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Uncertainty And Surprise In Complex Systems
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Author :Reuben R. McDaniel Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9783540237730 Total Pages :220 pages Book Rating :4.2/5 (377 download)
Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems by : Reuben R. McDaniel
Download or read book Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems written by Reuben R. McDaniel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-03-11 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity science has been a source of new insight in physical and social systems and has demonstrated that unpredictability and surprise are fundamental aspects of the world around us. This book is the outcome of a discussion meeting of leading scholars and critical thinkers with expertise in complex systems sciences and leaders from a variety of organizations, sponsored by the Prigogine Center at The University of Texas at Austin and the Plexus Institute, to explore strategies for understanding uncertainty and surprise. Besides contributions to the conference, it includes a key digest by the editors as well as a commentary by the late nobel laureate Ilya Prigogine, "Surprises in half of a century". The book is intended for researchers and scientists in complexity science, as well as for a broad interdisciplinary audience of both practitioners and scholars. It will well serve those interested in the research issues and in the application of complexity science to physical and social systems.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Medicine by : Paul K.J. Han
Download or read book Uncertainty in Medicine written by Paul K.J. Han and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-09 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Medical uncertainty has been with us for centuries and remains a recurrent problem for patients, doctors, and researchers alike. Yet uncertainty in health care is still poorly understood and ineffectively managed; it is generally feared and avoided rather than directly confronted. This systemic disregard of uncertainty leads us to treat medical uncertainty as a pathological condition to be cured through the pursuit of knowledge, but often further medical knowledge begets further uncertainty in kind. Uncertainty in Medicine offers an alternative, multi-disciplinary perspective on this challenging problem. Integrating insights across clinical medicine and social science, Dr. Paul Han argues that uncertainty is an essential form of knowledge to be cultivated, rather than eradicated, in medical practice. He makes the case that the paradigm of medicine should be expanded to include not only the pursuit of medical knowledge but the treatment and palliation of medical uncertainty and its effects on physicians, other health professionals, and patients. Using clear language and a textbook approach, he analyzes the nature, etiology, and natural history of medical uncertainty, and develops a conceptual framework to guide its management. By promoting a more systematic way of conceptualizing the problem, this framework can enable clinicians and patients to better address medical uncertainty, and can help make uncertainty tolerance a more central focus of medical care. Rational and reassuring, Uncertainty in Medicine forges a new path for approaching medical uncertainty by arming readers from an array of disciplines with the tools they need to diagnose, treat, and confront its challenges more intentionally and effectively.
Book Synopsis Research Methods for Complexity Theory in Applied Linguistics by : Phil Hiver
Download or read book Research Methods for Complexity Theory in Applied Linguistics written by Phil Hiver and published by Multilingual Matters. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides practical guidance on research methods and designs that can be applied to Complex Dynamic Systems Theory (CDST) research. It discusses the contribution of CDST to the field of applied linguistics, examines what this perspective entails for research and introduces practical methods and templates, both qualitative and quantitative, for how applied linguistics researchers can design and conduct research using the CDST framework. Introduced in the book are methods ranging from those in widespread use in social complexity, to more familiar methods in use throughout applied linguistics. All are inherently suited to studying both dynamic change in context and interconnectedness. This accessible introduction to CDST research will equip readers with the knowledge to ensure compatibility between empirical research designs and the theoretical tenets of complexity. It will be of value to researchers working in the areas of applied linguistics, language pedagogy and educational linguistics and to scholars and professionals with an interest in second/foreign language acquisition and complexity theory.
Book Synopsis A Critique of Creativity and Complexity by : Don Ambrose
Download or read book A Critique of Creativity and Complexity written by Don Ambrose and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-11-04 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an increasingly complex world the natural human inclination is to oversimplify issues and problems to make them seem more comprehensible and less threatening. This tendency usually generates forms of dogmatism that diminish our ability to think creatively and to develop worthy talents. Fortunately, complexity theory is giving us ways to make sense of intricate, evolving phenomena. This book represents a broad, interdisciplinary application of complexity theory to a wide variety of phenomena in general education, STEM education, learner diversity and special education, social-emotional development, organizational leadership, urban planning, and the history of philosophy. The contributors provide nuanced analyses of the structures and dynamics of complex adaptive systems in these academic and professional fields.
