An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521775014
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic by : Ian Hacking

Download or read book An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic written by Ian Hacking and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-07-02 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introductory 2001 textbook on probability and induction written by a foremost philosopher of science.

Hume's Problem

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198250371
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (982 download)

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Book Synopsis Hume's Problem by : Colin Howson

Download or read book Hume's Problem written by Colin Howson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume offers a solution to one of the central, unsolved problems of Western philosophy, that of induction. It explores the implications of Hume's argument that successful prediction tells us nothing about the truth of the predicting theory.

The Philosophy Gym

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Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 9780312314521
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis The Philosophy Gym by : Stephen Law

Download or read book The Philosophy Gym written by Stephen Law and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2003-12-16 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unique and accessible explanations to some of life's biggest questions, obtained through a series of irresistable mental challenges

Hume's Problem Solved

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262352451
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Hume's Problem Solved by : Gerhard Schurz

Download or read book Hume's Problem Solved written by Gerhard Schurz and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-05-07 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new approach to Hume's problem of induction that justifies the optimality of induction at the level of meta-induction. Hume's problem of justifying induction has been among epistemology's greatest challenges for centuries. In this book, Gerhard Schurz proposes a new approach to Hume's problem. Acknowledging the force of Hume's arguments against the possibility of a noncircular justification of the reliability of induction, Schurz demonstrates instead the possibility of a noncircular justification of the optimality of induction, or, more precisely, of meta-induction (the application of induction to competing prediction models). Drawing on discoveries in computational learning theory, Schurz demonstrates that a regret-based learning strategy, attractivity-weighted meta-induction, is predictively optimal in all possible worlds among all prediction methods accessible to the epistemic agent. Moreover, the a priori justification of meta-induction generates a noncircular a posteriori justification of object induction. Taken together, these two results provide a noncircular solution to Hume's problem. Schurz discusses the philosophical debate on the problem of induction, addressing all major attempts at a solution to Hume's problem and describing their shortcomings; presents a series of theorems, accompanied by a description of computer simulations illustrating the content of these theorems (with proofs presented in a mathematical appendix); and defends, refines, and applies core insights regarding the optimality of meta-induction, explaining applications in neighboring disciplines including forecasting sciences, cognitive science, social epistemology, and generalized evolution theory. Finally, Schurz generalizes the method of optimality-based justification to a new strategy of justification in epistemology, arguing that optimality justifications can avoid the problems of justificatory circularity and regress.

Reliable Reasoning

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262263157
Total Pages : 119 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Reliable Reasoning by : Gilbert Harman

Download or read book Reliable Reasoning written by Gilbert Harman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2012-01-13 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The implications for philosophy and cognitive science of developments in statistical learning theory. In Reliable Reasoning, Gilbert Harman and Sanjeev Kulkarni—a philosopher and an engineer—argue that philosophy and cognitive science can benefit from statistical learning theory (SLT), the theory that lies behind recent advances in machine learning. The philosophical problem of induction, for example, is in part about the reliability of inductive reasoning, where the reliability of a method is measured by its statistically expected percentage of errors—a central topic in SLT. After discussing philosophical attempts to evade the problem of induction, Harman and Kulkarni provide an admirably clear account of the basic framework of SLT and its implications for inductive reasoning. They explain the Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) dimension of a set of hypotheses and distinguish two kinds of inductive reasoning. The authors discuss various topics in machine learning, including nearest-neighbor methods, neural networks, and support vector machines. Finally, they describe transductive reasoning and suggest possible new models of human reasoning suggested by developments in SLT.

Rethinking Popper

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1402093381
Total Pages : 426 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Popper by : Zuzana Parusniková

Download or read book Rethinking Popper written by Zuzana Parusniková and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-03-13 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In September 2007, more than 100 philosophers came to Prague with the determination to approach Karl Popper’s philosophy as a source of inspiration in many areas of our intellectual endeavor. This volume is a result of that effort. Topics cover Popper’s views on rationality, scientific methodology, the evolution of knowledge and democracy; and since Popper’s philosophy has always had a strong interdisciplinary influence, part of the volume discusses the impact of his ideas in such areas as education, economics, psychology, biology, or ethics. The concept of falsification, the problem of demarcation, the ban on induction, or the role of the empirical basis, along with the provocative parallels between historicism, holism and totalitarianism, have always caused controversies. The aim of this volume is not to smooth them but show them as a challenge. In this time when the traditional role of reason in the Western thought is being undermined, Popper’s non-foundationist model of reason brings the Enlightenment message into a new perspective. Popper believed that the open society was vulnerable, due precisely to its tolerance of otherness. This is a matter of great urgency in the modern world, as cultures based on different values gain prominence. The processes related to the extending of the EU, or the increasing economic globalization also raise questions about openness and democracy. The volume’s aim is to show the vitality of critical rationalism in addressing and responding to the problems of this time and this world.

