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Author : Yuan Shih Chow
Publisher : Dover Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780486666501
Total Pages : 139 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (665 download)
Download or read book The Theory of Optimal Stopping written by Yuan Shih Chow and published by Dover Publications. This book was released on 1991-01 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Rabi Bhattacharya
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303078939X
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)
Download or read book Random Walk, Brownian Motion, and Martingales written by Rabi Bhattacharya and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-20 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook offers an approachable introduction to stochastic processes that explores the four pillars of random walk, branching processes, Brownian motion, and martingales. Building from simple examples, the authors focus on developing context and intuition before formalizing the theory of each topic. This inviting approach illuminates the key ideas and computations in the proofs, forming an ideal basis for further study. Consisting of many short chapters, the book begins with a comprehensive account of the simple random walk in one dimension. From here, different paths may be chosen according to interest. Themes span Poisson processes, branching processes, the Kolmogorov–Chentsov theorem, martingales, renewal theory, and Brownian motion. Special topics follow, showcasing a selection of important contemporary applications, including mathematical finance, optimal stopping, ruin theory, branching random walk, and equations of fluids. Engaging exercises accompany the theory throughout. Random Walk, Brownian Motion, and Martingales is an ideal introduction to the rigorous study of stochastic processes. Students and instructors alike will appreciate the accessible, example-driven approach. A single, graduate-level course in probability is assumed.
Author : Brian Christian
Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 1627790365
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (277 download)
Download or read book Algorithms to Live By written by Brian Christian and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Algorithms to Live By' looks at the simple, precise algorithms that computers use to solve the complex 'human' problems that we face, and discovers what they can tell us about the nature and origin of the mind.
Author : Tomas Björk
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030818438
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)
Download or read book Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications written by Tomas Björk and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-02 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to problems of stochastic control and stopping that are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a Bellman optimality principle. These problems are cast in a game-theoretic framework, with the focus on subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium strategies. The general theory is illustrated with a number of finance applications. In dynamic choice problems, time inconsistency is the rule rather than the exception. Indeed, as Robert H. Strotz pointed out in his seminal 1955 paper, relaxing the widely used ad hoc assumption of exponential discounting gives rise to time inconsistency. Other famous examples of time inconsistency include mean-variance portfolio choice and prospect theory in a dynamic context. For such models, the very concept of optimality becomes problematic, as the decision maker’s preferences change over time in a temporally inconsistent way. In this book, a time-inconsistent problem is viewed as a non-cooperative game between the agent’s current and future selves, with the objective of finding intrapersonal equilibria in the game-theoretic sense. A range of finance applications are provided, including problems with non-exponential discounting, mean-variance objective, time-inconsistent linear quadratic regulator, probability distortion, and market equilibrium with time-inconsistent preferences. Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications offers the first comprehensive treatment of time-inconsistent control and stopping problems, in both continuous and discrete time, and in the context of finance applications. Intended for researchers and graduate students in the fields of finance and economics, it includes a review of the standard time-consistent results, bibliographical notes, as well as detailed examples showcasing time inconsistency problems. For the reader unacquainted with standard arbitrage theory, an appendix provides a toolbox of material needed for the book.
Author : Goran Peskir
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3764373903
Total Pages : 515 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (643 download)
Download or read book Optimal Stopping and Free-Boundary Problems written by Goran Peskir and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-10 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discloses a fascinating connection between optimal stopping problems in probability and free-boundary problems. It focuses on key examples and the theory of optimal stopping is exposed at its basic principles in discrete and continuous time covering martingale and Markovian methods. Methods of solution explained range from change of time, space, and measure, to more recent ones such as local time-space calculus and nonlinear integral equations. A chapter on stochastic processes makes the material more accessible. The book will appeal to those wishing to master stochastic calculus via fundamental examples. Areas of application include financial mathematics, financial engineering, and mathematical statistics.
