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Author : Yuan Wang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (919 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on the Housing and Mortgage Markets written by Yuan Wang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Fei Ding
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on the Housing Market written by Fei Ding and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Xiaoming Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (75 download)
Download or read book Essays on the Evolution of Housing and Mortgage Markets written by Xiaoming Li and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Stefanie J. Huber
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on the Housing Market and the Macroeconomy written by Stefanie J. Huber and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis sheds light on certain macroeconomic aspects of the housing market. Chapter 1 explores a novel channel for house price bubble formation: the demand for housing consumption. I argue that the lower the demand for housing consumption, the larger the maximum bubble size, and the larger economies' vulnerability to house price bubbles. In terms of policy implications, I show that a help-to-buy scheme makes the economy more bubble-prone, while rental subsidies are an effective tool to reduce the prevalence of house price bubbles. Using a laboratory experiment, Chapter 2 supports the theoretical and empirical findings of Chapter 1. Chapter 3 investigates whether the persistent cross-country differences in homeownership rates are driven by cultural tastes. Analyzing the homeownership attitudes of second-generation immigrants in the United States leads to robust evidence for this hypothesis.
Author : Xian Fang Bak
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Three Essays Investigating Post-bubble Housing Market: Prices and Foreclosures written by Xian Fang Bak and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Philippe Bracke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (847 download)
Download or read book Prices, Rents, and Homeownership written by Philippe Bracke and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis includes three self-contained chapters whose common theme is the analysis of house price and rent movements, and how these movements influence the economic actions of individuals. In Chapter 1, I analyse a micro dataset on housing sales and rentals in Central London. I show that the ratio between prices and rents differ across property types: bigger and better located properties have higher price-rent ratios. These differences in price-rent ratios can be explained through a hedging model where households avoid rent risk by increasing their demand for homeownership. Consistently with this hypothesis, I find that rental prices for bigger properties and properties in more expensive neighbourhoods are not growing significantly faster than for other properties, but are more volatile. In Chapter 2, together with my two co-authors Christian Hilber and Olmo Silva, I study the relationship between homeownership and entrepreneurship by exploiting the longitudinal dimension of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) and constructing a detailed monthly-spell dataset that tracks individuals' job histories and tenure choices, coupled with other time-varying characteristics. Our fixed-effect estimates show that purchasing a house reduces the likelihood of starting a business by 20-25%. This result is driven by homeowners with mortgages and persists for several years after entering homeownership. The negative relationship can be rationalised by portfolio considerations: leveraged housing investments crowd out entrepreneurial investments. Alternative explanations based on credit constraints find little support in our data. In Chapter 3, I analyse the duration of house price upturns and downturns in the last 40 years for 19 OECD countries and provide two results. First, upturns display duration dependence: they are more likely to end as their duration increases. Second, downturns display lagged duration dependence: they are less likely to end if the previous upturn was particularly long. Both these facts are consistent with a boom-bust view of housing price dynamics, where booms represent departures from fundamentals that are increasingly difficult to sustain, and busts serve as readjustment periods.
