Risk Taking and Decision Making

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Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0804765073
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Taking and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk Taking and Decision Making written by and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 1998-02 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risks are an integral part of complex, high-stakes decisions, and decisionmakers are faced with the unavoidable tasks of assessing risks and forming risk preferences. This is true for all decision domains, including financial, environmental, and foreign policy domains, among others. How well decisionmakers deal with risk affects, to a considerable extent, the quality of their decisions. This book provides the most comprehensive analysis available of the elements that influence risk judgments and preferences. The book has two dimensions: theoretical and comparative-historical. The study of risk-taking behavior has been dominated by the rational choice approach. Instead, the author adopts a socio-cognitive approach involving: a multivariate theory integrating contextual, cognitive, motivational, and personality factors that affect an individual decisionmaker's judgment and preferences; the social interaction and structural effects of the decisionmaking group and its organizational setting; and the role of cultural-societal values and norms that sanction or discourage risk taking behavior. The book's theoretical approach is applied and tested in five historical case studies of foreign military interventions. The richly detailed empirical data on the case studies make them, metaphorically speaking, an ideal laboratory for applying a process-tracing approach in studying judgment and decision processes at varying risk levels. The case studies analyzed are: U.S. interventions in Grenada in 1983 and Panama in 1989 (both low risk); Soviet intervention in Czechoslovakia in 1968 (moderate risk): U.S. intervention in Vietnam in 1964-68 (high risk); and Israel's intervention in Lebanon in 1982-83 (high risk).

Risk-Taking in International Politics

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Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472087877
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (878 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Taking in International Politics by : Rose McDermott

Download or read book Risk-Taking in International Politics written by Rose McDermott and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses the way leaders deal with risk in making foreign policy decisions

Risk-taking in group decision making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 564 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (535 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-taking in group decision making by : Gün Refix Semin

Download or read book Risk-taking in group decision making written by Gün Refix Semin and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 564 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk and Decision Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk and Decision Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118919335
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (189 download)

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Book Synopsis Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management by : Jeffrey W. Herrmann

Download or read book Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management written by Jeffrey W. Herrmann and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-04-06 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: IIE/Joint Publishers Book of the Year Award 2016! Awarded for ‘an outstanding published book that focuses on a facet of industrial engineering, improves education, or furthers the profession’. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management emphasizes practical issues and examples of decision making with applications in engineering design and management Featuring a blend of theoretical and analytical aspects, this book presents multiple perspectives on decision making to better understand and improve risk management processes and decision-making systems. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management uniquely presents and discusses three perspectives on decision making: problem solving, the decision-making process, and decision-making systems. The author highlights formal techniques for group decision making and game theory and includes numerical examples to compare and contrast different quantitative techniques. The importance of initially selecting the most appropriate decision-making process is emphasized through practical examples and applications that illustrate a variety of useful processes. Presenting an approach for modeling and improving decision-making systems, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management also features: Theoretically sound and practical tools for decision making under uncertainty, multi-criteria decision making, group decision making, the value of information, and risk management Practical examples from both historical and current events that illustrate both good and bad decision making and risk management processes End-of-chapter exercises for readers to apply specific learning objectives and practice relevant skills A supplementary website with instructional support material, including worked solutions to the exercises, lesson plans, in-class activities, slides, and spreadsheets An excellent textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate students, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management is appropriate for courses on decision analysis, decision making, and risk management within the fields of engineering design, operations research, business and management science, and industrial and systems engineering. The book is also an ideal reference for academics and practitioners in business and management science, operations research, engineering design, systems engineering, applied mathematics, and statistics.

Hypothetical Vs Actual Group Risk Taking and the Value of Risk in a Complex Decision Making Environment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Hypothetical Vs Actual Group Risk Taking and the Value of Risk in a Complex Decision Making Environment by : Kenneth L. Higbee

Download or read book Hypothetical Vs Actual Group Risk Taking and the Value of Risk in a Complex Decision Making Environment written by Kenneth L. Higbee and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many studies in the last ten years have indicated that groups take greater risks than individuals. The most common method for studying this effect consists of two steps. First, the subjects are asked to make individual decisions on a series of problems in which it is possible to take greater or lesser risk. Second, they are placed in a group situation and required to discuss the same problems, and usually to make a group decision. The difference between the group decision and the mean level of risk taken initially by the individuals is termed a shift. Since the group decision is usually riskier than the mean of the individual decisions, a risky shift is said to have occurred. The risky-shift effect is also often shown in a comparison between the mean level of risk taken initially by the individuals and the mean level of risk taken by the same individuals following a group discussion of the problems. The document presents a quantity of data on the phenomenon. (Author).

