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Real Exchange Rate Appreciation In Central And Eastern European Countries
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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Central and Eastern European Countries by : José García Solanes
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Central and Eastern European Countries written by José García Solanes and published by Fundacion BBVA. This book was released on 2008 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real exchange rate appreciation in Central and Eastern European Countries by : José García Solanes
Download or read book Real exchange rate appreciation in Central and Eastern European Countries written by José García Solanes and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy of Transition Economies of Central and Eastern Europe after the Launch of EMU by : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy of Transition Economies of Central and Eastern Europe after the Launch of EMU written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-07-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The more advanced Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) face an evolving set of considerations in choosing their exchange rate policies. On the one hand, capital mobility is increasing, and this imposes additional constraints on fixed exchange rate regimes, while trend real appreciation makes the combination of low inflation and exchange rate stability problematic. On the other hand, the objectives of EU and eventual EMU membership make attractive a peg to the euro at some stage in the transition. The paper discusses these conflicting considerations, and considers the feasibility of an alternative monetary framework, inflation targeting.
Book Synopsis Capital Flows in Central and Eastern Europe by : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Download or read book Capital Flows in Central and Eastern Europe written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-06-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the nature and composition of capital flows in selected countries in Central and Eastern Europe during 1987–93. The data show that there was a remarkable turnaround in the capital account in 1992–93. This improvement was accompanied by widening current account deficits, an increase in real consumption, and real exchange rate appreciation. In light of these developments, the paper discusses the main macroeconomic concerns raised by capital inflows and lays out the principal policy options relevant for the transition economies.
Book Synopsis Economic Catching-up and Monetary Integration of Central and Eastern European Countries by : Marc Gérard
Download or read book Economic Catching-up and Monetary Integration of Central and Eastern European Countries written by Marc Gérard and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research investigates the challenges of price level catching-up for macroeconomic stability in Central and Eastern European transition countries seeking to enter the Euro area. In this respect, an equilibrium real exchange rate model suggests that the process of real appreciation observed along economic catching-up in these countries can be ascribed to different relative price developments, depending on the exchange rate regime, as exemplified by contrasted external debt trajectories. In flexible exchange rate economies, the increase in the nominal exchange rate fosters an endogenous appreciation of the terms of trade in the medium run, by channelling foreign direct investment and associated productivity gains to the exposed sector of the economy, thus appreciating the equilibrium real exchange rate and strengthening the current account over time. In fixed exchange rate economies, positive valuation effects associated with the increase in domestic relative prices tend to divert investment to the sheltered sector, thus undermining external competitiveness and bringing about higher external debt. Furthermore, monetary integration entails specific risks for macroeconomic stability in catching-up economies, because it implies a process of rapid convergence in the financing conditions across member States, which takes place as soon as the perspective of accession to the common monetary area appears credible. A dynamic, rational expectations model shows that the appreciation of the nominal exchange rate becomes crucial to curtail the economic overheating triggered by the demand shock associated with financial convergence. By contrast, diminishing country risk premia under fixed exchange rate regimes are likely to cause 'boom bust' cycles, with an increase in external indebtedness followed by deflationary developments once in the monetary union.
