The Predictability Of Extratropical Transition And Of Its Impact On The Downstream Flow

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Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems

Author : Julia Henriette Keller
Publisher : KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN 13 : 3866449844
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (664 download)

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Book Synopsis Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems by : Julia Henriette Keller

Download or read book Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems written by Julia Henriette Keller and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2014-10-16 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study examines the predictability during the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), a multimodel ensemble prediction system (EPS). It is shown that TIGGE exhibits more possible development scenarios than a single EPS. By analysing the eddy kinetic energy budget of forecast scenarios for two ET cases, extracted from an EPS, the impact of the transitioning tropical cyclones on the midlatitude flow is studied in detail.

Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events

Author : Jianping Li
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316467740
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events by : Jianping Li

Download or read book Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events written by Jianping Li and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-24 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based largely on an International Commission on Dynamical Meteorology (ICDM) workshop, this timely volume, written by leading researchers in the field, covers a range of important research issues related to high-impact weather and extreme climate events. Dynamical linkages between these extremes and various atmospheric and ocean phenomena are examined, including Atlantic Multidecadal, North Atlantic, and Madden–Julian Oscillations; Annular Modes; tropical cyclones; and Asian monsoons. This book also examines the predictability of high-impact weather and extreme climate events on multiple time scales. Highlighting recent research and new advances in the field, this book enhances understanding of dynamical and physical processes associated with these events to help managers and policy makers make informed decisions to manage risk and prevent or mitigate disasters. It also provides guidance on future research directions in atmospheric science, meteorology, climate science, and weather forecasting, for experts and young scientists.

Quantification of the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition for Typhoon Jangmi and Other Case Studies

Author : Grams, Christian Michael Warnfrid
Publisher : KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN 13 : 3866447760
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (664 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantification of the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition for Typhoon Jangmi and Other Case Studies by : Grams, Christian Michael Warnfrid

Download or read book Quantification of the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition for Typhoon Jangmi and Other Case Studies written by Grams, Christian Michael Warnfrid and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of extratropical transition on the midlatitude flow is quantified based on potential vorticity inversion. The detailed study of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) reveals the diabatically enhanced net transport of low-PV air to the tropopause as the key physical process determining the direct impact of ET. Relocation experiments and further case studies show the crucial role of the relative position of the TC and the midlatitude flow for the downstream impact of ET and the reduced predictability.

Atmospheric Rivers

Author : F. Martin Ralph
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030289060
Total Pages : 284 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Atmospheric Rivers by : F. Martin Ralph

Download or read book Atmospheric Rivers written by F. Martin Ralph and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-10 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the standard reference based on roughly 20 years of research on atmospheric rivers, emphasizing progress made on key research and applications questions and remaining knowledge gaps. The book presents the history of atmospheric-rivers research, the current state of scientific knowledge, tools, and policy-relevant (science-informed) problems that lend themselves to real-world application of the research—and how the topic fits into larger national and global contexts. This book is written by a global team of authors who have conducted and published the majority of critical research on atmospheric rivers over the past years. The book is intended to benefit practitioners in the fields of meteorology, hydrology and related disciplines, including students as well as senior researchers.

Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones: From Science To Mitigation

Author : Johnny C L Chan
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814465828
Total Pages : 445 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones: From Science To Mitigation by : Johnny C L Chan

Download or read book Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones: From Science To Mitigation written by Johnny C L Chan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010-04-30 with total page 445 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a completely rewritten, updated and expanded new edition of the original Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones published in 1995. It presents a comprehensive review of the state of science and forecasting of tropical cyclones together with the application of this science to disaster mitigation, hence the tag: From Science to Mitigation.Since the previous volume, enormous progress in understanding tropical cyclones has been achieved. These advances range from the theoretical through to ever more sophisticated computer modeling, all underpinned by a vast and growing range of observations from airborne, space and ocean observation platforms. The growth in observational capability is reflected by the inclusion of three new chapters on this topic. The chapter on the effects of climate change on tropical cyclone activity is also new, and appropriate given the recent intense debate on this issue. The advances in the understanding of tropical cyclones which have led to significant improvements in forecasting track, intensity, rainfall and storm surge, are reviewed in detail over three chapters. For the first time, a chapter on seasonal prediction is included. The book concludes with an important chapter on disaster mitigation, which is timely given the enormous loss of life in recent tropical cyclone disasters.World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate is indexed in SCOPUS.

Advances in Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate

Author : Jennifer Collins
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031631862
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (316 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate by : Jennifer Collins

Download or read book Advances in Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate written by Jennifer Collins and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Landfalling tropical cyclones: physical processes, forecasting and impacts

Author : Yihong Duan
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2832510078
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Landfalling tropical cyclones: physical processes, forecasting and impacts by : Yihong Duan

Download or read book Landfalling tropical cyclones: physical processes, forecasting and impacts written by Yihong Duan and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2022-12-29 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Next Generation Earth System Prediction

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309388805
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Next Generation Earth System Prediction by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Next Generation Earth System Prediction written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-08-22 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nation's S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times.

Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning

Author : Brian Golding
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030989895
Total Pages : 277 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning by : Brian Golding

Download or read book Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning written by Brian Golding and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-06-20 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about making weather warnings more effective in saving lives, property, infrastructure and livelihoods, but the underlying theme of the book is partnership. The book represents the warning process as a pathway linking observations to weather forecasts to hazard forecasts to socio-economic impact forecasts to warning messages to the protective decision, via a set of five bridges that cross the divides between the relevant organisations and areas of expertise. Each bridge represents the communication, translation and interpretation of information as it passes from one area of expertise to another and ultimately to the decision maker, who may be a professional or a member of the public. The authors explore the partnerships upon which each bridge is built, assess the expertise and skills that each partner brings and the challenges of communication between them, and discuss the structures and methods of working that build effective partnerships. The book is ordered according to the “first mile” paradigm in which the decision maker comes first, and then the production chain through the warning and forecast to the observations is considered second. This approach emphasizes the importance of co-design and co-production throughout the warning process. The book is targeted at professionals and trainee professionals with a role in the warning chain, i.e. in weather services, emergency management agencies, disaster risk reduction agencies, risk management sections of infrastructure agencies. This is an open access book.

Climate Extremes

Author : S.-Y. Simon Wang
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119068037
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Extremes by : S.-Y. Simon Wang

Download or read book Climate Extremes written by S.-Y. Simon Wang and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-06-15 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although we are seeing more weather and climate extremes, individual extreme events are very diverse and generalization of trends is difficult. For example, mid-latitude and subtropical climate extremes such as heat waves, hurricanes and droughts have increased, and could have been caused by processes including arctic amplification, jet stream meandering, and tropical expansion. This volume documents various climate extreme events and associated changes that have been analyzed through diagnostics, modeling, and statistical approaches. The identification of patterns and mechanisms can aid the prediction of future extreme events. Volume highlights include: Compilation of processes and mechanisms unique to individual weather and climate extreme events Discussion of climate model performance in terms of simulating high-impact weather and climate extremes Summary of various existing theories, including controversial ones, on how climate extremes will continue to become stronger and more frequent Climate Extremes: Patterns and Mechanisms is a valuable resource for scientists and graduate students in the fields of geophysics, climate physics, natural hazards, and environmental science. Read an interview with the editors to find out more: https://eos.org/editors-vox/how-does-changing-climate-bring-more-extreme-events

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction

Author : Andrew Robertson
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 012811715X
Total Pages : 588 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction by : Andrew Robertson

Download or read book Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction written by Andrew Robertson and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-10-19 with total page 588 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction is an ideal reference for researchers and practitioners across the range of disciplines involved in the science, modeling, forecasting and application of this new frontier in sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction. It provides an accessible, yet rigorous, introduction to the scientific principles and sources of predictability through the unique challenges of numerical simulation and forecasting with state-of-science modeling codes and supercomputers. Additional coverage includes the prospects for developing applications to trigger early action decisions to lessen weather catastrophes, minimize costly damage, and optimize operator decisions. The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field. - Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications - Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field - Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making - Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages

Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. II)

Author : Seon Ki Park
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642350887
Total Pages : 736 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. II) by : Seon Ki Park

Download or read book Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. II) written by Seon Ki Park and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 736 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains the most recent progress in data assimilation in meteorology, oceanography and hydrology including land surface. It spans both theoretical and applicative aspects with various methodologies such as variational, Kalman filter, ensemble, Monte Carlo and artificial intelligence methods. Besides data assimilation, other important topics are also covered including targeting observation, sensitivity analysis, and parameter estimation. The book will be useful to individual researchers as well as graduate students for a reference in the field of data assimilation.

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change

Author : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634557
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (345 download)

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Book Synopsis The Regional Impacts of Climate Change by : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.

Download or read book The Regional Impacts of Climate Change written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II. and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cambridge, UK : Cambridge University Press, 1998.

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309380979
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-07-28 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El NiÃ±o, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.

Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition

Author :
Publisher : ScholarlyEditions
ISBN 13 : 1464963398
Total Pages : 4306 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (649 download)

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Book Synopsis Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition by :

Download or read book Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2012-01-09 with total page 4306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics. The editors have built Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Earth Sciences, Geology, and Geophysics: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.

Developments in Teracomputing

Author : Walter Zwieflhofer
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810247613
Total Pages : 383 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Developments in Teracomputing by : Walter Zwieflhofer

Download or read book Developments in Teracomputing written by Walter Zwieflhofer and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2001 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The geosciences, particularly numerical weather prediction, are demanding the highest levels of available computer power. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, with its experience in using supercomputers in this field, organises every second year a workshop bringing together manufacturers, computer scientists, researchers and operational users to share their experiences and to learn about the latest developments. This book reports on the November 2000 workshop. It provides an excellent overview of the latest achievements in, and plans for the use of, new parallel techniques in meteorology, climatology and oceanography.

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Author : Pickl, Moritz
Publisher : KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN 13 : 373151236X
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error by : Pickl, Moritz

Download or read book Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error written by Pickl, Moritz and published by KIT Scientific Publishing. This book was released on 2023-03-30 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.