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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Long-range Forecasting and Planning written by and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : United States. Air Force Dept
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book Long-range Forecasting and Planning written by United States. Air Force Dept and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : United States. Air Force Department
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Long-range Forecasting and Planning, a Symposium Held at the U.S. Air Force Academy, Colorade, 16-17 August 1966 written by United States. Air Force Department and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Long Range Forecasting Methodology written by and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Louvan E. Nolting
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Forecasting and Long-range Planning of Science and Technology in the USSR written by Louvan E. Nolting and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : United States. Air Force Department
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Long Range Forecasting Methodology, a Symposium Held at Alamogordo, New Mexico, 11-12 October 1967 written by United States. Air Force Department and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : T S Khachaturov
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349026492
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (49 download)
Download or read book Methods of Long-Term Planning and Forecasting written by T S Khachaturov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-30 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.M/5 ( download)
Download or read book Approaches to Long Range Forecasting written by and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Michael Samonas
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118921097
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (189 download)
Download or read book Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling written by Michael Samonas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-01-20 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Territorial Planning and Long-range Forecasting in Europe written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Toyohiro Kono
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110858711
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)
Download or read book Long-Range Planning of Japanese Corporations written by Toyohiro Kono and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2015-02-06 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book tries to describe the formal long-range planning process of Japanese corporations, to analyze the formal strategic decision making process and to find theories through this analysis.
Author : H. Lee Willis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780203910764
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Spatial Electric Load Forecasting written by H. Lee Willis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-08-09 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 080413670X
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (41 download)
Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Author : David Gardiner
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429640714
Total Pages : 557 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)
Download or read book Operations Management for Business Excellence written by David Gardiner and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-10-28 with total page 557 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All businesses strive for excellence in today’s technology-based environment in which customers want solutions at the touch of a button. This highly regarded textbook provides in-depth coverage of the principles of operations and supply chain management and explains how to design, implement, and maintain processes for sustainable competitive advantage. This text offers a unique combination of theory and practice with a strategic, results-driven approach. Now in its fourth edition, Operations Management for Business Excellence has been updated to reflect major advances and future trends in supply chain management. A new chapter on advanced supply chain concepts covers novel logistics technology, information systems, customer proximity, sustainability, and the use of multiple sales channels. As a platform for discussion, the exploration of future trends includes self-driving vehicles, automation and robotics, and omnichannel retailing. Features include: A host of international case studies and examples to demonstrate how theory translates to practice, including Airbus, Hewlett Packard, Puma, and Toyota. A consistent structure to aid learning and retention: Each chapter begins with a detailed set of learning objectives and finishes with a chapter summary, a set of discussion questions and a list of key terms. Fully comprehensive with an emphasis on the practical, this textbook should be core reading for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students of operations management and supply chain management. It would also appeal to executives who desire an understanding of how to achieve and maintain ‘excellence’ in business. Online resources include lecture slides, a glossary, test questions, downloadable figures, and a bonus chapter on project management.
Author : H. Lee Willis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781420030310
Total Pages : 1246 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Power Distribution Planning Reference Book, Second Edition written by H. Lee Willis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-03-01 with total page 1246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing more than twice the content of the original edition, this new edition is the premier source on the selection, development, and provision of safe, high-quality, and cost-effective electric utility distribution systems, and it promises vast improvements in system reliability and layout by spanning every aspect of system planning including load forecasting, scheduling, performance, and economics. Responding to the evolving needs of electric utilities, Power Distribution Planning Reference Book presents an abundance of real-world examples, procedural and managerial issues, and engineering and analytical methodologies that are crucial to efficient and enhanced system performance.
Download or read book CIR Staff Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400888816
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)
Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
