Theory of Games and Statistical Decisions

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Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486150895
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (861 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory of Games and Statistical Decisions by : David A. Blackwell

Download or read book Theory of Games and Statistical Decisions written by David A. Blackwell and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-06-14 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evaluating statistical procedures through decision and game theory, as first proposed by Neyman and Pearson and extended by Wald, is the goal of this problem-oriented text in mathematical statistics. First-year graduate students in statistics and other students with a background in statistical theory and advanced calculus will find a rigorous, thorough presentation of statistical decision theory treated as a special case of game theory. The work of Borel, von Neumann, and Morgenstern in game theory, of prime importance to decision theory, is covered in its relevant aspects: reduction of games to normal forms, the minimax theorem, and the utility theorem. With this introduction, Blackwell and Professor Girshick look at: Values and Optimal Strategies in Games; General Structure of Statistical Games; Utility and Principles of Choice; Classes of Optimal Strategies; Fixed Sample-Size Games with Finite Ω and with Finite A; Sufficient Statistics and the Invariance Principle; Sequential Games; Bayes and Minimax Sequential Procedures; Estimation; and Comparison of Experiments. A few topics not directly applicable to statistics, such as perfect information theory, are also discussed. Prerequisites for full understanding of the procedures in this book include knowledge of elementary analysis, and some familiarity with matrices, determinants, and linear dependence. For purposes of formal development, only discrete distributions are used, though continuous distributions are employed as illustrations. The number and variety of problems presented will be welcomed by all students, computer experts, and others using statistics and game theory. This comprehensive and sophisticated introduction remains one of the strongest and most useful approaches to a field which today touches areas as diverse as gambling and particle physics.

Statistics for Making Decisions

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000347583
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for Making Decisions by : Nicholas T. Longford

Download or read book Statistics for Making Decisions written by Nicholas T. Longford and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-03-29 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A constructive response to the criticisms of using hypothesis testing for making decisions Integrating the context (the client’s perspective, value judgments, priorities and remits) in the analysis, combining it with sensitivity analysis that handles the uncertainty arising in elicitation of the context Treatment of the problems by elementary (analytical) methods Applications that illustrate the methods in their best light • Drawing on several publications in high-profile journals in applied statistics

Using Statistics to Make Educational Decisions

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412969778
Total Pages : 553 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Statistics to Make Educational Decisions by : David Tanner

Download or read book Using Statistics to Make Educational Decisions written by David Tanner and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2012 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Government scrutiny and intensified oversight have dramatically changed the landscape of education in recent years. Observers want to know how schools compare, which district is best, which states are spending the most per student on education, whether reforms are making a difference, and why so many students are failing. Some of these questions require technical answers that educators historically redirected to outside experts, but the questions leveled at all educators have become so acute and persistent that they can no longer be outsourced. This text helps educators develop the tools and the conceptual understanding needed to provide definitive answers to difficult statistical questions facing education today.

Business Statistics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789812530158
Total Pages : 767 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Statistics by : Richard Arnold Johnson

Download or read book Business Statistics written by Richard Arnold Johnson and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 767 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Translating Statistics to Make Decisions

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Publisher : Apress
ISBN 13 : 1484222563
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (842 download)

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Book Synopsis Translating Statistics to Make Decisions by : Victoria Cox

