and Ecological Statistics written by Alan E. Gelfand and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page 679 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook focuses on the enormous literature applying statistical methodology and modelling to environmental and ecological processes. The 21st century statistics community has become increasingly interdisciplinary, bringing a large collection of modern tools to all areas of application in environmental processes. In addition, the environmental community has substantially increased its scope of data collection including observational data, satellite-derived data, and computer model output. The resultant impact in this latter community has been substantial; no longer are simple regression and analysis of variance methods adequate. The contribution of this handbook is to assemble a state-of-the-art view of this interface. Features: An internationally regarded editorial team. A distinguished collection of contributors. A thoroughly contemporary treatment of a substantial interdisciplinary interface. Written to engage both statisticians as well as quantitative environmental researchers. 34 chapters covering methodology, ecological processes, environmental exposure, and statistical methods in climate science.
Book Synopsis Bringing Bayesian Models to Life by : Mevin B. Hooten
Download or read book Bringing Bayesian Models to Life written by Mevin B. Hooten and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-05-15 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bringing Bayesian Models to Life empowers the reader to extend, enhance, and implement statistical models for ecological and environmental data analysis. We open the black box and show the reader how to connect modern statistical models to computer algorithms. These algorithms allow the user to fit models that answer their scientific questions without needing to rely on automated Bayesian software. We show how to handcraft statistical models that are useful in ecological and environmental science including: linear and generalized linear models, spatial and time series models, occupancy and capture-recapture models, animal movement models, spatio-temporal models, and integrated population-models. Features: R code implementing algorithms to fit Bayesian models using real and simulated data examples. A comprehensive review of statistical models commonly used in ecological and environmental science. Overview of Bayesian computational methods such as importance sampling, MCMC, and HMC. Derivations of the necessary components to construct statistical algorithms from scratch. Bringing Bayesian Models to Life contains a comprehensive treatment of models and associated algorithms for fitting the models to data. We provide detailed and annotated R code in each chapter and apply it to fit each model we present to either real or simulated data for instructional purposes. Our code shows how to create every result and figure in the book so that readers can use and modify it for their own analyses. We provide all code and data in an organized set of directories available at the authors' websites.
Book Synopsis Wildlife Disease Ecology by : Kenneth Wilson
Download or read book Wildlife Disease Ecology written by Kenneth Wilson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-11-14 with total page 693 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces readers to key case studies that illustrate how theory and data can be integrated to understand wildlife disease ecology.
Book Synopsis Animal Movement by : Mevin B. Hooten
Download or read book Animal Movement written by Mevin B. Hooten and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-03-16 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of animal movement has always been a key element in ecological science, because it is inherently linked to critical processes that scale from individuals to populations and communities to ecosystems. Rapid improvements in biotelemetry data collection and processing technology have given rise to a variety of statistical methods for characterizing animal movement. The book serves as a comprehensive reference for the types of statistical models used to study individual-based animal movement. Animal Movement is an essential reference for wildlife biologists, quantitative ecologists, and statisticians who seek a deeper understanding of modern animal movement models. A wide variety of modeling approaches are reconciled in the book using a consistent notation. Models are organized into groups based on how they treat the underlying spatio-temporal process of movement. Connections among approaches are highlighted to allow the reader to form a broader view of animal movement analysis and its associations with traditional spatial and temporal statistical modeling. After an initial overview examining the role that animal movement plays in ecology, a primer on spatial and temporal statistics provides a solid foundation for the remainder of the book. Each subsequent chapter outlines a fundamental type of statistical model utilized in the contemporary analysis of telemetry data for animal movement inference. Descriptions begin with basic traditional forms and sequentially build up to general classes of models in each category. Important background and technical details for each class of model are provided, including spatial point process models, discrete-time dynamic models, and continuous-time stochastic process models. The book also covers the essential elements for how to accommodate multiple sources of uncertainty, such as location error and latent behavior states. In addition to thorough descriptions of animal movement models, differences and connections are also emphasized to provide a broader perspective of approaches.
Book Synopsis Frontiers in Environmental Science – Editor’s Picks 2021 by : Martin Siegert
Download or read book Frontiers in Environmental Science – Editor’s Picks 2021 written by Martin Siegert and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Integrated Population Models by : Michael Schaub
Download or read book Integrated Population Models written by Michael Schaub and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2021-11-12 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Integrated Population Models: Theory and Ecological Applications with R and JAGS is the first book on integrated population models, which constitute a powerful framework for combining multiple data sets from the population and the individual levels to estimate demographic parameters, and population size and trends. These models identify drivers of population dynamics and forecast the composition and trajectory of a population. Written by two population ecologists with expertise on integrated population modeling, this book provides a comprehensive synthesis of the relevant theory of integrated population models with an extensive overview of practical applications, using Bayesian methods by means of case studies. The book contains fully-documented, complete code for fitting all models in the free software, R and JAGS. It also includes all required code for pre- and post-model-fitting analysis. Integrated Population Models is an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners involved in population analysis, and for graduate-level students in ecology, conservation biology, wildlife management, and related fields. The text is ideal for self-study and advanced graduate-level courses. Offers practical and accessible ecological applications of IPMs (integrated population models) Provides full documentation of analyzed code in the Bayesian framework Written and structured for an easy approach to the subject, especially for non-statisticians
Book Synopsis Interagency Bison Management Plan for State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park by :
Download or read book Interagency Bison Management Plan for State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 932 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Wildlife Management by : United States. General Accounting Office
Download or read book Wildlife Management written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bison Management Plan for the State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park: Comments on draft environmental impact statement by :
Download or read book Bison Management Plan for the State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park: Comments on draft environmental impact statement written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 906 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Yellowstone Bison by : Patrick James White
Download or read book Yellowstone Bison written by Patrick James White and published by . This book was released on 2015-05 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Interagency Bison Management Plan for State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park by :
Download or read book Interagency Bison Management Plan for State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bison management for the state of Montana and Yellowstone National Park final environmental impact statement. by :
Download or read book Bison management for the state of Montana and Yellowstone National Park final environmental impact statement. written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bison Management Plan for the State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park: Responses to comments on the draft environmental impact statement by :
Download or read book Bison Management Plan for the State of Montana and Yellowstone National Park: Responses to comments on the draft environmental impact statement written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
