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Author : Fabio Canova
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Statistical Inference in Calibrated Models written by Fabio Canova and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108563309
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)
Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author : James Hartley
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134694784
Total Pages : 690 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)
Download or read book Real Business Cycles written by James Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.
Author : Roberto Mariano
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521591126
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (911 download)
Download or read book Simulation-based Inference in Econometrics written by Roberto Mariano and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-07-20 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This substantial volume has two principal objectives. First it provides an overview of the statistical foundations of Simulation-based inference. This includes the summary and synthesis of the many concepts and results extant in the theoretical literature, the different classes of problems and estimators, the asymptotic properties of these estimators, as well as descriptions of the different simulators in use. Second, the volume provides empirical and operational examples of SBI methods. Often what is missing, even in existing applied papers, are operational issues. Which simulator works best for which problem and why? This volume will explicitly address the important numerical and computational issues in SBI which are not covered comprehensively in the existing literature. Examples of such issues are: comparisons with existing tractable methods, number of replications needed for robust results, choice of instruments, simulation noise and bias as well as efficiency loss in practice.
Author : Steven Durlauf
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)
Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Author : Mary C. Hill
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470041072
Total Pages : 475 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Effective Groundwater Model Calibration written by Mary C. Hill and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-08-25 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Methods and guidelines for developing and using mathematical models Turn to Effective Groundwater Model Calibration for a set of methods and guidelines that can help produce more accurate and transparent mathematical models. The models can represent groundwater flow and transport and other natural and engineered systems. Use this book and its extensive exercises to learn methods to fully exploit the data on hand, maximize the model's potential, and troubleshoot any problems that arise. Use the methods to perform: Sensitivity analysis to evaluate the information content of data Data assessment to identify (a) existing measurements that dominate model development and predictions and (b) potential measurements likely to improve the reliability of predictions Calibration to develop models that are consistent with the data in an optimal manner Uncertainty evaluation to quantify and communicate errors in simulated results that are often used to make important societal decisions Most of the methods are based on linear and nonlinear regression theory. Fourteen guidelines show the reader how to use the methods advantageously in practical situations. Exercises focus on a groundwater flow system and management problem, enabling readers to apply all the methods presented in the text. The exercises can be completed using the material provided in the book, or as hands-on computer exercises using instructions and files available on the text's accompanying Web site. Throughout the book, the authors stress the need for valid statistical concepts and easily understood presentation methods required to achieve well-tested, transparent models. Most of the examples and all of the exercises focus on simulating groundwater systems; other examples come from surface-water hydrology and geophysics. The methods and guidelines in the text are broadly applicable and can be used by students, researchers, and engineers to simulate many kinds systems.
Author : Randall Jackson
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319505904
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book Regional Research Frontiers - Vol. 2 written by Randall Jackson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-17 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second volume in a two-part series on frontiers in regional research. It identifies methodological advances as well as trends and future developments in regional systems modelling and open science. Building on recent methodological and modelling advances, as well as on extensive policy-analysis experience, top international regional scientists identify and evaluate emerging new conceptual and methodological trends and directions in regional research. Topics such as dynamic interindustry modelling, computable general equilibrium models, exploratory spatial data analysis, geographic information science, spatial econometrics and other advanced methods are the central focus of this book. The volume provides insights into the latest developments in object orientation, open source, and workflow systems, all in support of open science. It will appeal to a wide readership, from regional scientists and economists to geographers, quantitatively oriented regional planners and other related disciplines. It offers a source of relevant information for academic researchers and policy analysts in government, and is also suitable for advanced teaching courses on regional and spatial science, economics and political science.
Author : Jeff Gill
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1584885629
Total Pages : 696 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (848 download)
Download or read book Bayesian Methods written by Jeff Gill and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2007-11-26 with total page 696 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first edition of Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach helped pave the way for Bayesian approaches to become more prominent in social science methodology. While the focus remains on practical modeling and basic theory as well as on intuitive explanations and derivations without skipping steps, this second edition incorporates the latest methodology and recent changes in software offerings. New to the Second Edition Two chapters on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) that cover ergodicity, convergence, mixing, simulated annealing, reversible jump MCMC, and coupling Expanded coverage of Bayesian linear and hierarchical models More technical and philosophical details on prior distributions A dedicated R package (BaM) with data and code for the examples as well as a set of functions for practical purposes such as calculating highest posterior density (HPD) intervals Requiring only a basic working knowledge of linear algebra and calculus, this text is one of the few to offer a graduate-level introduction to Bayesian statistics for social scientists. It first introduces Bayesian statistics and inference, before moving on to assess model quality and fit. Subsequent chapters examine hierarchical models within a Bayesian context and explore MCMC techniques and other numerical methods. Concentrating on practical computing issues, the author includes specific details for Bayesian model building and testing and uses the R and BUGS software for examples and exercises.