Download or read book Translating Statistics to Make Decisions written by Victoria Cox and published by Apress. This book was released on 2017-03-10 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examine and solve the common misconceptions and fallacies that non-statisticians bring to their interpretation of statistical results. Explore the many pitfalls that non-statisticians—and also statisticians who present statistical reports to non-statisticians—must avoid if statistical results are to be correctly used for evidence-based business decision making. Victoria Cox, senior statistician at the United Kingdom’s Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl), distills the lessons of her long experience presenting the actionable results of complex statistical studies to users of widely varying statistical sophistication across many disciplines: from scientists, engineers, analysts, and information technologists to executives, military personnel, project managers, and officials across UK government departments, industry, academia, and international partners. The author shows how faulty statistical reasoning often undermines the utility of statistical results even among those with advanced technical training. Translating Statistics teaches statistically naive readers enough about statistical questions, methods, models, assumptions, and statements that they will be able to extract the practical message from statistical reports and better constrain what conclusions cannot be made from the results. To non-statisticians with some statistical training, this book offers brush-ups, reminders, and tips for the proper use of statistics and solutions to common errors. To fellow statisticians, the author demonstrates how to present statistical output to non-statisticians to ensure that the statistical results are correctly understood and properly applied to real-world tasks and decisions. The book avoids algebra and proofs, but it does supply code written in R for those readers who are motivated to work out examples. Pointing along the way to instructive examples of statistics gone awry, Translating Statistics walks readers through the typical course of a statistical study, progressing from the experimental design stage through the data collection process, exploratory data analysis, descriptive statistics, uncertainty, hypothesis testing, statistical modelling and multivariate methods, to graphs suitable for final presentation. The steady focus throughout the book is on how to turn the mathematical artefacts and specialist jargon that are second nature to statisticians into plain English for corporate customers and stakeholders. The final chapter neatly summarizes the book’s lessons and insights for accurately communicating statistical reports to the non-statisticians who commission and act on them. What You'll Learn Recognize and avoid common errors and misconceptions that cause statistical studies to be misinterpreted and misused by non-statisticians in organizational settings Gain a practical understanding of the methods, processes, capabilities, and caveats of statistical studies to improve the application of statistical data to business decisions See how to code statistical solutions in R Who This Book Is For Non-statisticians—including both those with and without an introductory statistics course under their belts—who consume statistical reports in organizational settings, and statisticians who seek guidance for reporting statistical studies to non-statisticians in ways that will be accurately understood and will inform sound business and technical decisions

Basic Statistics with R

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128209267
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (282 download)

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Book Synopsis Basic Statistics with R by : Stephen C. Loftus

Download or read book Basic Statistics with R written by Stephen C. Loftus and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2021-02-20 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Basic Statistics with R: Reaching Decisions with Data provides an understanding of the processes at work in using data for results. Sections cover data collection and discuss exploratory analyses, including visual graphs, numerical summaries, and relationships between variables - basic probability, and statistical inference - including hypothesis testing and confidence intervals. All topics are taught using real-data drawn from various fields, including economics, biology, political science and sports. Using this wide variety of motivating examples allows students to directly connect and make statistics essential to their field of interest, rather than seeing it as a separate and ancillary knowledge area. In addition to introducing students to statistical topics using real data, the book provides a gentle introduction to coding, having the students use the statistical language and software R. Students learn to load data, calculate summary statistics, create graphs and do statistical inference using R with either Windows or Macintosh machines. - Features real-data to give students an engaging practice to connect with their areas of interest - Evolves from basic problems that can be worked by hand to the elementary use of opensource R software - Offers a direct, clear approach highlighted by useful visuals and examples

Using Statistics for Better Business Decisions

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Publisher : Business Expert Press
ISBN 13 : 1631572733
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Statistics for Better Business Decisions by : Justin Bateh

Download or read book Using Statistics for Better Business Decisions written by Justin Bateh and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2015-12-16 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More and more organizations around the globe are expecting that professionals will make data-driven decisions. Employees, team leaders, managers, and executives that can think quantitatively should be in high demand. The goal of this book is to increase ability to identify a problem, collect data, organize, and analyze data that will help aid in making more effective decisions. This book will provide you with a solid foundation for thinking quantitatively within your company. To help facilitate this objective, this book follows two fictitious companies that encounter a series of business problems, while demonstrating how managers would use the concepts in the book to solve these problems and determine the next course of action. This book is for beginners and does not require prior statistical training. All computations will be completed using Microsoft Excel.

The Pleasures of Probability

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146120819X
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis The Pleasures of Probability by : Richard Isaac

Download or read book The Pleasures of Probability written by Richard Isaac and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ideas of probability are all around us. Lotteries, casino gambling, the al most non-stop polling which seems to mold public policy more and more these are a few of the areas where principles of probability impinge in a direct way on the lives and fortunes of the general public. At a more re moved level there is modern science which uses probability and its offshoots like statistics and the theory of random processes to build mathematical descriptions of the real world. In fact, twentieth-century physics, in embrac ing quantum mechanics, has a world view that is at its core probabilistic in nature, contrary to the deterministic one of classical physics. In addition to all this muscular evidence of the importance of probability ideas it should also be said that probability can be lots of fun. It is a subject where you can start thinking about amusing, interesting, and often difficult problems with very little mathematical background. In this book, I wanted to introduce a reader with at least a fairly decent mathematical background in elementary algebra to this world of probabil ity, to the way of thinking typical of probability, and the kinds of problems to which probability can be applied. I have used examples from a wide variety of fields to motivate the discussion of concepts.

