Modelling Economic Change

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Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation

Author : Andrew Briggs
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191004952
Total Pages : 269 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation by : Andrew Briggs

Download or read book Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation written by Andrew Briggs and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2006-08-17 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In financially constrained health systems across the world, increasing emphasis is being placed on the ability to demonstrate that health care interventions are not only effective, but also cost-effective. This book deals with decision modelling techniques that can be used to estimate the value for money of various interventions including medical devices, surgical procedures, diagnostic technologies, and pharmaceuticals. Particular emphasis is placed on the importance of the appropriate representation of uncertainty in the evaluative process and the implication this uncertainty has for decision making and the need for future research. This highly practical guide takes the reader through the key principles and approaches of modelling techniques. It begins with the basics of constructing different forms of the model, the population of the model with input parameter estimates, analysis of the results, and progression to the holistic view of models as a valuable tool for informing future research exercises. Case studies and exercises are supported with online templates and solutions. This book will help analysts understand the contribution of decision-analytic modelling to the evaluation of health care programmes. ABOUT THE SERIES: Economic evaluation of health interventions is a growing specialist field, and this series of practical handbooks will tackle, in-depth, topics superficially addressed in more general health economics books. Each volume will include illustrative material, case histories and worked examples to encourage the reader to apply the methods discussed, with supporting material provided online. This series is aimed at health economists in academia, the pharmaceutical industry and the health sector, those on advanced health economics courses, and health researchers in associated fields.

The World in the Model

Author : Mary S. Morgan
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139560417
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis The World in the Model by : Mary S. Morgan

Download or read book The World in the Model written by Mary S. Morgan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-09-17 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last two centuries, the way economic science is done has changed radically: it has become a social science based on mathematical models in place of words. This book describes and analyses that change - both historically and philosophically - using a series of case studies to illuminate the nature and the implications of these changes. It is not a technical book; it is written for the intelligent person who wants to understand how economics works from the inside out. This book will be of interest to economists and science studies scholars (historians, sociologists and philosophers of science). But it also aims at a wider readership in the public intellectual sphere, building on the current interest in all things economic and on the recent failure of the so-called economic model, which has shaped our beliefs and the world we live in.

Theory and Implementation of Economic Models for Sustainable Development

Author : J.C. van den Bergh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792349983
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (499 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory and Implementation of Economic Models for Sustainable Development by : J.C. van den Bergh

Download or read book Theory and Implementation of Economic Models for Sustainable Development written by J.C. van den Bergh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1998-06-30 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is widespread concern for long-term environmental issues in relation to economic processes and developments. Among the concerned scientists are economists, who have taken up the challenge to apply economic insights and tools for the study of long-term environment-economy interactions, and to give the concept of sustainable development 'economic hands and feet'. This book presents a pluralistic perspective on efforts, problems and successes in this area. This collection of papers was originally prepared for an international symposium titled Economic Modelling of Sustainable Development: Between Theory and Practice, which was hosted by the Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam, on December 20th 1996. The main motivation for this symposium was that the usefulness of the concept of sustainable development for theoretical and applied modelling is still being debated; growth theorists, resource economists, ecological economists, policy makers and many others are trying to deal with the concept in various, and sometimes conflicting, ways. The aim of the symposium was to bring together different theoretical and implementational perspectives on modelling for sustainable development. We hope that this volume will inform a wide audience about the perspectives and progress in this important area of research, as well as stimulate further research, notably on applied modelling and practical methods for the analysis of sustainable development at various (spatial) scales. The papers have, in due course, been revised several times based on comments made by discus sants, referees and the editors.

Economic Models of Climate Change

Author : S. DeCanio
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230509460
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Models of Climate Change by : S. DeCanio

Download or read book Economic Models of Climate Change written by S. DeCanio and published by Springer. This book was released on 2003-08-19 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The climate policy debate has been dominated by economic estimates of the costs of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yet the models used to derive those estimates are based on assumptions that have largely gone untested. The conventional approach embodies structural features that rule out alternative market outcomes. In addition, the distribution of 'climate rights' is crucial to determining the economic affects of various policies. Bringing these considerations to the forefront shows how domestic and international policy solutions might be found.

