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Realized Betas And The Cross Section Of Expected Returns
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Book Synopsis Realized Betas and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns by : Claudio Morana
Download or read book Realized Betas and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns written by Claudio Morana and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What explains the cross section of expected returns for the 25 size/value Fama-French portfolios? It is found that modelling time-varying betas is important to explain the cross-section of expected returns, as well as to comply with the time series restriction on Jensen-alpha. Support for a modified version of the conditional Jagannathan and Wang (1996) CAPM model is found, where implementation is carried out in the realized beta framework proposed in the paper. About 63% of the cross-sectional variability of the expected returns for the 25 Fama-French size and value sorted portfolios is then found to be explained by this parsimonious two-variable model.
Book Synopsis CAPM and Time-Varying Beta by : Devraj Basu
Download or read book CAPM and Time-Varying Beta written by Devraj Basu and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The failure of the static-beta CAPM to explain the cross-section of returns on portfolios sorted on firm size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, and even portfolios sorted on past CAPM betas, is well documented. In this paper we show that the model's performance dramatically improves when portfolio betas are allowed to be time-varying functions of (lagged) business cycle variables. We use an approach based on Hansen and Richard (1987) to construct a candidate stochastic discount factor (SDF), using the excess return on the market portfolio as the single factor, scaled by a time-varying coeplusmn;cient. The result is a model in which the conditional factor risk premium is a non-linear function of the business cycle variables. We assess the performance of our model by computing the R2 of the cross-sectional regression of realized on model-implied expected returns, as for example in Jagannathan and Wang (1996). While this is not a formal test of the model's ability to price the assets correctly, it does provide an informative summary statistic that allows us to compare the performance of our scaled model with that of the static version, and also to compare our findings to those of other similar studies.In the post-1980 period, where the static CAPM is known to perform particularly poorly, our scaled model explains around 60% of the cross-sectional variation in returns on beta and book-to-market portfolios, and 87% for momentum portfolios. Moreover, the model captures 70% of the value premium (the return spread between the highest and lowest book-to-market decile portfolios), and 75% of the momentum premium (the spread between the past 'winner' and 'loser' portfolios). Our results thus confirm the crucial importance of time-varying risk premiums in explaining the cross-section of average returns on these sets of portfolios. Moreover, the conditional market risk premium and hence also the betas implied by our model exhibits considerable non-linearity in the business cycle instruments.
Book Synopsis Intermediate Financial Theory by : Jean-Pierre Danthine
Download or read book Intermediate Financial Theory written by Jean-Pierre Danthine and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2005-07-25 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of this authoritative textbook continues the tradition of providing clear and concise descriptions of the new and classic concepts in financial theory. The authors keep the theory accessible by requiring very little mathematical background. First edition published by Prentice-Hall in 2001- ISBN 0130174467.The second edition includes new structure emphasizing the distinction between the equilibrium and the arbitrage perspectives on valuation and pricing, as well as a new chapter on asset management for the long term investor."This book does admirably what it sets out to do - provide a bridge between MBA-level finance texts and PhD-level texts....many books claim to require little prior mathematical training, but this one actually does so. This book may be a good one for Ph.D students outside finance who need some basic training in financial theory or for those looking for a more user-friendly introduction to advanced theory. The exercises are very good." --Ian Gow, Student, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University - Completely updated edition of classic textbook that fills a gap between MBA level texts and PHD level texts - Focuses on clear explanations of key concepts and requires limited mathematical prerequisites - Updates includes new structure emphasizing the distinction between the equilibrium and the arbitrage perspectives on valuation and pricing, as well as a new chapter on asset management for the long term investor
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White
Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Book Synopsis Is Beta Still Useful Over a Longer-Horizon? by : Wenyun Shi
Download or read book Is Beta Still Useful Over a Longer-Horizon? written by Wenyun Shi and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the crucial role of the market factor in Fama and French's three-factor model, the market beta has failed to explain the cross-sectional differences in expected returns proxied by the future realized returns of individual stocks. However, current evidence does not necessarily reject the explanatory power of the market beta in expected returns over longer-horizons. We use the future implied costs of capital as the proxy instead of future realized returns in order to link beta to longer-horizon expected returns. In contrast to the current results we find that the future implied cost of capital is both positively and significantly related to the conventional beta estimate, implying that beta could still explain future cross-sectional expected return differences. Moreover, uncertainty risk could be important when focusing on longer-horizons. We propose using analyst dispersion as a proxy for the uncertainty risk, and find that it strongly predicts future implied cost of capital as well. Furthermore, some prior studies have shown that the failure of beta in explaining cross-sectional return differences over a shorter-horizon is due to the lack of forward-looking information. Since changes in the implied cost of capital contain such unique information, we propose a simple adjustment to the conventional beta measure. The explanatory power of the adjusted beta for future return differences is accordingly proved to be strong.
Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.
