Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145193596X
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets by : Mr.Joshua Aizenman

Download or read book Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets written by Mr.Joshua Aizenman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model with two types of credit market imperfections: domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both domestic and foreign financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital, resulting in lower employment and higher incidence of default. Welfare effects are nonlinearly related to the degree of international financial integration.

Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets by : Pierre-Richard Agenor

Download or read book Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets written by Pierre-Richard Agenor and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model with two types of credit market imperfections: domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers` productivity shocks increases both domestic and foreign financial spreads and the producers` cost of capital, resulting in lower employment and higher incidence of default. Welfare effects are nonlinearly related to the degree of international financial integration.

Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper interprets contagion effects as a perceived increase (triggered by events occurring elsewhere) in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model with two types of credit market imperfections: domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks which possess comparative advantage in monitoring the behavior of domestic agents. Financial intermediation spreads are shown to be determined by a markup that compensates for the expected cost of contract enforcement and state verification and for the expected revenue lost in adverse states of nature. Higher volatility of producers' productivity shocks increases both financial spreads and the producers' cost of capital, resulting in lower employment and higher incidence of default. The welfare effects of volatility are non-linear. Higher volatility does not impose any welfare cost for countries characterized by relatively low volatility and efficient financial intermediation. The adverse welfare effects are large (small) for countries that are at the threshold of full integration with international capital markets (close to financial autarky), that is, countries characterized by a relatively low (high) probability of default.

IMF Staff papers

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455277444
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.

International Financial Contagion

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475733143
Total Pages : 461 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis International Financial Contagion by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book International Financial Contagion written by Stijn Claessens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780226002026
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 by : Daron Acemoglu

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 written by Daron Acemoglu and published by . This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 address exchange-rate models; implications of credit market frictions; cyclical budgetary policy and economic growth; the impacts of shocks to government spending on consumption, real wages, and employment; dynamic macroeconomic models; and the role of cyclical entry of new firms and products on the nature of business-cycle fluctuations and on the effects of monetary policy.

Contagion, Bank Lending Spreads, and Output Fluctuations

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion, Bank Lending Spreads, and Output Fluctuations by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Contagion, Bank Lending Spreads, and Output Fluctuations written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A positive historical shock to external spreads can lead to an increase in domestic spreads and a reduction in the cyclical component of output. Shocks to external spreads immediately after the Mexican peso crisis had a sizable effect on movements in output and domestic interest rate spreads in Argentina.

Portfolio Diversification, Leverage, and Financial Contagion

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855796
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Diversification, Leverage, and Financial Contagion by : Mr.Garry J. Schinasi

Download or read book Portfolio Diversification, Leverage, and Financial Contagion written by Mr.Garry J. Schinasi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Models of “contagion” rely on market imperfections to explain why adverse shocks in one asset market might be associated with asset sales in many unrelated markets. This paper demonstrates that contagion can be explained with basic portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules do not have significantly different consequences for portfolio rebalancing and contagion than other rules. The paper’s main conclusion is that portfolio diversification and leverage may be sufficient to explain why investors would find it optimal to sell many higher-risk assets when a shock to one asset occurs.

Development Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 140086626X
Total Pages : 792 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Development Macroeconomics by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Development Macroeconomics written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis triggered severe shocks for developing countries, whose embrace of greater commercial and financial openness has increased their exposure to external shocks, both real and financial. This new edition of Development Macroeconomics has been fully revised to address the more open and less stable environment in which developing countries operate today. Describing the latest advances in this rapidly changing field, the book features expanded coverage of public debt and the management of capital inflows as well as new material on fiscal discipline, monetary policy regimes, currency, banking and sovereign debt crises, currency unions, and the choice of an exchange-rate regime. A new chapter on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with financial frictions has been added to reflect how the financial crisis has reshaped our thinking on the role of such frictions in generating and propagating real and financial shocks. The book also discusses the role of macroprudential regulation, both independently and through its interactions with monetary policy, in preserving financial and macroeconomic stability. Now in its fourth edition, Development Macroeconomics remains the definitive textbook on the macroeconomics of developing countries. The most authoritative book on the subject—now fully revised and expanded Features new material on fiscal discipline, monetary policy regimes, currency, banking and sovereign debt crises, and much more Comes with online supplements on informal financial markets, stabilization programs, the solution of DSGE models with financial frictions, and exchange rate crises

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451857284
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis by : Mr.Taimur Baig

Download or read book Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis written by Mr.Taimur Baig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-11-01 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests for evidence of contagion between the financial markets of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines. Cross-country correlations among currencies and sovereign spreads are found to increase significantly during the crisis period, whereas the equity market correlations offer mixed evidence. A set of dummy variables using daily news is constructed to capture the impact of own-country and cross-border news on the markets. After controlling for own-country news and other fundamentals, the paper shows evidence of cross-border contagion in the currency and equity markets.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145197423X
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes portfolio diversification, leverage, and financial contagion. It studies the extent to which basic principles of portfolio diversification explain “contagious selling” of financial assets when there are purely local shocks. The paper demonstrates that the elementary portfolio theory offers key insights into “contagion.” Most important, portfolio diversification and leverage are sufficient to explain why an investor will find it optimal to significantly reduce all risky asset positions when an adverse shock impacts just one asset.

Contagion

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451856229
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Contagion by : Mr.Paul R. Masson

Download or read book Contagion written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-09-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that only models that admit of multiple equilibria are capable of producing true contagion. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrate that phenomenon, and some back-of-the-envelope calculations assess its relevance to the coincidence of emerging market crises in 1994–95 and in 1997.

International Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781594549014
Total Pages : 426 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics by : Amalia Morales Zumaquero

Download or read book International Macroeconomics written by Amalia Morales Zumaquero and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The international macroeconomics area has experienced substantial growth over the past decade. The goal of this volume is to present the most important developments in the international macroeconomics field in recent years. The literature in this area has evolved mainly in four directions that constitute the four parts of this book. In particular, Part I focuses on the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle, Part II presents papers that try to explain the behaviour of nominal and real exchange rates, Part III covers the financial crises, currency crises and contagion recent literature and, finally, the behaviour of exchange rates, inflation and output convergence in Central and Eastern European transition economies are considered in Part IV.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451974167
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.

The Value of Money

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Author :
Publisher : A&C Black
ISBN 13 : 9780567030900
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis The Value of Money by : Catherine Cowley

Download or read book The Value of Money written by Catherine Cowley and published by A&C Black. This book was released on 2006-06-02 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offers an ethical examination of global finance which is both theologically and economically literate. This book also examines the effect of money on our understanding of freedom, of the market itself and of the ethical, issues arising from this, for individuals, the sector and for society as a whole.

Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Financial Market Integration

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Financial Market Integration by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Financial Market Integration written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the effect of volatility on the costs and benefits of financial market integration. The basic framework combines the costly state verification model and the contract enforceability approach. The welfare effects of financial market integration are assessed by comparing welfare under financial autarky and financial openness -- under which foreign banks, characterized by lower costs of intermediation and a lower markup rate, have free access to domestic capital markets. The analysis shows that financial integration may be welfare reducing if world interest rates under openness are highly volatile. The basic framework is then extended to consider the case of an upward-sloping domestic supply curve of funds and congestion externalities. It is shown, in particular, that opening the economy to unrestricted inflows of capital may magnify the welfare cost of existing distortions, such as congestion externalities or deposit insurance.

Financial Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521800204
Total Pages : 494 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises in Emerging Markets by : Reuven Glick

Download or read book Financial Crises in Emerging Markets written by Reuven Glick and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this volume analyze causes of financial crises in emerging markets and different policy responses.