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Time Varying Exchange Rate Exposure Coefficients Exposure Betas
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Book Synopsis Time-Varying Exchange Rate Exposure Coefficients (Exposure Betas) by : Prabhath Jayasinghe
Download or read book Time-Varying Exchange Rate Exposure Coefficients (Exposure Betas) written by Prabhath Jayasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses time-varying second moments to investigate exchange rate exposure betas. Using a BEKK-GARCH(1,21)-M model, time-varying exchange rate exposure betas are obtained with explicit focus on the non-orthogonality between exchange rate changes and market returns. We look into certain aspects of the stochastic structure underlying the exposure betas. An important finding of the paper is that, although exchange rate exposure betas are likely to vary over time, they follow mean-reverting long-memory processes. The presence of mean-reverting exchange rate exposure coefficients has important implications for investment and hedging strategies.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Exposure by : Kathryn M. Dominguez
Download or read book Exchange Rate Exposure written by Kathryn M. Dominguez and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we examine the relationship between exchange rate movements and firm value. We estimate the exchange rate exposure of publicly listed firms in a sample of eight (non-US) industrialized and emerging markets, and find that a significant percentage of these firms are indeed exposed. These results differ substantially from most previous studies in the literature that find little evidence of exposure. In robustness checks we find that: (i) the choice of exchange rate matters, and using the trade-weighted exchange rate is likely to understate the extent of exposure, (ii) conditioning on the value-weighted vs. the equally-weighted market index has little effect on estimated exposure, while conditioning on the international index does change the estimate of exposure, (iii) the extent of exposure is not a result of a spurious correlation between random variables with high variances, (iv) exposure increases with the return horizon, (v) within a country and within an industry, exposure coefficients are roughly evenly split between positive and negative values, (vi) averaging across the (absolute value of the) significant exposure coefficients in our sample of countries, we find an exposure coefficient of about 0.5, (vii) the extent of exposure is not sensitive to the sample period, but the set of firms that is exposed does vary over time, and (viii) the sign of the exposure coefficients changes across subperiods for about half of the firms of our sample. We find that exposure is not systematically related to firm size, industry affiliation, multinational status, foreign sales, international assets or industry-level trade.
Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Book Synopsis Estimating Exchange Rate Exposures by : Gordon M. Bodnar
Download or read book Estimating Exchange Rate Exposures written by Gordon M. Bodnar and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From a sample of 910 U.S. firms over the period 1977 1996, we find that structure of the empirical model has significant impacts on resulting estimates of exchange rate exposures from equity returns. While lengthening the return horizon has minimal impact on exposure estimates, the inclusion of a market portfolio in the specification results in significant changes to the exposure estimates. We further demonstrate that different definitions of the market portfolio result in important differences in the overall distribution of exposure estimates and the interpretations of the sign, size, and significance of many firms' exposures. The source of the exposure differences across market portfolios is due to a strong size-exposure relation for U.S. firms. Surprisingly, this size-exposure relation does not appear to be driven by an underlying correlation between size and foreign cash flow position of the firms. An alternative model specification using matched CRSP capital-based size portfolios as controls for market movements in the exposure model produces firm-level exposures with a stronger relation to foreign cash flows and less of a correlation with firm size.
Book Synopsis A Quest for More Reliable Estimates of Exchange Rate Exposure by : Prabhath Jayasinghe
Download or read book A Quest for More Reliable Estimates of Exchange Rate Exposure written by Prabhath Jayasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The noticeable dichotomy between the research and practice of exchange rate exposure management may be partly due to the fact that the degree, the direction and the significance of the exposure to currency risk vastly depend on the method of estimation and the proxies used. In this paper, we examine the impact of incorporating a few stylized facts of financial time series -- namely, time-varying volatility, leptokurtosis and asymmetric volatility -- and a possible indirect exposure effect on the magnitude, significance and the sign of exchange rate exposure coefficients. To this end, an asymmetric GARCH-type model whose residuals are assumed to be t-distributed is employed to estimate exchange rate exposure. We observe that the negligence of these stylized facts may lead to seriously under/over-estimated exposure coefficients. Incorporating the indirect exposure effect offers some useful insights too.
Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets by : Shaun K. Roache
Download or read book Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets written by Shaun K. Roache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) by : Kathryn Dominguez
Download or read book Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) written by Kathryn Dominguez and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-10-20 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1992, examines the subject of foreign exchange market efficiency and, in particular, the effectiveness of central bank intervention in the market. This book is ideal for students of economics.
Book Synopsis Time Varying Parameters in Exchange Rate Models by : Richard Henricsson
Download or read book Time Varying Parameters in Exchange Rate Models written by Richard Henricsson and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette
Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.
Book Synopsis Pass-through Exposure by : Gordon M. Bodnar
Download or read book Pass-through Exposure written by Gordon M. Bodnar and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance by : Yakov Amihud
Download or read book Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance written by Yakov Amihud and published by Beard Books. This book was released on 2003 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a reprint of a previously published book. It consists of a series of papers by experts in the field on how the exchange rate volatility of the 1980s affected the financial policies of international firms.
Book Synopsis Hedge Fund Returns by : Christian Alexander Wegener
Download or read book Hedge Fund Returns written by Christian Alexander Wegener and published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH. This book was released on 2011 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present work advances the research on hedge fund returns in three main areas. Firstly, their statistical properties are assessed in order to understand by what degree the returns of this alternative asset class are subject to non-normality, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. Secondly, state-of-the-art econometric approaches are used for the purpose of analyzing whether and to what extent monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable. Thirdly, an effort is made to identify and explain which economic risks affect the performance of the different hedge fund strategy styles in which way. The empirical results suggest that monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable by means of multivariate regression models which rely on economic predictors such as changes in interest rates or changes in business outlooks. Accounting for the fact that hedge fund returns are non-normally distributed, heteroscedastic and time-varying in their exposure to pervasive risk factors, the devised econometric models are found to deliver significant out-of-sample predictive power. The thesis at hand also documents that the interdependencies between the monthly changes of envisaged risk factors and the subsequent hedge fund returns remain remarkably stable throughout time. In essence, the performance of hedge funds appears to be sensitive to common business cycle movements. Altogether, the results are relevant to researchers in search of a description and application of contemporary return prediction methods as well as to investors in need of a better understanding of the drivers of hedge fund returns.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498330282 Total Pages :132 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White
Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Book Synopsis Quantitative Global Bond Portfolio Management by : Gueorgui S Konstantinov
Download or read book Quantitative Global Bond Portfolio Management written by Gueorgui S Konstantinov and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2023-10-06 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantitative Global Bond Portfolio Management offers a comprehensive discussion of quantitative modelling approaches to managing global bond and currency portfolios. Drawing on practitioner and academic research, as well as the extensive market experience of the authors, the book provides a timely overview of cutting-edge tools applied to the management of global bond portfolios, including in-depth discussions of factor models and optimization techniques. In addition to providing a solid theoretical foundation for global bond portfolio management, the authors focus on the practical implementation of yield curve and currency-driven approaches that can be successfully implemented in actual portfolios. As such, the book will be an indispensable resource to both new and seasoned investors looking to enhance their understanding of global bond markets and strategies.
