Read Books Online and Download eBooks, EPub, PDF, Mobi, Kindle, Text Full Free.
Labor Market Slack And Monetary Policy
Download Labor Market Slack And Monetary Policy full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Labor Market Slack And Monetary Policy ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Book Synopsis Labor Market Slack and Monetary Policy by : David G. Blanchflower
Download or read book Labor Market Slack and Monetary Policy written by David G. Blanchflower and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the wake of a severe recession and a sluggish recovery, labor market slack cannot be gauged solely in terms of the conventional measure of the unemployment rate (that is, the number of individuals who are not working at all and actively searching for a job). Rather, assessments of the employment gap should reflect the incidence of underemployment (that is, people working part time who want a full-time job) and the extent of hidden unemployment (that is, people who are not actively searching but who would rejoin the workforce if the job market were stronger). In this paper, we examine the evolution of U.S. labor market slack and show that underemployment and hidden unemployment currently account for the bulk of the U.S. employment gap. Next, using state-level data, we find strong statistical evidence that each of these forms of labor market slack exerts significant downward pressure on nominal wages. Finally, we consider the monetary policy implications of the employment gap in light of prescriptions from Taylor-style benchmark rules.
Book Synopsis Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession by : Christopher J. Erceg
Download or read book Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession written by Christopher J. Erceg and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal times” (that is, in response to small or transitory shocks) but drops markedly in the wake of a large and persistent aggregate demand shock. Finally, we show that these considerations can have potentially crucial implications for the design of monetary policy, especially under circumstances in which adjustments to the short-term interest rate are constrained by the zero lower bound.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498396674 Total Pages :113 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis United States by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book United States written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-23 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper on the United States of America examines the recent US labor force penetration rate (LFPR) dynamics. LFPR dynamics can be driven by structural factors and cyclical ones related to job prospects. With participation rates for older workers lower than for prime age workers, demographic models suggest that aging of the baby boom generation explains about 50 percent of the near 3p.p. LFPR decline during 2007–2013. State-level panel regression analysis is used to tie down the cyclical effect, which is estimated to account for about 30–40 percent of the decline. Significant remaining slack in the labor market points to an important role for macroeconomic and labor supply policies. This suggests a still important role for stimulative macroeconomic policies to help reach full employment. Macroeconomic policy should remain accommodative for a while given sizeable labor market slack. This slack goes beyond that signaled by the unemployment rate and takes account of the LFPR being below trend and many employees working part time ‘involuntarily’.
Book Synopsis Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea by : Mr.Niels-Jakob H Hansen
Download or read book Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea written by Mr.Niels-Jakob H Hansen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Output gap estimates are widely used to inform macroeconomic policy decisions, including in Korea. The main determinant of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an incomplete estimate of labor market slack, given that many workers prefer involuntary part-time jobs or leaving the labor force rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to yield a more accurate measure of labor market slack. This broader measure is then used to estimate the output gap using a multivariate filter, yielding a more meaningful measure of the output gap.
Book Synopsis More Slack than Meets the Eye? Recent Wage Dynamics in Advanced Economies by : Mr.Gee Hee Hong
Download or read book More Slack than Meets the Eye? Recent Wage Dynamics in Advanced Economies written by Mr.Gee Hee Hong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-03-09 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nominal wage growth in most advanced economies remains markedly lower than it was before the Great Recession of 2008–09. This paper finds that the bulk of the wage slowdown is accounted for by labor market slack, inflation expectations, and trend productivity growth. In particular, there appears to be greater slack than meets the eye. Involuntary part-time employment appears to have weakened wage growth even in economies where headline unemployment rates are now at, or below, their averages in the years leading up to the recession.
Book Synopsis Wages and Labor Market Slack by : David G. Blanchflower
Download or read book Wages and Labor Market Slack written by David G. Blanchflower and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound by : Matteo Cacciatore
Download or read book Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound written by Matteo Cacciatore and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-03 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the impact of product and labor market reforms when the economy faces major slack and a binding constraint on monetary policy easing. such as the zero lower bound. To this end, we build a two-country model with endogenous producer entry, labor market frictions, and nominal rigidities. We find that while the effect of market reforms depends on the cyclical conditions under which they are implemented, the zero lower bound itself does not appear to matter. In fact, when carried out in a recession, the impact of reforms is typically stronger when the zero lower bound is binding. The reason is that reforms are inflationary in our structural model (or they have no noticeable deflationary effects). Thus, contrary to the implications of reduced-form modeling of product and labor market reforms as exogenous reductions in price and wage markups, our analysis shows that there is no simple across-the-board relationship between market reforms and the behavior of real marginal costs. This significantly alters the consequences of the zero (or any effective) lower bound on policy rates.
Book Synopsis Labor Market Slack in the United Kingdom by : David Nevin Fraser Bell
Download or read book Labor Market Slack in the United Kingdom written by David Nevin Fraser Bell and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Optimal Unemployment Insurance by : Andreas Pollak
Download or read book Optimal Unemployment Insurance written by Andreas Pollak and published by Mohr Siebeck. This book was released on 2007 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Designing a good unemployment insurance scheme is a delicate matter. In a system with no or little insurance, households may be subject to a high income risk, whereas excessively generous unemployment insurance systems are known to lead to high unemployment rates and are costly both from a fiscal perspective and for society as a whole. Andreas Pollak investigates what an optimal unemployment insurance system would look like, i.e. a system that constitutes the best possible compromise between income security and incentives to work. Using theoretical economic models and complex numerical simulations, he studies the effects of benefit levels and payment durations on unemployment and welfare. As the models allow for considerable heterogeneity of households, including a history-dependent labor productivity, it is possible to analyze how certain policies affect individuals in a specific age, wealth or skill group. The most important aspect of an unemployment insurance system turns out to be the benefits paid to the long-term unemployed. If this parameter is chosen too high, a large number of households may get caught in a long spell of unemployment with little chance of finding work again. Based on the predictions in these models, the so-called "Hartz IV" labor market reform recently adopted in Germany should have highly favorable effects on the unemployment rates and welfare in the long run.
