Short-term Tourism Forecasts

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Short-term Tourism Forecasts by : Anthony Edwards

Download or read book Short-term Tourism Forecasts written by Anthony Edwards and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inbound Tourism Short-term Scenarios

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Inbound Tourism Short-term Scenarios by : Tourism Forecasting Council

Download or read book Inbound Tourism Short-term Scenarios written by Tourism Forecasting Council and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Chapter Short-term forecasts on time series for tourism in Lombardy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (215 download)

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Book Synopsis Chapter Short-term forecasts on time series for tourism in Lombardy by : Elena Diceglie

Download or read book Chapter Short-term forecasts on time series for tourism in Lombardy written by Elena Diceglie and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data from official sources on nights spent in an accommodation for tourists in Lombardy are available until 2021. These data on touristic flows for 2020 and 2021 registered a clear downfall because of restrictions related to Covid-19. The aim of this paper is to verify the presence of a full or partial recover of tourists in provinces of Lombardy using short-term predictions for 2022. A time-series procedure has been applied to obtain a forecast estimate for 2022 using an ARMA model with the addition of an exogenous variable. The hypothesis at the basis of the model is that a punctual estimate of the touristic flows could be obtained using an auxiliary variable explaining the number of employees in the food services and hospitality industry. This auxiliary variable is represented as the difference between the number of starting work contracts and the contract terminations. These data are available thanks to the Informative system of mandatory communications provided by the Italian Minister of Labour. The availability of this information is daily guaranteed at level of single municipality but for the purpose of this paper, data have been aggregated at province level. The short-term predictions obtained for 2022 have been used to verify the presence of a recovery respect to the pandemic emergency of Covid-19 using a double growth rate. A first growth rate has been computed comparing the number of estimated tourists respect to the 2021 measuring the existence of a rebound after the restrictions. A second growth rate measured the estimates for 2021 respect to the presences of 2019 to monitor the trends in Lombardy compared to the before Covid-19 period. Preliminary results showed an evident upswing respect to 2021 and a partial recovery respect to 2019 for the majority of Lombard provinces.

Forecasting Tourism Demand

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136402411
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Tourism Demand by : Douglas Frechtling

Download or read book Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.

Tourism Forecasting and Marketing

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136411550
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Forecasting and Marketing by : Kevin Wong

Download or read book Tourism Forecasting and Marketing written by Kevin Wong and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-10-12 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stay up to date with the most effective practices in tourism demand forecasting! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents vital, up-to-date research on the latest practice and applications of tourism demand modeling and forecasting. The book addresses both econometric and time series approaches to forecasting, focusing on the concepts, model specification, data analysis, and methodologies used in day-to-day tourism planning. An international panel of practitioners and academics call on a diverse range of empirical research findings to discuss commonly used theoretical frameworks for forecasting and future directions tourism demand is likely to take. Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents research findings from the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Australia that are invaluable for guiding government and private sector tourism investment and development decisions. The book addresses traditional versus modern forecasting techniques; evaluations of current and past forecasting methods; modeling and forecasting destination choice; and the impact of forecasting and marketing on tourism demand. Topics include: using time series models to forecast inbound tourism demand for China and Greece determining the economic factors that influence tourism demand in Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Malaysia examining domestic travel expenditures in South Korea developing a model to forecast ski tourism using the Palmore cohort analysis for tourism forecasting and much more! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing is an important textbook for educators and students working in tourism policy planning and management, and tourism marketing. The book is equally effective as a reference for travel and tourism researchers, and for professionals dealing with tourism demand analysis and forecasting.

Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136353976
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (363 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century by : S Medlik

Download or read book Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century written by S Medlik and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-11-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century' is a collection of essays which consider the future of tourism and hospitality. The international team of contributors represent a wide range of interests involved in tourism and hospitality. Divided into three parts, this book analyses: · Global dimensions, patterns and trends -demographic, social, economic and technical · Regional development of such areas as Africa, Asia, Europe and America, among others · The future of various sectors within the industries - such as transport, tourist attractions, coastal resorts and timesharing. 'Tourism and Hospitality in the 21st Century' is suitable for: senior personnel in private and public sector tourism and hospitality operations; international and national official tourism bodies and other organizations; universities and other higher education institutions; universitties and other higher education institutions; consultancy; finance, construction and supply industries; and as a reference point for students.