Author : XUE HU
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on Housing and Labor Economics written by XUE HU and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These essays contribute towards our understanding of housing and labor economics. This dissertation is composed of three chapters. In the first chapter, I explore the impact of negative housing equity on households' geo- graphical mobility using data from Panel Study of Income Dynamics. The empirical analysis implies that addressing the endogeneity nature of homeowners' underwater mortgage status is crucial. Even with comprehensive controls for households' demographic characteristics and macro-level factors, omitted variable bias such as homeowners' attitudes towards their financial responsibility may still generate estimation bias that is quite large. After proper instrumenting for homeowners' underwater mortgage status using local shocks from housing and labor markets, the estimation results show that having underwater mortgages is associated with an average decline in mobility rate of about 17 percentage points. The second chapter investigates the role of housing choice and mortgage on employment transitions when there are uncertainties regarding income and house prices. Motivated by the empirical evidence on large employment-transition disparities between homeowners and renters, I develop and estimate a structural model in which mortgage obligations motivate homeowners to exert greater job-search efforts during unemployment spells. The model is used to understand individuals' response to housing and labor market shocks. I find that while the decline in house prices creates negative labor market externalities for renters, tightening mortgage constraints result in greater job search incentives for homeowners. With concurrent negative labor market shocks, the probability of transitioning out of unemployment for both renters and homeowners declines. Two policy experiments are conducted. The first shows that lower refinance cost discourages housing equity accumulation and is associated with a decline in the average employment rate. The second demonstrates that a lower down payment requirement encourages the transition into home ownership, which has positive labor market implications, especially for younger individuals. The first two chapters explore the relation between underwater mortgage and geographical mobility and impacts of mortgage debt obligation on employment incentives. Both analyses are based on individual-level data. The last chapter investigates the mysteries of regional housing market disparities from a macro perspective. This chapter shows that local economic conditions are correlated with deviations between house prices and rents in a price-rent model framework, suggesting that the demand for credit and housing is greater when a variety of local economic conditions are more supportive. Several different measures of local economic conditions are considered in this chapter: local unemployment rates, local unemployment rates relative to the natural rate of unemployment, local inflation rates, and measures of local perceptions of the cost of credit. This chapter attempts to offer explanations not as how or why house prices increased, but rather, given the myriad of national factors making home purchase easier and cheaper, where house prices increased. This approach also resolves a bit of a puzzle as to why the housing bubble was so pronounced in some areas and not others.
Author : Eugene N. White
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022609328X
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)
Download or read book Housing and Mortgage Markets in Historical Perspective written by Eugene N. White and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The central role of the housing market in the recent recession raised a series of questions about similar episodes throughout economic history. Were the underlying causes of housing and mortgage crises the same in earlier episodes? Has the onset and spread of crises changed over time? How have previous policy interventions either damaged or improved long-run market performance and stability? This volume begins to answer these questions, providing a much-needed context for understanding recent events by examining how historical housing and mortgage markets worked—and how they sometimes failed. Renowned economic historians Eugene N. White, Kenneth Snowden, and Price Fishback survey the foundational research on housing crises, comparing that of the 1930s to that of the early 2000s in order to authoritatively identify what contributed to each crisis. Later chapters explore notable historical experiences with mortgage securitization and the role that federal policy played in the surge in home ownership between 1940 and 1960. By providing a broad historical overview of housing and mortgage markets, the volume offers valuable new insights to inform future policy debates.
Author : Deeksha Gupta
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)
Download or read book Essays in Housing Markets and Financial Fragility written by Deeksha Gupta and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is motivated by the housing crisis of 2008. It consists of three chapters. In the first chapter, "Too Much Skin-in-the-Game? The Effect of Mortgage Market Concentration on Credit and House Prices," I propose a new theory to help explain the housing crisis. During the housing boom, a small number of institutions--the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) and a few banks--held most of U.S. mortgage risk. I develop a theory in which such concentration of mortgage exposure can explain features of the housing crisis. I show that large lenders with many outstanding mortgages have incentives to extend risky credit to prop up house prices. An increase in concentration can lead to a boom with worsening credit quality and a subsequent bust with widespread defaults. In the second chapter, "Concentration and Lending in Mortgage Markets," joint with Ronel Elul and David Musto, we attempt to test the theory described in the first chapter. We provide evidence that concentration in mortgage markets can create perverse lending incentives. We exploit variation in the size of the GSEs' outstanding mortgage exposure across MSAs. Using a loan-level dataset, we provide evidence that the GSEs were more likely to engage in high-risk activities in areas where they had a large exposure to outstanding mortgages. We also provide evidence that this relationship is driven by an incentive to keep house prices high. In the final chapter, "Housing Booms and the Crowding-Out Effect," joint with Itay Goldstein, we study the effect that investment in real estate assets has on the economy. We develop a theory in which housing price booms can sometimes lead to a crowding-out of corporate investment. We show that an increase in real estate prices does not necessarily increase aggregate investment even when firms actively use real estate assets as collateral to borrow against and invest the proceeds in positive NPV projects. We argue that at times, it can be optimal to decrease the price of housing rather than to support high housing prices to stimulate the economy and characterize when this is the case.