Author : Keith McCormick
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1788296826
Total Pages : 231 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (882 download)
Download or read book IBM SPSS Modeler Essentials written by Keith McCormick and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2017-12-26 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Get to grips with the fundamentals of data mining and predictive analytics with IBM SPSS Modeler About This Book Get up–and-running with IBM SPSS Modeler without going into too much depth. Identify interesting relationships within your data and build effective data mining and predictive analytics solutions A quick, easy–to-follow guide to give you a fundamental understanding of SPSS Modeler, written by the best in the business Who This Book Is For This book is ideal for those who are new to SPSS Modeler and want to start using it as quickly as possible, without going into too much detail. An understanding of basic data mining concepts will be helpful, to get the best out of the book. What You Will Learn Understand the basics of data mining and familiarize yourself with Modeler's visual programming interface Import data into Modeler and learn how to properly declare metadata Obtain summary statistics and audit the quality of your data Prepare data for modeling by selecting and sorting cases, identifying and removing duplicates, combining data files, and modifying and creating fields Assess simple relationships using various statistical and graphing techniques Get an overview of the different types of models available in Modeler Build a decision tree model and assess its results Score new data and export predictions In Detail IBM SPSS Modeler allows users to quickly and efficiently use predictive analytics and gain insights from your data. With almost 25 years of history, Modeler is the most established and comprehensive Data Mining workbench available. Since it is popular in corporate settings, widely available in university settings, and highly compatible with all the latest technologies, it is the perfect way to start your Data Science and Machine Learning journey. This book takes a detailed, step-by-step approach to introducing data mining using the de facto standard process, CRISP-DM, and Modeler's easy to learn “visual programming” style. You will learn how to read data into Modeler, assess data quality, prepare your data for modeling, find interesting patterns and relationships within your data, and export your predictions. Using a single case study throughout, this intentionally short and focused book sticks to the essentials. The authors have drawn upon their decades of teaching thousands of new users, to choose those aspects of Modeler that you should learn first, so that you get off to a good start using proven best practices. This book provides an overview of various popular data modeling techniques and presents a detailed case study of how to use CHAID, a decision tree model. Assessing a model's performance is as important as building it; this book will also show you how to do that. Finally, you will see how you can score new data and export your predictions. By the end of this book, you will have a firm understanding of the basics of data mining and how to effectively use Modeler to build predictive models. Style and approach This book empowers users to build practical & accurate predictive models quickly and intuitively. With the support of the advanced analytics users can discover hidden patterns and trends.This will help users to understand the factors that influence them, enabling you to take advantage of business opportunities and mitigate risks.
Author : Herman Chernoff
Publisher : SIAM
ISBN 13 : 9781611970593
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (75 download)
Download or read book Sequential Analysis and Optimal Design written by Herman Chernoff and published by SIAM. This book was released on 1972-01-01 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An exploration of the interrelated fields of design of experiments and sequential analysis with emphasis on the nature of theoretical statistics and how this relates to the philosophy and practice of statistics.
Author : Charles G. Denlinger
Publisher : Jones & Bartlett Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1449659934
Total Pages : 769 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (496 download)
Download or read book Elements of Real Analysis written by Charles G. Denlinger and published by Jones & Bartlett Publishers. This book was released on 2010-05-08 with total page 769 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Elementary Real Analysis is a core course in nearly all mathematics departments throughout the world. It enables students to develop a deep understanding of the key concepts of calculus from a mature perspective. Elements of Real Analysis is a student-friendly guide to learning all the important ideas of elementary real analysis, based on the author's many years of experience teaching the subject to typical undergraduate mathematics majors. It avoids the compact style of professional mathematics writing, in favor of a style that feels more comfortable to students encountering the subject for the first time. It presents topics in ways that are most easily understood, yet does not sacrifice rigor or coverage. In using this book, students discover that real analysis is completely deducible from the axioms of the real number system. They learn the powerful techniques of limits of sequences as the primary entry to the concepts of analysis, and see the ubiquitous role sequences play in virtually all later topics. They become comfortable with topological ideas, and see how these concepts help unify the subject. Students encounter many interesting examples, including "pathological" ones, that motivate the subject and help fix the concepts. They develop a unified understanding of limits, continuity, differentiability, Riemann integrability, and infinite series of numbers and functions.
Author : Hannah Fry
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1476784892
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (767 download)
Download or read book The Mathematics of Love written by Hannah Fry and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this must-have for anyone who wants to better understand their love life, a mathematician pulls back the curtain and reveals the hidden patterns—from dating sites to divorce, sex to marriage—behind the rituals of love. The roller coaster of romance is hard to quantify; defining how lovers might feel from a set of simple equations is impossible. But that doesn’t mean that mathematics isn’t a crucial tool for understanding love. Love, like most things in life, is full of patterns. And mathematics is ultimately the study of patterns—from predicting the weather to the fluctuations of the stock market, the movement of planets or the growth of cities. These patterns twist and turn and warp and evolve just as the rituals of love do. In The Mathematics of Love, Dr. Hannah Fry takes the reader on a fascinating journey through the patterns that define our love lives, applying mathematical formulas to the most common yet complex questions pertaining to love: What’s the chance of finding love? What’s the probability that it will last? How do online dating algorithms work, exactly? Can game theory help us decide who to approach in a bar? At what point in your dating life should you settle down? From evaluating the best strategies for online dating to defining the nebulous concept of beauty, Dr. Fry proves—with great insight, wit, and fun—that math is a surprisingly useful tool to negotiate the complicated, often baffling, sometimes infuriating, always interesting, mysteries of love.
Author : Fwu-Ranq Chang
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139452223
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Optimization in Continuous Time written by Fwu-Ranq Chang and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-04-26 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 2004, this is a rigorous but user-friendly book on the application of stochastic control theory to economics. A distinctive feature of the book is that mathematical concepts are introduced in a language and terminology familiar to graduate students of economics. The standard topics of many mathematics, economics and finance books are illustrated with real examples documented in the economic literature. Moreover, the book emphasises the dos and don'ts of stochastic calculus, cautioning the reader that certain results and intuitions cherished by many economists do not extend to stochastic models. A special chapter (Chapter 5) is devoted to exploring various methods of finding a closed-form representation of the value function of a stochastic control problem, which is essential for ascertaining the optimal policy functions. The book also includes many practice exercises for the reader. Notes and suggested readings are provided at the end of each chapter for more references and possible extensions.
Author : Tim Leung (Professor of industrial engineering)
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814725927
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (147 download)
Download or read book Optimal Mean Reversion Trading written by Tim Leung (Professor of industrial engineering) and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-11-26 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives. This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature. This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments."--
Author : Albert N. Shiryaev
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783030015251
Total Pages : 397 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (152 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Disorder Problems written by Albert N. Shiryaev and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-03-20 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph focuses on those stochastic quickest detection tasks in disorder problems that arise in the dynamical analysis of statistical data. These include quickest detection of randomly appearing targets, of spontaneously arising effects, and of arbitrage (in financial mathematics). There is also currently great interest in quickest detection methods for randomly occurring intrusions in information systems and in the design of defense methods against cyber-attacks. The author shows that the majority of quickest detection problems can be reformulated as optimal stopping problems where the stopping time is the moment the occurrence of disorder is signaled. Thus, considerable attention is devoted to the general theory of optimal stopping rules, and to its concrete problem-solving methods. The exposition covers both the discrete time case, which is in principle relatively simple and allows step-by-step considerations, and the continuous-time case, which often requires more technical machinery such as martingales, supermartingales, and stochastic integrals. There is a focus on the well-developed apparatus of Brownian motion, which enables the exact solution of many problems. The last chapter presents applications to financial markets. Researchers and graduate students interested in probability, decision theory and statistical sequential analysis will find this book useful.