Trends in European Tourism Planning and Organisation

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Publisher : Channel View Publications
ISBN 13 : 1845414136
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (454 download)

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Book Synopsis Trends in European Tourism Planning and Organisation by : Carlos Costa

Download or read book Trends in European Tourism Planning and Organisation written by Carlos Costa and published by Channel View Publications. This book was released on 2013-10-07 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by leading international tourism researchers, this book examines the key trends in European tourism planning and organisation. It introduces a theoretical framework to tourism planning and organisation using a procedural and structural approach. Despite having a European focus, it is globally relevant as many lessons from Europe can be applied to international tourism development. The book identifies and discusses six key themes in the context of European tourism planning and organisation: territory, actors and structures, economics, policy, methods and techniques and vision. It also identifies leading and emerging practices and offers a new vision for European tourism planning.

Methodology for Short Term Forecasts of Tourism Flows

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (652 download)

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Book Synopsis Methodology for Short Term Forecasts of Tourism Flows by : R. Liepa

Download or read book Methodology for Short Term Forecasts of Tourism Flows written by R. Liepa and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Tourism Towards 2030

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Publisher : World Tourism Organization Publications
ISBN 13 : 9789284413997
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Towards 2030 by : World Tourism Organization

Download or read book Tourism Towards 2030 written by World Tourism Organization and published by World Tourism Organization Publications. This book was released on 2011 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: UNWTO Tourism Towards 2030 is a broad research project in continuation of UNWTOs work in the area of long-term forecasting initiated in the 1990s and aims at providing a global reference on tourism future development. Following the long-term forecast series of reports Tourism 2020 Vision, the Tourism Towards 2030 - Global Overview report updates international tourism projections through 2030. Central in the study are the projections for international tourism flows in the two decades 2010-2030, with as basis data series on international tourist arrivals as reported by destination countries for the period 1980-2010, taking into account subregion of destination, region of origin, mode of transport and purpose of visit.

Advances in Tourism Economics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790821241
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Tourism Economics by : Álvaro Matias

Download or read book Advances in Tourism Economics written by Álvaro Matias and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-09-16 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Advances in Tourism Economics' follows his predecessor 'Advances in Modern Tourism Research' (2007) in providing a thorough assessment of state-of-the-art economic research in this rapidly developing field. The authors start by analyzing the recent upsurge of model-based economic research in the field, which builds on powerful tools in quantitative economics, such as discrete choice models, social accounting matrices, data envelopment analyses, impact assessment models or partial computable equilibrium models including environmental externalities. The volume originates from this novel research spirit in the area and aims to offer an attractive collection of operational research tools and approaches. It forms an appealing record of modern tourism economics and positions the field within the strong tradition of quantitative economic research, with due attention for both the demand and supply side of the tourism sector, including technological and logistic advances.

Marketing Efficiency in Tourism

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Publisher : Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 9783503097241
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (972 download)

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Book Synopsis Marketing Efficiency in Tourism by : Dr. Peter Keller

Download or read book Marketing Efficiency in Tourism written by Dr. Peter Keller and published by Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2006 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Recurrent Neural Networks for Short-Term Load Forecasting

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319703382
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Recurrent Neural Networks for Short-Term Load Forecasting by : Filippo Maria Bianchi

Download or read book Recurrent Neural Networks for Short-Term Load Forecasting written by Filippo Maria Bianchi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-09 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of an effective forecasting system. Significant research has thus been devoted to the design and development of methodologies for short term load forecasting over the past decades. A class of mathematical models, called Recurrent Neural Networks, are nowadays gaining renewed interest among researchers and they are replacing many practical implementations of the forecasting systems, previously based on static methods. Despite the undeniable expressive power of these architectures, their recurrent nature complicates their understanding and poses challenges in the training procedures. Recently, new important families of recurrent architectures have emerged and their applicability in the context of load forecasting has not been investigated completely yet. This work performs a comparative study on the problem of Short-Term Load Forecast, by using different classes of state-of-the-art Recurrent Neural Networks. The authors test the reviewed models first on controlled synthetic tasks and then on different real datasets, covering important practical cases of study. The text also provides a general overview of the most important architectures and defines guidelines for configuring the recurrent networks to predict real-valued time series.

Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781001294
Total Pages : 529 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism by : Larry Dwyer

Download or read book Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism written by Larry Dwyer and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'This is an excellent book which significantly contributes to tourism research and education. It takes a rigorous yet readable style to address twenty five of the most pertinent quantitative and qualitative techniques applied in tourism research. the book will appeal to a wider readership of social scientists as well as to scholars of tourism as each chapter provides a thorough overview and explanation of the techniques irrespective of their tourism application.' – Dimitrios Buhalis, Bournemouth University, UK This insightful book explores the most important established and emerging qualitative and quantitative research methods in tourism. the authors provide a detailed overview of the nature of the research method, its use in tourism, the advantages and limitations, and future directions for research. Each chapter is structured to provide information on: the nature of the technique and its evolution; background and types of problems that the technique is designed to handle; applications of the technique to tourism, including discussion of studies that have used the technique and their findings; advantages and limitations of the technique conceptually and for policy formulation; and further developments and applications of the technique in tourism research. Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism will appeal to social scientists, students as well as researchers in tourism who use quantitative and qualitative research techniques.

Forecasting Air Travel Demand

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351215493
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (512 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Air Travel Demand by : Yafei Zheng

Download or read book Forecasting Air Travel Demand written by Yafei Zheng and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-03 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an updated, concise summary of forecasting air travel demand methodology. It looks at air travel demand forecasting research and attempts to outline the whole intellectual landscape of demand forecasting. It helps readers to understand the basic idea of TEI@I methodology used in forecasting air travel demand and how it is used in developing air travel demand forecasting methods. The book also discusses what to do when facing different forecasting problems making it a useful reference for business practitioners in the industry.

The Routledge Handbook of Tourism and Sustainability

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135099138
Total Pages : 723 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis The Routledge Handbook of Tourism and Sustainability by : C. Michael Hall

Download or read book The Routledge Handbook of Tourism and Sustainability written by C. Michael Hall and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-02-11 with total page 723 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Routledge Handbook of Tourism and Sustainability from C. Michael Hall, Stefan Gössling, Daniel Scott is one of the winners of the ITB BookAwards 2016 in the category Specialist tourism literature! Sustainability remains one of the major issues in tourism today. Concerns over climate and environmental change, the fallout from the global economic and financial crisis, and the seeming failure to meeting UN Millennium development goals have only reinforced the need for more sustainable approaches to tourism, however they be defined. Given the centrality of sustainability in tourism curricula, policies, research and practice it is therefore appropriate to prepare a state of the art handbook on the relationship between tourism and sustainability. This timely Handbook of Tourism and Sustainability is developed from specifically commissioned original contributions from recognised authors in the field, providing a systematic guide to the current state of knowledge on this area. It is interdisciplinary in coverage and international in scope through its authorship and content. The volume commences with an assessment of tourism’s global environmental, e.g. climate, emissions, energy use, biodiversity, water use, land use, and socio-economic effects, e.g. economic impacts, employment and livelihoods, culture. This then provides the context for sections outlining the main theoretical frameworks and constructs that inform tourism and sustainability, management tools and approaches, and the approaches used in different tourism and travel industry sectors. The book concludes by examining emerging and future concerns in tourism and sustainability such as peak-oil, post-carbon tourism, green economy and transition tourism. This is essential reading for students, researches and academics interested in the possibilities of sustainable forms of tourism and tourism’s contribution to sustainable development. Its assessment of tourism’s global impact along with its overviews of sectoral and management approaches will provide a benchmark by which the sustainability of tourism will be measured for years to come.

Tourism Economics and Policy

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Publisher : Channel View Publications
ISBN 13 : 1845417348
Total Pages : 555 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (454 download)

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Book Synopsis Tourism Economics and Policy by : Larry Dwyer

Download or read book Tourism Economics and Policy written by Larry Dwyer and published by Channel View Publications. This book was released on 2020-01-14 with total page 555 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the publication of the first edition of this seminal textbook, the tourism economics landscape has undergone many changes. In this concise revised edition, the authors have incorporated new approaches and ideas influencing tourism economics and policy. This includes discussions of the implications of the sharing economy and its effect on industry structure in accommodation and transport, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques that are being increasingly employed in tourism forecasting. It also includes new material on surface and marine transport, resident quality of life issues, the price mechanism, the economic contribution of tourism, tourism and economic growth, and tourism and sustainable development. It remains an important and accessible text for students, researchers and practitioners in tourism economics and tourism policy.

Qualitative Forecasting in Tourism

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Publisher : Goodfellow Publishers Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1906884579
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (68 download)

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Book Synopsis Qualitative Forecasting in Tourism by : Haiyan Song

Download or read book Qualitative Forecasting in Tourism written by Haiyan Song and published by Goodfellow Publishers Ltd. This book was released on 2012-01-09 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of the Contemporary Review Series. Contemporary Tourism Reviews will provide you with critical, state-of-the-art surveys of all of the major areas of tourism study to people who are coming to a topic for the first time. Written by leading thinkers and academics in the field they provide flexible, current and topical information as an instant download.