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Forecasting With A Market Oriented Model
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Book Synopsis Forecasting with a Market Oriented Model by : James Cyprian Okuk Nyankori
Download or read book Forecasting with a Market Oriented Model written by James Cyprian Okuk Nyankori and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Operation of Market-oriented Power Systems by : Yong-Hua Song
Download or read book Operation of Market-oriented Power Systems written by Yong-Hua Song and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2003-07-31 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This useful reference allows readers to compare and learn from best-practice and up-to-date information in this exciting field from Europe, the US and Australia. It shows how to overcome day-to-day and strategic engineering problems, rather than concentrating on policy and market-structural issues.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications by : I. Moosa
Download or read book Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications written by I. Moosa and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-05 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner. Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.
Book Synopsis Market Response Models: Econometric and Time Series Analysis by : Dominique M. Hanssens
Download or read book Market Response Models: Econometric and Time Series Analysis written by Dominique M. Hanssens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reports over a decade's worth of research on the development of empirical response models that have important uses for generating marketing knowledge and improving marketing decisions. Some of its contributions to marketing are the following: 1. It integrates state-of-the art technical material with discussions of its relevance to management. 2. It provides continuity to a research stream over 20 years old. 3. It illustrates how marketing generalizations are the basis of marketing theory and marketing knowledge. 4. It shows how the research can be applied to marketing planning and forecasting. 5. It presents original research in marketing. The book addresses both marketing researchers and marketing managers. This can be done because empirical decision models are helpful in practice and are also based on theories of response. Econometric and time series analysis (ETS) is one of the few areas in marketing where there is little, if any, conflict between the academic sphere and the world of professional practice. Market Response Models is a sequel to Marketing Models and Econometric Research, published in 1976. It is rare for a research-oriented book in market ing to be updated or to have a sequel. Unlike many other methodologies, ETS research in marketing has stood the test of time. It remains the main method for discovering relations among marketing variables.
Book Synopsis Forecasting and Timing Markets: a Quantitative Approach by : Henry Liu
Download or read book Forecasting and Timing Markets: a Quantitative Approach written by Henry Liu and published by . This book was released on 2021-04-25 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Note: This is the 2nd edition, in color, updated in April, 2021. Please check the cover for the subtitle of Second Edition before placing an order. If you prefer a cheaper black and white version, please expand "See all formats and editions" to find it. Financial markets are essentially time-series data driven events consisting of valleys, peaks, and in-betweens of ups and downs. For more than a century, many pioneers had attempted to come up with various theoretical models to facilitate forecasting and timing market moves. For example, as early as in 1902, or 119 years ago, S. A. Nelson, a friend of Charles H. Dow, attempted to explain Dow's methods in his book titled The A B C of Stock Speculation, which became later known as "the Dow Theory." 20 years later in 1922, William Peter Hamilton carried on and wrote the book The Stock Market Barometer, which explained the Dow Theory in more detail. More recently in the last few decades, the advent of advanced computing technologies helped create numerous technical indicators, such as Relative Strength Index (RSI) by J. Welles Wilder (1978), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) by Gerald Appel (2005), Stochastic Oscillator (SO) by George Lane (2007), and Bollinger Bands (BB) by John Bollinger (2002), etc. Those powerful theories and indicators have been heavily studied and well-known in the financial circle. However, they are empirical and lack quantitative verifications out of solid backtest results. This book helps fill these vacancies. This text attempts to help explore how one can forecast and time markets more quantitatively. For this purpose, the author developed a model-based system, named AlphaCovaria, to help demonstrate how to use various simplest, readily available technical indicators to forecast and time markets approximately while eliminating subjective speculations at the same time. Centered on various math models, the author's AlphaCovaria system has three main components: an AlphaCurve program for charting, a BTDriver program for running all backtests, and an AlphaCovaria driver for generating buy/sell signals based on symbol profiles learned through backtests. This kind of formula-driven approach is more promising for building more high-performance strategies. The text is made concise and precise of about 100 pages only, as a working method does not need to be wordy. Math models, data and charts can help explain more effectively and convincingly. Also, inspired by those classical models, the author came up with a new indicator named simple cascading indicator (sci), which beat all those classical models in most cases, based on the backtest results with 29 carefully selected symbols and past 15 years' price data. This 2nd edition of the book also shared my live trading experience using real money in my Fidelity and eTrade accounts with my AlphaCovaria system. Such data can be found nowhere else.
Book Synopsis Volumetric modeling by : Alain Pioche
Download or read book Volumetric modeling written by Alain Pioche and published by Editions Publibook. This book was released on 2017-04 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry by : Arthur G. Cook
Download or read book Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry written by Arthur G. Cook and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-28 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast. This process of predicting the future is crucial to many aspects of the company - from next month's production schedule, to market estimates for drugs in the next decade. The pharmaceutical forecaster needs to strike a delicate balance between over-engineering the forecast - including rafts of data and complex 'black box' equations that few stakeholders understand and even fewer buy into - and an overly simplistic approach that relies too heavily on anecdotal information and opinion. Art Cook's highly pragmatic guide explains the basis of a successful balanced forecast for products in development as well as currently marketed products. The author explores the pharmaceutical forecasting process; the varied tools and methods for new product and in-market forecasting; how they can be used to communicate market dynamics to the various stakeholders; and the strengths and weaknesses of different forecast approaches. The text is liberally illustrated with tables, diagrams and examples. The final extended case study provides the reader with an opportunity to test out their knowledge. Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry is a definitive guide for forecasters as well as the multitude of decision makers and executives who rely on forecasts in their decision making.
Book Synopsis Developing a Market Orientation by : Rohit Deshpande
Download or read book Developing a Market Orientation written by Rohit Deshpande and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1999-04-13 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market orientation is best defined as an organization-level culture, a set of shared values and beliefs about putting the customer first in business planning. This book demonstrates the importance of market orientation on organizational culture (the shared set of values for putting customers first), on strategy (the creation of superior value for a firm's customers), and on tactics (the set of cross-functional activities directed at creating and satisfying customers).
Book Synopsis Advances in Business and Management Forecasting by : Kenneth D. Lawrence
Download or read book Advances in Business and Management Forecasting written by Kenneth D. Lawrence and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2009-05-08 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this research annual is to present state-of-the-art studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. (An accurate, robust forecast is critical to effective decision making). The focus of the research annual is applications - and practitioner-oriented. The topics will normally include sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, forecasting for strategic business decisions, improvements in forecasting accuracy, and sales response models. It is the direction of the editorial board to stimulate the interest of the practitioners of forecasting to methods and techniques that are relevant.
Book Synopsis New Product Forecasting by : Kenneth B. Kahn
Download or read book New Product Forecasting written by Kenneth B. Kahn and published by M.E. Sharpe. This book was released on 2006-04-26 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concise and jargon free, this is a one-step primer on the tools and techniques of forecasting new product development. Equally useful for students and professionals, the book is generously illustrated, and features numerous current real-world industry cases and examples.
Book Synopsis Development of a Forecasting Model to Predict the Downturn and Upturn of a Real Estate Market in the Inland Empire by : Thomas F. Flynn
Download or read book Development of a Forecasting Model to Predict the Downturn and Upturn of a Real Estate Market in the Inland Empire written by Thomas F. Flynn and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amidst the dramatic real estate fluctuations in the first decade of the twenty-first century, this study recognized that there is a necessity to create a real estate prediction model for future real estate ventures and prevention of losses such as the mortgage meltdown and housing bust. This real estate prediction model study sought to reinstall the integrity into the American building and development industry, which was tarnished by the sudden emergence of various publications offering get-rich-quick schemes. In the fast-paced and competitive world of lending and real estate development, it is becoming more complex to combine current and evolving factors into a profitable business model. This prediction model correlated past real estate cycle pinpoints to economical driving forces in order to create an ongoing formula. The study used a descriptive, secondary interpretation of raw data already available. Quarterly data was taken from the study's seven independent variables over a 24-year span from 1985 to 2009 to examine the correlation over two real estate cycles. Public information from 97 quarters (1985-2009) was also gathered on seven topics: consumer confidence, loan origination volume, construction employment statistics, migration, GDP, inflation, and interest rates. The Null hypothesis underwent a test of variance at a .05 level of significance. Multiple regression analysis uncovered that four of seven variables have correlated and could predict movement in real estate cycle evidence from previous data, based in the Inland Empire. GDP, interest rates, loan origination volume, and inflation were the four economical driving variables that completed the Inland Empire's real estate prediction model and global test. Findings from this study certify that there is correlation between economical driving factors and the real estate cycle. These correlations illustrate patterns and trends, which can become a prediction model using statistics. By interpreting and examining the data, this study believes that the prediction model is best utilized through pinpointing an exact numerical location by running calculations through the established global equation, and recommends further research and regular update of quarterly trends and movements in the real estate cycle and specific variables in the formula.
Book Synopsis Building Models for Marketing Decisions by : Peter S.H. Leeflang
Download or read book Building Models for Marketing Decisions written by Peter S.H. Leeflang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 642 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about marketing models and the process of model building. Our primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. It has long been known that simple models usually outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. For example, models of judgments tend to provide better forecasts of the outcomes than the judgments themselves (because the model eliminates the noise in judgments). And since judgments never fully reflect the complexities of the many forces that influence outcomes, it is easy to see why models of actual outcomes should be very attractive to (marketing) decision makers. Thus, appropriately constructed models can provide insights about structural relations between marketing variables. Since models explicate the relations, both the process of model building and the model that ultimately results can improve the quality of marketing decisions. Managers often use rules of thumb for decisions. For example, a brand manager will have defined a specific set of alternative brands as the competitive set within a product category. Usually this set is based on perceived similarities in brand characteristics, advertising messages, etc. If a new marketing initiative occurs for one of the other brands, the brand manager will have a strong inclination to react. The reaction is partly based on the manager's desire to maintain some competitive parity in the mar keting variables.
Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon
Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.
Book Synopsis Market-Oriented Technology Management by : Fred Y. Phillips
Download or read book Market-Oriented Technology Management written by Fred Y. Phillips and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops the fundamentals of technology cycles, technology acquisition, core technology management, and technology policy. These principles enable managers to find, acquire and develop technologies, add value to them, and make profits. Examples taken from high tech companies illustrate the application of these principles in the context of current industry issues. The book has been tested on students undertaking MBA courses at Austins Technology Incubator, Texas, and on managers and executives at Oregons Silicon Forest.The books emphasis on marketing is a distinctive feature.
Book Synopsis Principles of Forecasting by : J.S. Armstrong
Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Book Synopsis The Journal of Agricultural Economics Research by :
Download or read book The Journal of Agricultural Economics Research written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advanced Forecasting Model on Land Market Value Based on USA Real Estate Market by : Lei Wang
Download or read book Advanced Forecasting Model on Land Market Value Based on USA Real Estate Market written by Lei Wang and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research presents a time series estimation and prediction methods with the use of classic and advanced forecasting tools. Our discussion about di erent time series models is supported by giving the experimental forecast results, performed on several macroeconomic variables. Also, the main section deal with the experience of using such data in econometric analysis. Besides, the implementation of SAS and R software improve the parameter estimation and forecasting accuracy. The objective in providing crucial statistical techniques is to enable government and investors to make informed decisions regarding real estate. Most importantly, we obtain how to add value to business and apply skills set real estate in a real world environment. Eventually, the summary of various existing forecasting models can provide information to develop an appropriate forecasting model which describes the inherent feature of the series.