Reason and Prediction

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521087421
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Reason and Prediction by : Simon Blackburn

Download or read book Reason and Prediction written by Simon Blackburn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1973-02-08 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An original study of the philosophical problems associated with inductive reasoning. Like most of the main questions in epistemology, the classical problem of induction arises from doubts about a mode of inference used to justify some of our most familiar and pervasive beliefs. The experience of each individual is limited and fragmentary, yet the scope of our beliefs is much wider; and it is the relation between belief and experience, in particular the belief that the future will in some respects resemble the past and the unobserved the observed, which forms the subject of this book. Dr Blackburn's first aim is to state the problem of induction properly, to show that there does exist a genuine problem immune to the solutions in vogue at present, yet no tin principle insoluble. He gives an extended and original account of the concept of a reason and goes on to discuss prediction. In the end Dr Blackburn produces a rationale for belief in certain short-term predictions based on his reinterpretation of the classical principle of indifference. He claims that a justification for induction can be found along the lines he has suggested and must indeed be found there if anywhere.

Argument and Inference

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262337770
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Argument and Inference by : Gregory Johnson

Download or read book Argument and Inference written by Gregory Johnson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2017-01-06 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A thorough and practical introduction to inductive logic with a focus on arguments and the rules used for making inductive inferences. This textbook offers a thorough and practical introduction to inductive logic. The book covers a range of different types of inferences with an emphasis throughout on representing them as arguments. This allows the reader to see that, although the rules and guidelines for making each type of inference differ, the purpose is always to generate a probable conclusion. After explaining the basic features of an argument and the different standards for evaluating arguments, the book covers inferences that do not require precise probabilities or the probability calculus: the induction by confirmation, inference to the best explanation, and Mill's methods. The second half of the book presents arguments that do require the probability calculus, first explaining the rules of probability, and then the proportional syllogism, inductive generalization, and Bayes' rule. Each chapter ends with practice problems and their solutions. Appendixes offer additional material on deductive logic, odds, expected value, and (very briefly) the foundations of probability. Argument and Inference can be used in critical thinking courses. It provides these courses with a coherent theme while covering the type of reasoning that is most often used in day-to-day life and in the natural, social, and medical sciences. Argument and Inference is also suitable for inductive logic and informal logic courses, as well as philosophy of sciences courses that need an introductory text on scientific and inductive methods.

The Material Theory of Induction

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Publisher : Bsps Open
ISBN 13 : 9781773852539
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (525 download)

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Book Synopsis The Material Theory of Induction by : John D. Norton

Download or read book The Material Theory of Induction written by John D. Norton and published by Bsps Open. This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The inaugural title in the new, Open Access series BSPS Open, The Material Theory of Induction will initiate a new tradition in the analysis of inductive inference. The fundamental burden of a theory of inductive inference is to determine which are the good inductive inferences or relations of inductive support and why it is that they are so. The traditional approach is modeled on that taken in accounts of deductive inference. It seeks universally applicable schemas or rules or a single formal device, such as the probability calculus. After millennia of halting efforts, none of these approaches has been unequivocally successful and debates between approaches persist. The Material Theory of Induction identifies the source of these enduring problems in the assumption taken at the outset: that inductive inference can be accommodated by a single formal account with universal applicability. Instead, it argues that that there is no single, universally applicable formal account. Rather, each domain has an inductive logic native to it. Which that is, and its extent, is determined by the facts prevailing in that domain. Paying close attention to how inductive inference is conducted in science and copiously illustrated with real-world examples, The Material Theory of Induction will initiate a new tradition in the analysis of inductive inference."--

An Aristotelian Account of Induction

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Publisher : McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP
ISBN 13 : 0773575766
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (735 download)

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Book Synopsis An Aristotelian Account of Induction by : Louis Groarke

Download or read book An Aristotelian Account of Induction written by Louis Groarke and published by McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In An Aristotelian Account of Induction Groarke discusses the intellectual process through which we access the "first principles" of human thought - the most basic concepts, the laws of logic, the universal claims of science and metaphysics, and the deepest moral truths. Following Aristotle and others, Groarke situates the first stirrings of human understanding in a creative capacity for discernment that precedes knowledge, even logic. Relying on a new historical study of philosophical theories of inductive reasoning from Aristotle to the twenty-first century, Groarke explains how Aristotle offers a viable solution to the so-called problem of induction, while offering new contributions to contemporary accounts of reasoning and argument and challenging the conventional wisdom about induction.

