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A Demographic Dividend For Sub Saharan Africa
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Book Synopsis Africa's Population: In Search of a Demographic Dividend by : Hans Groth
Download or read book Africa's Population: In Search of a Demographic Dividend written by Hans Groth and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-23 with total page 525 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the promises as well as the challenges the demographic dividend brings to sub-Saharan Africa as fertility rates in the region fall and the labor force grows. It offers a detailed analysis of what conditions must be met in order for the region to take full economic advantage of ongoing population dynamics. As the book makes clear, the region will need to accelerate reforms to cope with its demographic transition, in particular the decline of fertility. The continent will need to foster human capital formation through renewed efforts in the areas of education, health and employment. This will entail a true vision and determination on the part of African leaders and their development partners. The book will help readers to gain solid knowledge of the demographic trends and provide insights into socioeconomic policies that eventually might lead sub-Saharan Africa into a successful future.
Book Synopsis Africa's Demographic Transition by : David Canning
Download or read book Africa's Demographic Transition written by David Canning and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-10-22 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa is poised on the edge of a potential takeoff to sustained economic growth. This takeoff can be abetted by a demographic dividend from the changes in population age structure. Declines in child mortality, followed by declines in fertility, produce a 'bulge' generation and a large number of working age people, giving a boost to the economy. In the short run lower fertility leads to lower youth dependency rates and greater female labor force participation outside the home. Smaller family sizes also mean more resources to invest in the health and education per child boosting worker productivity. In the long run increased life spans from health improvements mean that this large, high-earning cohort will also want to save for retirement, creating higher savings and investments, leading to further productivity gains. Two things are required for the demographic dividend to generate an African economic takeoff. The first is to speed up the fertility decline that is currently slow or stalled in many countries. The second is economic policies that take advantage of the opportunity offered by demography. While demographic change can produce more, and high quality, workers, this potential workforce needs to be productively employed if Africa is to reap the dividend. However, once underway, the relationship between demographic change and human development works in both directions, creating a virtuous cycle that can accelerate fertility decline, social development, and economic growth. Empirical evidence points to three key factors for speeding the fertility transition: child health, female education, and women's empowerment, particularly through access to family planning. Harnessing the dividend requires job creation for the large youth cohorts entering working age, and encouraging foreign investment until domestic savings and investment increase. The appropriate mix of policies in each country depends on their stage of the demographic transition.
Book Synopsis A Demographic Dividend for Sub-Saharan Africa by : David E. Bloom
Download or read book A Demographic Dividend for Sub-Saharan Africa written by David E. Bloom and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing rapid population growth and spurring economic growth are among the most pressing policy challenges for Sub-Saharan Africa. We discuss the links between them and investigate the potential of family planning programs to address these challenges. Specifically, we estimate the impact of family planning programs on income per capita that can arise via the demographic dividend (DD), a boost to per capita income that operates through a chain of causality related to declining fertility. We develop a model to determine the impact of "meeting unmet need" (MUN) for modern contraceptive methods on fertility and hence on the population age structure in the coming years. We also estimate empirically the DD that has been observed in other countries, using a cross-country regression with panel data covering 40 years. Using the age structure projected by MUN and the empirical estimates of the DD, we estimate the potential for additional economic growth in Kenya, Nigeria, and Senegal. We find that in 2030, these countries can enjoy an increase in per capita income of 8-13% by meeting one-third of their unmet need for modern contraception and can enjoy a 31-65% higher income per capita by meeting all of the unmet need. By 2050, these ranges become 13-22% and 47-87% respectively. We discuss the policy implications of our findings.
Book Synopsis Africa Rising by : Mr.Paulo Drummond
Download or read book Africa Rising written by Mr.Paulo Drummond and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-05 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa will account for 80 percent of the projected 4 billion increase in the global population by 2100. The accompanying increase in its working age population creates a window of opportunity, which if properly harnessed, can translate into higher growth and yield a demographic dividend. We quantify the potential demographic dividend based on the experience of other regions. The dividend will vary across countries, depending on such factors as the initial working age population as well as the speed and magnitude of demographic transition. It will be critical to ensure that the right supportive policies, including those fostering human capital accumulation and job creation, are in place to translate this opportunity into concrete economic growth.
Book Synopsis The Demographic Transition and Development in Africa by : Charles Teller
Download or read book The Demographic Transition and Development in Africa written by Charles Teller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-03-04 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The heated Malthusian-Bosrupian debates still rage over consequences of high population growth, rapid urbanization, dense rural populations and young age structures in the face of drought, poverty, food insecurity, environmental degradation, climate change, instability and the global economic crisis. However, while facile generalizations about the lack of demographic change and lack of progress in meeting the MDGs in sub-Saharan Africa are commonplace, they are often misleading and belie the socio-cultural change that is occurring among a vanguard of more educated youth. Even within Ethiopia, the second largest country at the Crossroads of Africa and the Middle East, different narratives emerge from analysis of longitudinal, micro-level analysis as to how demographic change and responses are occurring, some more rapidly than others. The book compares Ethiopia with other Africa countries, and demonstrates the uniqueness of an African-type demographic transition: a combination of poverty-related negative factors (unemployment, disease, food insecurity) along with positive education, health and higher age-of-marriage trends that are pushing this ruggedly rural and land-locked population to accelerate the demographic transition and stay on track to meet most of the MDGs. This book takes great care with the challenges of inadequate data and weak analytical capacity to research this incipient transition, trying to unravel some of the complexities in this vulnerable Horn of Africa country: A slowly declining population growth rates with rapidly declining child mortality, very high chronic under-nutrition, already low urban fertility but still very high rural fertility; and high population-resource pressure along with rapidly growing small urban places”
Book Synopsis Essays on Fertility and the Demographic Dividend in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Amarachi Utah-Adjibola
Download or read book Essays on Fertility and the Demographic Dividend in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Amarachi Utah-Adjibola and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenon of the "demographic dividend" in Africa has become a source of considerable and vigorous public discourse in both policy and academic spheres over the last two decades. A growing body of research explores this phenomenon in the African context, tying its occurrence to a variety of demographic transitional factors popular among which are fertility and dynamic population age structures. In three essays, this dissertation explores the demographic dividend in cross section of sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries with emphasis on the fertility transition as it relates to other demographic and economic parameters. In the first essay, I investigate the relationship between the decelerating pace of fertility decline and economic growth in seven SSA countries using a random effects growth model. I find that stalled fertility decline has a consistently, statistically significant negative effect on economic growth. In the second essay, I use age-specific National Transfer Accounts data to estimate the support ratio and demographic dividend for the period 1970 through 2100, and decompose the difference in the support ratio components estimated for all the countries using Nigeria; the earliest-transition country in the sample as my baseline. By departing from the use of conventional, fixed age-limits to define the support ratio, I improve on the accuracy of prior support ratio estimates, and with my decomposition, I provide a new and comprehensive view of the component contributions of economic versus demographic behavior to the overall dividend.In the third essay, I focus on the dividend in Malawi. Malawi is an interesting case-study because until recently the potential for a dividend has been negligible. However, recent, accelerated fertility decline may signal improved potential for growth. Generating probabilistic fertility and population projections for Malawi, and using an economic-demographic simulation model to assess the dividend prospects given historical and current fertility patterns, I find that the recent steep fertility declines in Malawi do bode well for the country's dividend future. The results in this dissertation help demystify the demographic dividend phenomenon in Africa, extends the literature, and lays the groundwork for policy focused on making the dream of a demographic dividend a reality.
Book Synopsis Continuity and Change in Sub-Saharan African Demography by : Clifford O. Odimegwu
Download or read book Continuity and Change in Sub-Saharan African Demography written by Clifford O. Odimegwu and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-07-11 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth African perspective to the major issues in demographic discourse in sub-Saharan Africa. It provides comprehensive analysis of sub-Saharan African censuses, profiling demographic changes, trends, patterns and consequences in the region. Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, accessible, simple and topical, this volume is perfectly suited to researchers, students and lecturers who are interested in understanding sub-Saharan African population dynamics and issues.
Book Synopsis Demography and economic emergence of sub-saharan Africa by : John May
Download or read book Demography and economic emergence of sub-saharan Africa written by John May and published by Académie royale de Belgique. This book was released on 2020-11-23 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About 35 years later than in the other less developed countries, high mortality and fertility levels have started to decline in the 48 countries of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The late completion of the demographic transition in the region, its slow pace, and its population growth rates over 2.5% per year for more than 50 years, render the SSA demographic trajectories very different from the transitions experienced elsewhere in the world. With the onset of the fertility decline and better economic performance in SSA between 2000 and 2014, most SSA countries thought that they would be able to capture a first demographic dividend and become emerging economies – a process that many East and Southeast Asian countries achieved between 1970 and 2000. However, available data indicates that since the 1960s the rapid population growth in SSA has had negative effects on the growth of its GDP per capita. Moreover, so far there are only fourteen SSA countries, representing 20% of the SSA population, that meet the initial conditions needed to benefit from a first demographic dividend. This volume analyzes the challenges that the SSA countries will need to address in order to replicate the East and Southeast Asian economic miracle. The majority of the SSA countries are at a critical stage in their development. Indeed, the next decades will determine whether or not the SSA countries will be able to accelerate their demographic transition, capture a first demographic dividend, and become emerging economies. John F. May is a Research Professor at the Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University, Arlington, VA, USA. He earned his Doctorate in Demography from the University of Paris-V (Sorbonne). He is a specialist of population policies and the demography of sub-Saharan Africa and has worked on population and development projects around the world for most international organizations. Jean-Pierre Guengant is Emeritus Director of Research at the Research Institute for Development (IRD), presently attached to the University of Paris-I (Panthéon-Sorbonne). He holds a Doctorate in Development Economics from the University of Clermont-Ferrand, France. His recent work focusses on the demographic dividend and the emergence of sub-Saharan Africa.
Author :National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :0309381193 Total Pages :89 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (93 download)
Book Synopsis Recent Fertility Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Download or read book Recent Fertility Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-03-18 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fertility rates and population growth influence economic development. The marked declines in fertility seen in some developing nations have been accompanied by slowing population growth, which in turn provided a window of opportunity for rapid economic growth. For many sub-Saharan African nations, this window has not yet opened because fertility rates have not declined as rapidly there as elsewhere. Fertility rates in many sub-Saharan African countries are high: the total rate for the region is estimated to be 5.1 births per woman, and rates that had begun to decline in many countries in the region have stalled. High rates of fertility in these countries are likely to contribute to continued rapid population growth: the United Nations projects that the region's population will increase by 1.2 billion by 2050, the highest growth among the regions for which there are projections. In June 2015, the Committee on Population organized a workshop to explore fertility trends and the factors that have influenced them. The workshop committee was asked to explore history and trends related to fertility, proximate determinants and other influences, the status and impact of family planning programs, and prospects for further reducing fertility rates. This study will help donors, researchers, and policy makers better understand the factors that may explain the slow pace of fertility decline in this region, and develop methods to improve family planning in sub-Saharan Africa.
Book Synopsis The Demographic Dividend by : David Bloom
Download or read book The Demographic Dividend written by David Bloom and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003-02-13 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is long-standing debate on how population growth affects national economies. A new report from Population Matters examines the history of this debate and synthesizes current research on the topic. The authors, led by Harvard economist David Bloom, conclude that population age structure, more than size or growth per se, affects economic development, and that reducing high fertility can create opportunities for economic growth if the right kinds of educational, health, and labor-market policies are in place. The report also examines specific regions of the world and how their differing policy environments have affected the relationship between population change and economic development.
Book Synopsis The Future of Africa by : Jakkie Cilliers
Download or read book The Future of Africa written by Jakkie Cilliers and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access textbook offers a critical introduction to human and economic development prospects in Africa revolving around three questions: where is Africa today, what explains the current state, and, given historical trends and what we know about the world, where do we think the continent will be in 2040? And, a final question: what can we do to create a better tomorrow? It models ambitious progress in health, demographics, agriculture, education, industrialization, technological leapfrogging, increased trade, greater stability, better governance and external support. The book reviews the future of work/jobs, poverty and the impact of climate change. A combined Closing the Gap scenario presents a forecast of what could be possible by 2040. Each chapter suggests which policies might accelerate prospects for each sector. Written in an accessible style, and supported by a range of pedagogical features, this textbook introduces undergraduate and graduate students to the contemporary human and economic development prospects in Africa.
