The Uncertain Past

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1009302035
Total Pages : 323 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis The Uncertain Past by : Myles Lavan

Download or read book The Uncertain Past written by Myles Lavan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-12-01 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire.

The Great Upheaval

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Publisher : JHU Press
ISBN 13 : 1421442582
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Upheaval by : Arthur Levine

Download or read book The Great Upheaval written by Arthur Levine and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2021-09-14 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How will America's colleges and universities adapt to remarkable technological, economic, and demographic change? The United States is in the midst of a profound transformation the likes of which hasn't been seen since the Industrial Revolution, when America's classical colleges adapted to meet the needs of an emerging industrial economy. Today, as the world shifts to an increasingly interconnected knowledge economy, the intersecting forces of technological innovation, globalization, and demographic change create vast new challenges, opportunities, and uncertainties. In this great upheaval, the nation's most enduring social institutions are at a crossroads. In The Great Upheaval, Arthur Levine and Scott Van Pelt examine higher and postsecondary education to see how it has changed to become what it is today—and how it might be refitted for an uncertain future. Taking a unique historical, cross-industry perspective, Levine and Van Pelt perform a 360-degree survey of American higher education. Combining historical, trend, and comparative analyses of other business sectors, they ask • how much will colleges and universities change, what will change, and how will these changes occur? • will institutions of higher learning be able to adapt to the challenges they face, or will they be disrupted by them? • will the industrial model of higher education be repaired or replaced? • why is higher education more important than ever? The book is neither an attempt to advocate for a particular future direction nor a warning about that future. Rather, it looks objectively at the contexts in which higher education has operated—and will continue to operate. It also seeks to identify likely developments that will aid those involved in steering higher education forward, as well as the many millions of Americans who have a stake in its future. Concluding with a detailed agenda for action, The Great Upheaval is aimed at policy makers, college administrators, faculty, trustees, and students, as well as general readers and people who work for nonprofits facing the same big changes.

Uncertain Manifesto

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Publisher : New York Review of Books
ISBN 13 : 168137286X
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Manifesto by : Frédéric Pajak

Download or read book Uncertain Manifesto written by Frédéric Pajak and published by New York Review of Books. This book was released on 2019-03-19 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An illustrated artist's memoir of the motivations, feelings, ideas, figures (including Samuel Beckett and Walter Benjamin), travels, and love affairs that have influenced his life. The writer and artist Frédéric Pajak was ten when he began to dream of “a book mixing words and pictures: snippets of adventure, random memories, maxims, ghosts, forgotten heroes, trees, the raging sea,” but it was not until he was in his forties that this dream took form as Uncertain Manifesto. The utterly original book that he produced is a memoir born of reading and a meditation on the lives and ideas, the motivations, feelings, and fates of some of Pajak’s heroes: Samuel Beckett and the artist Bram van Velde, and, especially, Walter Benjamin, whose travels to Moscow, Naples, and Ibiza, whose experiences with hashish, whose faltering marriage and love affairs and critique of modern experience Pajak re-creates and reflects on in word and image. Pajak’s moody black-and white drawings accompany the text throughout, though their bearing on it is often indirect and all the more absorbing for that. Between word and image, the reader is drawn into a mysterious space that is all Pajak’s as he seeks to evoke vanished histories and to resist a modern world more and more given over to a present without a past. With the support of the Swiss Arts Council Pro Helvetia

Picturing the Uncertain World

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691152675
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Picturing the Uncertain World by : Howard Wainer

Download or read book Picturing the Uncertain World written by Howard Wainer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-30 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the publisher. This book explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse sampling of graphical display, from heartrending autobiographical displays of genocide in the Kovno ghetto to the "Pie Chart of Mystery" in a New Yorker cartoon, Wainer illustrates the many ways graphs can be used--and misused--as we try to make sense of an uncertain world. Picturing the Uncertain World takes readers on an extraordinary graphical adventure, revealing how the visual communication of data offers answers to vexing questions yet also highlights the measure of uncertainty in almost everything we do. Are cancer rates higher or lower in rural communities? How can you know how much money to sock away for retirement when you don't know when you'll die? And where exactly did nineteenth-century novelists get their ideas? These are some of the fascinating questions Wainer invites readers to consider. Along the way he traces the origins and development of graphical display, from William Playfair, who pioneered the use of graphs in the eighteenth century, to instances today where the public has been misled through poorly designed graphs.

