Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets

Download Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets by : Ulrich-Michael Homm

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets written by Ulrich-Michael Homm and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market

Download Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market by : Lii-Tarn Chen

Download or read book Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market written by Lii-Tarn Chen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices

Download Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices by : Aslı Demirgüç-Kunt

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices written by Aslı Demirgüç-Kunt and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stock Markets, Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth

Download Stock Markets, Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Stock Markets, Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth by : Mathias Binswanger

Download or read book Stock Markets, Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth written by Mathias Binswanger and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the role of speculative bubbles in the stock market, this text argues that, provided they are sustainable, bubbles may have a positive effect on the market. They may provide additional investment opportunities with the potential to increase aggregate profits and improve economic welfare.

The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos

Download The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401578818
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos by : G.P. Dwyer

Download or read book The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos written by G.P. Dwyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. and R. W. Hafer The articles and commentaries included in this volume were presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' thirteenth annual economic policy conference, held on October 21-22, 1988. The conference focused on the behavior of asset market prices, a topic of increasing interest to both the popular press and to academic journals as the bull market of the 1980s continued. The events that transpired during October, 1987, both in the United States and abroad, provide an informative setting to test alter native theories. In assembling the papers presented during this conference, we asked the authors to explore the issue of asset pricing and financial market behavior from several vantages. Was the crash evidence of the bursting of a speculative bubble? Do we know enough about the work ings of asset markets to hazard an intelligent guess why they dropped so dramatically in such a brief time? Do we know enough to propose regulatory changes that will prevent any such occurrence in the future, or do we want to even if we can? We think that the articles and commentaries contained in this volume provide significant insight to inform and to answer such questions. The article by Behzad Diba surveys existing theoretical and empirical research on rational bubbles in asset prices.

A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles

Download A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (147 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles by : Kenneth David West

Download or read book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles written by Kenneth David West and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching

Download Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061698
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (616 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching by : Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching written by Robert P. Flood and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this book are grouped into three sections: the first on price bubbles is primarily financial; the second on speculative attacks (on exchange rate regimes) is international in scope; and the third, on policy switching, is concerned with monetary policy.

Banking Crises

Download Banking Crises PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137553790
Total Pages : 365 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Banking Crises by : Garett Jones

Download or read book Banking Crises written by Garett Jones and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-26 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do banks collapse? Are financial systems more fragile in recent decades? Can policies to fix the banking system do more harm than good? What's the history of banking crises? With dozens of brief, non-technical articles by economists and other researchers, Banking Crises offers answers from diverse scholarly viewpoints.

A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles

Download A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (873 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles by : Kenneth D. West

Download or read book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles written by Kenneth D. West and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The set of parameters needed to calculate the expected present discounted value of a stream of dividends can be estimated in two ways. One may test for speculative bubbles, or fads, by testing whether the two estimates are the same. When the test is applied to some annual U.S. stock market data, the data usually reject the null hypothesis of no bubbles. The test is of general interest since it may be applied to a wide class of linear rational expectations models.

Rational Speculative Bubbles

Download Rational Speculative Bubbles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Rational Speculative Bubbles by : Kenneth Szulczyk

Download or read book Rational Speculative Bubbles written by Kenneth Szulczyk and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We scrutinize China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand for the presence of rational bubbles by employing several tests on a large dataset that includes three bubble episodes. We also convert most tests into recursive to overcome structural breaks in the data that improve a bubble's detection. The unit root tests exhibit bubbles in all markets while the sup augmented Dickey-Fuller test suggests Hong Kong, Japan, and Thailand exhibit an explosive process. The cointegration tests show that Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, and Thailand may have bubbles while the explosiveness test shows evidence of bubbles in all markets for both weekly and monthly data. However, the duration dependence test identifies bubbles in six (two) Asian markets for weekly (monthly) returns. Thus, our results suggest that the rational bubble tests are enhanced from recursive tests using a large dataset that includes multiple bubble episodes.

Bursting the Bubble: Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market

Download Bursting the Bubble: Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1952927110
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (529 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Bursting the Bubble: Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market by : David F. DeRosa

Download or read book Bursting the Bubble: Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market written by David F. DeRosa and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2021-04-02 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The presence of speculative bubbles in capital markets (an important area of interest in financial history) is widely accepted across many circles. Talk of them is pervasive in the media and especially in the popular financial press. Bubbles are thought to be found primarily in the stock market, which is our main interest, although bubbles are said to occur in other markets. Bubbles go hand in hand with the notion that markets can be irrational. The academic community has a great interest in bubbles, and it has produced scholarly literature that is voluminous. For some economists, doing bubble research is like joining the vanguard of a Kuhnian paradigm shift in economic thinking. Not so fast. If bubbles did exist, they would pose a serious challenge to neoclassical finance. Bubbles would contradict the ideas that markets are rational or work in an informationally efficient manner. That’s what makes the topic of bubbles interesting. This book reviews and evaluates the academic literature as well as some popular investment books on the possible existence of speculative bubbles in the stock market. The main question is whether there is convincing empirical evidence that bubbles exist. A second question is whether the theoretical concepts that have been advanced for bubbles make them plausible. The reader will discover that I am skeptical that bubbles actually exist. But I do not think I or anyone else will ever be able to conclusively prove that there has never been a bubble. From studying the literature and from reading history, I find that many famous purported bubbles reflect inaccurate history or mistakes in analysis or simply cannot be shown to have existed. In other instances, bubbles might have existed. But in each of those cases, there are credible rational explanations. And good evidence exists for the idea that even if bubbles do exist, they are not of great importance to understanding the stock market.

Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets

Download Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets by : M. Kabir Hassan

Download or read book Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets written by M. Kabir Hassan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We extend the rational speculative bubbles literature to the frontier emerging stock markets. For this purpose, this paper employs fractional integration tests and duration dependence tests based on the ARFIMA models and nonparametric smoothed hazard functions. Unlike traditional bubble tests, fractional integration tests and duration dependence tests do not show strong evidence of rational speculative bubbles in the frontier emerging stock markets.

Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Exchange Rates

Download Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Exchange Rates PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (229 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Exchange Rates by : P. N. Smith

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Exchange Rates written by P. N. Smith and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Foreign Exchange Markets

Download Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Foreign Exchange Markets PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Foreign Exchange Markets by : Akila Weerapana

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Foreign Exchange Markets written by Akila Weerapana and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign currency speculation has always been a well publicized topic that has captured the attention of people who have not formally studied economics. It is also a topic that has captured the attention of researchers in International Finance because speculative bubbles have often been considered as a possible explanation for the excess volatility of exchange rates. An examination of past studies reveals that different methods have been used by researchers to test for the existence of speculative bubbles in major currencies over the period from 1970-1984. In this paper, I will apply three methods which have been used in the past to reach conclusions about the existence of speculative bubbles in the U.S Dollar/German Mark and the U.S Dollar/Japanese Yen exchange rate over the period from 1982-1992 and the U.S Dollar/British Pound exchange rate from 1987-1992. One objective of this paper is to update previous studies by expanding their scope into the most recent decade. The other objective is to use several testing methods for each currency in order to gain an insight into both the robustness of the conclusions and the dependency of the conclusions on a particular method of testing.

Asset Price Bubbles

Download Asset Price Bubbles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262582537
Total Pages : 650 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (825 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Asset Price Bubbles by : William Curt Hunter

Download or read book Asset Price Bubbles written by William Curt Hunter and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 650 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.

Famous First Bubbles

Download Famous First Bubbles PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262571531
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (715 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Famous First Bubbles by : Peter M. Garber

Download or read book Famous First Bubbles written by Peter M. Garber and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2001-08-24 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include "bubble," "tulipmania," "chain letter," "Ponzi scheme," "panic," "crash," "herding," and "irrational exuberance." Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event. In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles: the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

Bubbleology

Download Bubbleology PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 9780609609293
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (92 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Bubbleology by : Kevin A. Hassett

Download or read book Bubbleology written by Kevin A. Hassett and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are only two types of stocks: those safe from bubbles and those that are not. This is a fact of investing many discovered as they saw their fabulous gains whittled away by the extreme calamity of the Internet sector. But what about the future? Is there a way for investors to capture the enormous potential for profit that exists at the frontier of the economy, the place where innovation and genius operate, without placing their fortunes in jeopardy? Is there a way to evaluate price increases--and declines--and identify whether they are happening for good or bad reasons? Bubbleology makes it possible to separate the winners from the losers. It is a brilliant, practical, and original analysis of the stock market that bashes the conventional wisdom about bubbles, showing that such famous examples as Tulipomania were not, in fact, bubbles at all. Bubbleology shows that the traditional way of evaluating risk--equating it with volatility--is inherently flawed and incomplete. If a stock fluctuates a lot in price it is regarded as risky. If the price is stable, then it is not. What this simplistic way of thinking leaves out is the simple fact that companies trying something completely new that may fundamentally alter the economic landscape are operating at the frontier. The stock of such a company swims in a sea of ambiguity, its circumstances uncertain, since there is little to provide guidance about the future. But when nobody knows for sure what will happen, pundits tell us again about Tulipomania, the South Seas Bubble, and now the debacle of the Internet to scare investors away from potentially enormous profits. To realize those profits, however, investors have tounderstand the role that uncertainty and ambiguity--the absence of reliable information about future events--play in the modern stock market. Those who equate ambiguity with bubbles will miss the great opportunities of the future. Bubbleology provides a new way to observe what is really going on in the market, enabling you to understand whether a stock or a sector is suspicious--whether it is in a bubble and therefore something to be avoided. Finding bubbles requires knowing where to look and what to look for. Bubbleology will help you avoid both streaming into speculative manias and shying away from perfectly good business opportunities. It tells you why you need to avoid both pontificating pundits and overconfident stock analysts. With this unique and forward-thinking book, you can inspect suspicious stocks, accurately discern risk, and diagnose a blossoming bubble before it vanishes along with your money.