Book Synopsis Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance by : Perry Mehrling
Download or read book Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance written by Perry Mehrling and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-11-30 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: praise for FISCHER BLACK AND THE REVOLUTIONARY IDEA OF FINANCE "The story of Fischer Black. . . . is remarkable both because of the creativity of the man and because of the revolution he brought to Wall Street. . . . Mehrling's book is fascinating." FINANCIAL TIMES "A fascinating history of things we take for granted in our everyday financial lives." THE NEW YORK TIMES "Mehrling's book is essential reading for anyone interested in the development of modern finance or the life of an idiosyncratic creative genius." PUBLISHERS WEEKLY "Fischer Black was more than a vital force in the development of finance theory. He was also a character. Perry Mehrling has captured both sides of the picture: the evolution of thinking about the pricing of risk and time, as well as the thinkers, especially this fascinating eccentric, who worked it out." ROBERT M. SOWLO, Nobel laureate and Institute Professor of Economics, Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology "Although I worked closely with Fischer for nine years at Goldman Sachs and clearly recognized both his genius and the breadth and originality of his ideas, until I read this book, I had only the vaguest grasp of the source of his inspiration and no understanding at all of the source of his many idiosyncrasies." BOB LITTERMAN, Partner, Kepos Capital "Perry Mehrling has done a remarkable job of tracing the intellectual and personal development of one of the most original and complex thinkers of our generation. Fischer Black deserved it: a charming and brilliant book about a charming and brilliant man." ROBERT E. LUCAS JR., Nobel laureate and Professor of Economics, The University of Chicago
Book Synopsis Price-Based Investment Strategies by : Adam Zaremba
Download or read book Price-Based Investment Strategies written by Adam Zaremba and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-25 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This compelling book examines the price-based revolution in investing, showing how research over recent decades has reinvented technical analysis. The authors discuss the major groups of price-based strategies, considering their theoretical motivation, individual and combined implementation, and back-tested results when applied to investment across country stock markets. Containing a comprehensive sample of performance data, taken from 24 major developed markets around the world and ranging over the last 25 years, the authors construct practical portfolios and display their performance—ensuring the book is not only academically rigorous, but practically applicable too. This is a highly useful volume that will be of relevance to researchers and students working in the field of price-based investing, as well as individual investors, fund pickers, market analysts, fund managers, pension fund consultants, hedge fund portfolio managers, endowment chief investment officers, futures traders, and family office investors.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Competition for Listings by : Thierry Foucault
Download or read book Competition for Listings written by Thierry Foucault and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Cost of Capital by : Shannon P. Pratt
Download or read book Cost of Capital written by Shannon P. Pratt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-02-25 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this long-awaited Third Edition of Cost of Capital: Applications and Examples, renowned valuation experts and authors Shannon Pratt and Roger Grabowski address the most controversial issues and problems in estimating the cost of capital. This authoritative book makes a timely and significant contribution to the business valuation body of knowledge and is an essential part of the expert's library.
Download or read book The Cherry Tree written by Ruskin Bond and published by Penguin UK. This book was released on 2012-11-15 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rakesh plants a cherry seedling in his garden and watches it grow. As seasons go by, the small tree survives heavy monsoon showers, a hungry goat that eats most of the leaves and a grass cutter who splits it into two with one sweep. At last, on his ninth birthday, Rakesh is rewarded with a miraculous sight—the first pink blossoms of his precious cherry tree! This beautifully illustrated edition brings alive the magical charm of one of Ruskin Bond’s most unforgettable tales.
Book Synopsis Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis by : Edwin J. Elton
Download or read book Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis written by Edwin J. Elton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-01-21 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, 9th Editionexamines the characteristics and analysis of individual securities, as well as the theory and practice of optimally combining securities into portfolios. It stresses the economic intuition behind the subject matter while presenting advanced concepts of investment analysis and portfolio management. The authors present material that captures the state of modern portfolio analysis, general equilibrium theory, and investment analysis in an accessible and intuitive manner.
Book Synopsis Frontiers of Modern Asset Allocation by : Paul D. Kaplan
Download or read book Frontiers of Modern Asset Allocation written by Paul D. Kaplan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-12-27 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Innovative approaches to putting asset allocation into practice Building on more than 15 years of asset-allocation research, Paul D. Kaplan, who led the development of the methodologies behind the Morningstar Rating(TM) and the Morningstar Style Box(TM), tackles key challenges investor professionals face when putting asset-allocation theory into practice. This book addresses common issues such as: How should asset classes be defined? Should equities be divided into asset classes based on investment style, geography, or other factors? Should asset classes be represented by market-cap-weighted indexes or should other principles, such as fundamental weights, be used? How do actively managed funds fit into asset-class mixes? Kaplan also interviews industry luminaries who have greatly influenced the evolution of asset allocation, including Harry Markowitz, Roger Ibbotson, and the late Benoit Mandelbrot. Throughout the book, Kaplan explains allocation theory, creates new strategies, and corrects common misconceptions, offering original insights and analysis. He includes three appendices that put theory into action with technical details for new asset-allocation frameworks, including the next generation of portfolio construction tools, which Kaplan dubs "Markowitz 2.0."
Book Synopsis Cost of Capital, + Website by : Shannon P. Pratt
Download or read book Cost of Capital, + Website written by Shannon P. Pratt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-04-21 with total page 1344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A one-stop shop for background and current thinking on the development and uses of rates of return on capital Completely revised for this highly anticipated fifth edition, Cost of Capital contains expanded materials on estimating the basic building blocks of the cost of equity capital, the risk-free rate, and equity risk premium. There is also discussion of the volatility created by the financial crisis in 2008, the subsequent recession and uncertain recovery, and how those events have fundamentally changed how we need to interpret the inputs to the models we use to develop these estimates. The book includes new case studies providing comprehensive discussion of cost of capital estimates for valuing a business and damages calculations for small and medium-sized businesses, cross-referenced to the chapters covering the theory and data. Addresses equity risk premium and the risk-free rate, including the impact of Federal Reserve actions Explores how to use Morningstar's Ibbotson and Duff Phelps Risk Premium Report data Discusses the global cost of capital estimation, including a new size study of European countries Cost of Capital, Fifth Edition puts an emphasis on practical application. To that end, this updated edition provides readers with exclusive access to a companion website filled with supplementary materials, allowing you to continue to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book.
