A Test of Efficiency for the S & P 500 Index Option Market Using Variance Forecasts

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Test of Efficiency for the S & P 500 Index Option Market Using Variance Forecasts by : Jaesun Noh

Download or read book A Test of Efficiency for the S & P 500 Index Option Market Using Variance Forecasts written by Jaesun Noh and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To forecast future option prices, autoregressive models of implied volatility derived from observed option prices are commonly employed [see Day and Lewis (1990), and Harvey and Whaley (1992)]. In contrast, the ARCH model proposed by Engle (1982) models the dynamic behavior in volatility, forecasting future volatility using only the return series of an asset. We assess the performance of these two volatility prediction models from S&P 500 index options market data over the period from September 1986 to December 1991 by employing two agents who trade straddles, each using one of the two different methods of forecast. Straddle trading is employed since a straddle does not need to be hedged. Each agent prices options according to her chosen method of forecast, buying (selling) straddles when her forecast price for tomorrow is higher (lower) than today's market closing price, and at the end of each day the rates of return are computed. We find that the agent using the GARCH forecast method earns greater profit than the agent who uses the implied volatility regression (IVR) forecast model. In particular, the agent using the GARCH forecast method earns a profit in excess of a cost of $0.25 per straddle with the near-the-money straddle trading.

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080471420
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell

Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-02-24 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition of Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility. Chapters new to this third edition: * What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton * Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo * A comparison of the properties of realized variance for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 equity indices Rob Cornish * Volatility modeling and forecasting in finance Xiao and Aydemir * An investigation of the relative performance of GARCH models versus simple rules in forecasting volatility Thomas A. Silvey * Leading thinkers present newest research on volatility forecasting *International authors cover a broad array of subjects related to volatility forecasting *Assumes basic knowledge of volatility, financial mathematics, and modelling

Essays on Option Market and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Option Market and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots by : Jaesun Noh

Download or read book Essays on Option Market and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots written by Jaesun Noh and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Computational Finance and Its Applications II

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Publisher : WIT Press
ISBN 13 : 1845641744
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (456 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Finance and Its Applications II by : M. Costantino

Download or read book Computational Finance and Its Applications II written by M. Costantino and published by WIT Press. This book was released on 2006 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring papers from the Second International Conference on Computational Finance and its Applications, the text includes papers that encompass a wide range of topics such as risk management, derivatives pricing, credit risk, trading strategies, portfolio management and asset allocation, and market analysis.

ICIDC 2022

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Publisher : European Alliance for Innovation
ISBN 13 : 1631903691
Total Pages : 2599 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis ICIDC 2022 by : Zuriati Ahmad Zukarnain

Download or read book ICIDC 2022 written by Zuriati Ahmad Zukarnain and published by European Alliance for Innovation. This book was released on 2022-10-13 with total page 2599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2022 International Conference on Information Economy, Data Modeling and Cloud Computing (ICIDC 2022) was successfully held in Qingdao, China from June 17 to 19, 2022. Under the impact of COVID-19, ICIDC 2022 was held adopting a combination of online and offline conference. During this conference, we were greatly honored to have Prof Datuk Dr Hj Kasim Hj Md Mansur from Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Malaysia to serve as our Conference Chairman. And there were 260 individuals attending the conference. The conference agenda was composed of keynote speeches, oral presentations, and online Q&A discussion. The proceedings of ICIDC 2022 cover various topics, including Big Data Finance, E-Commerce and Digital Business, Modeling Method, 3D Modeling, Internet of Things, Cloud Computing Platform, etc. All the papers have been checked through rigorous review and processes to meet the requirements of publication. Data modeling allows us to obtain the dynamic change trend of various indicator data, so how to use big data information to model and study the development trend of economic operation plan is of great significance. And that is exactly the purpose of this conference, focusing on the application of big data in the economic field as well as conducting more profound research in combination with cloud computing.

Optimal Control and Dynamic Games

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387258051
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Control and Dynamic Games by : Christophe Deissenberg

Download or read book Optimal Control and Dynamic Games written by Christophe Deissenberg and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-03 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal Control and Dynamic Games has been edited to honor the outstanding contributions of Professor Suresh Sethi in the fields of Applied Optimal Control. Professor Sethi is internationally one of the foremost experts in this field. He is, among others, co-author of the popular textbook "Sethi and Thompson: Optimal Control Theory: Applications to Management Science and Economics". The book consists of a collection of essays by some of the best known scientists in the field, covering diverse aspects of applications of optimal control and dynamic games to problems in Finance, Management Science, Economics, and Operations Research. In doing so, it provides both a state-of-the-art overview over recent developments in the field, and a reference work covering the wide variety of contemporary questions that can be addressed with optimal control tools, and demonstrates the fruitfulness of the methodology.

Portfolio Construction, Measurement, and Efficiency

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319339761
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Construction, Measurement, and Efficiency by : John B. Guerard, Jr.

