In an Uncertain World

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Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 0375757309
Total Pages : 463 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis In an Uncertain World by : Robert Rubin

Download or read book In an Uncertain World written by Robert Rubin and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2004-09-07 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period in the global economy; it also captured the essence of Rubin himself--short on formality, quick to get into the nitty-gritty. From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World, Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy. Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events. With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412959039
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2010 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

Acting in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262515962
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Acting in an Uncertain World by : Michel Callon

Download or read book Acting in an Uncertain World written by Michel Callon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-01-21 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A call for a new form of democracy in which “hybrid forums” composed of experts and laypeople address such sociotechnical controversies as hazardous waste, genetically modified organisms, and nanotechnology. Controversies over such issues as nuclear waste, genetically modified organisms, asbestos, tobacco, gene therapy, avian flu, and cell phone towers arise almost daily as rapid scientific and technological advances create uncertainty and bring about unforeseen concerns. The authors of Acting in an Uncertain World argue that political institutions must be expanded and improved to manage these controversies, to transform them into productive conversations, and to bring about “technical democracy.” They show how “hybrid forums”—in which experts, non-experts, ordinary citizens, and politicians come together—reveal the limits of traditional delegative democracies, in which decisions are made by quasi-professional politicians and techno-scientific information is the domain of specialists in laboratories. The division between professionals and laypeople, the authors claim, is simply outmoded. The authors argue that laboratory research should be complemented by everyday experimentation pursued in the real world, and they describe various modes of cooperation between the two. They explore a range of concrete examples of hybrid forums that have dealt with sociotechnical controversies including nuclear waste disposal in France, industrial waste and birth defects in Japan, a childhood leukemia cluster in Woburn, Massachusetts, and mad cow disease in the United Kingdom. The authors discuss the implications for political decision making in general and describe a “dialogic” democracy that enriches traditional representative democracy. To invent new procedures for consultation and representation, they suggest, is to contribute to an endless process that is necessary for the ongoing democratization of democracy.

Knowledge in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019955062X
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Knowledge in an Uncertain World by : Jeremy Fantl

Download or read book Knowledge in an Uncertain World written by Jeremy Fantl and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2009-11-05 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study explores the relation between knowledge, reasons and justification. It argues that you can rely on what you know, since what you know can be a reason you have and you can rely on your reasons. But the assumption that knowledge allows for a chance of error makes this a controversial position in epistemology.

Public Policy in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674067541
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Policy in an Uncertain World by : Charles F. Manski

Download or read book Public Policy in an Uncertain World written by Charles F. Manski and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2013-02-14 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Manski argues that public policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. Failing to account for uncertainty in an uncertain world, policy analysis routinely misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Manski critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve both how policy research is conducted and how it is used by policy makers.

Community Development in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107543363
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis Community Development in an Uncertain World by : Jim Ife

Download or read book Community Development in an Uncertain World written by Jim Ife and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-09-20 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Community Development in an Uncertain World is an essential resource for students and professionals in the human services.

Beyond Fear

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387217126
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond Fear by : Bruce Schneier

Download or read book Beyond Fear written by Bruce Schneier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-05-10 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many of us, especially since 9/11, have become personally concerned about issues of security, and this is no surprise. Security is near the top of government and corporate agendas around the globe. Security-related stories appear on the front page everyday. How well though, do any of us truly understand what achieving real security involves? In Beyond Fear, Bruce Schneier invites us to take a critical look at not just the threats to our security, but the ways in which we're encouraged to think about security by law enforcement agencies, businesses of all shapes and sizes, and our national governments and militaries. Schneier believes we all can and should be better security consumers, and that the trade-offs we make in the name of security - in terms of cash outlays, taxes, inconvenience, and diminished freedoms - should be part of an ongoing negotiation in our personal, professional, and civic lives, and the subject of an open and informed national discussion. With a well-deserved reputation for original and sometimes iconoclastic thought, Schneier has a lot to say that is provocative, counter-intuitive, and just plain good sense. He explains in detail, for example, why we need to design security systems that don't just work well, but fail well, and why secrecy on the part of government often undermines security. He also believes, for instance, that national ID cards are an exceptionally bad idea: technically unsound, and even destructive of security. And, contrary to a lot of current nay-sayers, he thinks online shopping is fundamentally safe, and that many of the new airline security measure (though by no means all) are actually quite effective. A skeptic of much that's promised by highly touted technologies like biometrics, Schneier is also a refreshingly positive, problem-solving force in the often self-dramatizing and fear-mongering world of security pundits. Schneier helps the reader to understand the issues at stake, and how to best come to one's own conclusions, including the vast infrastructure we already have in place, and the vaster systems--some useful, others useless or worse--that we're being asked to submit to and pay for. Bruce Schneier is the author of seven books, including Applied Cryptography (which Wired called "the one book the National Security Agency wanted never to be published") and Secrets and Lies (described in Fortune as "startlingly lively...¦[a] jewel box of little surprises you can actually use."). He is also Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Counterpane Internet Security, Inc., and publishes Crypto-Gram, one of the most widely read newsletters in the field of online security.

Picturing the Uncertain World

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400832896
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the Uncertain World by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Picturing the Uncertain World written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his entertaining and informative book Graphic Discovery, Howard Wainer unlocked the power of graphical display to make complex problems clear. Now he's back with Picturing the Uncertain World, a book that explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse sampling of graphical display, from heartrending autobiographical displays of genocide in the Kovno ghetto to the "Pie Chart of Mystery" in a New Yorker cartoon, Wainer illustrates the many ways graphs can be used--and misused--as we try to make sense of an uncertain world. Picturing the Uncertain World takes readers on an extraordinary graphical adventure, revealing how the visual communication of data offers answers to vexing questions yet also highlights the measure of uncertainty in almost everything we do. Are cancer rates higher or lower in rural communities? How can you know how much money to sock away for retirement when you don't know when you'll die? And where exactly did nineteenth-century novelists get their ideas? These are some of the fascinating questions Wainer invites readers to consider. Along the way he traces the origins and development of graphical display, from William Playfair, who pioneered the use of graphs in the eighteenth century, to instances today where the public has been misled through poorly designed graphs. We live in a world full of uncertainty, yet it is within our grasp to take its measure. Read Picturing the Uncertain World and learn how.

Tomorrow

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Publisher : Andrews McMeel Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0740738402
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Tomorrow by : Bradley Trevor Greive

Download or read book Tomorrow written by Bradley Trevor Greive and published by Andrews McMeel Publishing. This book was released on 2003-10 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Picking up where the "New York Times" bestselling "The Meaning of Life" left off, "Tomorrow" reflects on staying sane in a world of change, conflict, confusion, and seeming madness, advising readers on how to maintain their footing and optimism even when the very ground seems to shift beneath their soles.

Tales from an Uncertain World

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Publisher : University of Iowa Press
ISBN 13 : 1609385535
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Tales from an Uncertain World by : L. S. Gardiner

Download or read book Tales from an Uncertain World written by L. S. Gardiner and published by University of Iowa Press. This book was released on 2018-03-15 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: So far, humanity hasn’t done very well in addressing the ongoing climate catastrophe. Veteran science educator L. S. Gardiner believes we can learn to do better by understanding how we’ve dealt with other types of environmental risks in the past and why we are dragging our feet in addressing this most urgent emergency. Weaving scientific facts and research together with humor and emotion, Gardiner explores human responses to erosion, earthquakes, fires, invasive species, marine degradation, volcanic eruptions, and floods in order to illuminate why we find it so challenging to deal with climate change. Insight emerges from unexpected places—a mermaid exhibit, a Magic 8 Ball, and midcentury cartoons about a future that never came to be. Instead of focusing on the economics and geopolitics of the debate over climate change, this book brings large-scale disaster to a human scale, emphasizing the role of the individual. We humans do have the capacity to deal with disasters. When we face threatening changes, we don’t just stand there pretending it isn’t so, we do something. But because we’re human, our responses aren’t always the right ones the first time—yet we can learn to do better. This book is essential reading for all who want to know how we can draw on our strengths to survive the climate catastrophe and forge a new relationship with nature.

You Are What You Risk

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Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1643136798
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (431 download)

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Book Synopsis You Are What You Risk by : Michele Wucker

Download or read book You Are What You Risk written by Michele Wucker and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The #1 international bestselling author of The Gray Rhino offers a bold new framework for understanding and re-shaping our relationship with risk and uncertainty to live more productive and successful lives. What drives a sixty-four-year-old woman to hurl herself over Niagara Falls in a barrel? Why do we often create bigger risks than the risks we try to avoid? Why are corporate boards newly worried about risky personal behavior by CEOs? Why are some nations quicker than others to recognize and manage risks like pandemics, technological change, and climate crisis? The answers define each person, organization, and society as distinctively as a fingerprint. Understanding the often-surprising origins of these risk fingerprints can open your eyes, inspire new habits, catalyze innovation and creativity, improve teamwork, and provide a beacon in a world that seems suddenly more uncertain than ever. How you see risk and what you do about it depend on your personality and experiences. How you make these cost-benefit calculations depend on your culture, your values, the people in the room, and even unexpected things like what you’ve eaten recently, the temperature, the music playing, or the fragrance in the air. Being alert to these often-unconscious influences will help you to seize opportunity and avoid danger. You Are What You Risk is a clarion call for an entirely new conversation about our relationship with risk and uncertainty. In this ground-breaking, accessible and eminently timely book, Michele Wucker examines why it’s so important to understand your risk fingerprint and how to make your risk relationship work better in business, life, and the world. Drawing on compelling risk stories around the world and weaving in economics, anthropology, sociology, and psychology research, Wucker bridges the divide between professional and lay risk conversations. She challenges stereotypes about risk attitudes, re-frames how gender and risk are related, and shines new light on generational differences. She shows how the new science of “risk personality” is re-shaping business and finance, how healthy risk ecosystems support economies and societies, and why embracing risk empathy can resolve conflicts. Wucker shares insights, practical tools, and proven strategies that will help you to understand what makes you who you are –and, in turn, to make better choices, both big and small.

Conquering Fear

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Publisher : Anchor
ISBN 13 : 0307385892
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Conquering Fear by : Harold S. Kushner

Download or read book Conquering Fear written by Harold S. Kushner and published by Anchor. This book was released on 2010-11-02 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the #1 bestselling author of When Bad Things Happen to Good People, an illuminating book about fear—and what we can do to overcome it. An inescapable component of our lives, fear comes in many guises. In uncertain times, coping with these fears can be especially challenging, but in this indispensable book, Harold S. Kushner teaches us to confront, master, and even embrace fear for a more fulfilling life. Drawing on the teachings of religious and secular literature and on the true stories of people who have faced their fears, we are again inspired by Kushner’s wisdom, at once deeply spiritual and eminently practical.

Safeguarding the Future

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Publisher : Bridget Williams Books
ISBN 13 : 0947518266
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (475 download)

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Book Synopsis Safeguarding the Future by : Jonathan Boston

Download or read book Safeguarding the Future written by Jonathan Boston and published by Bridget Williams Books. This book was released on 2017-03-08 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an era of populist politics, Brexit, Donald Trump, 24-hour news cycles and perpetual election campaigning, how do we govern well for the future? How do we take the long view, ensuring that present-day policy decisions reflect the needs and safeguard the interests of future generations? In this timely BWB Text, acclaimed policy scholar Jonathan Boston sets out what ‘anticipatory governance’ might look like in New Zealand. Confronted with a world becoming more uncertain by the day, this book is essential reading for anyone questioning how democratic societies can tackle the unprecedented challenges ahead.

Uncertain World

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781537423319
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (233 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain World by : Chris Pike

Download or read book Uncertain World written by Chris Pike and published by . This book was released on 2016-09-02 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From breakout author Chris Pike comes the thrilling conclusion about one father's quest to persevere against all odds to save his daughter. You read Unexpected World. You experienced the fall of modern society. Now it's time for the hardened survivors to face the perils of an uncertain world. Dillon Stockdale is a broken man, crippled by agonizing grief over the realization his daughter perished in the wilderness. Dillon, together with Holly Hudson and his faithful dog, reluctantly begin the dangerous journey back to Holly's sprawling ranch. During the harrowing trip, they face murderous outlaws and violent weather, but they learn something invaluable that will change the course of many lives.Will a bold plan and new alliances result in Dillon's salvation, or does the journey end here?Find out who lives and who dies in this riveting conclusion to the survivors of an unexpected and uncertain world.

Fixing the Climate

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691224536
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Fixing the Climate by : Charles F. Sabel

Download or read book Fixing the Climate written by Charles F. Sabel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2024-04-02 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solving the global climate crisis through local partnerships and experimentation Global climate diplomacy—from the Kyoto Protocol to the Paris Agreement—is not working. Despite decades of sustained negotiations by world leaders, the climate crisis continues to worsen. The solution is within our grasp—but we will not achieve it through top-down global treaties or grand bargains among nations. Charles Sabel and David Victor explain why the profound transformations needed for deep cuts in emissions must arise locally, with government and business working together to experiment with new technologies, quickly learn the best solutions, and spread that information globally. Sabel and Victor show how some of the most iconic successes in environmental policy were products of this experimentalist approach to problem solving, such as the Montreal Protocol on the ozone layer, the rise of electric vehicles, and Europe’s success in controlling water pollution. They argue that the Paris Agreement is at best an umbrella under which local experimentation can push the technological frontier and help societies around the world learn how to deploy the technologies and policies needed to tackle this daunting global problem. A visionary book that fundamentally reorients our thinking about the climate crisis, Fixing the Climate is a road map to institutional design that can finally lead to self-sustaining reductions in emissions that years of global diplomacy have failed to deliver.

The India Way

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Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 9390163870
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The India Way by : S. Jaishankar

Download or read book The India Way written by S. Jaishankar and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2020-09-04 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The decade from the 2008 global financial crisis to the 2020 coronavirus pandemic has seen a real transformation of the world order. The very nature of international relations and its rules are changing before our eyes. For India, this means optimal relationships with all the major powers to best advance its goals. It also requires a bolder and non-reciprocal approach to its neighbourhood. A global footprint is now in the making that leverages India's greater capability and relevance, as well as its unique diaspora. This era of global upheaval entails greater expectations from India, putting it on the path to becoming a leading power. In The India Way, S. Jaishankar, India's Minister of External Affairs, analyses these challenges and spells out possible policy responses. He places this thinking in the context of history and tradition, appropriate for a civilizational power that seeks to reclaim its place on the world stage.

More Truth

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Author :
Publisher : InterVarsity Press
ISBN 13 : 1783597666
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (835 download)

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Book Synopsis More Truth by : Kristi Mair

Download or read book More Truth written by Kristi Mair and published by InterVarsity Press. This book was released on 2019-04-16 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Jesus claimed to be "the way and the truth and the life." But can we really accept this ultimate truth in an age of questioning, uncertainty, relativism and skepticism? In MORE Truth, young philosopher Kristi Mair explores whether Christians can be confident in the "truth" in our anything goes age.