Trading In Uncertainty

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Investment under Uncertainty

Author : Robert K. Dixit
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830176
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit

Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

The Era of Uncertainty

Author : Francois Trahan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118134095
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis The Era of Uncertainty by : Francois Trahan

Download or read book The Era of Uncertainty written by Francois Trahan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”

Pandora's Risk

Author : Kent Osband
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231151721
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (311 download)

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Book Synopsis Pandora's Risk by : Kent Osband

Download or read book Pandora's Risk written by Kent Osband and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author of the acclaimed work Iceberg Risk: An Adventure in Portfolio Theory, Kent Osband argues that uncertainty is central rather than marginal to finance. Markets don't trade mainly on changes in risk. They trade on changes in beliefs about risk, and in the process, markets unite, stretch, and occasionally defy beliefs. Recognizing this truth would make a world of difference in investing. Belittling uncertainty has created a rift between financial theory and practice and within finance theory itself, misguiding regulation and stoking huge financial imbalances. Sparking a revolution in the mindset of the investment professional, Osband recasts the market as a learning machine rather than a knowledge machine. The market continually errs, corrects itself, and makes new errors. Respecting that process, without idolizing it, will promote wiser investment, trading, and regulation. With uncertainty embedded at its core, Osband's rational approach points to a finance theory worthy of twenty-first-century investing.

The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading

Author : Brent Penfold
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119734495
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading by : Brent Penfold

Download or read book The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading written by Brent Penfold and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Get a flying headstart on trend trading with this comprehensive how-to guide The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading: Finding Opportunity in Uncertainty delivers powerful and practical advice for the serious trend trader. Using the principles identified in The Universal Principles of Successful Trading, author Brent Penfold shows curious investors how to become a long-term winner with tried-and-true trend trading methodologies. The book includes in-depth and comprehensive treatments of topics like: · Why trend trading is so appealing · Popular and effective trend trading strategies · How to measure risk · Common trend trading mistakes and how to avoid them Investors and readers will also discover the importance of risk, and how to judge outcomes and strategies on a risk-adjusted basis. Perfect for anyone interested in trading successfully, The Universal Tactics of Successful Trend Trading is a key strategy guide that belongs on the shelf of anyone involved in the buying and selling of financial securities.

Uncertainty Advantage

Author : Gary S. Lynch
Publisher : Archway Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1480839388
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Advantage by : Gary S. Lynch

Download or read book Uncertainty Advantage written by Gary S. Lynch and published by Archway Publishing. This book was released on 2017-01-12 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty may sound scary, but todays best business leaders are navigating both to gain strategic advantage over competitorsand you can, too. This guide for business leaders examines risk and opportunity through the lens of some of the worlds most respected visionaries, including Howard Schultz, Andy Grove, Peter Huntsman, John Krafcik, Peter Leibinger, Doug Hepper, and many more. These visionaries looked beyond financial performance to see opportunitiesand they did so by understanding uncertainty. Then, they decisively acted to create measurable results that coincided with the future they envisioned. Find out how they did it, and learn how to: identify, define, and convert uncertainty into value; become more opportunistic when facing uncertainty; develop the skill to spot where advantages are likely to emerge; and create an environment where managers and leaders complement each other. Filled with case studies on companies such as Hyundai, Starbucks, Roche, and Intel, this guide delivers proven ways to create value and leverage uncertainty. It is the culmination of a decade of research and interaction with dozens of companies and growth leaders who prove that pursuing a market driven strategy to navigating uncertainty will gain measurable market advantage.

Uncertainty in Economics

Author : Peter Diamond
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483264505
Total Pages : 586 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Economics by : Peter Diamond

Download or read book Uncertainty in Economics written by Peter Diamond and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in Economics: Readings and Exercises provides information pertinent to the fundamental aspects of the economics of uncertainty. This book discusses ho uncertainty affects both individual behavior and standard equilibrium theory. Organized into three parts encompassing 30 chapters, this book begins with an overview of the relevance of expected utility maximization for positive and normative theories of individual choice. This text then examines the biases in judgments, which reveal some heuristics of thinking under uncertainty. Other chapters consider the effect of restricting trade in contingent commodities to those trades that can be affected through the stock and bond markets. This book discusses as well the individual problem of sequential choice and equilibria, which are built around the notion of sequential choice. The final chapter deals with an entirely different aspect of the economics of information and reverts to the assumption that markets are perfect and costless. This book is a valuable resource for economists and students.

Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading

Author : Alex Krainer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9782955692301
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (923 download)

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Book Synopsis Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading by : Alex Krainer

Download or read book Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading written by Alex Krainer and published by . This book was released on 2016-06-07 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book condenses the author's two decades of broad research into the key aspects of speculation in financial and commodity futures markets. It investigates questions such as: - What are the risks and opportunities in trading futures? - Can we learn enough about market fundamentals to have an edge? - Why do most market professionals by far underperform market benchmarks? - Why do so many speculators ultimately lose? - Can economics help us overcome uncertainty? Can quantitative analysis? - Do markets move in trends? - Can trends be exploited to consistently outperform market benchmarks? - Can trend following generate value for hedgers? - What can nature teach us about mastering uncertainty and risk? This book, woven together with the author's personal story of discovery from a humble assistant at an oil trading company to a hedge fund manager, delves deep into these and many more questions. More importantly, it provides concrete and definitive solutions as well as the results of putting those solutions to the test against the global commodity and financial markets. A promise: the material is concise, non-technical and fluff-free.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets

Author : Antonio J. Conejo
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441974210
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets by : Antonio J. Conejo

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets written by Antonio J. Conejo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-09-08 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets provides models and procedures to be used by electricity market agents to make informed decisions under uncertainty. These procedures rely on well established stochastic programming models, which make them efficient and robust. Particularly, these techniques allow electricity producers to derive offering strategies for the pool and contracting decisions in the futures market. Retailers use these techniques to derive selling prices to clients and energy procurement strategies through the pool, the futures market and bilateral contracting. Using the proposed models, consumers can derive the best energy procurement strategies using the available trading floors. The market operator can use the techniques proposed in this book to clear simultaneously energy and reserve markets promoting efficiency and equity. The techniques described in this book are of interest for professionals working on energy markets, and for graduate students in power engineering, applied mathematics, applied economics, and operations research.

Wiser Investing

Author : Benjamin C. Halliburton
Publisher : Forbesbooks
ISBN 13 : 9781946633439
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (334 download)

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Book Synopsis Wiser Investing by : Benjamin C. Halliburton

Download or read book Wiser Investing written by Benjamin C. Halliburton and published by Forbesbooks. This book was released on 2019-02-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diversification Works Many investors share a short-term outlook, narrowing their focus so much that they miss the long game being strategically implemented by the uber-wealthy and institutions. While you've not been doing anything wrong by using just stocks and bonds, what if you could now obtain wiser investment strategies? Don't put all your eggs in one basket when building your portfolio. In Wiser Investing: Diversify Your Portfolio Beyond Stocks and Bonds, Benjamin C. Halliburton will teach you strategies that can help you build and protect your wealth, produce extra income, and help you secure your future. You'll learn that even though investors may be playing a great game with only stocks and bonds, their hand is only utilizing a portion of the available cards in the investment deck. No one wants to be worrying about their investments and wondering if they will have enough capital and income to take care of themselves and their families. This book explores a way to potentially improve your portfolio and become a wiser investor.

Managing Uncertainty

Author : Michel Syrett
Publisher : The Economist
ISBN 13 : 1610395131
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Uncertainty by : Michel Syrett

Download or read book Managing Uncertainty written by Michel Syrett and published by The Economist. This book was released on 2014-02-25 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. • Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business • Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty • Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Quinetiq, Philips, China Telecom, Ford, Apple, Shell, Glaxo SmithKline and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Author : Frank H. Knight
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1602060053
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight

Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Multi-objective Decision Analysis

Author : Clinton W. Brownley
Publisher : Business Expert Press
ISBN 13 : 1606494538
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-objective Decision Analysis by : Clinton W. Brownley

Download or read book Multi-objective Decision Analysis written by Clinton W. Brownley and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether managing strategy, operations or products, knowing how to make the best decision in a complex, uncertain business environment is difficult. You might be faced with multiple, competing objectives, which means making trade-offs. To complicate matters, any uncertainty makes it hard to explicitly understand how different objectives will impact potential outcomes. This book will help you face these problems. It provides a decision analysis framework implemented as a simple spreadsheet tool. This multi-objective decision analysis framework helps you to measure trade-offs among objectives and incorporate uncertainties and risk preferences. With this book, you will be able to identify what information is needed to make a decision, define how that information should be combined, and, finally, provide quantifiable evidence to clearly communicate and justify the decision. The process involves minimal overhead and is perfect for busy professionals who need a simple, structured process for making, tracking, and communicating decisions. This process makes decision making more efficient by focusing only on information and factors that are well-defined, measureable, and relevant to the decision at hand. The framework requires clear characterization of a decision, ensuring that it can be traced and is consistent with the intended objectives and organizational values. Using this structured decision-making framework, anyone can consistently make better decisions to gain competitive and strategic advantage.