Statistics

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Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 9780321757272
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (572 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics by : Michael Sullivan

Download or read book Statistics written by Michael Sullivan and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the eBook of the printed book and may not include any media, website access codes, or print supplements that may come packaged with the bound book. Michael Sullivan's Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data, Fourth Edition, connects statistical concepts to students' lives, helping them to think critically, become informed consumers, and make better decisions. Throughout the book, "Putting It Together" features help students visualize the relationships among various statistical concepts. This feature extends to the exercises, providing a consistent vision of the bigger picture of statistics. This book follows the Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education (GAISE), as recommended by the American Statistical Association, and emphasizes statistical literacy, use of real data and technology, conceptual understanding, and active learning.

Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147574286X
Total Pages : 633 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis by : James O. Berger

Download or read book Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis written by James O. Berger and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 633 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.

Statistics and Decisions

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000109887
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics and Decisions by : S. H. Kim

Download or read book Statistics and Decisions written by S. H. Kim and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-25 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the necessary prerequisites in probability and statistics as well as the key ideas in decision theory. It is helpful to students and practitioners who desire to apply decision-theoretic thinking to their own work.

Statistics and Decisions

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000152928
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics and Decisions by : S. H. Kim

Download or read book Statistics and Decisions written by S. H. Kim and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides the necessary prerequisites in probability and statistics as well as the key ideas in decision theory. It is helpful to students and practitioners who desire to apply decision-theoretic thinking to their own work.

Statistics & Decisions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 446 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics & Decisions by :

Download or read book Statistics & Decisions written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Loss Models

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470391332
Total Pages : 758 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Loss Models by : Stuart A. Klugman

Download or read book Loss Models written by Stuart A. Klugman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-25 with total page 758 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.

Business Statistics for Contemporary Decision Making

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119983223
Total Pages : 850 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Statistics for Contemporary Decision Making by : Ignacio Castillo

Download or read book Business Statistics for Contemporary Decision Making written by Ignacio Castillo and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2023-05-08 with total page 850 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Show students why business statistics is an increasingly important business skill through a student-friendly pedagogy. In this fourth Canadian edition of Business Statistics For Contemporary Decision Making authors Ken Black, Tiffany Bayley, and Ignacio Castillo uses current real-world data to equip students with the business analytics techniques and quantitative decision-making skills required to make smart decisions in today's workplace.

Probability, Decisions and Games

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119302609
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability, Decisions and Games by : Abel Rodríguez

