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Author : Erich Jantsch
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by . This book was released on 1957 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309116600
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-02-15 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.
Author : Alan L. Porter
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471512233
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (122 download)
Download or read book Forecasting and Management of Technology written by Alan L. Porter and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1991 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consistently practical in its coverage, the book discusses general issues related to forecasting and management; introduces a variety of methods, and shows how to apply these methods to significant issues in managing technological development. With numerous exhibits, case studies and exercises throughout, it requires only basic mathematics and includes a special technology forecasting TOOLKIT for the IBM and compatibles, along with full instructions for installing and running the program.
Author : Larisa V Shavinina
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080524842
Total Pages : 1201 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)
Download or read book The International Handbook on Innovation written by Larisa V Shavinina and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2003-10-16 with total page 1201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Approx.1200 pagesApprox.1200 pages
Author : Luca Mora
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128154772
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)
Download or read book Untangling Smart Cities written by Luca Mora and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-07-04 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Untangling Smart Cities: From Utopian Dreams to Innovation Systems for a Technology-Enabled Urban Sustainability helps all key stakeholders understand the complex and often conflicting nature of smart city research, offering valuable insights for designing and implementing strategies to improve the smart city decision-making processes. The book drives the reader to a better theoretical and practical comprehension of smart city development, beginning with a thorough and systematic analysis of the research literature published to date. It addition, it provides an in-depth understanding of the entire smart city knowledge domain, revealing a deeply rooted division in its cognitive-epistemological structure as identified by bibliometric insights. Users will find a book that fills the knowledge gap between theory and practice using case study research and empirical evidence drawn from cities considered leaders in innovative smart city practices.
Author : J. Eric Wilson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780983941385
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (413 download)
Download or read book Predictive Analytics for Business Forecasting & Planning written by J. Eric Wilson and published by . This book was released on 2020-12 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Joseph P. Martino
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351106430
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (511 download)
Download or read book An Introduction to Technological Forecasting written by Joseph P. Martino and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-09 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1972 this book examines technological forecasting and assesses its merits and limitations and possible uses for society, government, industry and the military. Although technological forecasting was in its infancy when this book was originally published, it has now become part of mainstream social and economic planning.
Author : J.S. Armstrong
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792374015
Total Pages : 880 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (74 download)
Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 080413670X
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (41 download)
Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Perspectives in Defense Management written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : R. V. Arnfield
Publisher : Edinburgh University Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Technological Forecasting written by R. V. Arnfield and published by Edinburgh University Press. This book was released on 1969 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Charles West Churchman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Design Of Inquiring Systems written by Charles West Churchman and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Arnulf Grübler
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521543323
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (433 download)
Download or read book Technology and Global Change written by Arnulf Grübler and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-10-16 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book to comprehensibly describe how technology has shaped society and the environment over the last 200 years. It will be useful for researchers, as a textbook for graduate students, for people engaged in long-term policy planning in industry and government, for environmental activists, and for the wider public interested in history, technology, or environmental issues.
Author : Katy Borner
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262045958
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)
Download or read book Atlas of Forecasts written by Katy Borner and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2021-08-31 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting the future with advanced data models and visualizations. To envision and create the futures we want, society needs an appropriate understanding of the likely impact of alternative actions. Data models and visualizations offer a way to understand and intelligently manage complex, interlinked systems in science and technology, education, and policymaking. Atlas of Forecasts, from the creator of Atlas of Science and Atlas of Knowledge, shows how we can use data to predict, communicate, and ultimately attain desirable futures. Using advanced data visualizations to introduce different types of computational models, Atlas of Forecasts demonstrates how models can inform effective decision-making in education, science, technology, and policymaking. The models and maps presented aim to help anyone understand key processes and outcomes of complex systems dynamics, including which human skills are needed in an artificial intelligence-empowered economy; what progress in science and technology is likely to be made; and how policymakers can future-proof regions or nations. This Atlas offers a driver's seat-perspective for a test-drive of the future.
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309252202
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)
Download or read book Urban Meteorology written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2012-06-13 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to the United Nations, three out of five people will be living in cities worldwide by the year 2030. The United States continues to experience urbanization with its vast urban corridors on the east and west coasts. Although urban weather is driven by large synoptic and meso-scale features, weather events unique to the urban environment arise from the characteristics of the typical urban setting, such as large areas covered by buildings of a variety of heights; paved streets and parking areas; means to supply electricity, natural gas, water, and raw materials; and generation of waste heat and materials. Urban Meteorology: Forecasting, Monitoring, and Meeting Users' Needs is based largely on the information provided at a Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate community workshop. This book describes the needs for end user communities, focusing in particular on needs that are not being met by current urban-level forecasting and monitoring. Urban Meteorology also describes current and emerging meteorological forecasting and monitoring capabilities that have had and will likely have the most impact on urban areas, some of which are not being utilized by the relevant end user communities. Urban Meteorology explains that users of urban meteorological information need high-quality information available in a wide variety of formats that foster its use and within time constraints set by users' decision processes. By advancing the science and technology related to urban meteorology with input from key end user communities, urban meteorologists can better meet the needs of diverse end users. To continue the advancement within the field of urban meteorology, there are both short-term needs-which might be addressed with small investments but promise large, quick returns-as well as future challenges that could require significant efforts and investments.
Author : W. Brian Arthur
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1439165785
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (391 download)
Download or read book The Nature of Technology written by W. Brian Arthur and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2009-08-11 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “More than anything else technology creates our world. It creates our wealth, our economy, our very way of being,” says W. Brian Arthur. Yet despite technology’s irrefutable importance in our daily lives, until now its major questions have gone unanswered. Where do new technologies come from? What constitutes innovation, and how is it achieved? Does technology, like biological life, evolve? In this groundbreaking work, pioneering technology thinker and economist W. Brian Arthur answers these questions and more, setting forth a boldly original way of thinking about technology. The Nature of Technology is an elegant and powerful theory of technology’s origins and evolution. Achieving for the development of technology what Thomas Kuhn’s The Structure of Scientific Revolutions did for scientific progress, Arthur explains how transformative new technologies arise and how innovation really works. Drawing on a wealth of examples, from historical inventions to the high-tech wonders of today, Arthur takes us on a mind-opening journey that will change the way we think about technology and how it structures our lives. The Nature of Technology is a classic for our times.
Author : Erich Jantsch
Publisher : OECD
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (39 download)
Download or read book Technological Forecasting in Perspective written by Erich Jantsch and published by OECD. This book was released on 1967 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
