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Strategic Surprise
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Book Synopsis Managing Strategic Surprise by : Paul Bracken
Download or read book Managing Strategic Surprise written by Paul Bracken and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-08-07 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.
Book Synopsis Military Deception and Strategic Surprise! by : John Gooch
Download or read book Military Deception and Strategic Surprise! written by John Gooch and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-11-12 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Published in 2004, Military Deception and Strategic Surprise! is a valuable contribution to the field of Military and Strategic Studies.
Book Synopsis Intelligence and Strategic Surprises by : Ariel Levite
Download or read book Intelligence and Strategic Surprises written by Ariel Levite and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1987 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Strategic Military Surprise by : Klaus Eugen Knorr
Download or read book Strategic Military Surprise written by Klaus Eugen Knorr and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Surprise Attack written by Ephraim KAM and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ephraim Kam observes surprise attack through the eyes of its victim in order to understand the causes of the victim's failure to anticipate the coming of war. Emphasing the psychological aspect of warfare, Kam traces the behavior of the victim at various functional levels and from several points of view in order to examine the difficulties and mistakes that permit a nation to be taken by surprise. He argues that anticipation and prediction of a coming war are more complicated than any other issue of strategic estimation, involving such interdependent factors as analytical contradictions, judgemental biases, organizational obstacles, and political as well as military constraints. Surprise Attack: The Victim's Perspective offers implications based on the intelligence perspective, providing both historical background and scientific analysis that draws from the author's vast experience. The book is of utmost value to all those engaged in intelligence work, and to those whose operational or political responsibility brings them in touch with intelligence assessments and the need to authenticate and then adopt them or discount them. Similarly, the book will interest any reader intrigued by decision-making processes that influence individuals and nations at war, and sometimes even shape national destiny. --Ehud Barak, Former Prime Minister of Israel
Book Synopsis Anticipating Surprise by : Cynthia M. Grabo
Download or read book Anticipating Surprise written by Cynthia M. Grabo and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Surprise Attack by : Richard K. Betts
Download or read book Surprise Attack written by Richard K. Betts and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Long before Germany's blitzkrieg swept the West, European leaders had received many signals of its imminence. Stalin, too, had abundant warning of German designs on Russia but believed that by avoiding "provocative" defensive measures he could avert the attack that finally came in June 1941. And the stories of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, the Korean War, and three Arab-Israeli conflicts are replete with missed opportunities to react to unmistakable warnings. Richad K. Betts analyzes surprise attacks during the mid-twentieth century to illustrate his thesis: surprise attacks occur, not because intelligence services fail to warn, but because of the disbelief of political leaders. "Although the probability is low that the United States will fail to deter direct attack by the Soviet Union," Betts says, "the intensity of the threat warrants painstaking analysis of how to cope with it." His own investigation of the historical, psychological, political, diplomatic, and military aspects of his subject heightens understanding of why surprise attacks succeed and why victim nations fail to respond to warnings. In discussing current policy he focuses on the defense of Western Europe and applies the lessons of history to U.S. defense planning, offering detailed recommendations for changes in strategy. Obviously some of the potential dangers of military surprise cannot be prevented. The important thing, he emphasizes, is that "without forces that exceed requirements (the solution Moscow appears to have chosen), it is vital to ensure that what forces exist can be brought to bear when needed.
Book Synopsis Intelligence and Surprise Attack by : Erik J. Dahl
Download or read book Intelligence and Surprise Attack written by Erik J. Dahl and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2013-07-19 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can the United States avoid a future surprise attack on the scale of 9/11 or Pearl Harbor, in an era when such devastating attacks can come not only from nation states, but also from terrorist groups or cyber enemies? Intelligence and Surprise Attack examines why surprise attacks often succeed even though, in most cases, warnings had been available beforehand. Erik J. Dahl challenges the conventional wisdom about intelligence failure, which holds that attacks succeed because important warnings get lost amid noise or because intelligence officials lack the imagination and collaboration to “connect the dots” of available information. Comparing cases of intelligence failure with intelligence success, Dahl finds that the key to success is not more imagination or better analysis, but better acquisition of precise, tactical-level intelligence combined with the presence of decision makers who are willing to listen to and act on the warnings they receive from their intelligence staff. The book offers a new understanding of classic cases of conventional and terrorist attacks such as Pearl Harbor, the Battle of Midway, and the bombings of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. The book also presents a comprehensive analysis of the intelligence picture before the 9/11 attacks, making use of new information available since the publication of the 9/11 Commission Report and challenging some of that report’s findings.