Handbook on Decision Making

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642257550
Total Pages : 457 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook on Decision Making by : Jie Lu

Download or read book Handbook on Decision Making written by Jie Lu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-15 with total page 457 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents innovative theories, methodologies, and techniques in the field of risk management and decision making. It introduces new research developments and provides a comprehensive image of their potential applications to readers interested in the area. The collection includes: computational intelligence applications in decision making, multi-criteria decision making under risk, risk modelling,forecasting and evaluation, public security and community safety, risk management in supply chain and other business decision making, political risk management and disaster response systems. The book is directed to academic and applied researchers working on risk management, decision making, and management information systems.

Even the Odds

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351861867
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Even the Odds by : Karen Firestone

Download or read book Even the Odds written by Karen Firestone and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-10-14 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Even the Odds, Karen Firestone explains how risk assessment plays a prominent role in all aspects of life. We may all define risk, and our tolerance for it, somewhat differently, but we might all agree it plays a pivotal role in guiding us toward an optimal outcome. As a long-time investment advisor, Firestone has grown accustomed to interpreting risk on a daily basis. She has developed four core tenets of risk-taking we can all apply to anticipating, evaluating, and responding to the risks we face in our business, investing, and personal lives. These tenets are right-sizing; right-timing; relying on skill, knowledge, and experience; and staying skeptical about numbers, promises, and forecasts. Firestone's approach is both practical and accessible to individuals who are making important decisions, such as embarking on new career or life changes, starting or running an enterprise, making a sizable investment, or deciding how to balance across a full portfolio of assets. The book is rich with anecdotes and examples of how many prominent leaders in their fields encountered and dealt with risk along the way. Firestone also shares her own successes and failures, in particular when she decided to risk it all--a fabulous career managing billions of dollars at a premium investment company, her reputation, and the security at home that comes with a strong and stable job--to go out on her own. Even the Odds helps us understand the broader implications of risk--and how it guides our decision-making--so that we can improve outcomes across multiple facets of our lives, from our businesses and investments, to the personal choices we make.

Uncertainty and Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (143 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision by : Donald George Marquis

Download or read book Uncertainty and Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision written by Donald George Marquis and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (678 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making by : James Eric Michael

Download or read book Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making written by James Eric Michael and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (721 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals by : Robert Martin Edelstein

Download or read book Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals written by Robert Martin Edelstein and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420035053
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry by : Glenn Koller

Download or read book Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry written by Glenn Koller and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2005-03-30 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building upon the technical and organizational groundwork presented in the first edition, Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Second Edition addresses the many aspects of risk/uncertainty (R/U) process implementation. This comprehensive volume covers four broad aspects of R/U: general concepts, i

Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making [microform] : Problems of Inquiry

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Author :
Publisher : National Library of Canada
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (678 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making [microform] : Problems of Inquiry by : Michael, James Eric

Download or read book Risk Taking in Individual and Group Decision Making [microform] : Problems of Inquiry written by Michael, James Eric and published by National Library of Canada. This book was released on 1968 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Risk Agility and Decision Making

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349948608
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (499 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Risk Agility and Decision Making by : Daniel Wagner

Download or read book Global Risk Agility and Decision Making written by Daniel Wagner and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-08-12 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Global Risk Agility and Decision Making, Daniel Wagner and Dante Disparte, two leading authorities in global risk management, make a compelling case for the need to bring traditional approaches to risk management and decision making into the twenty-first century. Based on their own deep and multi-faceted experience in risk management across numerous firms in dozens of countries, the authors call for a greater sense of urgency from corporate boards, decision makers, line managers, policymakers, and risk practitioners to address and resolve the plethora of challenges facing today’s private and public sector organizations. Set against the era of manmade risk, where transnational terrorism, cyber risk, and climate change are making traditional risk models increasingly obsolete, they argue that remaining passively on the side-lines of the global economy is dangerous, and that understanding and actively engaging the world is central to achieving risk agility. Their definition of risk agility taps into the survival and risk-taking instincts of the entrepreneur while establishing an organizational imperative focused on collective survival. The agile risk manager is part sociologist, anthropologist, psychologist, and quant. Risk agility implies not treating risk as a cost of doing business, but as a catalyst for growth. Wagner and Disparte bring the concept of risk agility to life through a series of case studies that cut across industries, countries and the public and private sectors. The rich, real-world examples underscore how once mighty organizations can be brought to their knees—and even their demise by simple miscalculations or a failure to just do the right thing. The reader is offered deep insights into specific risk domains that are shaping our world, including terrorism, cyber risk, climate change, and economic resource nationalism, as well as a frame of reference from which to think about risk management and decision making in our increasingly complicated world. This easily digestible book will shed new light on the often complex discipline of risk management. Readers will learn how risk management is being transformed from a business prevention function to a values-based framework for thriving in increasingly perilous times. From tackling governance structures and the tone at the top to advocating for greater transparency and adherence to value systems, this book will establish a new generation of risk leader, with clarion voices calling for greater risk agility. The rise of agile decision makers coincides with greater resilience and responsiveness in the era of manmade risk.