Author : Horatio M. Morgan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in Applied Financial Econometrics written by Horatio M. Morgan and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Efficiency is perhaps one of the most important concepts associated with the functioning of markets in modern economies. When markets are efficient, economic theory suggests that the prices we observe reflect the relative scarcity of resources; and hence, effectively channel those resources to their most productive use. The primary objective of this dissertation is to investigate the efficiency property of the U.S. housing market for single-family homes and the stock market. It does so through the application of advanced techniques in financial and time series econometrics. In relation to the housing market, the empirical evidence is consistent with the version of the efficiency market hypothesis which suggests that asset prices follow a random walk. However, in relation in relation to the stock market, the empirical evidence is inconsistent with the version of the efficient market hypothesis that attributes price changes to the random arrival of new information. For both markets, however, we do not find the empirical evidence to be definitive. In the context of the crisis that emerged in the subprime mortgage segment of U.S. housing market in 2006, this dissertation also investigates the interdependency structure of the housing market as a secondary objective. The main result suggests that home prices do not comove systematically over time.
Author : Franklin Allen
Publisher : Pearson Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 : 0137011601
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)
Download or read book Fixing the Housing Market written by Franklin Allen and published by Pearson Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2012 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explains the financial history leading to the mortgage meltdown and assesses today's housing finance systems in the United States and abroad.
Author : Svetoslava N. Alexandrova
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on Sellers' Behavior in the Housing Market written by Svetoslava N. Alexandrova and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Housing markets exhibit some puzzling behavior that cannot be completely explained by rational market dynamics. The neoclassical economic theory posits that rational sellers and rational buyers in the housing market will look at the current market price in order to determine a value of a property. Studies, however, show that physiological biases may affect the decision- making process of both sellers and buyers.I examine the behavior of sellers in the housing market in three different settings. In Essay 1, I analyze the effects of the health of the housing market on mobility. In Essay 2, I study the effects of sellers' loss aversion on listing price and time on the market within the prospect theory framework. In Essay 3, I focus on identifying stress in the housing market by developing a stress index and commencing the design of an Early Warning System that incorporates signals from the market and behaviors from sellers to indicate increasing levels of pressure. I utilize a data set of private home sale transactions of corporate relocations for the period 2004-2014. The results of the first study from the stepwise logit models on series of economic variables and demographic factors show that relocating employees facing negative equity situations and equity less than 5% of home value have a greater chance of rejecting relocation while economic factors like affordability and credit availability have a positive effect on their ability to move. Essay 2 results indicate that a seller who faces a loss will set up an asking price 5.69 percent higher than they would otherwise. Additionally, sellers facing a loss will experience a reduction in the hazard rate of sale resulting in longer time on the market while income and family status have effect on loss aversion and time on market. In the last essay, I hypothesize that economic signals and home sellers' behaviors can explain the variability of the housing market stress index proxied by a transformed S&P 500/Case Shiller Index. The preliminary results of the autoregressive models find that housing variables and market expectations of the 'informed sellers' have statistically significant explanatory power.
