Asset Price Bubbles

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262582537
Total Pages : 650 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (825 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Bubbles by : William Curt Hunter

Download or read book Asset Price Bubbles written by William Curt Hunter and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 650 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.

Asset Price Bubbles

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475515294
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Bubbles by : Ms.Anna Scherbina

Download or read book Asset Price Bubbles written by Ms.Anna Scherbina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-21 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do asset price bubbles continue to appear in various markets? This paper provides an overview of recent literature on bubbles, with significant attention given to behavioral models and rational models with frictions. Unlike the standard rational models, the new literature is able to model the common characteristics of historical bubble episodes and offer insights for how bubbles are initiated and sustained, the reasons they burst, and why arbitrage forces do not routinely step in to squash them. The latest U.S. real estate bubble is described in the context of this literature.

Asset Bubbles Explained

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Author :
Publisher : IntroBooks
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Bubbles Explained by : IntroBooks Team

Download or read book Asset Bubbles Explained written by IntroBooks Team and published by IntroBooks. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An element of asset bubble develops when the value of an asset, like real estate, commodities, stocks, or bonds, increases at a brisk rate without intrinsic factors, such as equivalent ever-increasing demand, to validate the spike in prices. An asset bubble is triggered when assets such as gold, stocks, or housing rapidly experience a dramatic price hike over a short period that is not sustained by the value of the commodity. The characteristic of a bubble is unreasonable optimism: a tendency when everyone is buying up a specific asset. When investors rush towards a category of assets, like real estate, it results in a rise in both price and demand. Investors carry on bidding up an asset’s price well beyond sustainable and real value in the course of a bubble. Inevitably, when prices are in a collision, the bubble "bursts, and subsequently, demand disintegrates, and the result is often significantly lowered domestic spending and dismal business and the economy's possible future downturn. Knowing the historical trends and causes of asset bubbles will prevent one from responding and falling prey to a future debacle. Illogical exuberance is a crucial indicator of a continuing asset bubble.

New Perspectives on Asset Price Bubbles

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199939403
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis New Perspectives on Asset Price Bubbles by : Douglas D. Evanoff

Download or read book New Perspectives on Asset Price Bubbles written by Douglas D. Evanoff and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2012-02-08 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume critically re-examines the profession's understanding of asset bubbles in light of the global financial crisis of 2007-09. It is well known that bubbles have occurred in the past, with the October 1929 crash as the most demonstrative example. However, the remarkably well-behaved performance of the US economy from 1945 to 2006, and, in particular during the Great Moderation period of 1984 to 2006, assured the economics profession and monetary policymakers that asset bubbles could be effectively managed with little or no real economic impact. The recent financial crisis has now triggered a debate about the emergence of a sequence of repeated bubbles in the Nasdaq market, housing market, credit market, and commodity markets. The realities of the crisis have intensified theoretical modeling, empirical methodologies, and debate on policy issues surrounding asset price bubbles and their potentially adverse economic impact if poorly managed. Taking a novel approach, the editors of this book present five classic papers that represent accepted thinking about asset bubbles prior to the financial crisis. They also include original papers challenging orthodox thinking and presenting new insights. A summary essay highlights the lessons learned and experiences gained since the crisis.

Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513512668
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles by : Nina Biljanovska

Download or read book Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles written by Nina Biljanovska and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-30 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An asset bubble relaxes collateral constraints and increases borrowing by credit-constrained agents. At the same time, as the bubble deflates when constraints start binding, it amplifies downturns. We show analytically and quantitatively that the macroprudential policy should optimally respond to building asset price bubbles non-monotonically depending on the underlying level of indebtedness. If the level of debt is moderate, policy should accommodate the bubble to reduce the incidence of a binding collateral constraint. If debt is elevated, policy should lean against the bubble more aggressively to mitigate the pecuniary externalities from a deflating bubble when constraints bind.

The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401578818
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos by : G.P. Dwyer

Download or read book The Stock Market: Bubbles, Volatility, and Chaos written by G.P. Dwyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. and R. W. Hafer The articles and commentaries included in this volume were presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' thirteenth annual economic policy conference, held on October 21-22, 1988. The conference focused on the behavior of asset market prices, a topic of increasing interest to both the popular press and to academic journals as the bull market of the 1980s continued. The events that transpired during October, 1987, both in the United States and abroad, provide an informative setting to test alter native theories. In assembling the papers presented during this conference, we asked the authors to explore the issue of asset pricing and financial market behavior from several vantages. Was the crash evidence of the bursting of a speculative bubble? Do we know enough about the work ings of asset markets to hazard an intelligent guess why they dropped so dramatically in such a brief time? Do we know enough to propose regulatory changes that will prevent any such occurrence in the future, or do we want to even if we can? We think that the articles and commentaries contained in this volume provide significant insight to inform and to answer such questions. The article by Behzad Diba surveys existing theoretical and empirical research on rational bubbles in asset prices.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319715283
Total Pages : 477 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-16 with total page 477 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, and equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and can also be defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.

Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk by : Markus Konrad Brunnermeier

Download or read book Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk written by Markus Konrad Brunnermeier and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble's build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase differs strongly across banks and bubble episodes. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble characteristics, and it can become very large: In a median real estate bust, systemic risk increases by almost 70 percent of the median for banks with unfavorable characteristics. These results emphasize the importance of bank-level factors for the build-up of financial fragility during bubble episodes.

Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles by : Andrew Joseph Filardo

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles written by Andrew Joseph Filardo and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles

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Author :
Publisher : ICFAI Books
ISBN 13 : 8131404080
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles by : György Komáromi

Download or read book Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles written by György Komáromi and published by ICFAI Books. This book was released on 2006-11-14 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents one of the most controversial happenings in economics stock market bubbles. The author discusses this topic threadbare and provides a critical analysis of related literature from different economic schools. This book also presents analy

Investors' optimal response to stock price bubbles

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656403198
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (564 download)

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Book Synopsis Investors' optimal response to stock price bubbles by : Maximilian Wegener

Download or read book Investors' optimal response to stock price bubbles written by Maximilian Wegener and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-04-08 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 8.0, Maastricht University, language: English, abstract: According to the efficient market hypothesis there should not be an asset overvaluation. Nevertheless, bubbles appear from time to time in the real world. In a financial bubble, the price of a security deviates grossly from its fundamental intrinsic value (Watanabe, Takayasu & Takayasu, 2007). Fundamentals or fundamental value refer to economic variables such as discount rates or future cash flows (Siegel, 2003). Depending on the valuation technique one can define an asset’s intrinsic or fundamental value, based on economic variables and assumed growth. A financial bubble is defined as a price run-up, where an initial price rise generates positive expectations of higher future prices, which attracts new buyers that are rather interested in reaping profits by trading the assets than using its earnings capacity (Siegel, 2003). There is a long history of bubbles such as the 1720 South Sea bubble, 1929 the Great Crash, in the mid-1970s the REIT bubble, in 1987 the housing crash, in 1991 the banking crisis, in 2002 the NASDAQ technology bubble and just recently the housing bubble in the United States, just to name a few. This capstone assignment deals with the question of how investors should act in the case of asset overvaluation in financial markets. In particular, it tries to answer how investors should behave. The central question asks whether investors should step aside and wait until the bubble bursts, whether they should ride the bubble or trade against it. Of course, there is support for all three, albeit contradicting theories. The different trading and investment strategies are reviewed, thereby touching upon various asset bubbles, financial concepts and empirical evidence in the academia. Moreover, it is elaborated on positive feedback trading and rational speculations, as well as behavioral finance concepts such as herding or overconfidence. The remainder of this paper describes different concepts outlined in the empirical literature, starting with asset overvaluation, followed by the efficient market hypothesis and the random walk phenomenon. The role of arbitrage traders is explored, and their impact on efficient markets and bubbles discussed. A review of behavioral traits during bubbles and the impact of human behavior on asset prices is included. Further, there is an examination of mutual fund strategies and their success in exploiting profit opportunities during bubbles. Finally, it is summarized which arguments support each of the viewpoints.

Housing Bubbles

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030005879
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Housing Bubbles by : Sergi Basco

Download or read book Housing Bubbles written by Sergi Basco and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-10-01 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “This book provides an accessible, yet formal framework to understand how housing bubbles arise, their international dimension, their consequences, and ways to prevent them.” Òscar Jordà, University of California, Davis, USA “Basco’s analysis blends, in a very rigorous but enjoyable manner , state-of-the-art theory and historical examples, adding also a very timely and valuable set of policy orientations.” Óscar Arce, Director General, Banco de España, Madrid, Spain Booms and busts of house prices are a recurrent feature throughout history. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the origins and economic consequences of these housing bubbles. The book starts with a formal definition of asset price bubbles and a summary of the most famous episodes, before describing how economists have thought about asset price bubbles; specifically behavioral vs. rational interpretations. These theories are applied to the special case of housing and the same framework is used to explain the implications of financial globalization for capital flows and housing bubbles. After analyzing its origins, the economic consequences of housing bubbles for both households and firms are derived and documented. The final sections are devoted to discussing the effects of financial crises and explain how financial regulation could mitigate the emergence of future housing bubbles. Case studies of the recent housing bubbles in the United States and Spain are also featured in the book. This book will be of value to advanced undergraduate macroeconomic courses, as well as researchers in international economics and macroeconomics and policy makers.