Author : Vladik Kreinovich
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319709429
Total Pages : 780 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)
Download or read book Predictive Econometrics and Big Data written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-30 with total page 780 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent research on predictive econometrics and big data. Gathering edited papers presented at the 11th International Conference of the Thailand Econometric Society (TES2018), held in Chiang Mai, Thailand, on January 10-12, 2018, its main focus is on predictive techniques – which directly aim at predicting economic phenomena; and big data techniques – which enable us to handle the enormous amounts of data generated by modern computers in a reasonable time. The book also discusses the applications of more traditional statistical techniques to econometric problems. Econometrics is a branch of economics that employs mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. It is therefore important to develop data processing techniques that explicitly focus on prediction. The more data we have, the better our predictions will be. As such, these techniques are essential to our ability to process huge amounts of available data.
Author : N.U. Prabhu
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000147746
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)
Download or read book Statistical Inference in Stochastic Processes written by N.U. Prabhu and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-08-13 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covering both theory and applications, this collection of eleven contributed papers surveys the role of probabilistic models and statistical techniques in image analysis and processing, develops likelihood methods for inference about parameters that determine the drift and the jump mechanism of a di
Author : Bernd Meyer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642586724
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)
Download or read book Intertemporal Asset Pricing written by Bernd Meyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the mid-eighties Mehra and Prescott showed that the risk premium earned by American stocks cannot reasonably be explained by conventional capital market models. Using time additive utility, the observed risk pre mium can only be explained by unrealistically high risk aversion parameters. This phenomenon is well known as the equity premium puzzle. Shortly aft erwards it was also observed that the risk-free rate is too low relative to the observed risk premium. This essay is the first one to analyze these puzzles in the German capital market. It starts with a thorough discussion of the available theoretical mod els and then goes on to perform various empirical studies on the German capital market. After discussing natural properties of the pricing kernel by which future cash flows are translated into securities prices, various multi period equilibrium models are investigated for their implied pricing kernels. The starting point is a representative investor who optimizes his invest ment and consumption policy over time. One important implication of time additive utility is the identity of relative risk aversion and the inverse in tertemporal elasticity of substitution. Since this identity is at odds with reality, the essay goes on to discuss recursive preferences which violate the expected utility principle but allow to separate relative risk aversion and intertemporal elasticity of substitution.
Author : Fabio Canova
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 140084102X
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)
Download or read book Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research written by Fabio Canova and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last twenty years have witnessed tremendous advances in the mathematical, statistical, and computational tools available to applied macroeconomists. This rapidly evolving field has redefined how researchers test models and validate theories. Yet until now there has been no textbook that unites the latest methods and bridges the divide between theoretical and applied work. Fabio Canova brings together dynamic equilibrium theory, data analysis, and advanced econometric and computational methods to provide the first comprehensive set of techniques for use by academic economists as well as professional macroeconomists in banking and finance, industry, and government. This graduate-level textbook is for readers knowledgeable in modern macroeconomic theory, econometrics, and computational programming using RATS, MATLAB, or Gauss. Inevitably a modern treatment of such a complex topic requires a quantitative perspective, a solid dynamic theory background, and the development of empirical and numerical methods--which is where Canova's book differs from typical graduate textbooks in macroeconomics and econometrics. Rather than list a series of estimators and their properties, Canova starts from a class of DSGE models, finds an approximate linear representation for the decision rules, and describes methods needed to estimate their parameters, examining their fit to the data. The book is complete with numerous examples and exercises. Today's economic analysts need a strong foundation in both theory and application. Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research offers the essential tools for the next generation of macroeconomists.