Download or read book Probability, Decisions and Games written by Abel Rodríguez and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-04-24 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTRODUCES THE FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY, STATISTICS, DECISION THEORY, AND GAME THEORY, AND FEATURES INTERESTING EXAMPLES OF GAMES OF CHANCE AND STRATEGY TO MOTIVATE AND ILLUSTRATE ABSTRACT MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS Covering both random and strategic games, Probability, Decisions and Games features a variety of gaming and gambling examples to build a better understanding of basic concepts of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory. The authors present fundamental concepts such as random variables, rational choice theory, mathematical expectation and variance, fair games, combinatorial calculus, conditional probability, Bayes Theorem, Bernoulli trials, zero-sum games and Nash equilibria, as well as their application in games such as Roulette, Craps, Lotto, Blackjack, Poker, Rock-Paper-Scissors, the Game of Chicken and Tic-Tac-Toe. Computer simulations, implemented using the popular R computing environment, are used to provide intuition on key concepts and verify complex calculations. The book starts by introducing simple concepts that are carefully motivated by the same historical examples that drove their original development of the field of probability, and then applies those concepts to popular contemporary games. The first two chapters of Probability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R feature an introductory discussion of probability and rational choice theory in finite and discrete spaces that builds upon the simple games discussed in the famous correspondence between Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat. Subsequent chapters utilize popular casino games such as Roulette and Blackjack to expand on these concepts illustrate modern applications of these methodologies. Finally, the book concludes with discussions on game theory using a number of strategic games. This book: · Features introductory coverage of probability, statistics, decision theory and game theory, and has been class-tested at University of California, Santa Cruz for the past six years · Illustrates basic concepts in probability through interesting and fun examples using a number of popular casino games: roulette, lotto, craps, blackjack, and poker · Introduces key ideas in game theory using classic games such as Rock-Paper-Scissors, Chess, and Tic-Tac-Toe. · Features computer simulations using R throughout in order to illustrate complex concepts and help readers verify complex calculations · Contains exercises and approaches games and gambling at a level that is accessible for readers with minimal experience · Adopts a unique approach by motivating complex concepts using first simple games and then moving on to more complex, well-known games that illustrate how these concepts work together Probability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R is a unique and helpful textbook for undergraduate courses on statistical reasoning, introduction to probability, statistical literacy, and quantitative reasoning for students from a variety of disciplines. ABEL RODRÍGUEZ, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics at the University of California, Santa Cruz (UCSC), CA, USA. The author of 40 journal articles, his research interests include Bayesian nonparametric methods, machine learning, spatial temporal models, network models, and extreme value theory. BRUNO MENDES, PhD, is Lecturer in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics at the University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA. BRUNO MENDES, PhD, is Lecturer in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics at the University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.INTRODUCES THE FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY, STATISTICS, DECISION THEORY, AND GAME THEORY, AND FEATURES INTERESTING EXAMPLES OF GAMES OF CHANCE AND STRATEGY TO MOTIVATE AND ILLUSTRATE ABSTRACT MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS Covering both random and strategic games, Probability, Decisions and Games features a variety of gaming and gambling examples to build a better understanding of basic concepts of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory. The authors present fundamental concepts such as random variables, rational choice theory, mathematical expectation and variance, fair games, combinatorial calculus, conditional probability, Bayes Theorem, Bernoulli trials, zero-sum games and Nash equilibria, as well as their application in games such as Roulette, Craps, Lotto, Blackjack, Poker, Rock-Paper-Scissors, the Game of Chicken and Tic-Tac-Toe. Computer simulations, implemented using the popular R computing environment, are used to provide intuition on key concepts and verify complex calculations. The book starts by introducing simple concepts that are carefully motivated by the same historical examples that drove their original development of the field of probability, and then applies those concepts to popular contemporary games. The first two chapters of Probability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R feature an introductory discussion of probability and rational choice theory in finite and discrete spaces that builds upon the simple games discussed in the famous correspondence between Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat. Subsequent chapters utilize popular casino games such as Roulette and Blackjack to expand on these concepts illustrate modern applications of these methodologies. Finally, the book concludes with discussions on game theory using a number of strategic games. This book: • Features introductory coverage of probability, statistics, decision theory and game theory, and has been class-tested at University of California, Santa Cruz for the past six years • Illustrates basic concepts in probability through interesting and fun examples using a number of popular casino games: roulette, lotto, craps, blackjack, and poker • Introduces key ideas in game theory using classic games such as Rock-Paper-Scissors, Chess, and Tic-Tac-Toe. • Features computer simulations using R throughout in order to illustrate complex concepts and help readers verify complex calculations • Contains exercises and approaches games and gambling at a level that is accessible for readers with minimal experience • Adopts a unique approach by motivating complex concepts using first simple games and then moving on to more complex, well-known games that illustrate how these concepts work together Probability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R is a unique and helpful textbook for undergraduate courses on statistical reasoning, introduction to probability, statistical literacy, and quantitative reasoning for students from a variety of disciplines. ABEL RODRÍGUEZ, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics at the University of California, Santa Cruz (UCSC), CA, USA. The author of 40 journal articles, his research interests include Bayesian nonparametric methods, machine learning, spatial temporal models, network models, and extreme value theory. BRUNO MENDES, PhD, is Lecturer in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics at the University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.

Data Science for Business and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128112174
Total Pages : 1246 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Science for Business and Decision Making by : Luiz Paulo Favero

Download or read book Data Science for Business and Decision Making written by Luiz Paulo Favero and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-04-11 with total page 1246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data Science for Business and Decision Making covers both statistics and operations research while most competing textbooks focus on one or the other. As a result, the book more clearly defines the principles of business analytics for those who want to apply quantitative methods in their work. Its emphasis reflects the importance of regression, optimization and simulation for practitioners of business analytics. Each chapter uses a didactic format that is followed by exercises and answers. Freely-accessible datasets enable students and professionals to work with Excel, Stata Statistical Software®, and IBM SPSS Statistics Software®. - Combines statistics and operations research modeling to teach the principles of business analytics - Written for students who want to apply statistics, optimization and multivariate modeling to gain competitive advantages in business - Shows how powerful software packages, such as SPSS and Stata, can create graphical and numerical outputs