Uncertain Histories

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Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520285271
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (22 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Histories by : Kate Palmer Albers

Download or read book Uncertain Histories written by Kate Palmer Albers and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2015-07-21 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The compulsion to dwell on historyÑon how it is recorded, stored, saved, forgotten, narrated, lost, remembered, and made publicÑhas been at the heart of artistsÕ engagement with the photographic medium since the late 1960s. Uncertain Histories considers some of that work, ranging from installations that incorporate vast numbers of personal and vernacular photographs by Christian Boltanski, Dinh Q. L�, and Gerhard Richter to confrontations with absence in the work of Joel Sternfeld and Ken Gonzales-Day. Projects such as these revolve around a photographic paradox that hinges equally on knowing and not knowing, on definitive proof coupled with uncertainty, on abundance of imagery being met squarely with its own inadequacy. Photography is seen as a fundamentally ambiguous medium that can be evocative of the historical past while at the same time limited in the stories it can convey. Rather than proclaiming definitively what photography is, the work discussed here posits photographs as objects always held in suspension, perpetually oscillating in their ability to tell history. Yet this ultimately leads to a new kind of knowledge production: uncertainty is not a dead end but a generative space for the viewerÕs engagement with the construction of history.

Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139435442
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World by : Henry N. Pollack

Download or read book Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World written by Henry N. Pollack and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-06-23 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is the world warming due to the Greenhouse Effect? Can nuclear weapon arsenals be relied upon without periodic testing? Is the world running out of oil? What action should be taken against an outbreak of foot-and-mouth or BSE? Why can't scientists provide certain answers to these and many other questions? The uncertainty of science is puzzling. It arises when scientists have more than one answer to a problem or disagree amongst themselves. In this engaging book, Henry Pollack guides the reader through the maze of contradiction and uncertainty, acquainting them with the ways that uncertainty arises in science, how scientists accommodate and make use of uncertainty, and how in the face of uncertainty they reach their conclusions. Taking examples from recent science headlines and every day life, Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World enables the reader to evaluate uncertainty from their own perspectives, and find out more about how science actually works.

Handbook of the Uncertain Self

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Author :
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1136950575
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (369 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Uncertain Self by : Robert M. Arkin

Download or read book Handbook of the Uncertain Self written by Robert M. Arkin and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook explores the cognitive, motivational, interpersonal, clinical, and applied aspects of personal uncertainty. It showcases both the diversity and the unity that defines contemporary perspectives on uncertainty in self within social and personality psychology. The contributions to the volume are all written by distinguished scholars in personality, social psychology, and clinical psychology united by their common focus on the causes and consequences of self-uncertainty. Chapters explore the similarities and differences between personal uncertainty and other psychological experiences in terms of their nature and relationship with human thought, emotion, motivation, and behavior. Specific challenges posed by personal uncertainty and the coping strategies people develop in their daily life are identified. There is an assessment of the potential negative and positive repercussions of coping with the specific experience of self-uncertainty, including academic, health, and relationship outcomes. Throughout, strategies specifically designed to assist others in confronting the unique challenges posed by self-uncertainty in ways that emphasize healthy psychological functioning and growth are promoted. In addition, the contributions to the Handbook touch on the psychological, social, and cultural context of the new millennium, including concepts such as Friedman’s "flat world," confidence, the absence of doubt in world leaders, the threat of terrorism since 9/11, the arts, doubt and religious belief, and views of doubt as the universal condition of humankind. The Handbook is an invaluable resource for researchers, practitioners, and senior undergraduate and graduate students in social and personality psychology, clinical and counseling psychology, educational psychology, and developmental psychology.

Uncertain

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Author :
Publisher : Random House
ISBN 13 : 0241467721
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (414 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain by : Arie Kruglanski