Author : Shaofeng Xu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781267760944
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (69 download)
Download or read book Essays on Housing Markets and Location Activities written by Shaofeng Xu and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My dissertation studies the impact of housing markets on the macroeconomy and the role of transport technologies in the firm location activities. The first chapter of this dissertation examines the contributions of population aging, mortgage innovation and historically low interest rates to the sharp rise in U.S. house prices and mortgage debt between 1994 and 2005. I construct an overlapping generation general equilibrium model with fully specified demographic characteristics and mortgage markets, and compare the steady state equilibrium of the economy in 1994 to that in 2005. Population aging contributes to rising house prices and mortgage debt but it only accounts for a very small portion of their observed changes. Meanwhile, mortgage innovation significantly increases the mortgage borrowing of various age cohorts, but it has a trivial effect on house prices because interest rates rise due to rising demand for mortgage loans. This increases households' saving in financial assets and leaves their housing assets nearly unchanged. However, the rise in house prices can be justified in an open economy where interest rates fall due to a global saving glut. Declining interest rates force households in primary saving ages to reallocate their wealth from financial assets to housing assets which dramatically drives up house prices. The second chapter of this dissertation analyzes the effects of idiosyncratic income shocks on the housing tenure decision of a risk-averse household who chooses an optimal time to own a house as well as an optimal house size. I provide an explicit decomposition of the household's optimal saving rule to formalize various motives for holding financial wealth during her housing tenure transition. It's shown that the timing flexibility of homeownership enables the household's saving for future home purchase to buffer her non-housing consumption against income risks. The model also lends support to the previous empirical finding of a negative uncertainty-homeownership relationship. Rising income volatility increases a risk-averse household's option value to wait and postpones her home acquisition. The third chapter of this dissertation investigates the impact of economies of scale in transportation on a firm's location decision. I relate the location problem to weighted Fermat problems and ramified optimal transportation problems and provide an explicit analysis of how transport technologies affect the firm's transportation and location choices. It's found that in general when the level of transport economies of scale is high, the firm locates its factory in the interior of the Weber triangle with a branching transport structure. Two examples are constructed to illustrate how interactions between transport technology and production technology would influence the firm's choices on input purchase and factory location.
Author : Hanfu Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (858 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in Housing Economics written by Hanfu Li and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The result is consistent with the intuition that people tend to have a higher stress level due to the loss of home equity and this loss of home equity also increases the possibility of foreclosure, which is occurring in states with large house price declines, and thus increases homeowners' debt stress.
Author : Christopher John Palmer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Essays on the Functioning of Housing and Labor Markets written by Christopher John Palmer and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter consists of my job-market paper. The foreclosure rate of sub-prime mortgages increased markedly across 2003-2007 borrower cohorts-sub-prime mortgages originated in 2006- 2007 were roughly three times more likely to default within three years of origination than mortgages originated in 2003-2004. Many have argued that this surge in sub-prime defaults represents a deterioration in sub-prime lending standards over time. I quantify the importance of an alternative hypothesis: later cohorts defaulted at higher rates in large part because house price declines left them more likely to have negative equity. Using loan-level data, I find that changing borrower and loan characteristics explain approximately 30% of the difference in cohort default rates, with almost of all of the remaining heterogeneity across cohorts attributable to the price cycle. To account for the endogeneity of prices, I employ a nonlinear instrumental-variables approach that instruments for house price changes with long-run regional variation in house-price cyclicality. Control function results confirm that the relationship between price declines and defaults is causal and explains the majority of the disparity in cohort performance. I conclude that if 2006 borrowers had faced the same prices the average 2003 borrower did, their annual default rate would have dropped from 12% to 5.6%. The second chapter is joint with David Autor and Parag Pathak. Externalities from the attributes and actions of neighborhood residents onto the value of surrounding properties and neighborhoods are central to the theory of urban economics and the development of efficient housing policy. This paper measures the capitalization of housing market externalities into residential housing values by studying the sudden and largely unanticipated 1995 elimination of stringent rent controls in Cambridge, Massachusetts, which had previously muted landlords' incentives to invest in their properties and altered the assignment of residents to locations. Pooling administrative data on the universe of assessed values and transacted prices of all Cambridge residential properties between 1988 and 2005, we find that rent decontrol genrated substantial, robust price appreciation at decontrolled units and nearby never-controlled units, accounting for an estimated 30 percent of the $7.8 billion in Cambridge residential property appreciation during this period. The majority of this contribution is due to induced appreciation of never-controlled properties, while residential investments can explain only a small fraction of the total. The third chapter is joint with Denis Chetverikov and Bradley Larsen. We present a methodology for estimating the distributional effects of an endogenous treatment that varies at the group level when there are group-level unobservables, a quantile extension of Hausman and Taylor (1981). Standard quantile regression techniques are inconsistent in this setting, even if the treatment is exogenous. Using the Bahadur representation of quantile estimators, we derive weak conditions on the growth of the number of observations per group that are sufficient for consistency and asymptotic normality. Simulations confirm the superiority of this grouped instrumental variables quantile regression estimator to standard quantile regression. An empirical application finds that low-wage earners in the U.S. from 1990-2007 were significantly more affected by increased Chinese import competition than high-wage earners. We also illustrate the usefulness of the estimation approach with additional empirical examples from urban economics, labor, regulation, and empirical auctions. Chapter 1 Keywords: Mortgage Finance, Sub-prime Lending, Foreclosure Crisis, Negative Equity Chapter. 2 Keywords: Urban Economics, Residential Externalities, Rent Control, Price Regulations. Chapter 3 Keywords: Quantile Regression, Instrumental Variables, Panel Data, Wage Inequality, Import Competition. Chapter 1 JEL Classification: GOl, G21, R31, R38. Chapter 2 JEL Classification: D61, H23, R23, R31, R32, R38 Chapter 3 JEL. Classification: C21, C31, C33, C36, J30.
