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Author : Ernst-Walter Diehl
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 620 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (266 download)
Download or read book Effects of Feedback Structure on Dynamic Decision Making written by Ernst-Walter Diehl and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ernst-Walter Diehl
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)
Download or read book Effects pf feedback structure on dynamic decision making written by Ernst-Walter Diehl and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ernest-Walter Diehl
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (512 download)
Download or read book Effects of Feedback Structure on Dynamic Decision Making written by Ernest-Walter Diehl and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Philip J. Rutgers
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781862743540
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (435 download)
Download or read book The Effects of Feedback Format on Dynamic Decision Making written by Philip J. Rutgers and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : John D. Sterman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (289 download)
Download or read book Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making written by John D. Sterman and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Carolus Marinus Hurts
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (512 download)
Download or read book Decision Making in Dynamic Environments written by Carolus Marinus Hurts and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319079867
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)
Download or read book Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-06-16 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer simulation-based education and training is a multi-billion dollar industry. With the increased complexity of organizational decision making, projected demand for computer simulation-based decisional aids is on the rise. The objective of this book is to enhance systematically our understanding of and gain insights into the general process by which human facilitated ILEs are effectively designed and used in improving users’ decision making in dynamic tasks. This book is divided into four major parts. Part I serves as an introduction to the subject of “decision making in dynamic tasks”, its importance and its complexity. Part II provides background material, drawing upon the relevant literature, for the development of an integrated process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks. Part III focuses on the design, development and application of Fish Bank ILE, in laboratory experiments, to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the process model. Finally, part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the gathered data to provide a powerful basis for understating important phenomena of training with human facilitated simulation-based learning environments, thereby, help to drive critical lessons to be learned. This book provides the reader with both a comprehensive understanding of the phenomena encountered in decision making with human facilitated ILEs and a unique way of studying the effects of these phenomena on people’s ability to make better decision in complex, dynamic tasks. This book is intended to be of use to managers and practitioners, researchers and students of dynamic decision making. The background material of Part II provides a solid base to understand and organize the existing experimental research literature and approaches.
Author : Erica Yu
Publisher : Frontiers E-books
ISBN 13 : 2889192709
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (891 download)
Download or read book Dynamics of decision making: from evidence to preference and belief written by Erica Yu and published by Frontiers E-books. This book was released on 2014-10-24 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the core of the many debates throughout cognitive science concerning how decisions are made are the processes governing the time course of preference formation and decision. From perceptual choices, such as whether the signal on a radar screen indicates an enemy missile or a spot on a CT scan indicates a tumor, to cognitive value-based decisions, such as selecting an agreeable flatmate or deciding the guilt of a defendant, significant and everyday decisions are dynamic over time. Phenomena such as decoy effects, preference reversals and order effects are still puzzling researchers. For example, in a legal context, jurors receive discrete pieces of evidence in sequence, and must integrate these pieces together to reach a singular verdict. From a standard Bayesian viewpoint the order in which people receive the evidence should not influence their final decision, and yet order effects seem a robust empirical phenomena in many decision contexts. Current research on how decisions unfold, especially in a dynamic environment, is advancing our theoretical understanding of decision making. This Research Topic aims to review and further explore the time course of a decision - from how prior beliefs are formed to how those beliefs are used and updated over time, towards the formation of preferences and choices and post-decision processes and effects. Research literatures encompassing varied approaches to the time-scale of decisions will be brought into scope: a) Speeded decisions (and post-decision processes) that require the accumulation of noisy and possibly non-stationary perceptual evidence (e.g., randomly moving dots stimuli), within a few seconds, with or without temporal uncertainty. b) Temporally-extended, value-based decisions that integrate feedback values (e.g., gambling machines) and internally-generated decision criteria (e.g., when one switches attention, selectively, between the various aspects of several choice alternatives). c) Temporally extended, belief-based decisions that build on the integration of evidence, which interacts with the decision maker's belief system, towards the updating of the beliefs and the formation of judgments and preferences (as in the legal context). Research that emphasizes theoretical concerns (including optimality analysis) and mechanisms underlying the decision process, both neural and cognitive, is presented, as well as research that combines experimental and computational levels of analysis.
Author : Jennifer J. Halpern
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501725475
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Debating Rationality written by Jennifer J. Halpern and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2018-10-18 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision makers strive to be rational. Traditionally, rational decisions maximize an appropriate return. The contributors to this book challenge the common assumption that good decisions must be rational in this economic sense. They emphasize that the decision-making process is influenced by social, organizational, and psychological considerations as well as by economic concerns. Relationships, time pressure, external demands for specific types of performance, contractual expectations, human biases, and reactions to unfair treatment alter the decision-making context and the resulting decision outcomes.
