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Dynamic Asset Allocation With Predictable Returns And Transaction Costs
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Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Allocation with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs by : Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Allocation with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs written by Pierre Collin-Dufresne and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a simple approach to dynamic multi-period portfolio choice with transaction costs that is tractable in settings with a large number of securities, realistic return dynamics with multiple risk factors, many predictor variables, and stochastic volatility. We obtain a closed-form solution for an optimal trading rule when the problem is restricted to a broad class of strategies we define as 'linearity generating strategies' (LGS). When restricted to this class, the non-linear dynamic optimization problem reduces to a deterministic linear-quadratic optimization problem in the parameters of the trading strategies. We show that the LGS approach dominates several alternatives in realistic settings, and in particular when the covariance structure and transaction costs are stochastic.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Allocation With Event Risk, Transaction Costs and Predictable Returns by : Jean-Guy Simonato
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Allocation With Event Risk, Transaction Costs and Predictable Returns written by Jean-Guy Simonato and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the interplay between event risk, transaction costs and predictability on the dynamic asset allocation of an investor with discrete trading opportunities. The model is calibrated to the U.S. stock market and a Gauss-Hermite quadrature approach is used to solve the investor's dynamic optimization problem. Numerical scenarios are examined to show the impact of event risk on asset allocations, hedging demands, no-trading regions, and certainty equivalent returns. It is found that event risk shrinks hedging demand. Neglecting event risk can also lead to sizeable certainty equivalent return losses.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs by : Nicolae Garleanu
Download or read book Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs written by Nicolae Garleanu and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: This paper derives in closed form the optimal dynamic portfolio policy when trading is costly and security returns are predictable by signals with different mean-reversion speeds. The optimal updated portfolio is a linear combination of the existing portfolio, the optimal portfolio absent trading costs, and the optimal portfolio based on future expected returns and transaction costs. Predictors with slower mean reversion (alpha decay) get more weight since they lead to a favorable positioning both now and in the future. We implement the optimal policy for commodity futures and show that the resulting portfolio has superior returns net of trading costs relative to more naive benchmarks. Finally, we derive natural equilibrium implications, including that demand shocks with faster mean reversion command a higher return premium
Book Synopsis Dynamic Portfolio Theory and Management by : Richard E. Oberuc
Download or read book Dynamic Portfolio Theory and Management written by Richard E. Oberuc and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2004 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Description
Book Synopsis Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs by :
Download or read book Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs written by and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Allocation Using a Combined Criteria Decision System by : Giuseppe Galloppo
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Allocation Using a Combined Criteria Decision System written by Giuseppe Galloppo and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we examine the predictability of asset returns by developing an approach that combines quantitative methods of forecasting, based on technical analysis. As an innovation we introduce a multiple criteria decision system making simultaneous use of trend indicators and other confirming indicators. By combining trend indicators with confirming indicators it is possible to build a superior technical trading strategy that captures a more comprehensive aspect of predictability in past prices. This study also proposes a test for weak form efficiency based on a combining approach. Previous approaches typically make inferences based on the empirical results of testing only one class of technical rules. Applying the combining criteria decision system the evidence suggests that the strategies proposed here have predictive ability on a data sample based on three European stocks Index Markets. Our results rejects the null hypothesis that the returns earned from applying trading rules are equal to those achieved from a naive buy and hold strategy, even after deducting transaction costs. Evidence also suggests that oscillators capture some aspect of predictability in past prices that moving averages do not detect.
Book Synopsis Multiple Risky Assets, Transaction Costs and Return Predictability by : Anthony W. Lynch
Download or read book Multiple Risky Assets, Transaction Costs and Return Predictability written by Anthony W. Lynch and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our paper contributes to the dynamic portfolio choice and transaction cost literatures by considering a multiperiod CRRA individual who faces transaction costs and who has access to multiple risky assets, all with predictable returns. We numerically solve the individual's multiperiod problem in the presence of transaction costs and predictability. In particular, we characterize the investor's optimal portfolio choice with proportional and fixed transaction costs, and with return predictability similar to that observed for the U.S. stock market. We also perform some comparative statics to better understand the nature of the no-trade region with more than one risky asset. Throughout our focus is on the case with two risky assets. We also perform some utility comparisons. The calibration exercise reveals some interesting results about the relative attractiveness of the three equity portfolios calibrated.