Author : Won Suk Chung
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (282 download)
Download or read book Essays on Housing and Credit Market written by Won Suk Chung and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is comprised of three chapters focusing on housing and credit market. The first and the third chapter analyze how a housing affects business cycle through lending constraints and mortgage contracts, while the second chapter investigates the decoupling credit markets by firms during the recession periods.The first chapter studies the business cycle asymmetry of consumption and house prices in the US. It shows that the credit shock leads to business cycle asymmetry of consumption and house prices, but the housing belief shock does not cause the business cycle asymmetry. In a New Keynesian model with a housing, the occasionally binding lending constraint leads to an asymmetric response of consumption and house prices to the credit supply shock, not the housing belief shock.The second chapter investigates the decoupling phenomenon between loans and corporate bonds markets during the recession periods. I show that by an expansionary monetary policy, a large firm increases long-term debt, but a small firm decreases long-term debt. A `cash-flow' constraint prevents the small firm from obtaining more loans via bank-lending following the expansionary Quantitative Easing (QE) or Corporate Credit Facility (CCF) policy. However, the large firm can issue more corporate bonds because it is not constrained by the 'cash-flow' constraint.The third chapter focuses on the responses of macro variables depending on mortgage designs: the fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) and the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). I show that the monetary policy effects in the ARM-economy is stronger than in the FRM-economy. The constraint switching effect of output and house prices in the ARM-economy in response to the monetary policy is greater than the one in the FRM-economy. The refinancing effect enhances the response of output in the FRM-economy due to rate incentive and cash-out incentive. However, the endogenous refinancing effect is smaller than the exogenous refinancing effect in the ARM-economy because the ARM-economy satisfies the rate incentive and the refinancing transaction costs are required.
Author : Martin Neil Baily
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 0815722095
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (157 download)
Download or read book The Future of Housing Finance written by Martin Neil Baily and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2011-09-30 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government-sponsored enterprises that played a prominent role in the financial crisis of 2008, and the federal government have come to a crossroads. The government must make key decisions about their structure, and indeed, their very existence. The government has played an important role in the American housing market since the early 1930s, when the Great Depression ushered in housing programs to promote a stable society. The government's role expanded further during the recent housing and financial crisis—Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac now dominate the American housing market, backing more than 62 percent of new mortgages and holding more than $5 trillion in accumulated mortgage risk. In The Future of Housing Finance Martin Baily and his associates discuss the issues and options that policymakers face as they reassess the government's role in the U.S. residential mortgage market. While presenting diverse analytical perspectives, including a contribution from former chairman of the Federal Reserve Alan Greenspan, all contributors agree that the government's support for mortgage financing in the recent past was too broad and deep but some role is necessary to maintain the stability of the housing finance market. The Obama administration has recommended reducing the role of Fannie and Freddie while replacing them with a private market approach, but continuing federal support for worthy borrowers. But what will Congress agree to? And how fast will it move on any initiative? Specific topics include: • Introduction of a new system to reduce incentives that encourage excessive risk taking. • Gradual withdrawal of Fannie and Freddie from the housing finance system. • New approaches to regulating mortgage securitization, with financial stability as a primary goal. • Use of government-backed guarantees through institutional structures designed to limit moral hazard.