The Psychology of Risk

Author : Ari Kiev
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471463183
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis The Psychology of Risk by : Ari Kiev

Download or read book The Psychology of Risk written by Ari Kiev and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-21 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Angesichts der verstärkten Schwankungsanfälligkeit moderner Märkte, wird das Thema Risikomanagement immer wichtiger. "The Psychology of Risk" schlägt eine Brücke zwischen Anlegerpsychologie und quanitativem Risikomanagement durch ein neues, revolutionäres Modell des Risikomanagement. Es handelt sich dabei um ein einzigartiges, dynamisches Riskikomanagement-Modell, das quanitative Modelle und Verfahren des Money Management mit Verhaltenspsychologie kombiniert. Basierend auf einem ganzheitlichen Ansatz, vermittelt es erfolgreiche Strategien und bewährte Verhaltensmodelle. Jeder Händler oder Anleger kann das hier vorgestellte Modell individuell auf seine Ziele und seine Persönlichkeit zuschneiden. Mit einer Fülle faszinierender Fallstudien aus der Praxis. Demonstriert werden u.a. auch verschiedene psychologische und emotionale Fallen, in die selbst der erfahrenste Anleger tappen kann. Stellt einen Katalog strenger Richtlinien auf, die bei der Beantwortung wichtiger Fragen helfen sollen, z.B.: Wieviel sollte ich handeln? Welches Risiko kann ich eingehen? Wann sollte ich aussteigen? Der Autor ist ein renommierter Psychiater und anerkannter Finanzexperte.

The Global Trade Slowdown

Author : Cristina Constantinescu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498399134
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Global Trade Slowdown by : Cristina Constantinescu

Download or read book The Global Trade Slowdown written by Cristina Constantinescu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-21 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slowdown is structural or cyclical. An estimate of the relationship between trade and income in the past four decades reveals that the long-term trade elasticity rose sharply in the 1990s, but declined significantly in the 2000s even before the global financial crisis. These results suggest that trade is growing slowly not only because of slow growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but also because of a structural change in the trade-GDP relationship in recent years. The available evidence suggests that the explanation may lie in the slowing pace of international vertical specialization rather than increasing protection or the changing composition of trade and GDP.

Managing Risk And Uncertainty In International Trade

Author : Alan R Winberg
Publisher : Westview Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Risk And Uncertainty In International Trade by : Alan R Winberg

Download or read book Managing Risk And Uncertainty In International Trade written by Alan R Winberg and published by Westview Press. This book was released on 1987-01-18 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Trades of March 2020

Author : Alex Gurevich
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781544525150
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (251 download)

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Book Synopsis The Trades of March 2020 by : Alex Gurevich

Download or read book The Trades of March 2020 written by Alex Gurevich and published by . This book was released on 2022-01-18 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Have you ever wondered what happens in the command control of a global macro hedge fund when US stock markets plunge 35 percent in just three weeks? Welcome to the mind of Alex Gurevich, Founder and CIO of HonTe Investments. As tragic events unfolded around the world, the pandemic ruptured the sequence of price action and devoured financial markets like a black hole. Through Gurevich's personal narrative and the team's actual Slack messages, The Trades of March 2020 follows their frenetic efforts to survive the crisis. From the first terrifying days of loss, both personal and professional, to the team's redoubled attempts to identify emerging opportunities, this account of crucial, in-the-moment decisions is a faithful record of the trading moves made in the unprecedented month of March 2020. Discover the thinking and investment philosophy that led HonTe to survive and ultimately thrive during one of the most extraordinary challenges of our time.

Trading in Uncertainty

Author : Esther Horat
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319556487
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading in Uncertainty by : Esther Horat

Download or read book Trading in Uncertainty written by Esther Horat and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-07-04 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an ethnographic case study, based on first hand observation, of family businesses in the northern Vietnamese village of Ninh Hiệp along the Red River Delta, which became a major hub for textiles in the wake of the country’s shift towards market socialism. The author explores how the traders experience, negotiate and react to a marketization process that is markedly shaped by the state’s morally ambivalent governance, and which can be thus characterised as an admixture of socialist and neoliberal ideologies. How are traders shaping the political economy of Vietnam? How has the labour force changed as textile-handling has become an increasingly profitable undertaking? Horat explores the relationships between traders and local authorities, as well as changing ideas of masculinity and femininity. Focusing on the redevelopment of the market landscape and the increasing share of private ownership that have given rise to great uncertainty, this book provides a we ll-timed inquiry into current debates of economic development in a uniquely shaped market environment.