Book Synopsis Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics by : Mr.Yasser Abdih
Download or read book Understanding U.S. Wage Dynamics written by Mr.Yasser Abdih and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-15 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we undertake empirical analysis to understand U.S. wage behavior since the beginning of the new millennium. At the macroeconomic level, we find that a productivity-augmented Phillips curve model explains the data fairly well. The model reveals that the upward pressure on wage growth from recent tightening in the labor market has been dampened by a persistent decline in trend labor productivity growth and the share of income that accrues to labor. These themes are reinforced and complemented at the micro-economic level. Lower regional unemployment puts an upward pressure on wages of individuals, although this effect has become weaker since 2008. But there is downward pressure on wages for individuals with occupations that are exposed to automation and offshoring, and in industries with a higher concentration of large firms. All these factors appear to play a role illustrating why it is difficult to single out any one culprit for the observed wage growth moderation.
Book Synopsis Assessing Labour Market Slack for Monetary Policy by : Erik Ens
Download or read book Assessing Labour Market Slack for Monetary Policy written by Erik Ens and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound by : Matteo Cacciatore
Download or read book Market Reforms at the Zero Lower Bound written by Matteo Cacciatore and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Labor Supply by : Patrick Burke
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Labor Supply written by Patrick Burke and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter gives an overview of the current literature on participation in the labor market. Special attention is paid to trends in participation since 2000. The role of demographic change in those trends is compared against other explanations. With the increasing focus on labor market participation at the United States Federal Reserve, the history of monetary policy changes and participation is also examined. The second chapter estimates a labor market matching model to get a more accurate measure of the market tightness elasticity of the job finding rate and unexplained residual. The estimation strategy in the second chapter follows the approach in Borowczyk-Martins et al. (2013) which models the autocorrelation structure of the unobserved component in the matching function to address simultaneity bias. This chapter then uses asset data present in the Survey of Income and Program Participation. This allows for the use of average household debt as an additional instrument to correct for measurement error. These results help characterize the recent shifts in the Beveridge curve and the decline of the matching rate between job seekers and job openings between 2008-2013. How important is labor supply for the ability of monetary policy to influence inflation and employment? Hiring costs alter the response of inflation to monetary policy. As shown in Kurozumi and Van Zandweghe (2010), adjustments in employment can make it difficult for monetary policy to reach its price stability and full employment targets. As the policy response is more vigorous in maintaining inflation around a target, that target becomes impossible to maintain. Recent fluctuations in the participation rate have led to a growing concern about the role of labor supply in monetary policy. This chapter shows that as labor supply becomes more elastic, the monetary authority is more likely to be able to stabilize the economy around its steady state targets. The central bank's response to cyclical unemployment is important for price level stability regardless of business cycle goals. Journal of Economic Literature codes: E12 E24 E31 E32 E52.
Book Synopsis Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics by : Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan
Download or read book Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics written by Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-02 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around 1⁄4–? of the post-2007 decline is reversible, the LFPR will continue to decline given population aging. This paper’s measure of the “employment gap” also suggests that labor market slack remains and will only decline gradually, pointing to a still important role for stimulative macro-economic policies to help reach full employment. In addition, given the continued downward pressure on the LFPR, labor supply measures will be an essential component of the strategy to boost potential growth. Finally, stimulative macroeconomic and labor supply policies should also help reduce the scope for further hysteresis effects to develop (e.g., loss of skills, discouragement).
Book Synopsis Fighting Unemployment by : David R. Howell
Download or read book Fighting Unemployment written by David R. Howell and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004-12-02 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With much of Europe plagued by high levels of unemployment, it has become widely accepted that the culprit is labor market rigidity and that the prescription can only be labor market deregulation: lower wages, higher earnings inequality, greater decentralization in bargaining, less generous unemployment benefits, more hiring flexibility, and less job security. Fighting Unemployment critically assesses this free market orthodoxy. With cross-country statistical analyses and country case studies, leading economists from seven North American and European countries contend that this conventional wisdom has greatly exaggerated the extent to which the unemployment problem can be blamed on protective labor market institutions and that the case for dismantling the welfare state to fight unemployment rests more on free market ideology than on the empirical evidence. The larger message of this book is that fundamentally different labor market models - ranging from the 'American Model' to the much more regulated and coordinated Scandinavian systems - are compatible with low unemployment.
Book Synopsis Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy by : Serdar Birinci
Download or read book Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy written by Serdar Birinci and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession by : Christopher J. Erceg
Download or read book Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession written by Christopher J. Erceg and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal times” (that is, in response to small or transitory shocks) but drops markedly in the wake of a large and persistent aggregate demand shock. Finally, we show that these considerations can have potentially crucial implications for the design of monetary policy, especially under circumstances in which adjustments to the short-term interest rate are constrained by the zero lower bound.