People Risk Management

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Publisher : Kogan Page Publishers
ISBN 13 : 0749471360
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (494 download)

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Book Synopsis People Risk Management by : Keith Blacker

Download or read book People Risk Management written by Keith Blacker and published by Kogan Page Publishers. This book was released on 2015-04-03 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: People Risk Management provides unique depth to a topic that has garnered intense interest in recent years. Based on the latest thinking in corporate governance, behavioural economics, human resources and operational risk, people risk can be defined as the risk that people do not follow the organization's procedures, practices and/or rules, thus deviating from expected behaviour in a way that could damage the business's performance and reputation. From fraud to bad business decisions, illegal activity to lax corporate governance, people risk - often called conduct risk - presents a growing challenge in today's complex, dispersed business organizations. Framed by corporate events and challenges and including case studies from the LIBOR rate scandal, the BP oil spill, Lehman Brothers, Royal Bank of Scotland and Enron, People Risk Management provides best-practice guidance to managing risks associated with the behaviour of both employees and those outside a company. It offers practical tools, real-world examples, solutions and insights into how to implement an effective people risk management framework within an organization.

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude

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Publisher : Gower Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1409450503
Total Pages : 207 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude by : Dr David Hillson

Download or read book Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude written by Dr David Hillson and published by Gower Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite many years of development, risk management remains problematic for the majority of organizations. One common challenge is the human dimension, in other words, the way people perceive risk and risk management. Risk management processes and techniques are operated by people, each of whom is a complex individual, influenced by many different factors. And the problem is compounded by the fact that most risk management involves people working in groups. This introduces further layers of complexity through relationships and group dynamics. David Hillson's and Ruth Murray-Webster's Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude will help you understand the human aspects of risk management and to manage proactively the influence of human behaviour on the risk process. The authors introduce a range of models, perspectives and examples to define and detail the range of possible risk attitudes; looking both at individuals and groups. Using leading-edge thinking on self-awareness and emotional literacy, they develop a powerful approach to address the most common shortfall in current risk management: the failure to manage the human aspects of the process. All this is presented in a practical and applied framework, rather than as a theoretical or academic treatise, based on the authors' shared experiences and expertise, rather than empirical research. Anyone involved in implementing risk management will benefit from this book, including risk practitioners, senior managers and directors responsible for corporate governance, project managers and their teams. It is also essential reading for HR professionals and others interested in organizational or behavioural psychology. This second edition is updated to strengthen the understanding of individual risk attitudes and reinforce what individuals can do to manage those risk attitudes that are leading them away from their objectives. For people who want to embrace this subject, the book highlights ways forward that are proven and practical.

Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making

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Publisher : New Society Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1550924818
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (59 download)

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Book Synopsis Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making by : Tim Hartnett

Download or read book Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making written by Tim Hartnett and published by New Society Publishers. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A step-by-step guide to the most efficient and effective method for participatory group decision-making Are you frustrated by that common challenge called group decision-making? Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making can help! Clearly written and well organized, keep this book by your side and refer to it often. Groups you are part of will function better as a result. -- Peggy Holman, author, Engaging Emergence: Turning Upheaval into Opportunity For any group or organization to function effectively, it must be able to make decisions well. Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making is the first book to offer groups (and group facilitators) a clear and efficient path to generating widespread agreement while fostering full participation and true collaboration. Poised to become the new standard for group facilitation, Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making combines: Deep insight into complex group dynamics Effective conflict resolution techniques Powerful communication skills Groups using this simple, step-by-step approach experience increased cohesion and commitment and stronger relationships as a result of their successful cooperation. Incorporating the principles of collaboration, inclusion, empathy, and open-mindedness, the consensus-oriented decision-making (CODM) process encourages shared ownership of group decisions. The method can be used in any group situation, regardless of whether the final decision-making power rests with a single person or team, a vote of members, or unanimity. Business, government, nonprofit, social, and community organizations can all benefit from Consensus-Oriented Decision-Making . Whether you are a designated facilitator or an active participant, understanding this powerful framework will help you contribute to the success of your group through achieving maximum participation and efficiency, a clearer decision-making process, better decisions, and improved group dynamics. Tim Hartnett, PhD, is a group facilitator and mediator who blends extensive knowledge of non-violent communication with insightful understanding of group dynamics and effective techniques for conflict resolution.