Worst-Case Economics

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Publisher : Anthem Press
ISBN 13 : 1783087080
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Worst-Case Economics by : Frank Ackerman

Download or read book Worst-Case Economics written by Frank Ackerman and published by Anthem Press. This book was released on 2017-10-23 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Worst-case scenarios are all too real, and all too common. The financial crisis of 2008 was not the first or the last to destroy jobs, homeownership and the savings of millions of people. Hurricanes clobber communities from New York to Bangladesh. How bad will the next catastrophe be, and how soon will it happen? Climate and financial crises are serious events, requiring vigorous responses. Yet public policy is trapped in an obsolete framework, with a simplistic focus on average or likely outcomes rather than dangerous extremes. What would it take to create better analyses of extreme events in climate and finance, and an appropriate policy framework for worst-case risks? ‘Worst-Case Economics: Extreme Events in Climate and Finance’ offers accessible and surprising answers to these crucial questions.

Algorithms for Worst-Case Design and Applications to Risk Management

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400825113
Total Pages : 405 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Algorithms for Worst-Case Design and Applications to Risk Management by : Berç Rustem

Download or read book Algorithms for Worst-Case Design and Applications to Risk Management written by Berç Rustem and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognizing that robust decision making is vital in risk management, this book provides concepts and algorithms for computing the best decision in view of the worst-case scenario. The main tool used is minimax, which ensures robust policies with guaranteed optimal performance that will improve further if the worst case is not realized. The applications considered are drawn from finance, but the design and algorithms presented are equally applicable to problems of economic policy, engineering design, and other areas of decision making. Critically, worst-case design addresses not only Armageddon-type uncertainty. Indeed, the determination of the worst case becomes nontrivial when faced with numerous--possibly infinite--and reasonably likely rival scenarios. Optimality does not depend on any single scenario but on all the scenarios under consideration. Worst-case optimal decisions provide guaranteed optimal performance for systems operating within the specified scenario range indicating the uncertainty. The noninferiority of minimax solutions--which also offer the possibility of multiple maxima--ensures this optimality. Worst-case design is not intended to necessarily replace expected value optimization when the underlying uncertainty is stochastic. However, wise decision making requires the justification of policies based on expected value optimization in view of the worst-case scenario. Conversely, the cost of the assured performance provided by robust worst-case decision making needs to be evaluated relative to optimal expected values. Written for postgraduate students and researchers engaged in optimization, engineering design, economics, and finance, this book will also be invaluable to practitioners in risk management.

Worst-Case Scenarios

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Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674267648
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (742 download)

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Book Synopsis Worst-Case Scenarios by : Cass R. Sunstein

Download or read book Worst-Case Scenarios written by Cass R. Sunstein and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis. Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change, Sunstein explores our susceptibility to two opposite and unhelpful reactions: panic and utter neglect. He shows how private individuals and public officials might best respond to low-probability risks of disaster—emphasizing the need to know what we will lose from precautions as well as from inaction. Finally, he offers an understanding of the uses and limits of cost–benefit analysis, especially when current generations are imposing risks on future generations. Throughout, Sunstein uses climate change as a defining case, because it dramatically illustrates the underlying principles. But he also discusses terrorism, depletion of the ozone layer, genetic modification of food, hurricanes, and worst-case scenarios faced in our ordinary lives. Sunstein concludes that if we can avoid the twin dangers of overreaction and apathy, we will be able to ameliorate if not avoid future catastrophes, retaining our sanity as well as scarce resources that can be devoted to more constructive ends.

