Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressions with Multiple Level Shifts

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (632 download)

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Book Synopsis Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressions with Multiple Level Shifts by :

Download or read book Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressions with Multiple Level Shifts written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The asymptotic distributions of Augmented-Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root tests for autoregressive processes with a unit or near-unit root are discussed in the presence of multiple stochastic level shifts of large size occurring independently in time. The distributions depend on a Brownian motion and a Poisson-type jump process. Due to the latter, tests based on standard critical values experience power losses increasing rapidly with the number and the magnitude of the shifts. A new approach to unit root testing is suggested which requires no knowledge of either the location or the number of level shifts, and which dispenses with the assumption of independent shift occurrence. It is proposed to remove possible shifts from a time series by weighting its increments according to how likely it is, with respect to an ad hoc postulated distribution, a shift to have occurred in each period. If the number of level shifts is bounded in probability, the limiting distributions of the proposed test statistics coincide with those of ADF statistics under standard conditions. A Monte Carlo experiment shows that, despite their generality, the new tests perform well in finite samples.

Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137003316
Total Pages : 586 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 by : K. Patterson

Download or read book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 written by K. Patterson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-07-05 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Testing for a Unit Root is now an essential part of time series analysis but the literature on the topic is so large that knowing where to start is difficult even for the specialist. This book provides a way into the techniques of unit root testing, explaining the pitfalls and nonstandard cases, using practical examples and simulation analysis.

Almost All About Unit Roots

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107097339
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Almost All About Unit Roots by : In Choi

Download or read book Almost All About Unit Roots written by In Choi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-05-12 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many economic theories depend on the presence or absence of a unit root for their validity, making familiarity with unit roots extremely important to econometric and statistical theory. This book introduces the literature on unit roots in a comprehensive manner to empirical and theoretical researchers in economics and other areas.

Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts by : Markku Lanne

Download or read book Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts written by Markku Lanne and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unit root tests are considered for time series which have a level shift at a known point in time. The shift can have a very general nonlinear form, and additional deterministic mean and trend terms are allowed for. Prior to the tests, the deterministic parts and other nuisance parameters of the data generation process are estimated in a first step. Then, the series are adjusted for these terms and unit root tests of the Dickey-Fuller type are applied to the adjusted series. The properties of previously suggested tests of this sort are analysed and modifications are proposed which take into account estimation errors in the nuisance parameters. An important result is that estimation under the null hypothesis is preferable to estimation under local alternatives. This contrasts with results obtained by other authors for time series without level shifts.

Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521587822
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (878 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change by : G. S. Maddala

Download or read book Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change written by G. S. Maddala and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of unit roots, cointegration and structural change from a best-selling author.

Testing for a Unit Root in Variables with a Double Change in the Mean

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Testing for a Unit Root in Variables with a Double Change in the Mean by : Jesús Clemente

Download or read book Testing for a Unit Root in Variables with a Double Change in the Mean written by Jesús Clemente and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we obtain a statistic that is useful for the analysis of the integration order of a variable which exhibits two changes in its mean. Our work begins by showing that the most commonly used unit root tests behave asymptotically in a correct manner for double changing mean variables. However, their use is not advisable in finite samples; rather, is better to design a new statistic which takes into account the presence of the two level shifts. We calculate the asymptotic distribution of this new statistic and tabulate it for several sample sizes using Monte Carlo methods. This new statistic allows us to show that the USA and UK real interest rates can be considered as stationary variables with a double shift in their mean.

Introduction to Statistical Time Series

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470317752
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Time Series by : Wayne A. Fuller

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Time Series written by Wayne A. Fuller and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-25 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of time series is of considerable interest, especiallyamong researchers in econometrics, engineering, and the naturalsciences. As part of the prestigious Wiley Series in Probabilityand Statistics, this book provides a lucid introduction to thefield and, in this new Second Edition, covers the importantadvances of recent years, including nonstationary models, nonlinearestimation, multivariate models, state space representations, andempirical model identification. New sections have also been addedon the Wold decomposition, partial autocorrelation, long memoryprocesses, and the Kalman filter. Major topics include: * Moving average and autoregressive processes * Introduction to Fourier analysis * Spectral theory and filtering * Large sample theory * Estimation of the mean and autocorrelations * Estimation of the spectrum * Parameter estimation * Regression, trend, and seasonality * Unit root and explosive time series To accommodate a wide variety of readers, review material,especially on elementary results in Fourier analysis, large samplestatistics, and difference equations, has been included.