Economics Rules

Author : Dani Rodrik
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0198736894
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics Rules by : Dani Rodrik

Download or read book Economics Rules written by Dani Rodrik and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A leading economist trains a lens on his own discipline to uncover when it fails and when it works.

Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy

Author : Haris Doukas
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030031527
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy by : Haris Doukas

Download or read book Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy written by Haris Doukas and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-10 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book analyzes and seeks to consolidate the use of robust quantitative tools and qualitative methods for the design and assessment of energy and climate policies. In particular, it examines energy and climate policy performance and associated risks, as well as public acceptance and portfolio analysis in climate policy, and presents methods for evaluating the costs and benefits of flexible policy implementation as well as new framings for business and market actors. In turn, it discusses the development of alternative policy pathways and the identification of optimal switching points, drawing on concrete examples to do so. Lastly, it discusses climate change mitigation policies’ implications for the agricultural, food, building, transportation, service and manufacturing sectors.

An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change

Author : Richard R. Nelson
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780674041431
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (414 download)

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Book Synopsis An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change by : Richard R. Nelson

Download or read book An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change written by Richard R. Nelson and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 1985-10-15 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains the most sustained and serious attack on mainstream, neoclassical economics in more than forty years. Nelson and Winter focus their critique on the basic question of how firms and industries change overtime. They marshal significant objections to the fundamental neoclassical assumptions of profit maximization and market equilibrium, which they find ineffective in the analysis of technological innovation and the dynamics of competition among firms. To replace these assumptions, they borrow from biology the concept of natural selection to construct a precise and detailed evolutionary theory of business behavior. They grant that films are motivated by profit and engage in search for ways of improving profits, but they do not consider them to be profit maximizing. Likewise, they emphasize the tendency for the more profitable firms to drive the less profitable ones out of business, but they do not focus their analysis on hypothetical states of industry equilibrium. The results of their new paradigm and analytical framework are impressive. Not only have they been able to develop more coherent and powerful models of competitive firm dynamics under conditions of growth and technological change, but their approach is compatible with findings in psychology and other social sciences. Finally, their work has important implications for welfare economics and for government policy toward industry.

Economic Models for Policy Making

Author : Solomon Cohen
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136220879
Total Pages : 419 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (362 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Models for Policy Making by : Solomon Cohen

Download or read book Economic Models for Policy Making written by Solomon Cohen and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-05-02 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past decades, many different kinds of models have been developed that have been of use to policy makers, but until now the different approaches have not been brought together with a view to enhancing the systematic unification and evaluation of these models. This new volume aims to fill this gap by bringing together four decades’ worth of work by S. I. Cohen on economic modelling for policy making. Work on older models has been rewritten and brought fully up to date, and these older models have therefore been brought back to the fore, both to assess how they influenced more recent models and to see how they could be used today. The focus of the book is on models for development policies in developing economies, but there are some chapters that relate to economic policies in transition and developed economies. The policy areas covered are of typical interest in developing and transition economies. They include those relating to trade liberalization reforms, sustainable development, industrial development, agrarian reform, growth and distribution, human resource development and education, public goods and income transfers. Each chapter contains a brief assessment of the empirical literature on the economic effects of the policy measures discussed in the chapter. The book presents a platform of economic modelling that can serve as a refresher for practising professionals, as well as a reference companion for graduates engaging in economic modelling and policy preparations.

Global Economic History: A Very Short Introduction

Author : Robert C. Allen
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019162053X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Economic History: A Very Short Introduction by : Robert C. Allen