The Problem of Inductive Logic

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080957706
Total Pages : 427 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Problem of Inductive Logic by : Lev D. Beklemishev

Download or read book The Problem of Inductive Logic written by Lev D. Beklemishev and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2000-04-01 with total page 427 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Problem of Inductive Logic

Choice and Chance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Choice and Chance by : Brian Skyrms

Download or read book Choice and Chance written by Brian Skyrms and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Lectures on Inductive Logic

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199666474
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis Lectures on Inductive Logic by : Jon Williamson

Download or read book Lectures on Inductive Logic written by Jon Williamson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inductive logic is a theory of how one should reason in the face of uncertainty. It has applications to decision making and artificial intelligence, as well as to scientific problems.

Collected Papers on Epistemology, Philosophy of Science and History of Philosophy

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940101129X
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Collected Papers on Epistemology, Philosophy of Science and History of Philosophy by : W. Stegmüller

Download or read book Collected Papers on Epistemology, Philosophy of Science and History of Philosophy written by W. Stegmüller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These two volumes contain all of my articles published between 1956 and 1975 which might be of interest to readers in the English-speaking world. The first three essays in Vol. 1 deal with historical themes. In each case I as far as possible, meets con have attempted a rational reconstruction which, temporary standards of exactness. In The Problem of Universals Then and Now some ideas of W.V. Quine and N. Goodman are used to create a modern sketch of the history of the debate on universals beginning with Plato and ending with Hao Wang's System L. The second article concerns Kant's Philosophy of Science. By analyzing his position vis-a-vis I. Newton, Christian Wolff, and D. Hume, it is shown that for Kant the very notion of empirical knowledge was beset with a funda mental logical difficulty. In his metaphysics of experience Kant offered a solution differing from all prior as well as subsequent attempts aimed at the problem of establishing a scientific theory. The last of the three historical papers utilizes some concepts of modern logic to give a precise account of Wittgenstein's so-called Picture Theory of Meaning. E. Stenius' interpretation of this theory is taken as an intuitive starting point while an intensional variant of Tarski's concept of a relational system furnishes a technical instrument. The concepts of inodel world and of logical space, together with those of homomorphism and isomorphism be tween model worlds and between logical spaces, form the conceptual basis of the reconstruction.

The Justification of Induction

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Publisher : [London ; New York] : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Justification of Induction by : Richard Swinburne

Download or read book The Justification of Induction written by Richard Swinburne and published by [London ; New York] : Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1974 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 0190845392
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction by : Franz Huber

Download or read book A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction written by Franz Huber and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction is a textbook on the mathematics of the probability calculus and its applications in philosophy. On the mathematical side, the textbook introduces these parts of logic and set theory that are needed for a precise formulation of the probability calculus. On the philosophical side, the main focus is on the problem of induction and its reception in epistemology and the philosophy of science. Particular emphasis is placed on the means-end approach to the justification of inductive inference rules. In addition, the book discusses the major interpretations of probability. These are philosophical accounts of the nature of probability that interpret the mathematical structure of the probability calculus. Besides the classical and logical interpretation, they include the interpretation of probability as chance, degree of belief, and relative frequency. The Bayesian interpretation of probability as degree of belief locates probability in a subject's mind. It raises the question why her degrees of belief ought to obey the probability calculus. In contrast to this, chance and relative frequency belong to the external world. While chance is postulated by theory, relative frequencies can be observed empirically. A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction aims to equip students with the ability to successfully carry out arguments. It begins with elementary deductive logic and uses it as basis for the material on probability and induction. Throughout the textbook results are carefully proved using the inference rules introduced at the beginning, and students are asked to solve problems in the form of 50 exercises. An instructor's manual contains the solutions to these exercises as well as suggested exam questions. The book does not presuppose any background in mathematics, although sections 10.3-10.9 on statistics are technically sophisticated and optional. The textbook is suitable for lower level undergraduate courses in philosophy and logic.

Inductive Logic Programming

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262023931
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (239 download)

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Book Synopsis Inductive Logic Programming by : Francesco Bergadano

Download or read book Inductive Logic Programming written by Francesco Bergadano and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although Inductive Logic Programming (ILP) is generally thought of as a research area at the intersection of machine learning and computational logic, Bergadano and Gunetti propose that most of the research in ILP has in fact come from machine learning, particularly in the evolution of inductive reasoning from pattern recognition, through initial approaches to symbolic machine learning, to recent techniques for learning relational concepts. In this book they provide an extended, up-to-date survey of ILP, emphasizing methods and systems suitable for software engineering applications, including inductive program development, testing, and maintenance. Inductive Logic Programming includes a definition of the basic ILP problem and its variations (incremental, with queries, for multiple predicates and predicate invention capabilities), a description of bottom-up operators and techniques (such as least general generalization, inverse resolution, and inverse implication), an analysis of top-down methods (mainly MIS and FOIL-like systems), and a survey of methods and languages for specifying inductive bias. Logic Programming series