Book Synopsis Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management by : Andrew Cook
Download or read book Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management written by Andrew Cook and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-06-03 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Air traffic management (ATM) comprises a highly complex socio-technical system that keeps air traffic flowing safely and efficiently, worldwide, every minute of the year. Over the last few decades, several ambitious ATM performance improvement programmes have been undertaken. Such programmes have mostly delivered local technological solutions, whilst corresponding ATM performance improvements have fallen short of stakeholder expectations. In hindsight, this can be substantially explained from a complexity science perspective: ATM is simply too complex to address through classical approaches such as system engineering and human factors. In order to change this, complexity science has to be embraced as ATM's 'best friend'. The applicability of complexity science paradigms to the analysis and modelling of future operations is driven by the need to accommodate long-term air traffic growth within an already-saturated ATM infrastructure. Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management is written particularly, but not exclusively, for transport researchers, though it also has a complementary appeal to practitioners, supported through the frequent references made to practical examples and operational themes such as performance, airline strategy, passenger mobility, delay propagation and free-flight safety. The book should also have significant appeal beyond the transport domain, due to its intrinsic value as an exposition of applied complexity science and applied research, drawing on examples of simulations and modelling throughout, with corresponding insights into the design of new concepts and policies, and the understanding of complex phenomena that are invisible to classical techniques.
Book Synopsis Complex Systems in the Social and Behavioral Sciences by : L. Douglas Kiel
Download or read book Complex Systems in the Social and Behavioral Sciences written by L. Douglas Kiel and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2021-06-22 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complexity Systems in the Social and Behavioral Sciences provides a sophisticated yet accessible account of complexity science or complex systems research. Phenomena in the behavioral, social, and hard sciences all exhibit certain important similarities consistent with complex systems. These include the concept of emergence, sensitivity to initial conditions, and interactions between agents in a system that yield unanticipated, nonlinear outcomes. The topics discussed range from the implications for artificial intelligence and computing to questions about how to model complex systems through agent-based modeling, to complex phenomena exhibited in international relations, and in organizational behavior. This volume will be an invaluable addition for both the general reader and the specialist, offering new insights into this fascinating area of research.
Book Synopsis Introduction to the Theory of Complex Systems by : Stefan Thurner
Download or read book Introduction to the Theory of Complex Systems written by Stefan Thurner and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-05 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comprehensive introduction to quantitative approaches to complex adaptive systems. Practically all areas of life on this planet are constantly confronted with complex systems, be it ecosystems, societies, traffic, financial markets, opinion formation and spreading, or the internet and social media. Complex systems are systems composed of many elements that interact strongly with each other, which makes them extremely rich dynamical systems showing a huge range of phenomena. Properties of complex systems that are of particular importance are their efficiency, robustness, resilience, and proneness to collapse. The quantitative tools and concepts needed to understand the co-evolutionary nature of networked systems and their properties are challenging. The book gives a self-contained introduction to these concepts, so that the reader will be equipped with a toolset that allows them to engage in the science of complex systems. Topics covered include random processes of path-dependent processes, co-evolutionary dynamics, dynamics of networks, the theory of scaling, and approaches from statistical mechanics and information theory. The book extends beyond the early classical literature in the field of complex systems and summarizes the methodological progress made over the past 20 years in a clear, structured, and comprehensive way.
Book Synopsis Annual Review of Health Care Management by : Leonard H. Friedman
Download or read book Annual Review of Health Care Management written by Leonard H. Friedman and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2013-12-14 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume will interest healthcare researchers and health system designers alike. It revisits the evolution of health systems organization in light of regulatory and organizational evolution in health care, as well as assessing the latest evidence on physician integration, complexity, and system redesign.