Author : Thomas S. Ferguson
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483221237
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Mathematical Statistics written by Thomas S. Ferguson and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-07-10 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical Statistics: A Decision Theoretic Approach presents an investigation of the extent to which problems of mathematical statistics may be treated by decision theory approach. This book deals with statistical theory that could be justified from a decision-theoretic viewpoint. Organized into seven chapters, this book begins with an overview of the elements of decision theory that are similar to those of the theory of games. This text then examines the main theorems of decision theory that involve two more notions, namely the admissibility of a decision rule and the completeness of a class of decision rules. Other chapters consider the development of theorems in decision theory that are valid in general situations. This book discusses as well the invariance principle that involves groups of transformations over the three spaces around which decision theory is built. The final chapter deals with sequential decision problems. This book is a valuable resource for first-year graduate students in mathematics.
Author : Yuan Shih Chow
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)
Download or read book Great Expectations written by Yuan Shih Chow and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Enrique del Castillo
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387714359
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Process Optimization written by Enrique del Castillo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-14 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers several bases at once. It is useful as a textbook for a second course in experimental optimization techniques for industrial production processes. In addition, it is a superb reference volume for use by professors and graduate students in Industrial Engineering and Statistics departments. It will also be of huge interest to applied statisticians, process engineers, and quality engineers working in the electronics and biotech manufacturing industries. In all, it provides an in-depth presentation of the statistical issues that arise in optimization problems, including confidence regions on the optimal settings of a process, stopping rules in experimental optimization, and more.
Author : N. V. Krylov
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540709142
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)
Download or read book Controlled Diffusion Processes written by N. V. Krylov and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-26 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic control theory is a relatively young branch of mathematics. The beginning of its intensive development falls in the late 1950s and early 1960s. ~urin~ that period an extensive literature appeared on optimal stochastic control using the quadratic performance criterion (see references in Wonham [76]). At the same time, Girsanov [25] and Howard [26] made the first steps in constructing a general theory, based on Bellman's technique of dynamic programming, developed by him somewhat earlier [4]. Two types of engineering problems engendered two different parts of stochastic control theory. Problems of the first type are associated with multistep decision making in discrete time, and are treated in the theory of discrete stochastic dynamic programming. For more on this theory, we note in addition to the work of Howard and Bellman, mentioned above, the books by Derman [8], Mine and Osaki [55], and Dynkin and Yushkevich [12]. Another class of engineering problems which encouraged the development of the theory of stochastic control involves time continuous control of a dynamic system in the presence of random noise. The case where the system is described by a differential equation and the noise is modeled as a time continuous random process is the core of the optimal control theory of diffusion processes. This book deals with this latter theory.
Author : Gregory F. Lawler
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482286114
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Stochastic Processes written by Gregory F. Lawler and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-10-03 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emphasizing fundamental mathematical ideas rather than proofs, Introduction to Stochastic Processes, Second Edition provides quick access to important foundations of probability theory applicable to problems in many fields. Assuming that you have a reasonable level of computer literacy, the ability to write simple programs, and the access to software for linear algebra computations, the author approaches the problems and theorems with a focus on stochastic processes evolving with time, rather than a particular emphasis on measure theory. For those lacking in exposure to linear differential and difference equations, the author begins with a brief introduction to these concepts. He proceeds to discuss Markov chains, optimal stopping, martingales, and Brownian motion. The book concludes with a chapter on stochastic integration. The author supplies many basic, general examples and provides exercises at the end of each chapter. New to the Second Edition: Expanded chapter on stochastic integration that introduces modern mathematical finance Introduction of Girsanov transformation and the Feynman-Kac formula Expanded discussion of Itô's formula and the Black-Scholes formula for pricing options New topics such as Doob's maximal inequality and a discussion on self similarity in the chapter on Brownian motion Applicable to the fields of mathematics, statistics, and engineering as well as computer science, economics, business, biological science, psychology, and engineering, this concise introduction is an excellent resource both for students and professionals.