Download or read book Uncertain written by Arie Kruglanski and published by Random House. This book was released on 2023-04-27 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TO ACHIEVE THE EXTRAORDINARY, FIRST EMBRACE THE UNKNOWN . . . Discover the definitive guide to our fear of uncertainty, and how we can stop it from holding us back 'Groundbreaking' MARTIN SELIGMAN 'One of my very favorite psychologists in the world' ANGELA DUCKWORTH 'This is the book we've been waiting for' CAROL DWECK, bestselling author of Mindset: The New Psychology of Success ____________ Do you fear uncertainty? Why is the unknown so paralysing? And how can we use doubt to our advantage? Our safe modern world has wired us to fear the unknown, rather than use it to our benefit. But what if there was a way of turning that uncertainty into our greatest strength? Imagine being able to make important decisions without anxiety. Imagine being the calm at the centre of every storm. In Uncertain, the world-renowned psychologist Professor Arie Kruglanski shows us that there's only one certain way to face the unknown, and that is to fundamentally change the way we perceive it. This definitive book will transform the way you think about the unknown. Suddenly, you'll stop fearing uncertainty and learn to not only face it, but also harness the power that comes with it. Don't let uncertainty rule your life. Instead, embrace it and achieve the extraordinary. ____________ 'This groundbreaking book is the place to go to discover how to embrace uncertainty and turn it to your growth and benefit' Martin Seligman, author of The Hope Circuit 'One of my very favorite psychologists in the world tackles a subject that is both timeless and timely [and] shows us that though uncertainty is inevitable, how we react to it is not' Angela Duckworth, bestselling author of Grit 'This is the book we've been waiting for. With his tremendous spirit, wit, knowledge, and wisdom, Kruglanski give us a book that helps us understand and navigate the uncertain world we live in. It's both based on science and filled with humanity-with deep compassion and benevolent guidance. It is a book for our time' Carol Dweck, author of Mindset: The New Psychology of Success 'If you're not sure if you need this book, then you do. Original, insightful, and thought-provoking, the world's expert on the psychology of uncertainty reveals what science can tell us about our lives on the razor's edge' Daniel Gilbert, the New York Times bestselling author of Stumbling on Happiness 'If there's anything I'm certain about, is that you'll love this book' Ayelet Fishbach, author of Get It Done

Preparing for an Uncertain Climate

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Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428921052
Total Pages : 755 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis Preparing for an Uncertain Climate by :

Download or read book Preparing for an Uncertain Climate written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1993 with total page 755 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertain Futures

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192552759
Total Pages : 421 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Futures by : Jens Beckert

Download or read book Uncertain Futures written by Jens Beckert and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-07-11 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertain Futures considers how economic actors visualize the future and decide how to act in conditions of radical uncertainty. It starts from the premise that dynamic capitalist economies are characterized by relentless innovation and novelty and hence exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced to measurable risk. The organizing question then becomes how economic actors form expectations and make decisions despite the uncertainty they face. This edited volume lays the foundations for a new model of economic reasoning by showing how, in conditions of uncertainty, economic actors combine calculation with imaginaries and narratives to form fictional expectations that coordinate action and provide the confidence to act. It draws on groundbreaking research in economic sociology, economics, anthropology, and psychology to present theoretically grounded empirical case studies. These demonstrate how grand narratives, central bank forward guidance, economic forecasts, finance models, business plans, visions of technological futures, and new era stories influence behaviour and become instruments of power in markets and societies. The market impact of shared calculative devices, social narratives, and contingent imaginaries underlines the rationale for a new form of narrative economics.

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814415766
Total Pages : 471 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment by : Jaime Gil-Aluja

Download or read book Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment written by Jaime Gil-Aluja and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the XVII SIGEF Congress. It presents fuzzy logic, neural networks and other intelligent techniques applied to economic and business problems. This book is very useful for researchers and graduate students aiming to introduce themselves to the field of quantitative techniques for overcoming uncertain environments. The contributors are experienced scholars of different countries who offer real world applications of these mathematical techniques.

Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal

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Author :
Publisher : Bentham Science Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1681082179
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal by : Bruce J. West

Download or read book Simplifying Complexity: Life is Uncertain, Unfair and Unequal written by Bruce J. West and published by Bentham Science Publishers. This book was released on 2016-08-03 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In life, we often face unavoidable complexities in terms of our ability to understand or influence outcomes. Some questions which arise due to these complexities are: Why can’t the future be made certain? Why do the some people or events always end up at the center of controversy? Why do only a select few get ahead of their peers? Each question pertains to three central elements of complexities and these elements are: uncertainty, inequality and unfairness. Simplifying Complexity explains the scientific study of complex cognitive networks, as well as the methods scientists use to parse difficult problems into manageable pieces. Readers are introduced to scientific methodology and thought processes, followed by a discourse on perspectives on the three elements of complexity through concepts such as normal and non-normal statistics, scaling and complexity management. Simplifying Complexity combines basic cognitive science and scientific philosophy for both advanced students (in the fields of sociology, cognitive science, complex networks and change management) and for general readers looking for a more scientific guide to understanding and managing the nature of change in a complex world.

Uncertain Archives

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262539888
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Archives by : Nanna Bonde Thylstrup

Download or read book Uncertain Archives written by Nanna Bonde Thylstrup and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2021-02-02 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scholars from a range of disciplines interrogate terms relevant to critical studies of big data, from abuse and aggregate to visualization and vulnerability. This pathbreaking work offers an interdisciplinary perspective on big data, interrogating key terms. Scholars from a range of disciplines interrogate concepts relevant to critical studies of big data--arranged glossary style, from from abuse and aggregate to visualization and vulnerability--both challenging conventional usage of such often-used terms as prediction and objectivity and introducing such unfamiliar ones as overfitting and copynorm. The contributors include both leading researchers, including N. Katherine Hayles, Johanna Drucker and Lisa Gitelman, and such emerging agenda-setting scholars as Safiya Noble, Sarah T. Roberts and Nicole Starosielski.

Broken

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Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 0684833719
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Broken by : Richard Gid Powers

Download or read book Broken written by Richard Gid Powers and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2004 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On the heels of 9/11, historian Powers shows how the FBI has arrived at a critical juncture and why its future has become gravely imperiled.

Uncertain Climes

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226824446
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Climes by : Joseph Giacomelli

Download or read book Uncertain Climes written by Joseph Giacomelli and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2023-04-05 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertain Climes looks to the late nineteenth century to reveal how climate anxiety was a crucial element in the emergence of American modernity. Even people who still refuse to accept the reality of human-induced climate change would have to agree that the topic has become inescapable in the United States in recent decades. But as Joseph Giacomelli shows in Uncertain Climes, this is actually nothing new: as far back as Gilded Age America, climate uncertainty has infused major debates on economic growth and national development. In this ambitious examination of late-nineteenth-century understandings of climate, Giacomelli draws on the work of scientists, foresters, surveyors, and settlers to demonstrate how central the subject was to the emergence of American modernity. Amid constant concerns about volatile weather patterns and the use of natural resources, nineteenth-century Americans developed a multilayered discourse on climate and what it might mean for the nation’s future. Although climate science was still in its nascent stages during the Gilded Age, fears and hopes about climate change animated the overarching political struggles of the time, including expansion into the American West. Giacomelli makes clear that uncertainty was the common theme linking concerns about human-induced climate change with cultural worries about the sustainability of capitalist expansionism in an era remarkably similar to the United States’ unsettled present.

The 'Uncertain' Foundations of Post Keynesian Economics

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134469462
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis The 'Uncertain' Foundations of Post Keynesian Economics by : Stephen Dunn

Download or read book The 'Uncertain' Foundations of Post Keynesian Economics written by Stephen Dunn and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2010-04-05 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important new book introduces, analyzes and takes forward a post-Keynesian theory of the firm. It makes a vital contribution to the conceptualisation of uncertainty that is consistent with the methodological presuppositions of Post Keynesian economics. The author attempts to make a positive contribution to the development of Post Keynesian economics by refuting allegations of incoherence, detailing some of the salient implications of a transmutable conception of economic processes and then starting to explore what this means for how Post Keynesians conceptualise uncertainty. The book argues that the Post Keynesian distinctive view of time, understood as a non-deterministic open systems process, is a core and defining characteristic which is linked to its theoretical discussion of money and the principle of effective demand. Covering areas such as the coherence of Post Keynesianism, the future of Post Keynesian economics and Keynesian methodological debates, this book is useful reading for all Post Keynesian scholars with a strong interest in economic methodology and the philosophical underpinnings of economics.

Uncertain Business

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Author :
Publisher : University of Toronto Press
ISBN 13 : 9780802085627
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (856 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Business by : Richard Victor Ericson

Download or read book Uncertain Business written by Richard Victor Ericson and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2004-01-01 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in an age of increasing doubt about whether our institutions and technologies can provide security against risks, many of which they themselves have created. Uncertain Business is an unprecedented inquiry into insurance industry practices and what they tell us about risks and uncertainties in contemporary society. The core of the book is ethnographic studies in distinct fields of insurance: premature death, disability, earthquake, and terrorism. These studies reveal that uncertainty pervades different fields of insurance, the very industry that is charged with transforming uncertainty into manageable risk. Scientific data on risk are variously absent, inadequate, controversial, contradictory, and ignored. Insurers impose meaning on uncertainty through non-scientific forms of knowledge that are intuitive, emotional, aesthetic, moral, and speculative. Nevertheless, the nature of uncertainty and the response to it varies substantially across the fields studied, showing how contemporary society is characterized by competing risk logics. Insurers' perceptions and decisions about uncertainty - with potential for windfall profits as well as catastrophic losses - create crises in insurance availability and provoke new forms of inequality and exclusion. Hence, while the insurance industry is a central bulwark against uncertainty, insurers also play a key role in fostering it.