Download or read book Global Economic History: A Very Short Introduction written by Robert C. Allen and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2011-09-15 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why are some countries rich and others poor? In 1500, the income differences were small, but they have grown dramatically since Columbus reached America. Since then, the interplay between geography, globalization, technological change, and economic policy has determined the wealth and poverty of nations. The industrial revolution was Britain's path breaking response to the challenge of globalization. Western Europe and North America joined Britain to form a club of rich nations by pursuing four polices-creating a national market by abolishing internal tariffs and investing in transportation, erecting an external tariff to protect their fledgling industries from British competition, banks to stabilize the currency and mobilize domestic savings for investment, and mass education to prepare people for industrial work. Together these countries pioneered new technologies that have made them ever richer. Before the Industrial Revolution, most of the world's manufacturing was done in Asia, but industries from Casablanca to Canton were destroyed by western competition in the nineteenth century, and Asia was transformed into 'underdeveloped countries' specializing in agriculture. The spread of economic development has been slow since modern technology was invented to fit the needs of rich countries and is ill adapted to the economic and geographical conditions of poor countries. A few countries - Japan, Soviet Russia, South Korea, Taiwan, and perhaps China - have, nonetheless, caught up with the West through creative responses to the technological challenge and with Big Push industrialization that has achieved rapid growth through investment coordination. Whether other countries can emulate the success of East Asia is a challenge for the future. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.

Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review

Author : David Kaimowitz
Publisher : CIFOR
ISBN 13 : 979876417X
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review by : David Kaimowitz

Download or read book Economic Models of Tropical Deforestation: A Review written by David Kaimowitz and published by CIFOR. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Types of economic deforestation models. Household and firm-level models. Regional-level models. National and macro-level models. Priority areas for future research.

Banking on Growth Models

Author : Stephen Bell
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501762532
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Banking on Growth Models by : Stephen Bell

Download or read book Banking on Growth Models written by Stephen Bell and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2022-05-15 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Banking on Growth Models contends that China's rapid economic rise from the late 1970s to today has been built on and shaped by a highly politicized and inefficient bank-centric financial system. Stephen Bell and Hui Feng argue that if the Chinese growth model drives how key economic sectors interact, no amount of incremental reform can have much impact on the financial system—meaningful reform can stem only from a revised growth model. For a time after the global financial crisis, it appeared that the expansion of a more market-oriented shadow banking system might help sustain China's economic growth. Since around 2015, however, Xi Jinping's regime has reversed this trajectory and placed China's financial system under heavy state control, resulting in slowed economic development and skyrocketing national debt. China's market transition and economic rebalancing are now in doubt, as is the fate of the nation's economy. By pinpointing finance as a vital element of the growth model, Bell and Feng provide a convincing assessment of financial risks and the prospects for economic rebalancing in China. Banking on Growth Models demystifies the world of Chinese banking and finance as it investigates an ever-rising national debt, a declining rate of economic growth, and the possibility of dire and drastic reform by the Asian superpower's government.

Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition

Author : Roger B. Myerson
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262355604
Total Pages : 569 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition by : Roger B. Myerson

Download or read book Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition written by Roger B. Myerson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-12-17 with total page 569 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.

A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis

Author : Adriana Lleras-Muney
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151356949X
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis by : Adriana Lleras-Muney

Download or read book A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis written by Adriana Lleras-Muney and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards. Our parsimonious model provides an excellent fit for the mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816. The model sheds light on the dynamics behind many phenomena documented in the literature, including (i) the existence and evolution of mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses, (ii) non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks, (iii) persistent or “scarring” effects of wars and (iv) mortality displacement after large temporary shocks such as extreme weather.

Doughnut Economics

Author : Kate Raworth
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
ISBN 13 : 160358675X
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Doughnut Economics by : Kate Raworth

