Technology Shocks, Structural Breaks and the Effects On the Business Cycle

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 10 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks, Structural Breaks and the Effects On the Business Cycle by : Vincenzo Atella

Download or read book Technology Shocks, Structural Breaks and the Effects On the Business Cycle written by Vincenzo Atella and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contributes to the literature on the role of technology shocks as source of the business cycle in two ways. First, we document that time-series of US productivity and hours are apparently affected by a structural break in the late 60's, which is likely due to a major change in the monetary policy. Second, we show that the importance of demand shocks over the business cycle has sharply increased after the break.

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875657
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations by : Mr.Pau Rabanal

Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.

Technology Shocks

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437939104
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks by : Andrea Raffo

Download or read book Technology Shocks written by Andrea Raffo and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the joint dynamics of internat. prices and quantities remains a central issue in internat. bus. cycles. Internat. relative prices appreciate when domestic consumption and output increase more than their foreign counterparts. In addition, both trade flows and trade prices display sizable volatility. This paper incorporates Hicks-neutral and investment-specific TS into a standard two-country general equilibrium model with variable capacity utilization and weak wealth effects on labor supply. Investment-specific TS introduce a source of fluctuations in absorption similar to taste shocks, thus reconciling theory and data. Also presents implications for the transmission mechanism of TS across countries. Illus. This is a print on demand pub.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (758 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults by : M. Hashem Pesaran

Download or read book Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults written by M. Hashem Pesaran and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Is the Technology-driven Real Business Cycle Hypothesis Dead?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis Is the Technology-driven Real Business Cycle Hypothesis Dead? by : Neville Francis

Download or read book Is the Technology-driven Real Business Cycle Hypothesis Dead? written by Neville Francis and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we re-examine the recent evidence that technology shocks do not produce business cycle patterns in the data. We first extend Gal's (1999) work, which uses long-run restrictions to identify technology shocks, by examining whether the identified shocks can be plausibly interpreted as technology shocks. We do this in three ways. First, we derive additional long-run restrictions and use them as tests of overidentification. Second, we compare the qualitative implications from the model with the impulse responses of variables such as wages and consumption. Third, we test whether some standard 'exogenous' variables predict the shock variables. We find that oil shocks, military build-ups, and Romer dates do not predict the shock labeled 'technology.' We then show ways in which a standard DGE model can be modified to fit Gal's finding that a positive technology shock leads to lower labor input. Finally, we re-examine the properties of the other key shock to the system

How Long is the Long Run? A Dynamic Analysis of the Spanish Business Cycle

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849559
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis How Long is the Long Run? A Dynamic Analysis of the Spanish Business Cycle by : Ms.Stefania Fabrizio

Download or read book How Long is the Long Run? A Dynamic Analysis of the Spanish Business Cycle written by Ms.Stefania Fabrizio and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-06-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the sources of Spanish business cycles. It assumes that Spanish output is affected by two types of shocks. The first one has permanent long-run effects on output and it is identified as a supply shock. The second one has only transitory effects on output and it is identified as a demand shock. Spain seems to have long business cycles, of about 15 years. As restrictive demand policies to control the inflation rate could prove painful and disappointing, supply side policies aimed at reducing rigidities in the product and labor market would be a better way to achieve the same objective.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004

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Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262072632
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (726 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004 by : Mark Gertler

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004 written by Mark Gertler and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual presents pioneering work in macroeconomics by leading academic researchers addressed to a broad audience of public policymakers as well as to the academic community. Each paper is followed by comments and discussion to give a more complete context for the views expressed. The 2004 edition features a range of papers aimed at providing coherent and informative answers to such important questions as the effect of federal government debt on interest rates; the stochastic dimension of the American economy; the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations; and the interaction of capital flows, fiscal policy, and monetary policies in developing countries, emerging markets, and OECD countries.

Technology, Employment and the Business Cycle

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology, Employment and the Business Cycle by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book Technology, Employment and the Business Cycle written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using data for the G7 countries, I estimate conditional correlations of employment and productivity, based on a decomposition of the two series into technology and non-technology components. The picture that emerges is hard to reconcile with the predictions of the standard Real Business Cycle model. For a majority of countries the following results stand out: (a) technology shocks appear to induce a negative comovement between productivity and employment, counterbalanced by a positive comovement generated by demand shocks, (b) the impulse responses show a persistent decline of employment in response to a positive technology shock, and (c) measured productivity increases temporarily in response to a positive demand shock. More generally, the pattern of economic fluctuations attributed to technology shocks seems to be largely unrelated to major postwar cyclical episodes. A simple model with monopolistic competition, sticky prices, and variable effort is shown to be able to account for the empirical findings.