Asset Bubbles

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147557620X
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Bubbles by : Bradley Jones

Download or read book Asset Bubbles written by Bradley Jones and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-02-11 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In distilling a vast literature spanning the rational— irrational divide, this paper offers reflections on why asset bubbles continue to threaten economic stability despite financial markets becoming more informationally-efficient, more complete, and more heavily influenced by sophisticated (i.e. presumably rational) institutional investors. Candidate explanations for bubble persistence—such as limits to learning, frictional limits to arbitrage, and behavioral errors—seem unsatisfactory as they are inconsistent with the aforementioned trends impacting global capital markets. In lieu of the short-term nature of the asset owner—manager relationship, and the momentum bias inherent in financial benchmarks, I argue that the business risk of asset managers acts as strong motivation for institutional herding and ‘rational bubble-riding.’ Two key policy implications follow. First, procyclicality could intensify as institutional assets under management continue to grow. Second, remedial policies should extend beyond the standard suite of macroprudential and monetary measures to include time-invariant policies targeted at the cause (not just symptom) of the problem. Prominent among these should be reforms addressing principal-agent contract design and the implementation of financial benchmarks.

Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan by : Takatoshi Itō

Download or read book Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan written by Takatoshi Itō and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the stock and land price behaviors during the bubble economy period (the second half of the 1980s), paying considerable attention to the linkage of the two markets and the effects of monetary policy. In particular, we examine whether the booms in these asset prices can be justified by changes of the fundamental economic variables such as the interest rates or the growth of the real economy. A complex chain of events is needed to explain the process of asset price inflation and deflation. Our empirical results suggest (i) that the initial increases of asset prices are sown by a sharp increase in bank lending to real estate; (ii) that a considerable comovement between stock and land prices is consistent with a theory that emphasizes the relationship between the collateral value of land and cash flow for constrained firms; (iii) that although the real economy was doing well and the interest rates were still low, asset price increases from mid-1987 to mid-1989 cannot be fully justified by the movement of fundamentals alone; and (iv) the stock price increase in the second half of 1989 and the land price increase in 1990 is not explained by any asset pricing model based on fundamentals or rational bubbles.

Irrationality of Asset Price Bubbles

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9786073242943
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (429 download)

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Book Synopsis Irrationality of Asset Price Bubbles by : Michael Demmler

Download or read book Irrationality of Asset Price Bubbles written by Michael Demmler and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Recent Economic Bubbles and Possible Implications for Economic Policy

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3656542465
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (565 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Economic Bubbles and Possible Implications for Economic Policy by : Sophia Kuehnlenz

Download or read book Recent Economic Bubbles and Possible Implications for Economic Policy written by Sophia Kuehnlenz and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-11-15 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bamberg, course: Volkswirtschaftslehre Dynamische Wirtschaftspolitik, language: English, abstract: Repeatedly bubbles occur during times of “extended investments in infrastructure such as canals or railroads”(Charles P. Kindleberger, “Manias, Panics and Crashes“, p. 10) or around technological inventions that are made available for the general public such as cars, electricity, phone – lines and the internet. They go hand in hand with financial inventions, financial liberalization and excess leverage. Examples are, among many others, the Japanese Asset Price bubble of the late 1980ies and early 1990ies, the Dot-Com bubble 1997–2000, as well as the recent Financial Crisis 2007-2008. Frequently these bubbles are fueled by the overoptimistic outlook not only of the so-called experts or gurus but also by the extremely positive perception of the general public resulting in a “this – time – is - different – feeling”, “new – era – talks” or the “it –won’t happen – to – us – believe”(See for example Shiller, Kindleberger, Reinhart and Rogoff, Galbraith). Most of the time these bubbles are self – feeding processes. Business expansion leads to economic growth and greater income. Public spending increases which leads to the need of expanding production. Credit is needed for investment and during times of a boom it is easily made available. Often new financial instruments come into play as well as the deregulation of financial markets to meet the demand for credit. Businesses can expand further which results in ever increasing income and greater expectations about the future. Creditors become less risk averse and grant loans to individuals or firms that would have not met the necessary requirements before. People feel richer since their wealth is re – classified so that their assets and property are all of the sudden worth more for no realistic reason (renovate a home for example which would account for an increase in value). In combination with low interest rates, more and more investments and purchases are financed through excess leverage creating a vicious cycle of easy credit, money illusion and the adjustment of fundamental values. Great hikes in the markets are considered as a result of the new economy that has been created. Historical levels of the markets and where the level of fundamentals should really be are completely ignored. Currently we can only assess bubbles in retrospective, psychological factors which may help to explain the unexplainable are hardly considered in basic economic models.The only thing that is certain is that bubbles always burst.

Advisors and Asset Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Advisors and Asset Prices by : Harrison G. Hong

Download or read book Advisors and Asset Prices written by Harrison G. Hong and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a model of asset price bubbles based on the communication process between advisors and investors. Advisors are well-intentioned and want to maximize the welfare of their advisees (like a parent treats a child). But only some advisors understand the new technology (the tech-savvies); others do not and can only make a downward-biased recommendation (the old-fogies). While smart investors recognize the heterogeneity in advisors, naive ones mistakenly take whatever is said at face value. Tech-savvies inflate their forecasts to signal that they are not old-fogies, since more accurate information about their type improves the welfare of investors in the future. A bubble arises for a wide range of parameters, and its size is maximized when there is a mix of smart and naive investors in the economy. Our model suggests an alternative source for stock over-valuation in addition to investor overreaction to news and sell-side bias.