Algorithms for Worst-case Design and Applications to Risk Management

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781680158960
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (589 download)

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Book Synopsis Algorithms for Worst-case Design and Applications to Risk Management by :

Download or read book Algorithms for Worst-case Design and Applications to Risk Management written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognizing that robust decision making is vital in risk management, this book provides concepts and algorithms for computing the best decision in view of the worst-case scenario. The main tool used is minimax, which ensures robust policies with guaranteed optimal performance that will improve further if the worst case is not realized. The applications considered are drawn from finance, but the design and algorithms presented are equally applicable to problems of economic policy, engineering design, and other areas of decision making. Critically, worst-case design addresses not only Armageddon-

Beyond the Worst-Case Analysis of Algorithms

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108494315
Total Pages : 705 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond the Worst-Case Analysis of Algorithms by : Tim Roughgarden

Download or read book Beyond the Worst-Case Analysis of Algorithms written by Tim Roughgarden and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-14 with total page 705 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces exciting new methods for assessing algorithms for problems ranging from clustering to linear programming to neural networks.

Worst Cases

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226108600
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Worst Cases by : Lee Clarke

Download or read book Worst Cases written by Lee Clarke and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2021-04-02 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Al Qaeda detonates a nuclear weapon in Times Square during rush hour, wiping out half of Manhattan and killing 500,000 people. A virulent strain of bird flu jumps to humans in Thailand, sweeps across Asia, and claims more than fifty million lives. A single freight car of chlorine derails on the outskirts of Los Angeles, spilling its contents and killing seven million. An asteroid ten kilometers wide slams into the Atlantic Ocean, unleashing a tsunami that renders life on the planet as we know it extinct. We consider the few who live in fear of such scenarios to be alarmist or even paranoid. But Worst Cases shows that such individuals—like Cassandra foreseeing the fall of Troy—are more reasonable and prescient than you might think. In this book, Lee Clarke surveys the full range of possible catastrophes that animate and dominate the popular imagination, from toxic spills and terrorism to plane crashes and pandemics. Along the way, he explores how the ubiquity of worst cases in everyday life has rendered them ordinary and mundane. Fear and dread, Clarke argues, have actually become too rare: only when the public has more substantial information and more credible warnings will it take worst cases as seriously as it should. A timely and necessary look into how we think about the unthinkable, Worst Cases will be must reading for anyone attuned to our current climate of threat and fear.

Austerity

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199389446
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Austerity by : Mark Blyth

Download or read book Austerity written by Mark Blyth and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Selected as a Financial Times Best Book of 2013 Governments today in both Europe and the United States have succeeded in casting government spending as reckless wastefulness that has made the economy worse. In contrast, they have advanced a policy of draconian budget cuts--austerity--to solve the financial crisis. We are told that we have all lived beyond our means and now need to tighten our belts. This view conveniently forgets where all that debt came from. Not from an orgy of government spending, but as the direct result of bailing out, recapitalizing, and adding liquidity to the broken banking system. Through these actions private debt was rechristened as government debt while those responsible for generating it walked away scot free, placing the blame on the state, and the burden on the taxpayer. That burden now takes the form of a global turn to austerity, the policy of reducing domestic wages and prices to restore competitiveness and balance the budget. The problem, according to political economist Mark Blyth, is that austerity is a very dangerous idea. First of all, it doesn't work. As the past four years and countless historical examples from the last 100 years show, while it makes sense for any one state to try and cut its way to growth, it simply cannot work when all states try it simultaneously: all we do is shrink the economy. In the worst case, austerity policies worsened the Great Depression and created the conditions for seizures of power by the forces responsible for the Second World War: the Nazis and the Japanese military establishment. As Blyth amply demonstrates, the arguments for austerity are tenuous and the evidence thin. Rather than expanding growth and opportunity, the repeated revival of this dead economic idea has almost always led to low growth along with increases in wealth and income inequality. Austerity demolishes the conventional wisdom, marshaling an army of facts to demand that we austerity for what it is, and what it costs us.

Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691217068
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism by : Anne Case

Download or read book Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism written by Anne Case and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-02 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New York Times Bestseller A Wall Street Journal Bestseller A New York Times Notable Book of 2020 A New York Times Book Review Editors’ Choice Shortlisted for the Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year A New Statesman Book to Read From economist Anne Case and Nobel Prize winner Angus Deaton, a groundbreaking account of how the flaws in capitalism are fatal for America's working class Deaths of despair from suicide, drug overdose, and alcoholism are rising dramatically in the United States, claiming hundreds of thousands of American lives. Anne Case and Angus Deaton explain the overwhelming surge in these deaths and shed light on the social and economic forces that are making life harder for the working class. As the college educated become healthier and wealthier, adults without a degree are literally dying from pain and despair. Case and Deaton tie the crisis to the weakening position of labor, the growing power of corporations, and a rapacious health-care sector that redistributes working-class wages into the pockets of the wealthy. This critically important book paints a troubling portrait of the American dream in decline, and provides solutions that can rein in capitalism's excesses and make it work for everyone.

The Role of Government in the History of Economic Thought

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Author :
Publisher : Annual Supplement to History o
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of Government in the History of Economic Thought by : Steven G. Medema

Download or read book The Role of Government in the History of Economic Thought written by Steven G. Medema and published by Annual Supplement to History o. This book was released on 2005 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Role of Government in the History of Economic Thought examines a controversial area of economic analysis: the appropriate role of government within the economic system. If the first two-thirds of the twentieth century were dominated by the active involvement of economists in government policymaking, blurring the lines between the spheres of economics and politics, then the last several decades have witnessed something of a reversion to the classical economics of Adam Smith and John Stuart Mill. This volume offers a comprehensive and integrated history of the evolution of the relationship between governments and economies, examining the British classical tradition, the American progressive movement, and corporatist ideology.

Can We Afford the Future?

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Author :
Publisher : Zed Books Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1848134975
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Can We Afford the Future? by : Doctor Frank Ackerman

Download or read book Can We Afford the Future? written by Doctor Frank Ackerman and published by Zed Books Ltd.. This book was released on 2010-08-17 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to many scientists, climate change is a growing threat to life as we know it, requiring a large-scale, immediate response. According to many economists, climate change is a moderately important problem; the best policy is a slow, gradual start, to avoid spending too much. They can't both be right. In this book, Frank Ackerman offers a refreshing look at the economics of climate change, explaining how the arbitrary assumptions of conventional theories get in the way of understanding this urgent problem. The benefits of climate protection are vital but priceless, and hence often devalued in cost-benefit calculations. Preparation for the most predictable outcomes of global warming is less important than protection against the growing risk of catastrophic change; massive investment in new, low carbon technologies and industries should be thought of as life insurance for the planet. Ackerman makes an impassioned plea to construct a better economics, arguing that the solutions are affordable and the alternative is unthinkable. If we can't afford the future, what are we saving our money for? Can we Afford the Future? is part of The New Economics series, which uses the ideas behind a new, more human economics to provide a fresh way of looking at major contemporary issues.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, Authorized Edition

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Publisher : Public Affairs
ISBN 13 : 1610390415
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, Authorized Edition by : United States. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, Authorized Edition written by United States. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Public Affairs. This book was released on 2011-01-27 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the causes of the financial crisis that began in 2008 and reveals the weaknesses found in financial regulation, excessive borrowing, and breaches in accountability.

Economics in One Lesson

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Author :
Publisher : Crown Currency
ISBN 13 : 0307760626
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics in One Lesson by : Henry Hazlitt

Download or read book Economics in One Lesson written by Henry Hazlitt and published by Crown Currency. This book was released on 2010-08-11 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With over a million copies sold, Economics in One Lesson is an essential guide to the basics of economic theory. A fundamental influence on modern libertarianism, Hazlitt defends capitalism and the free market from economic myths that persist to this day. Considered among the leading economic thinkers of the “Austrian School,” which includes Carl Menger, Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich (F.A.) Hayek, and others, Henry Hazlitt (1894-1993), was a libertarian philosopher, an economist, and a journalist. He was the founding vice-president of the Foundation for Economic Education and an early editor of The Freeman magazine, an influential libertarian publication. Hazlitt wrote Economics in One Lesson, his seminal work, in 1946. Concise and instructive, it is also deceptively prescient and far-reaching in its efforts to dissemble economic fallacies that are so prevalent they have almost become a new orthodoxy. Economic commentators across the political spectrum have credited Hazlitt with foreseeing the collapse of the global economy which occurred more than 50 years after the initial publication of Economics in One Lesson. Hazlitt’s focus on non-governmental solutions, strong — and strongly reasoned — anti-deficit position, and general emphasis on free markets, economic liberty of individuals, and the dangers of government intervention make Economics in One Lesson every bit as relevant and valuable today as it has been since publication.

Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 1991: Economics, January 24, 1990; views of the Congressional Budget Office

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 1991: Economics, January 24, 1990; views of the Congressional Budget Office by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on the Budget

Download or read book Concurrent Resolution on the Budget for Fiscal Year 1991: Economics, January 24, 1990; views of the Congressional Budget Office written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on the Budget and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economic Dignity

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Author :
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 1984879898
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Dignity by : Gene Sperling

Download or read book Economic Dignity written by Gene Sperling and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-10-12 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Timely and important . . . It should be our North Star for the recovery and beyond.” —Hillary Clinton “Sperling makes a forceful case that only by speaking to matters of the spirit can liberals root their belief in economic justice in people’s deepest aspirations—in their sense of purpose and self-worth.” —The New York Times When Gene Sperling was in charge of coordinating economic policy in the Obama White House, he found himself surprised when serious people in Washington told him that the Obama focus on health care was a distraction because it was “not focused on the economy.” How, he asked, was the fear felt by millions of Americans of being one serious illness away from financial ruin not considered an economic issue? Too often, Sperling found that we measured economic success by metrics like GDP instead of whether the economy was succeeding in lifting up the sense of meaning, purpose, fulfillment, and security of people. In Economic Dignity, Sperling frames the way forward in a time of wrenching change and offers a vision of an economy whose guiding light is the promotion of dignity for all Americans.

Climate Economics

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 041563718X
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (156 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Economics by : Frank Ackerman

Download or read book Climate Economics written by Frank Ackerman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate science paints a bleak picture: The continued growth of greenhouse gas emissions is increasingly likely to cause irreversible and catastrophic effects. Urgent action is needed to prepare for the initial rounds of climatic change, which are already unstoppable. While the opportunity to avert all climate damage has now passed, well-designed mitigation and adaptation policies, if adopted quickly, could still greatly reduce the likelihood of the most tragic and far-reaching impacts of climate change. Climate economics is the bridge between science and policy, translating scientific predictions about physical systems into projections about economic growth and human welfare that decision makers can most readily use but it has too often consisted of an overly technical, academic approach to the problem. Getting climate economics right is not about publishing the cleverest article of the year but rather about helping solve the dilemma of the century. The tasks ahead are daunting, and failure, unfortunately, is quite possible. Better approaches to climate economics will allow economists to be part of the solution rather than part of the problem. This book analyzes potential paths for improvement.

High and Rising Mortality Rates Among Working-Age Adults

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780309684736
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (847 download)

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Book Synopsis High and Rising Mortality Rates Among Working-Age Adults by : National Academies of Sciences Engineering and Medicine

Download or read book High and Rising Mortality Rates Among Working-Age Adults written by National Academies of Sciences Engineering and Medicine and published by . This book was released on 2021-12-02 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Securitization Economics

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030503267
Total Pages : 494 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Securitization Economics by : Laurent Gauthier

Download or read book Securitization Economics written by Laurent Gauthier and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-31 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Securitization is widely used around the world, and structured products are one of the largest fixed-income asset classes. This textbook guides readers through the complexity of this financial technique and first introduces them to the mechanics of securitization and makes the key concepts, techniques and logic of this field accessible for teachers and students alike. Further, the textbook presents a systematic economic analysis of securitization, asking and answering why it exists, how it works, why it has failed, how complex structures operate, why they are so complex, and many other related questions. The author offers a unique approach, and combines detailed discussions of theoretical economics models with advanced empirical research in order to confront them to the perspective of an experienced practitioner in this market.