Download or read book Doughnut Economics written by Kate Raworth and published by Chelsea Green Publishing. This book was released on 2017-02-23 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *The Sunday Times Bestseller *A Financial Times Book of the Year *A Forbes Book of the Year *Winner of the Transmission Prize 2018 *Longlisted for the FT/McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award 2017 *Porchlight “Best Business Book of 2017: Current Events & Public Affairs” The book that redefines economics for a world in crisis. Economics is the mother tongue of public policy. It dominates our decision-making for the future, guides multi-billion-dollar investments, and shapes our responses to climate change, inequality, and other environmental and social challenges that define our times. Pity then, or more like disaster, that its fundamental ideas are centuries out of date yet are still taught in college courses worldwide and still used to address critical issues in government and business alike. That’s why it is time, says renegade economist Kate Raworth, to revise our economic thinking for the 21st century. In Doughnut Economics, she sets out seven key ways to fundamentally reframe our understanding of what economics is and does. Along the way, she points out how we can break our addiction to growth; redesign money, finance, and business to be in service to people; and create economies that are regenerative and distributive by design. Named after the now-iconic “doughnut” image that Raworth first drew to depict a sweet spot of human prosperity (an image that appealed to the Occupy Movement, the United Nations, eco-activists, and business leaders alike), Doughnut Economics offers a radically new compass for guiding global development, government policy, and corporate strategy, and sets new standards for what economic success looks like. Raworth handpicks the best emergent ideas—from ecological, behavioral, feminist, and institutional economics to complexity thinking and Earth-systems science—to address this question: How can we turn economies that need to grow, whether or not they make us thrive, into economies that make us thrive, whether or not they grow? Simple, playful, and eloquent, Doughnut Economics offers game-changing analysis and inspiration for a new generation of economic thinkers. "This is sharp, significant scholarship . . . Thrilling."—Times Higher Education "Raworth's magnum opus . . . Fascinating."—Forbes "Doughnut Economics shows how to ensure dignity and prosperity for all people."—Huffington Post

Nonlinear Economic Models

Author : John Creedy
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Economic Models by : John Creedy

Download or read book Nonlinear Economic Models written by John Creedy and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1997 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sequel to Creedy and Martin's (eds.) Chaos and Nonlinear Models (1994). Compiles recent developments in such techniques as cross- sectional studies of income distribution and discrete choice models, time series models of exchange rate dynamics and jump processes, and artificial neural networks and genetic algorithms of financial markets. Also considers the development of theoretical models and estimating and testing methods, with a wide range of applications in microeconomics, macroeconomics, labor, and finance. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Agent-Based Modelling in Economics

Author : Lynne Hamill
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118456076
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Agent-Based Modelling in Economics by : Lynne Hamill

Download or read book Agent-Based Modelling in Economics written by Lynne Hamill and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-01-19 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agent-based modelling in economics Lynne Hamill and Nigel Gilbert, Centre for Research in Social Simulation (CRESS), University of Surrey, UK New methods of economic modelling have been sought as a result of the global economic downturn in 2008.This unique book highlights the benefits of an agent-based modelling (ABM) approach. It demonstrates how ABM can easily handle complexity: heterogeneous people, households and firms interacting dynamically. Unlike traditional methods, ABM does not require people or firms to optimise or economic systems to reach equilibrium. ABM offers a way to link micro foundations directly to the macro situation. Key features: Introduces the concept of agent-based modelling and shows how it differs from existing approaches. Provides a theoretical and methodological rationale for using ABM in economics, along with practical advice on how to design and create the models. Each chapter starts with a short summary of the relevant economic theory and then shows how to apply ABM. Explores both topics covered in basic economics textbooks and current important policy themes; unemployment, exchange rates, banking and environmental issues. Describes the models in pseudocode, enabling the reader to develop programs in their chosen language. Supported by a website featuring the NetLogo models described in the book. Agent-based Modelling in Economics provides students and researchers with the skills to design, implement, and analyze agent-based models. Third year undergraduate, master and doctoral students, faculty and professional economists will find this book an invaluable resource.

The Microeconomics of Complex Economies

Author : Wolfram Elsner
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124115993
Total Pages : 599 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis The Microeconomics of Complex Economies by : Wolfram Elsner

Download or read book The Microeconomics of Complex Economies written by Wolfram Elsner and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-04-15 with total page 599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Microeconomics of Complex Economies uses game theory, modeling approaches, formal techniques, and computer simulations to teach useful, accessible approaches to real modern economies. It covers topics of information and innovation, including national and regional systems of innovation; clustered and networked firms; and open-source/open-innovation production and use. Its final chapter on policy perspectives and decisions confirms the value of the toolset. Written so chapters can be used independently, the book includes an introduction to computer simulation and pedagogical supplements. Its formal, accessible treatment of complexity goes beyond the scopes of neoclassical and mainstream economics. The highly interdependent economy of the 21st century demands a reconsideration of economic theories. - Describes the usefulness of complex heterodox economics - Emphasizes divergences and convergences with neoclassical economic theories and perspectives - Fits easily into courses on intermediate microeconomics, industrial organization, and games through self-contained chapters