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The Plausibility Of Future Scenarios
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Book Synopsis The Plausibility of Future Scenarios by : Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele
Download or read book The Plausibility of Future Scenarios written by Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele and published by Transcript Publishing. This book was released on 2020-08 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study.
Book Synopsis The Plausibility of Future Scenarios by : Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele
Download or read book The Plausibility of Future Scenarios written by Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele and published by transcript Verlag. This book was released on 2020-07-31 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research. Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.
Book Synopsis Strategic Reframing by : Rafael Ramírez
Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramírez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.
Book Synopsis Next Generation Supply Chains by : Rosanna Fornasiero
Download or read book Next Generation Supply Chains written by Rosanna Fornasiero and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-31 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.
Book Synopsis Embedded Case Study Methods by : Roland W. Scholz
Download or read book Embedded Case Study Methods written by Roland W. Scholz and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2002 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an embedded case study, the starting and end point is the comprehension of the case as a whole in its real-world context. This book bridges the gap between quantitative and qualitative approaches to complex problems when using this methodology.
Book Synopsis Resilient Urban Futures by : Zoé A. Hamstead
Download or read book Resilient Urban Futures written by Zoé A. Hamstead and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses the way in which urban and urbanizing regions profoundly impact and are impacted by climate change. The editors and authors show why cities must wage simultaneous battles to curb global climate change trends while adapting and transforming to address local climate impacts. This book addresses how cities develop anticipatory and long-range planning capacities for more resilient futures, earnest collaboration across disciplines, and radical reconfigurations of the power regimes that have institutionalized the disenfranchisement of minority groups. Although planning processes consider visions for the future, the editors highlight a more ambitious long-term positive visioning approach that accounts for unpredictability, system dynamics and equity in decision-making. This volume brings the science of urban transformation together with practices of professionals who govern and manage our social, ecological and technological systems to design processes by which cities may achieve resilient urban futures in the face of climate change.
Book Synopsis How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (Xsp) by : Jeremy Stapleton
Download or read book How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (Xsp) written by Jeremy Stapleton and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-15 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploratory scenario planning (XSP) can help communities prepare for uncertainties posed by climate change, pandemics, automation, and other unprecedented twenty-first-century challenges. This manual is a comprehensive resource for anyone interested in using this emergent planning approach, which is effective at the local, regional, or organizational level. Through the XSP process, stakeholders envision and develop various potential futures (i.e., scenarios) and consider how to measure and prepare for each, rather than working toward a single shared vision for the future. Through instructive case studies, recommendations, sample workshop agendas, and more, this manual equips would-be practitioners with the background knowledge, procedural guidance, and practical strategies to implement this planning tool successfully. Readers will be prepared to facilitate--or even lead--an effective, impactful XSP process in their own settings.
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by G. Wright and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-05-03 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.
Book Synopsis Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis by : Hannah Kosow
Download or read book Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis written by Hannah Kosow and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by M. Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2002-12-04 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.
Book Synopsis Guide for co-elaboration of scenarios by : Bourgeois, R.
Download or read book Guide for co-elaboration of scenarios written by Bourgeois, R. and published by CIFOR. This book was released on 2017-12-30 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) initiated the GCS-Tenure project in Indonesia, Uganda and Peru conducted the study to analyze the relationships between statutory and customary land tenure and how these relationships affect tenure security of forest-dependent communities, including women and other marginalized groups. Using a global comparative approach and standardized methodologies, the study analyzes the differential success or failure of policy and institutional innovations to enhance secure tenure rights. It also examines how these innovations identify strategies likely to lead to desired outcomes. The Participatory Prospective Analysis (PPA) is used as a first step by engaging key stakeholders. Through participatory meetings, all expert stakeholders progressively identify and develop a range of tenure security scenarios. They then elaborate actions in response to the scenarios identified. With the application of PPA, the research team aims to answer the following questions: What are the key factors influencing forest tenure security? What possible actions can mitigate negative implications (or reduce barriers impeding implementation) and promote positive changes (e.g. equitable access for women and marginalized groups? Who should be responsible for those actions? PPA aims to help decision makers understand the key drivers, challenges and future consequences of policy options.
Book Synopsis Alternative World Scenarios for a New Order of Nations by : Charles William Taylor
Download or read book Alternative World Scenarios for a New Order of Nations written by Charles William Taylor and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1993 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This futures book reflects the global trends and events of the recent past of today that are bringing about change to the world's political, economic, social, technological, and military environments. Provides a set of plausible scenarios against which users can build policies and decisions while anticipating and judging their consequences before implementation. Useful for strategic planning through active and reserve components of the U.S. military. Also useful for long-range planning by business, industry, academia, and other private and governmental organizations. Charts, tables and drawings. Also includes a 21-page study, "Creating Strategic Visions."
Book Synopsis Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions by : Robert Goodspeed
Download or read book Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions written by Robert Goodspeed and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ""Describes the emerging use of collaborative scenario planning practices in urban and regional planning, and includes case studies, an overview of digital tools, and a project evaluation framework. Concludes with a discussion of how scenarios can be used to address urban inequalities. Intended for a broad audience"--Provided by the publisher"--
Book Synopsis Scenario-based Strategic Planning by : Burkhard Schwenker
Download or read book Scenario-based Strategic Planning written by Burkhard Schwenker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-05 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.
Book Synopsis Back to the Future of Education by : Oecd
Download or read book Back to the Future of Education written by Oecd and published by Org. for Economic Cooperation & Development. This book was released on 2020-09-08 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Creating Futures written by Michel Godet and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Future of Antarctica by : Jeffrey McGee
Download or read book The Future of Antarctica written by Jeffrey McGee and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-03 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As global great power competition intensifies, there is growing concern about the geopolitical future of Antarctica. This book delves into the question of how can we anticipate, prepare for, and potentially even shape that future? Now in its 60th year, the Antarctic Treaty System has been comparatively resilient and successful in governing the Antarctic region. This book assesses how our ability to make accurate predictions about the future of the Antarctic Treaty System reduces rapidly in the face of political and biophysical complexity, uncertainty, and the passage of time. This poses a critical risk for organisations making long-range decisions about their policy, strategy, and investments in the frozen south. Scenarios are useful planning tools for considering futures beyond the limits of standard prediction. This book explores how a multi-disciplinary focus of classical geopolitics might be applied systematically to create scenarios on Antarctic futures that are plausible, rigorous, and robust. This book illustrates a pragmatic, nine-step scenario development process, using the topical issue of military activities in Antarctica. Along the way, the authors make suggestions to augment current theory and practice of geopolitical scenario planning. In doing so, this book seeks to rediscover the importance of a classical (primarily state-centric) lens on Antarctic geopolitics, which in recent decades has been overshadowed by more critical perspectives. This book is written for anyone with an interest in the rigorous assessment of geopolitical futures - in Antarctica and beyond.