Unit Roots and Structural Breaks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783038428121
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots and Structural Breaks by : Pierre Perron

Download or read book Unit Roots and Structural Breaks written by Pierre Perron and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unit Roots and Structural Breaks.

Empirical Vector Autoregressive Modeling

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642487920
Total Pages : 397 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Vector Autoregressive Modeling by : Marius Ooms

Download or read book Empirical Vector Autoregressive Modeling written by Marius Ooms and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. 1 Integrating results The empirical study of macroeconomic time series is interesting. It is also difficult and not immediately rewarding. Many statistical and economic issues are involved. The main problems is that these issues are so interrelated that it does not seem sensible to address them one at a time. As soon as one sets about the making of a model of macroeconomic time series one has to choose which problems one will try to tackle oneself and which problems one will leave unresolved or to be solved by others. From a theoretic point of view it can be fruitful to concentrate oneself on only one problem. If one follows this strategy in empirical application one runs a serious risk of making a seemingly interesting model, that is just a corollary of some important mistake in the handling of other problems. Two well known examples of statistical artifacts are the finding of Kuznets "pseudo-waves" of about 20 years in economic activity (Sargent (1979, p. 248)) and the "spurious regression" of macroeconomic time series described in Granger and Newbold (1986, §6. 4). The easiest way to get away with possible mistakes is to admit they may be there in the first place, but that time constraints and unfamiliarity with the solution do not allow the researcher to do something about them. This can be a viable argument.

Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Purchasing Power Parity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Purchasing Power Parity by : Antonio Montañes

Download or read book Unit Roots, Level Shifts and Purchasing Power Parity written by Antonio Montañes and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we analyse the unit root hypothesis when the variable being studied exhibits two changes in its mean. To that end, we design a new statistic which tests for the joint hypothesis that the autoregressive parameter is 1 and that the parameters associated with the structural breaks that appear under the alternative hypothesis are 0. The use of this statistic shows that the real exchange rate of the US dollar with the currencies that are closely linked to the German Mark are stationary around two changes in the mean for the 1974: 1-1995: 4 sample.

Unit Root Tests and Structural Breaks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Root Tests and Structural Breaks by : Paramsothy Silvapulle

Download or read book Unit Root Tests and Structural Breaks written by Paramsothy Silvapulle and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319987143
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics by : Fredj Jawadi

Download or read book Uncertainty, Expectations and Asset Price Dynamics written by Fredj Jawadi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written in honor of Emeritus Professor Georges Prat (University of Paris Nanterre, France), this book includes contributions from eminent authors on a range of topics that are of interest to researchers and graduates, as well as investors and portfolio managers. The topics discussed include the effects of information and transaction costs on informational and allocative market efficiency, bubbles and stock price dynamics, paradox of rational expectations and the principle of limited information, uncertainty and expectation hypotheses, oil price dynamics, and nonlinearity in asset price dynamics.

Unit Roots and Structural Breaks

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3038428116
Total Pages : 167 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (384 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots and Structural Breaks by : Pierre Perron

Download or read book Unit Roots and Structural Breaks written by Pierre Perron and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2018-04-13 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Unit Roots and Structural Breaks" that was published in Econometrics

Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387759670
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R by : Bernhard Pfaff

Download or read book Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-03 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is designed for self study. The reader can apply the theoretical concepts directly within R by following the examples.

The Econometrics of Panel Data

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540758925
Total Pages : 966 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis The Econometrics of Panel Data by : Lászlo Mátyás

Download or read book The Econometrics of Panel Data written by Lászlo Mátyás and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-06 with total page 966 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This restructured, updated Third Edition provides a general overview of the econometrics of panel data, from both theoretical and applied viewpoints. Readers discover how econometric tools are used to study organizational and household behaviors as well as other macroeconomic phenomena such as economic growth. The book contains sixteen entirely new chapters; all other chapters have been revised to account for recent developments. With contributions from well known specialists in the field, this handbook is a standard reference for all those involved in the use of panel data in econometrics.

Forecasting: principles and practice

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Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 10 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (762 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts by : Markku Lanne

Download or read book Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts written by Markku Lanne and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: