Reversed Forecast

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China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population

Author : Guo Zhigang
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351612948
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population by : Guo Zhigang

Download or read book China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population written by Guo Zhigang and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-12-12 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the most populous country in the world, China’s demographic challenges have always been too many people for ecological system, resources, and the environment. However, by the early 1990s, fertility rate in China had dropped below the replacement level, and China’s low fertility has now attracted the world’s attention. This book is among the first studies to raise and examine questions on low fertility in China, believing that China has entered a new era featured by low birth rate and ageing population. Utilizing advanced research methods and models on low fertility to analyze China’s census data, this book explores the issues from various perspectives. Methodologies employed in past population studies, policy making concerning fertility rate, underreporting of births and fertility rate estimates, fertility level of the migrant population, current population pattern, long-term population trends, population dynamics, and many other thought-provoking problems are covered. Finally, the book revisits China’s population issues in the context of globalization. The 21st century has seen the new challenge of persistent population decrease and ageing worldwide, which, along with economic globalization, demands a new understanding of the changes in population pattern and their consequences. Researchers and students in China’s demographic and social studies will be attracted by the insightful analysis and rich materials provided in the book. Population policy makers will also benefit from it.

Reversed Forecast

Author : Nicola Barker
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780007147991
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (479 download)

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Book Synopsis Reversed Forecast by : Nicola Barker

Download or read book Reversed Forecast written by Nicola Barker and published by . This book was released on 2003-11-03 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The prize-winning first novel from England's greatest female comic novelist. 'Barker is adept at manipulating complicated groups of characters, knitting their lives together adroitly and watching them interconnect.' Jonathan Coe, Daily Mail A reversed forecast is a hedged bet which is still a long shot. Reversed Forecast is a novel of gambling and allergies, music and dogs, set in some of London's less scenic locations. Its characters select each other and try or don't try to make winning combinations. But, as Ruby, this story's soft-centred heroine, observes: 'Losing, that's the whole point of the gamble.'

Monthly Weather Review

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1652 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (21 download)

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Book Synopsis Monthly Weather Review by :

Download or read book Monthly Weather Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 1652 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

California. Court of Appeal (4th Appellate District). Division 2. Records and Briefs

Author : California (State).
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis California. Court of Appeal (4th Appellate District). Division 2. Records and Briefs by : California (State).

Download or read book California. Court of Appeal (4th Appellate District). Division 2. Records and Briefs written by California (State). and published by . This book was released on with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consolidated Case(s): E014800

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627413
Total Pages : 1016 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-24 with total page 1016 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?

Author : Jacopo Cimadomo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484362063
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads? by : Jacopo Cimadomo

Download or read book How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads? written by Jacopo Cimadomo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-20 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 2014, we test whether respondents consider the expected evolution of the fiscal balance—and other economic fundamentals—to be significant drivers of the expected bond yield differential over a benchmark German 10-year bond. Our main result is that a projected improvement of the fiscal outlook significantly reduces expected sovereign spreads. This suggests that credible fiscal plans affect market experts’ expectations and reduce the pressure on sovereign bond markets. In addition, we show that expected fundamentals generally play a more important role in explaining forecasted spreads compared to realized spreads.

Solar-geophysical Data

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 760 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Solar-geophysical Data by :

Download or read book Solar-geophysical Data written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 760 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

California. Court of Appeal (2nd Appellate District). Records and Briefs

Author : California (State).
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis California. Court of Appeal (2nd Appellate District). Records and Briefs by : California (State).

Download or read book California. Court of Appeal (2nd Appellate District). Records and Briefs written by California (State). and published by . This book was released on with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Reverse Logistics

Author : Rommert Dekker
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 354024803X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Reverse Logistics by : Rommert Dekker

Download or read book Reverse Logistics written by Rommert Dekker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-05 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses decision making in reverse logistics, which concerns the integration of used and obsolete products back into the supply chain as valuable resources. It covers a wide range of aspects, related to distribution, production and inventory management, and supply chain management. For each topic, it highlights key managerial issues in real-life examples and explains which quantitative models are available for addressing them. By treating a broad range of issues in a unified way, the book offers the reader a comprehensive view on the field of reverse logistics.

Agricultural Outlook

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Outlook by :

Download or read book Agricultural Outlook written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Time Series Analysis

Author : George E. P. Box
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111867491X
Total Pages : 712 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis by : George E. P. Box

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by George E. P. Box and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-06-02 with total page 712 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the Fourth Edition "The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." —Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.

Encyclopedia of Contemporary Writers and Their Works

Author : Geoff Hamilton
Publisher : Infobase Publishing
ISBN 13 : 143812970X
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (381 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Contemporary Writers and Their Works by : Geoff Hamilton

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Contemporary Writers and Their Works written by Geoff Hamilton and published by Infobase Publishing. This book was released on 2010 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a comprehensive overview of the best writers and works of the current English-speaking literary world.

Man Buys Dog

Author : David Matthews
Publisher : David Matthews
ISBN 13 : 0755311728
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (553 download)

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Book Synopsis Man Buys Dog by : David Matthews

Download or read book Man Buys Dog written by David Matthews and published by David Matthews. This book was released on 2006-04-13 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: David Matthews, author of the critically acclaimed LOOKING FOR A FIGHT, needed a fresh challenge after he had recovered from being a professional boxer. Drawn to the slightly shady appeal of greyhound racing, and not averse to making some easy money, he decided to learn the tricks of the trade from the inside and buy a greyhound. Unfortunately Zussies Boy, aka Kevin, turned out to be something of a dud, and Matthews soon found out the hard way that in the world of greyhound racing there is only one winner - the hare.

Origin on Trial

Author : Christopher H. A. Ting
Publisher : Wipf and Stock Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1666748242
Total Pages : 231 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (667 download)

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Book Synopsis Origin on Trial by : Christopher H. A. Ting

Download or read book Origin on Trial written by Christopher H. A. Ting and published by Wipf and Stock Publishers. This book was released on 2023-01-27 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do you know about the dark secrets in big evolution concerning the origin of the universe? Do you know that the Bible sets God’s signature on his creation in the beginning? Not all fields of science are created equal. Some deal with past history rather than the present. Einstein’s theory of gravity as curved spacetime is observable science. But some scientists use it with particle physics to tell a story of the origin of the universe. But can anyone see the moment of the Big Bang? Scientists themselves say the Big Bang model has big problems. The data they use to support their best model about the origin of the universe can also be used to undermine it. They started with A to build the model, but their data don’t agree with A. Is there something fundamentally wrong? Great scientists make mistakes in science too. Hawking and others have made profound statements, but they don’t always make sense. Big evolution has holes. It relies on deep time as god of the gap. Modern science began with Christians like Kepler and Galileo. They believed biblical creation had happened. It’s time to bring science back to its genesis and the origin back to church.

The Budget and Economic Outlook, an Update

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Budget and Economic Outlook, an Update by :

Download or read book The Budget and Economic Outlook, an Update written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Michael P. Clements
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780199875511
Total Pages : 744 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-06-29 with total page 744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook provides up-to-date coverage of both new and well-established fields in the sphere of economic forecasting. The chapters are written by world experts in their respective fields, and provide authoritative yet accessible accounts of the key concepts, subject matter, and techniques in a number of diverse but related areas. It covers the ways in which the availability of ever more plentiful data and computational power have been used in forecasting, in terms of the frequency of observations, the number of variables, and the use of multiple data vintages. Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic analysis to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained; the volume provides explanations and critiques of these developments. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models, as well as models for handling data observed at mixed frequencies, high-frequency data, multiple data vintages, methods for forecasting when there are structural breaks, and how breaks might be forecast. Also covered are areas which are less commonly associated with economic forecasting, such as climate change, health economics, long-horizon growth forecasting, and political elections. Econometric forecasting has important contributions to make in these areas along with how their developments inform the mainstream.

Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics

Author : Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484315626
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics by : Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan

Download or read book Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics written by Mr.Ravi Balakrishnan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-02 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around 1⁄4–? of the post-2007 decline is reversible, the LFPR will continue to decline given population aging. This paper’s measure of the “employment gap” also suggests that labor market slack remains and will only decline gradually, pointing to a still important role for stimulative macro-economic policies to help reach full employment. In addition, given the continued downward pressure on the LFPR, labor supply measures will be an essential component of the strategy to boost potential growth. Finally, stimulative macroeconomic and labor supply policies should also help reduce the scope for further hysteresis effects to develop (e.g., loss of skills, discouragement).