Author : Carolus Marinus Maria Hurts
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 508 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)
Download or read book Decision Making in Dynamic Environments written by Carolus Marinus Maria Hurts and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Yaman Barlas
Publisher : EOLSS Publications
ISBN 13 : 1848261373
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (482 download)
Download or read book SYSTEM DYNAMICS - Volume I written by Yaman Barlas and published by EOLSS Publications. This book was released on 2009-06-29 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: System Dynamics is a component of Encyclopedia of Technology, Information, and Systems Management Resources in the global Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS), which is an integrated compendium of twenty one Encyclopedias. The world is facing a wide range of increasingly complex, dynamic problems in the public and private arenas alike. System dynamics discipline is an attempt to address such dynamic, long-term policy problems. Applications cover a very wide spectrum, including national economic problems, supply chains, project management, educational problems, energy systems, sustainable development, politics, psychology, medical sciences, health care, and many other areas. This theme provides a comprehensive overview of system dynamics methodology, including its conceptual / philosophical framework, as well as the technical aspects of modeling and analysis. System dynamics can address the fundamental structural causes of the long-term dynamic contemporary socio-economic problems. Its "systems" perspective challenges the barriers that separate disciplines. The interdisciplinary and systemic approach of system dynamics could be critical in dealing with the increasingly complex problems of our modern world in this new century. These two volumes are aimed at the following five major target audiences: University and College students Educators, Professional practitioners, Research personnel and Policy analysts, managers, and decision makers and NGOs.
Author : Henry Montgomery
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1410611728
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (16 download)
Download or read book How Professionals Make Decisions written by Henry Montgomery and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2004-09-23 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is the fruit of the 5th conference on Naturalistic Decision Making which focused on the importance of studying people who have some degree of expertise in the domain in which they make decisions. The substantive concerns pertain to how individuals and groups make decisions in professional and organizational settings, and to develop suit
Author : Willi Semmler
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401113645
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods written by Willi Semmler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In macrodynamics and business cycle analysis we find nowadays a variety of approaches elaborating frameworks for studying the fluctuations in economic and financial data. These approaches are viewed from Keynesian, monetarist and rational expectations standpoints. There are now also numerous empirical methods for the testing of nonlinear data generating mechanisms. This volume brings together a selection of contributions on theories of the business cycle and new empirical methods and synopsizes the new results. The volume (i) gives an overview of current models and modern concepts and tools for analyzing the business cycle; (ii) demonstrates, where possible, the relation of those models to the history of business cycle analysis; and (iii) presents current work, surveys and original work, on new empirical methods of studying cycle generating mechanisms.
Author : Peter A. Frensch
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1317781392
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (177 download)
Download or read book Complex Problem Solving written by Peter A. Frensch and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2014-04-04 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents a state-of-the-science review of the most promising current European research -- and its historic roots of research -- on complex problem solving (CPS) in Europe. It is an attempt to close the knowledge gap among American scholars regarding the European approach to understanding CPS. Although most of the American researchers are well aware of the fact that CPS has been a very active research area in Europe for quite some time, they do not know any specifics about even the most important research. Part of the reason for this lack of knowledge is undoubtedly the fact that European researchers -- for the most part -- have been rather reluctant to publish their work in English-language journals. The book concentrates on European research because the basic approach European scholars have taken to studying CPS is very different from one taken by North American researchers. Traditionally, American scholars have been studying CPS in "natural" domains -- physics, reading, writing, and chess playing -- concentrating primarily on exploring novice-expert differences and the acquisition of a complex skill. European scholars, in contrast, have been primarily concerned with problem solving behavior in artificially generated, mostly computerized, complex systems. While the American approach has the advantage of high external validity, the European approach has the advantage of system variables that can be systematically manipulated to reveal the effects of system parameters on CPS behavior. The two approaches are thus best viewed as complementing each other. This volume contains contributions from four European countries -- Sweden, Switzerland, Great Britain, and Germany. As such, it accurately represents the bulk of empirical research on CPS which has been conducted in Europe. An international cooperation started two years ago with the goal of bringing the European research on complex problem solving to the awareness of American scholars. A direct result of that effort, the contributions to this book are both informative and comprehensive.
Author : Ann Schoofs Hundt
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Feedback in Group Decision Making written by Ann Schoofs Hundt and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Stefan N. Grösser
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790828580
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)
Download or read book Co-Evolution of Standards in Innovation Systems written by Stefan N. Grösser and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-07-27 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mitigating climate change is one of the most profound challenges facing humankind. In industrialized countries, the residential housing sector produces roughly one-fourth of the greenhouse gas emissions. One solution to reduce these emissions is the availability of building codes that require high levels of energy efficiency. Given the current scientific knowledge, more research is needed to gain a proper systemic understanding of the underlying socio-economic and technical system. Such an understanding is crucial for developing high energy-efficiency standards because this system develops gradually over time and cannot be changed swiftly. This book creates a feedback-rich simulation model for analyzing the effects of different administrative policies on energy demand, the improvement of energy efficiency by means of building codes, and reductions in the greenhouse gas emissions. The dynamic model can contribute substantially to the discourse on energy policies and guide effective administrative interventions. The book will be a valuable resource for officials in the public energy administration, as well as researchers in the areas of innovation, diffusion processes, co-evolution, standardization, and simulation modelling.
Author : Robert A. Meyers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)
Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