Book Synopsis How Significant is Sub-Saharan Africa's Demographic Dividend for Its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction? by : S. Amer Ahmed
Download or read book How Significant is Sub-Saharan Africa's Demographic Dividend for Its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction? written by S. Amer Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sub-Saharan Africa will be undergoing substantial demographic changes over the next 15 years with the rising working-age share of its population. The opportunity of African countries to convert these changes into demographic dividends for growth and poverty reduction will depend on several factors. The outlook will likely be good if African countries can continue the gains already made under better institutions and policies, particularly those affecting the productivity of labor, such as educational outcomes. If African countries can continue to build on the hard-won development gains, the demographic dividend could account for 11-15% of gross domestic product (GDP) volume growth by 2030, while accounting for 40-60 million fewer poor in 2030. The gains can become more substantial with better educational outcomes that allow African countries to catch up to other developing countries. If the skill share of Africa's labor supply doubles because of improvements in educational attainment, from 25 to about 50% between 2011 and 2030, then the demographic dividends can expand the regional economy additionally by 22% by 2030 relative to the base case and reduce poverty by an additional 51 million people.
Book Synopsis The Routledge Handbook of African Demography by : Clifford O. Odimegwu
Download or read book The Routledge Handbook of African Demography written by Clifford O. Odimegwu and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2022-02-07 with total page 1085 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook provides an authoritative and comprehensive overview of African population dynamics, variations, causes and consequences, demonstrating the real-world applications of research in policies and programmes. African demography has come of age. Over 50 years, the discipline has grown exponentially in the number of training and research institutions, specialist experts and academic output, all with an aim of addressing the enormous demographic challenges faced by the continent. The book draws on old and emerging analytical tools to explore the relationships between population dynamics and social, economic, cultural and political environments from African perspectives. Key topics include fertility, sexual behaviours, healthcare, ageing, mortality, migration, displacement, the causes and consequences of demographic changes and teaching and research developments in African demography. The Routledge Handbook of African Demography will be an essential resource for students and researchers of African demography, sociology, development and cultural studies.
Book Synopsis Demographic Change in Sub-Saharan Africa by : National Research Council
Download or read book Demographic Change in Sub-Saharan Africa written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1993-02-01 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This overview includes chapters on child mortality, adult mortality, fertility, proximate determinants, marriage, internal migration, international migration, and the demographic impact of AIDS.
Book Synopsis Demographic Dividends: Emerging Challenges and Policy Implications by : Roberta Pace
Download or read book Demographic Dividends: Emerging Challenges and Policy Implications written by Roberta Pace and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-29 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines potential economic opportunities that countries can experience when fertility rates fall and the average life expectancy of the working age population increases. It presents detailed demographic and economic analysis of middle-income countries throughout the world in order to show how these countries can take advantage of this demographic bonus. The book first traces the common link between policies that contribute to fertility transition as well as create the right kind of environment for reaping the benefit of demographic dividend. Next, it explores different countries and regions who are at different levels of development. It assesses the long term impact of gender equality on economic growth and development in Latin America; describes the life-cycle saving patterns of Mexican households; and examines demographic determinants of economic growth in BRICS. The book also offers demographic and economic analysis of the Mediterranean area, Sub-Saharan Africa, and New Zealand. The comparison between the different territorial contexts allow for the identification of three typologies of demographic dividend: the first dividend, when the working population grows faster than total population, the second dividend, as active generations get older and invest their savings in the production system of their country, and the third dividend, based on the coexistence of two populations age structure strongly contrasting. Overall, this book argues for the need to capitalize on the opportunities that come from the demographic dividend by investing heavily in education programs, training programs for the population working age, health programs, the creation of health insurance systems as well as programs to reduce or increase fertility levels.
Book Synopsis Youth Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Deon Filmer
Download or read book Youth Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Deon Filmer and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2014-01-24 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The series is sponsored by the Agence Francaise de Developpement and the World Bank."
Book Synopsis The Future of Work in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Aidar Abdychev
Download or read book The Future of Work in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Aidar Abdychev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-17 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Far-reaching changes in technology, climate, and global economic integration are transforming the world of work in ways that we do not yet fully understand. Will the swift technological advances of the Fourth Industrial Revolution raise the standards of living for everyone? Or will robots massively displace workers leading to a jobless future where only a few benefit from the fruits of innovation? Will mitigation efforts be able to cushion the adverse effects of climate change, including food shortages and mass migration, which would place extra pressure on urban labor markets? Will countries continue to integrate commercially and financially, fostering growth and employment? Or will trade wars become a norm in a world increasingly fragmented and inward-looking? In sub-Saharan Africa, these uncertainties meet a dramatic increase in population and a rapid expansion in the labor force, which is becoming increasingly urban.