Author : Daniel Lukui Jia
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 981154588X
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)
Download or read book Dynamic Macroeconomic Models in Emerging Market Economies written by Daniel Lukui Jia and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-26 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book summarizes the evolution of modern macroeconomics (New Consensus Macroeconomics, NCM) and proposes a new approach to theoretical and empirical analysis, which is based on a recently developed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Dynamic macroeconomic analysis in emerging market economies is challenging, and of growing importance in the global economy, where emerging markets are becoming more and more influential. Clearly, a deeper understanding of the inner workings of emerging economies, particularly with respect to their socioeconomic structure and the urbanization process, is needed. The book’s extends the NCM/DSGE model to better account for significant economic and social features in emerging market economies. In particular, household heterogeneities and social stratification are explicitly incorporated into the framework proposed here, substantially enhancing the comprehensiveness of the model economy, and allowing it to better account for underlying social structure in emerging economies. Furthermore, financial and housing markets have not been considered sufficiently in either the advanced or emerging economy literature, an oversight this book remedies. As such, it makes an original and valuable contribution to the field, and a direction for future research.
Author : Ne-Zheng Sun
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1493923234
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (939 download)
Download or read book Model Calibration and Parameter Estimation written by Ne-Zheng Sun and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-07-01 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This three-part book provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to these challenging topics such as model calibration, parameter estimation, reliability assessment, and data collection design. Part 1 covers the classical inverse problem for parameter estimation in both deterministic and statistical frameworks, Part 2 is dedicated to system identification, hyperparameter estimation, and model dimension reduction, and Part 3 considers how to collect data and construct reliable models for prediction and decision-making. For the first time, topics such as multiscale inversion, stochastic field parameterization, level set method, machine learning, global sensitivity analysis, data assimilation, model uncertainty quantification, robust design, and goal-oriented modeling, are systematically described and summarized in a single book from the perspective of model inversion, and elucidated with numerical examples from environmental and water resources modeling. Readers of this book will not only learn basic concepts and methods for simple parameter estimation, but also get familiar with advanced methods for modeling complex systems. Algorithms for mathematical tools used in this book, such as numerical optimization, automatic differentiation, adaptive parameterization, hierarchical Bayesian, metamodeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo, are covered in details. This book can be used as a reference for graduate and upper level undergraduate students majoring in environmental engineering, hydrology, and geosciences. It also serves as an essential reference book for professionals such as petroleum engineers, mining engineers, chemists, mechanical engineers, biologists, biology and medical engineering, applied mathematicians, and others who perform mathematical modeling.
Author : Sumru Altug
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812832769
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Sumru Altug and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an overview of the modern theory and empirics of business cycles. This book examines the notion of a business cycle and discusses alternative approaches to modeling. It also discusses what lies ahead for modern business cycle theory.
Author : Davide Ciucci
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303108974X
Total Pages : 807 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)
Download or read book Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems written by Davide Ciucci and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-07-04 with total page 807 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two-volume set (CCIS 1601-1602) constitutes the proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, IPMU 2021, held in Milan, Italy, in July 2022. The 124 papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 188 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections as follows: aggregation theory beyond the unit interval; formal concept analysis and uncertainty; fuzzy implication functions; fuzzy mathematical analysis and its applications; generalized sets and operators; information fusion techniques based on aggregation functions, pre-aggregation functions, and their generalizations; interval uncertainty; knowledge acquisition, representation and reasoning; logical structures of opposition and logical syllogisms; mathematical fuzzy logics; theoretical and applied aspects of imprecise probabilities; data science and machine learning; decision making modeling and applications; e-health; fuzzy methods in data mining and knowledge discovery; soft computing and artificia intelligence techniques in image processing; soft methods in statistics and data analysis; uncertainty, heterogeneity, reliability and explainability in AI; weak and cautious supervised learning.
Author : Alfred Bartolucci
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118736869
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Analysis of Laboratory Data written by Alfred Bartolucci and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-12-02 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Statistical Analysis of Laboratory Data presents a detailed discussion of important statistical concepts and methods of data presentation and analysis Provides detailed discussions on statistical applications including a comprehensive package of statistical tools that are specific to the laboratory experiment process Introduces terminology used in many applications such as the interpretation of assay design and validation as well as “fit for purpose” procedures including real world examples Includes a rigorous review of statistical quality control procedures in laboratory methodologies and influences on capabilities Presents methodologies used in the areas such as method comparison procedures, limit and bias detection, outlier analysis and detecting sources of variation Analysis of robustness and ruggedness including multivariate influences on response are introduced to account for controllable/uncontrollable laboratory conditions