Download or read book Portfolio Construction, Measurement, and Efficiency written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-23 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, inspired by and dedicated to the work of pioneering investment analyst, Jack Treynor, addresses the issues of portfolio risk and return and how investment portfolios are measured. In a career spanning over fifty years, the primary questions addressed by Jack Treynor were: Is there an observable risk-return trade-off? How can stock selection models be integrated with risk models to enhance client returns? Do managed portfolios earn positive, and statistically significant, excess returns and can mutual fund managers time the market? Since the publication of a pair of seminal Harvard Business Review articles in the mid-1960’s, Jack Treynor has developed thinking that has greatly influenced security selection, portfolio construction and measurement, and market efficiency. Key publications addressed such topics as the Capital Asset Pricing Model and stock selection modeling and integration with risk models. Treynor also served as editor of the Financial Analysts Journal, through which he wrote many columns across a wide spectrum of topics. This volume showcases original essays by leading researchers and practitioners exploring the topics that have interested Treynor while applying the most current methodologies. Such topics include the origins of portfolio theory, market timing, and portfolio construction in equity markets. The result not only reinforces Treynor’s lasting contributions to the field but suggests new areas for research and analysis.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Commodity Trading Advisors

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118160959
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Trading Advisors by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book Commodity Trading Advisors written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-02 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Authoritative, up-to-date research and analysis that provides a dramatic new understanding of the rewards-and risks-of investing in CTAs Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) are an increasingly popular and potentially profitable investment alternative for institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Commodity Trading Advisors is one of the first books to study their performance in detail and analyze the "survivorship bias" present in CTA performance data. This book investigates the many benefits and risks associated with CTAs, examining the risk/return characteristics of a number of different strategies deployed by CTAs from a sophisticated investor's perspective. A contributed work, its editors and contributing authors are among today's leading voices on the topic of commodity trading advisors and a veritable "Who's Who" in hedge fund and CTA research. Greg N. Gregoriou (Plattsburgh, NY) is a Visiting Assistant Professor of Finance and Research Coordinator in the School of Business and Economics at the State University of New York. Vassilios N. Karavas (Amherst, MA) is Director of Research at Schneeweis Partners. Francois-Serge Lhabitant (Coppet, Switzerland) is a FAME Research Fellow, and a Professor of Finance at EDHEC (France) and at HEC University of Lausanne (Switzerland). Fabrice Rouah (Montreal, Quebec) is Institut de Finance Mathématique de Montréal Scholar in the finance program at McGill University.

Dissertation Abstracts International

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Dissertation Abstracts International by :

Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137359927
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection by : M. Agarwal

Download or read book Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection written by M. Agarwal and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-11 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses new determinants for optimal portfolio selection. It reviews the existing modelling framework and creates mean-variance efficient portfolios from the securities companies on the National Stock Exchange. Comparisons enable researchers to rank them in terms of their effectiveness in the present day Indian securities market.

Handbook of Insurance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461401550
Total Pages : 1133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Insurance by : Georges Dionne

Download or read book Handbook of Insurance written by Georges Dionne and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-02 with total page 1133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edition of the Handbook of Insurance reviews the last forty years of research developments in insurance and its related fields. A single reference source for professors, researchers, graduate students, regulators, consultants and practitioners, the book starts with the history and foundations of risk and insurance theory, followed by a review of prevention and precaution, asymmetric information, risk management, insurance pricing, new financial innovations, reinsurance, corporate governance, capital allocation, securitization, systemic risk, insurance regulation, the industrial organization of insurance markets and other insurance market applications. It ends with health insurance, longevity risk, long-term care insurance, life insurance financial products and social insurance. This second version of the Handbook contains 15 new chapters. Each of the 37 chapters has been written by leading authorities in risk and insurance research, all contributions have been peer reviewed, and each chapter can be read independently of the others.

Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management

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Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799886115
Total Pages : 470 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management by : Madaleno, Mara

Download or read book Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management written by Madaleno, Mara and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2022-01-14 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk affects many different companies, industries, and institutions, and the COVID-19 pandemic has caused more challenges than before to arise. In the wake of these new challenges, new risk management strategies must arise. Risk affects many companies differently, though in the aftermath of a global pandemic, similar management strategies may be adapted to maintain a flourishing business. Financial risk management has become increasingly important in the last years, and a profound understanding of this subject is vital. The Handbook of Research on New Challenges and Global Outlooks in Financial Risk Management discusses the financial instruments firms use to manage the difference kinds of financial risks and risk management practices in a variety of different countries. This book offers an international focus of risk management, comparing different practices from all over the world. Covering topics such as bank stability, environmental assets, and perceived risk theory, this book is a valuable research source for regulatory authorities, accountants, managers, academicians, students, researchers, graduate students, researchers, faculty, and practitioners.

The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601984685
Total Pages : 99 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence by : Andrew Ang

Download or read book The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence written by Andrew Ang and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.

A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470856157
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

Dynamic and Stochastic Efficiency Analysis

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981449335X
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic and Stochastic Efficiency Analysis by : Jati K Sengupta

Download or read book Dynamic and Stochastic Efficiency Analysis written by Jati K Sengupta and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000-05-05 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book extends the dynamic and stochastic analysis of economic efficiency by using the recent techniques of data envelopment analysis. New results and applications of these techniques in numerous areas of economics, finance and management are provided, including treatment of private sector industries, portfolio models in finance, quality control techniques in managerial performance, the role of market competition, policy applications in investment models in finance, risk aversion and efficiency, and technology and innovation. The most up-to-date tools of efficiency analysis developed here will be valuable for students and researchers in operations research, applied management science and applied microeconomics. Contents:New Efficiency TheoryEconomics of Efficiency MeasurementEfficiency DynamicsStochastic Efficiency AnalysisIndustrial ApplicationsEconomic Theory and DEA Readership: Students and researchers in applied mathematics, economics, finance, operations research, management and applied statistics. Keywords:Efficiency Measurement;Productivity Growth;Demand Fluctuations and Price Uncertainty;Nonparametric Theory;Data Envelopment AnalysisReviews:“… this book contains a lot of useful material and has the potential to be an effective resource for researchers in DEA …”Interfaces

Volatility and Correlation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School