Book Synopsis Surprise, Security, and the American Experience by : John Lewis Gaddis
Download or read book Surprise, Security, and the American Experience written by John Lewis Gaddis and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2005-10-31 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this provocative book, a distinguished Cold War historian argues that September 11, 2001, was not the first time a surprise attack shattered American assumptions about national security and reshaped American grand strategy.
Book Synopsis Transformation and Strategic Surprise by :
Download or read book Transformation and Strategic Surprise written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Though discounted by Clausewitz in the circumstances of his era, strategic surprise has enjoyed considerable popularity over the past century. The possibility of achieving decisive results from attacks launched on short, or zero, warning has appeared to improve greatly with advances in technology. It follows that surprise has been recognized as offering what seem to be both golden opportunities and lethal dangers. Since surprise is an ironbound necessity for the tactical success of terrorism, it is understandable that it attracts a major degree of attention today. There is no real novelty about this. After all, for 40 years the United States and its North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies perpetually worried about surprise attack on the Central Front in Europe, as well as about a surprise first strike designed to disarm the United States of its ability to retaliate with its strategic nuclear forces.
Book Synopsis Foreign Policy for America in the Twenty-first Century by : Thomas H. Henriksen
Download or read book Foreign Policy for America in the Twenty-first Century written by Thomas H. Henriksen and published by Hoover Institution Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In its unprecedented position as sole world superpower, the United States must judiciously consider what course to take in foreign affairs. Foreign Policy for America's Twenty-first Century: Alternative Perspectivespresents six carefully crafted and bold approaches to this problem from some of the nation's foremost foreign policy experts. Chosen not for their unanimity but for their conflicting visions, these essays are written in accessible prose without esoteric language or scholarly jargon. Such issues as grand strategy, globalization, isolationism, and free trade are discussed in the context of a post-cold war world and a new century.
Book Synopsis Strategic Surprise in the Age of Glasnost by : David Thomas Twining
Download or read book Strategic Surprise in the Age of Glasnost written by David Thomas Twining and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Paradoxes of Strategic Intelligence by : Richard K. Betts
Download or read book Paradoxes of Strategic Intelligence written by Richard K. Betts and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of a three part collection in honour of the teachings of Michael I. Handel, one of the foremost strategists of the late 20th century, this collection explores the paradoxes of intelligence analysis, surprise and deception from both historical and theoretical perspectives.
Book Synopsis India’s Intelligence Culture and Strategic Surprises by : Dheeraj Paramesha Chaya
Download or read book India’s Intelligence Culture and Strategic Surprises written by Dheeraj Paramesha Chaya and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-09-29 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines India’s foreign intelligence culture and strategic surprises in the 20th century. The work looks at whether there is a distinct way in which India ‘thinks about’ and ‘does’ intelligence, and, by extension, whether this affects the prospects of it being surprised. Drawing on a combination of archival data, secondary source information and interviews with members of the Indian security and intelligence community, the book provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of Indian intelligence culture from the ancient period to colonial times and, subsequently, the post-colonial era. This evolutionary culture has played a significant role in explaining the India’s foreign intelligence failure during the occurrences of strategic surprises, such as the 1962 Sino-Indian War and the 1999 Kargil War, while it successfully prepared for surprise attacks like Operation Chenghiz Khan by Pakistan in 1971. The result is that the book argues that the strategic culture of a nation and its interplay with intelligence organisations and operations is important to understanding the conditions for intelligence failures and strategic surprises. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, Asian politics and International Relations.
Book Synopsis Pearl Harbor by : Roberta Wohlstetter
Download or read book Pearl Harbor written by Roberta Wohlstetter and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 1962 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This account of the Pearl Harbor attack denies that the lack of preparation resulted from military negligence or a political plot
Book Synopsis Managing Strategic Surprise by : Paul Bracken
Download or read book Managing Strategic Surprise written by Paul Bracken and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-08-07 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.
Book Synopsis Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts by : Mark F. Cancian
Download or read book Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts written by Mark F. Cancian and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2018-03-23 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Surprise has always been an element of warfare, but the return of great power competition—and the high-level threat that it poses—gives urgency to thinking about surprise now. Because the future is highly uncertain, and great powers have not fought each other for over 70 years, surprise is highly likely in a future great power conflict. This study, therefore, examines potential surprises in a great power conflict, particularly in a conflict’s initial stages when the interaction of adversaries’ technologies, prewar plans, and military doctrines first becomes manifest. It is not an attempt to project the future. Rather, it seeks to do the opposite: explore the range of possible future conflicts to see where surprises might lurk.