Book Synopsis Managing Transaction Costs in a Dynamic Trading Strategy by : James A. Sefton
Download or read book Managing Transaction Costs in a Dynamic Trading Strategy written by James A. Sefton and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive an explicit solution to a continuous time dynamic portfolio problem assuming investors maximize their welfare from a consumption stream in an incomplete market where returns to the securities are predictable but costly to trade. The solution is phrased in terms of a risk-sensitive Riccati equation. We show that the optimal trading strategy is to target a portfolio that is the optimal solution to a frictionless (or 'no-cost') dynamic portfolio problem but where the returns to the assets have been adjusted for costs; that is they have been expressed on a net rather than gross basis. The legacy portfolio (the inherited undesirable positions) are then traded away in line with a backward-looking optimal execution problem. We show that the utility gradient is a stochastic discount factor that prices the assets net returns. Thus we are able to generalise some of the results of the martingale approach to dynamic portfolio theory to market with frictions.
Download or read book Asset Pricing written by Hsien-hsing Liao and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2003 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real estate finance is a fast-developing area where top quality research is in great demand. In the US, the real estate market is worth about US$4 trillion, and the REITs market about US$200 billion; tens of thousands of real estate professionals are working in this area. The market overseas could be considerably larger, especially in Asia. Given the rapidly growing real estate securities industry, this book fills an important gap in current real estate research and teaching. It is an ideal reference for investment professionals as well as senior MBA and PhD students. Contents: Introduction: Real Estate Analysis in a Dynamic Risk Environment; The Predictability of Returns on Equity REITs and Their Co-Movement with Other Assets; The Predictability of Real Estate Returns and Market Timing; A Time-Varying Risk Analysis of Equity and Real Estate Markets in the US and Japan; Price Reversal, Transaction Costs, and Arbitrage Profits in Real Estate Securities Market; Bank Risk and Real Estate: An Asset Pricing Perspective; Assessing the OC Santa ClausOCO Approach to Asset Allocation: Implications for Commercial Real Estate Investment; The Time-Variation of Risk for Life Insurance Companies; The Return Distributions of Property Shares in Emerging Markets; Conditional Risk Premiums of Asian Real Estate Stocks; Institutional Factors and Real Estate Returns: A Cross-Country Study. Readership: Financial researchers, real estate investors and investment bankers, as well as senior MBA and PhD students."
Book Synopsis Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Linear Rebalancing Rules by : Ciamac C. Moallemi
Download or read book Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Linear Rebalancing Rules written by Ciamac C. Moallemi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We consider a broad class of dynamic portfolio optimization problems that allow for complex models of return predictability, transaction costs, trading constraints, and risk considerations. Determining an optimal policy in this general setting is almost always intractable. We propose a class of linear rebalancing rules, and describe an efficient computational procedure to optimize with this class. We illustrate this method in the context of portfolio execution, and show that it achieves near optimal performance. We consider another numerical example involving dynamic trading with mean-variance preferences and demonstrate that our method can result in economically large benefits.
Book Synopsis Explaining the Magnitude of Liquidity Premia by : Anthony W. Lynch
Download or read book Explaining the Magnitude of Liquidity Premia written by Anthony W. Lynch and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The seminal work of Constantinides (1986) documents how, when the risky return is calibrated to the U.S. market return, the impact of transaction costs on per-annum liquidity premia is an order of magnitude smaller than the cost rate itself. A number of recent papers have formed portfolios sorted on liquidity measures and found a spread in expected per-annum return that is definitely not an order of magnitude smaller than the transaction cost spread: the expected per-annum return spread is found to be around 6-7% per annum. Our paper bridges the gap between Constantinides' theoretical result and the empirical magnitude of the liquidity premium by examining dynamic portfolio choice with transaction costs in a variety of more elaborate settings that move the problem closer to the one solved by real-world investors. In particular, we allow returns to be predictable and transaction costs to be stochastic, and we introduce wealth shocks, both stationary multiplicative and labor income. With predictable returns, we also allow the wealth shocks and transaction costs to be state dependent. We find that adding these real world complications to the canonical problem can cause transactions costs to produce per-annum liquidity premia that are no longer an order of magnitude smaller than the rate, but are instead the same order of magnitude. For example, predictable returns and i.i.d. labor income growth causes the liquidity premium for an agent with a wealth to monthly labor income ratio of 0 or 10 to be 1.68\% and 1.20\% respectively; these are 21-fold and 15-fold increases, respectively, relative to that in the standard i.i.d. return case. We conclude that the effect of proportional transaction costs on the standard consumption and portfolio allocation problem with i.i.d. returns can be materially altered by reasonable perturbations that bring the problem closer to the one investors are actually solving"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Allocation with Ambiguous Return Predictability by : Hui Chen
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Allocation with Ambiguous Return Predictability written by Hui Chen and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study an investor's optimal consumption and portfolio choice problem when he is confronted with two possibly misspecified submodels of stock returns: one with IID returns and the other with predictability. We adopt a generalized recursive ambiguity model to accommodate the investor's aversion to model uncertainty. The investor deals with specification doubts by slanting his beliefs about submodels of returns pessimistically, causing his investment strategy to be more conservative than the Bayesian strategy. This effect is especially strong when the submodel with a low Bayesian probability delivers a much smaller continuation value. Unlike in the Bayesian framework, the hedging demand against model uncertainty may cause the investor's stock allocation to decrease sharply given a small doubt of return predictability, even though the predictive variable is large. Adopting the Bayesian strategy can lead to sizable welfare costs for an ambiguity-averse investor, especially when he has a strong prior of return predictability.
Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Book Synopsis Adaptive Asset Allocation by : Adam Butler
Download or read book Adaptive Asset Allocation written by Adam Butler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-02 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build an agile, responsive portfolio with a new approach to global asset allocation Adaptive Asset Allocation is a no-nonsense how-to guide for dynamic portfolio management. Written by the team behind Gestaltu.com, this book walks you through a uniquely objective and unbiased investment philosophy and provides clear guidelines for execution. From foundational concepts and timing to forecasting and portfolio optimization, this book shares insightful perspective on portfolio adaptation that can improve any investment strategy. Accessible explanations of both classical and contemporary research support the methodologies presented, bolstered by the authors' own capstone case study showing the direct impact of this approach on the individual investor. Financial advisors are competing in an increasingly commoditized environment, with the added burden of two substantial bear markets in the last 15 years. This book presents a framework that addresses the major challenges both advisors and investors face, emphasizing the importance of an agile, globally-diversified portfolio. Drill down to the most important concepts in wealth management Optimize portfolio performance with careful timing of savings and withdrawals Forecast returns 80% more accurately than assuming long-term averages Adopt an investment framework for stability, growth, and maximum income An optimized portfolio must be structured in a way that allows quick response to changes in asset class risks and relationships, and the flexibility to continually adapt to market changes. To execute such an ambitious strategy, it is essential to have a strong grasp of foundational wealth management concepts, a reliable system of forecasting, and a clear understanding of the merits of individual investment methods. Adaptive Asset Allocation provides critical background information alongside a streamlined framework for improving portfolio performance.
Book Synopsis Out-of-sample Predictions of Bond Excess Returns and Forward Rates by : Daniel L. Thornton
Download or read book Out-of-sample Predictions of Bond Excess Returns and Forward Rates written by Daniel L. Thornton and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Sustainable Asset Accumulation and Dynamic Portfolio Decisions by : Carl Chiarella
Download or read book Sustainable Asset Accumulation and Dynamic Portfolio Decisions written by Carl Chiarella and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-01 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines sustainable wealth formation and dynamic decision-making. The global economy experienced a veritable meltdown of asset markets in the years 2007-9, where many funds were overexposed to risky returns and suffered considerable losses. On the other hand, the long-term upswing in the stock market since 2010 has led to asset price booms and some new, but also uneven, wealth formation. In this book a broader set of constraints and guidelines for asset management and wealth accumulation is developed. The authors investigate how wealth formation and the proper management of financial funds can help to adequately buffer income risk and obtain sufficient risk-free income at a later stage of life, while also being socially and environmentally sustainable. The book explores behavioral and institutional rules for decision-making that reflect such constraints and guidelines, without necessarily being optimal in the narrow sense. The authors explain the need for such a dynamic decision-making and dynamic re-balancing of portfolios, by putting forward dynamic programming as an approach to dynamic decision-making that can allow sustainable wealth accumulation and dynamic asset allocation to be successfully integrated. This book provides a clear and comprehensive treatment of asset accumulation and dynamic portfolio models with an emphasis on long term and sustainable wealth formation. An important concern in public debate is the sustainability of our economy and this book employs cutting edge quantitative techniques and models to highlight important facts that cannot be disputed under any reasonable assumptions. It has the potential to become a standard reference for both academic researchers and quantitatively trained practitioners. Eckhard Platen, Professor of Quantitative Finance, University of Technology Sydney, Australia This book should be read by both academics and practitioners alike. The former will find intellectually rigorous discussions and innovative solutions. The latter may find a few of the concepts a bit challenging. Yet, theory and technology are there to help simplify the work of those who worry about what time it is rather than how to make a watch--- but they do need a watch. Jean Brunel, Founder of Brunel Associates and Editor of The Journal of Wealth Management
Book Synopsis Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization by : Stephen Boyd
Download or read book Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization written by Stephen Boyd and published by . This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph collects in one place the basic definitions, a careful description of the model, and discussion of how convex optimization can be used in multi-period trading, all in a common notation and framework.