The American Business Cycle

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226304590
Total Pages : 882 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis The American Business Cycle by : Robert J. Gordon

Download or read book The American Business Cycle written by Robert J. Gordon and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 882 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent decades the American economy has experienced the worst peace-time inflation in its history and the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression. These circumstances have prompted renewed interest in the concept of business cycles, which Joseph Schumpeter suggested are "like the beat of the heart, of the essence of the organism that displays them." In The American Business Cycle, some of the most prominent macroeconomics in the United States focuses on the questions, To what extent are business cycles propelled by external shocks? How have post-1946 cycles differed from earlier cycles? And, what are the major factors that contribute to business cycles? They extend their investigation in some areas as far back as 1875 to afford a deeper understanding of both economic history and the most recent economic fluctuations. Seven papers address specific aspects of economic activity: consumption, investment, inventory change, fiscal policy, monetary behavior, open economy, and the labor market. Five papers focus on aggregate economic activity. In a number of cases, the papers present findings that challenge widely accepted models and assumptions. In addition to its substantive findings, The American Business Cycle includes an appendix containing both the first published history of the NBER business-cycle dating chronology and many previously unpublished historical data series.

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 67 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.

Technology Cycles and U.S. Economic Policy in the Early 21st Century

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 135148673X
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (514 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Cycles and U.S. Economic Policy in the Early 21st Century by : Nathan Edmonson

Download or read book Technology Cycles and U.S. Economic Policy in the Early 21st Century written by Nathan Edmonson and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-08 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The overarching theme of this volume is the cyclical nature of technological change, its impact on economic growth, and the limits of government intervention. Technological revolutions are infrequent; there were only three in all of the twentieth century. When they occur, their possibilities are often not immediately apparent. Technology revolutions induce capital investment, not just because they stimulate the need to acquire the new technology, but also because of the need to replace obsolete capacity and new infrastructure. While government has encouraged general economic progress by carrying out highly risky innovations unrelated to fostering economic growth, it seldom succeeds with specific efforts to foster growth. Recent examples of success include the Internet and the global positioning system (GPS), which trace their origins to defense-related research. In contrast, the countercyclical economic stimuli of 2007-2009 have achieved little in the way of general growth. The lack of data about the technology cycle makes formulating appropriate monetary and other policy countercyclical interventions difficult. A technology-founded upswing animated the American economy after 1990, and the -great recession- of 2007- 2009 reflected the waning of the investment boom that this revolution generated. Edmonson argues that the impact of technology revolutions on general economic growth has never received the attention it deserves. This volume will contribute much to debates on economic policy.

Interpreting Investment-Specific Technology Shocks (IST)

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437939074
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpreting Investment-Specific Technology Shocks (IST) by : Luca Guerrieri

Download or read book Interpreting Investment-Specific Technology Shocks (IST) written by Luca Guerrieri and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-05 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: IST shocks are often interpreted as multi-factor productivity (MFP) shocks in a separate investment-producing sector. However, this interpretation is strictly valid only when some stringent conditions are satisfied. Some of these conditions are at odds with the data. Using a two-sector model whose calibration is based on the U.S. Input-Output Tables, the authors consider the implications of relaxing several of these conditions. They show how the effects of IST shocks in a one-sector model differ from those of MFP shocks to an investment-producing sector of a two-sector model. MFP shocks induce a positive short-run correlation between consumption and investment consistent with U.S. data, while IST shocks do not. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

Business Cycles

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Victor Zarnowitz

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Essays on Investment-specific Technological Change, Factor-hoarding and Business Cycles

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781109971828
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (718 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Investment-specific Technological Change, Factor-hoarding and Business Cycles by : Kwang Hwan Kim

Download or read book Essays on Investment-specific Technological Change, Factor-hoarding and Business Cycles written by Kwang Hwan Kim and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of four essays on the relations among investment-specific technological change, factor-hoarding and business cycles.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)

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Book Synopsis Frontiers of Business Cycle Research by : Thomas F. Cooley

Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t

International Dimensions of Monetary Policy

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226278875
Total Pages : 663 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis International Dimensions of Monetary Policy by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book International Dimensions of Monetary Policy written by Jordi Galí and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-15 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.