Book Synopsis The Routledge Handbook of International Resilience by : David Chandler
Download or read book The Routledge Handbook of International Resilience written by David Chandler and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-11-10 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resilience is increasingly discussed as a key concept across many fields of international policymaking from sustainable development and climate change, insecurity, conflict and terrorism to urban and rural planning, international aid provision and the prevention of and responses to natural and man-made disasters. Edited by leading academic authorities from a number of disciplines, this is the first handbook to deal with resilience as a new conceptual approach to understanding and addressing a range of interdependent global challenges. The Handbook is divided into nine sections: Introduction: contested paradigms of resilience; the challenges of resilience; governing uncertainty; resilience and neoliberalism; environmental concerns and climate change adaptation; urban planning; disaster risk reduction and response; international security and insecurity; the policy and practices of international development. Highlighting how resilience-thinking is increasingly transforming international policy-making and government and institutional practices, this book will be an indispensable source of information for students, academics and the wider public interested in resilience, international relations and international security.
Book Synopsis Handbook on Cities and Complexity by : Portugali, Juval
Download or read book Handbook on Cities and Complexity written by Portugali, Juval and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-09-16 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by some of the founders of complexity theory and complexity theories of cities (CTC), this Handbook expertly guides the reader through over forty years of intertwined developments: the emergence of general theories of complex self-organized systems and the consequent emergence of CTC.
Book Synopsis Transforming Healthcare with Qualitative Research by : Frances Rapport
Download or read book Transforming Healthcare with Qualitative Research written by Frances Rapport and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-10-27 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing on the knowledge and experiences of world-renowned scientists and healthcare professionals, this important book brings together academic, medical and health systems accounts of the impact of applying qualitative research methods to transform healthcare behaviours, systems and services. It demonstrates the translation of tried-and-tested and new interventions into high-quality care delivery, improved patient pathways, and enhanced systems management. It melds social theory, health systems analysis and research methods to address real-life healthcare issues in a rich and realistic fashion. The systems and services examined include those affecting patient care and patient and professional wellbeing, and the roles and responsibilities of people providing and receiving care. Some chapters delve deeply into the human psyche, examining the very private face of health and illness. Others concentrate on public health and how people’s needs can be met through health promotion and new investments. From real-time case studies to narratives on illness to theories of change, there is something here for everybody. Transforming health systems needs ingenuity – and the drive of individuals, the staying power of systems and above all the involvement of patients. Full of novel ideas and innovative solutions from around the world, all underpinned by qualitative methods and methodologies, this book is a key contribution for advanced students, practitioners and academics interested in health services research, research methods and the sociology of health and illness.
Book Synopsis Diversity and Complexity by : Scott E. Page
Download or read book Diversity and Complexity written by Scott E. Page and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-11-08 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the role of diversity in complex adaptive systems. A complex system--such as an economy or a tropical ecosystem--consists of interacting adaptive entities that produce dynamic patterns and structures. Diversity plays a different role in a complex system than it does in an equilibrium system, where it often merely produces variation around the mean for performance measures. In complex adaptive systems, diversity makes fundamental contributions to system performance. Scott Page gives a concise primer on how diversity happens, how it is maintained, and how it affects complex systems. He explains how diversity underpins system level robustness, allowing for multiple responses to external shocks and internal adaptations; how it provides the seeds for large events by creating outliers that fuel tipping points; and how it drives novelty and innovation. Page looks at the different kinds of diversity--variations within and across types, and distinct community compositions and interaction structures--and covers the evolution of diversity within complex systems and the factors that determine the amount of maintained diversity within a system. Provides a concise and accessible introduction Shows how diversity underpins robustness and fuels tipping points Covers all types of diversity The essential primer on diversity in complex adaptive systems
Book Synopsis Handbook of Systems and Complexity in Health by : Joachim P Sturmberg
Download or read book Handbook of Systems and Complexity in Health written by Joachim P Sturmberg and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-01-09 with total page 941 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an introduction to health care as a complex adaptive system, a system that feeds back on itself. The first section introduces systems and complexity theory from a science, historical, epistemological, and technical perspective, describing the principles and mathematics. Subsequent sections build on the health applications of systems science theory, from human physiology to medical decision making, population health and health services research. The aim of the book is to introduce and expand on important population health issues from a systems and complexity perspective, highlight current research developments and their implications for health care delivery, consider their ethical implications, and to suggest directions for and potential pitfalls in the future.
Book Synopsis Entrepreneurship and Local Economic Development by : Norman Walzer
Download or read book Entrepreneurship and Local Economic Development written by Norman Walzer and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 2007-10-08 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Entrepreneurship and Local Economic Development delves into the current thinking on local entrepreneurship development programs and evaluates ways in which practitioners can implement successful entrepreneurship practices. Examining the role and potential for entrepreneurship programs in local economic development strategies, contributors to this edited collection have many years of experience working with entrerpreneurship initiatives in state and local governments. Focused on theory and case study, Entrepreneurship and Local Economic Development examines conceptual issues involved in creating entrepreneurship programs as well as practical examples of programs organized by state, regional, and local agencies.
Book Synopsis Landscape Dynamics, Soils and Hydrological Processes in Varied Climates by : Assefa M. Melesse
Download or read book Landscape Dynamics, Soils and Hydrological Processes in Varied Climates written by Assefa M. Melesse and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-07-21 with total page 839 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents the processes governing the dynamics of landscapes, soils and sediments, water and energy under different climatic regions using studies conducted in varied climatic zones including arid, semi-arid, humid and wet regions. The spatiotemporal availability of the processes and fluxes and their linkage to the environment, land, soil and water management are presented at various scales. Spatial scales including laboratory, field, watershed, river basin and regions are represented. The effect of tillage operations and land management on soil physical characteristics and soil moisture is discussed. The book has 35 chapters in seven sections: 1) Landscape and Land Cover Dynamics, 2) Rainfall-Runoff Processes, 3) Floods and Hydrological Processes 4) Groundwater Flow and Aquifer Management, 5) Sediment Dynamics and Soil Management, 6) Climate change impact on vegetation, sediment and water dynamics, and 7) Water and Watershed Management.
Book Synopsis At the Edge of Uncertainty by : Michael Brooks
Download or read book At the Edge of Uncertainty written by Michael Brooks and published by Abrams. This book was released on 2015-02-10 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Engaging . . . touches on advanced computing, essential differences between men and women, the power of the will to live, mysteries of the cosmos and more.” —The Washington Post The atom. The Big Bang. DNA. Natural selection. All are ideas that revolutionized science—and all were dismissed out of hand when they first appeared. The surprises haven’t stopped in recent years, and in At the Edge of Uncertainty, bestselling author Michael Brooks investigates the new wave of radical insights that are shaping the future of scientific discovery. Brooks takes us to the extreme frontiers of what we understand about the world. He journeys from the observations that might rewrite our story of how the cosmos came to be, through the novel biology behind our will to live, and on to the physiological root of consciousness. Along the way, he examines the gender imbalance in clinical trials, explores how merging humans with other species might provide a solution to the shortage of organ donors, and finds out whether the universe really is like a computer or if the flow of time is a mere illusion. “Absorbing . . . scintillating . . . the edgy edge of scientific investigation presented with verve.” —Kirkus Reviews “Mind-bending . . . Brooks handily works his way through these thorny problems, highlighting current research and researchers along the way.” —Publishers Weekly (starred review)
Book Synopsis Surprise, Uncertainty, and Mental Structures by : Jerome Kagan
Download or read book Surprise, Uncertainty, and Mental Structures written by Jerome Kagan and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2002-04-15 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the distinctive manner that has made him one of the most influential forces in developmental psychology, Kagan challenges scientific commonplaces about mental processes, pointing in particular to the significant but undervalued role of surprise and uncertainty in shaping behavior, emotion, and thought.