Book Synopsis Estimating the Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Central and Eastern European Acceding Countries by : Balázs Égert
Download or read book Estimating the Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Central and Eastern European Acceding Countries written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ambition of this study is to estimate the equilibrium real and nominal exchange rates for 5 selected Central and Eastern European transition economies, namely for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia. For this purpose, the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) methodology developed by Williamson (1994) is combined with the behavioural equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach advocated by Clark and McDonald (1998). Our investigation is based on the notion of internal and external balances defined respectively in terms of the relative price of non-tradable goods and the long-run sustainability of the current account position, and is carried out in the framework of a VAR-based 3-equation cointegration system. Long-term equilibrium values for relative prices are determined using relative productivity and private consumption, whereas the current account is regressed on terms of trade and the openness ratio. To derive the equilibrium real exchange rate and to compute subsequently the extent of misalignment, the long-run values for external and internal balances are substituted in the simultaneously estimated cointegration relationships connecting the real effective exchange rate with relative prices and the current account. The empirical findings show that the gap between the observed and estimated equilibrium real exchange rates differs across the 5 transition countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia may have experienced an excessive appreciation of their real effective exchange rate whilst Hungary and Slovenia show little sign of overvaluation during the period under study. These results suggest the role flexible exchange rate regimes may play in exchange rate misalignments. Assuming that the obtained misalignment can be eliminated with adjustments in the nominal exchange rate, the estimated misalignment is used to derive the equilibrium nominal exchange rate against the euro. Finally, we construct a hypothetical ERM-II so as to investigate the nominal exchange rate stability around the estimated equilibrium nominal exchange rate.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781451847703 Total Pages :0 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (477 download)
Book Synopsis Interpreting Real Exchange Rate Movements in Transition Countries by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Interpreting Real Exchange Rate Movements in Transition Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-05-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several transition countries have experienced strong real exchange rate appreciations. This paper tests the hypothesis that these appreciations reflect underlying productivity gains in the tradable sector. Using panel data over the period 1993-98, the results show clear evidence of productivity-driven exchange rate movements in the central and eastern European and Baltic countries. Transition countries, particularly the EU accession countries that have begun to catch up, can expect to experience further productivity-driven real exchange rate appreciations. Evidence from a large cross-section of non-transition countries indicates that catching up by one percent will be associated with a 0.4 percent real appreciation.
Book Synopsis Currency and Competitiveness in Europe by : Klaus Liebscher
Download or read book Currency and Competitiveness in Europe written by Klaus Liebscher and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2008-01-01 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Competitiveness is a notoriously slippery concept. This volume, featuring a galaxy of economic stars, lends some much-needed precision to the term and the debate over its determinants. Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley, US This book combines currency matters with competitiveness considerations, with a view to raising the understanding of exchange rate dynamics and to analysing the role of exchange rates in reinforcing economic competitiveness. The overall focus is on highlighting the link between currency developments and the real side of the economy. From a regional perspective, the contributions centre on developments in Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe and thus put a special emphasis on aspects of transition and convergence. More specifically, the book addresses key issues of financial globalization and global imbalances; the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in exchange rate economics; the role, objectives and challenges of regional monetary unions; exchange rate dynamics in transition economies and the competitiveness of catching-up countries. It also addresses the structural aspects of competitiveness and the significance of qualitative and quantitative aspects of competitiveness. Offering the views of eminent academics and professionals, this book will be of great interest to economists and central bankers as well as to international organizations, universities and research institutes.
Book Synopsis EU Enlargement and its Macroeconomic Effects in Eastern Europe by : H. Gabrisch
Download or read book EU Enlargement and its Macroeconomic Effects in Eastern Europe written by H. Gabrisch and published by Springer. This book was released on 1999-01-29 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What will joining the EU mean for the new Eastern member states and their economies? This book offers a detailed study of the macroeconomic and structural adjustment burden. It envisages a real currency appreciation stemming from price convergence, capital inflows and weak structural change. The widespread belief that an Eastern enlargement of the Union would be overwhelmingly to the detriment of the present EU (budgetary costs, locational decisions, trade deficits) is rejected. The authors discuss the lack of competitiveness of Eastern countries and their need for structural adjustments (in the financial sector, in agriculture, and in manufacturing) in order for them to survive and thrive in their new economic environment.
Book Synopsis Competitiveness in Transition Economies by : Ms.Kornelia Krajnyak
Download or read book Competitiveness in Transition Economies written by Ms.Kornelia Krajnyak and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-11-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates equilibrium dollar wages for 15 transition economies. Equilibrium dollar wages are interpreted as full employment wages consistent with a country’s physical and human capital endowment, and estimated by regressing actual dollar wages on productivity and human capital proxies in a short (1990-95) panel of 85 countries. The main results are: (i) equilibrium dollar wages have appreciated steadily in the Baltic countries and fast-reforming Central and Eastern European (CEE) transition economies, but have been flat in most CIS countries; and (ii) 1996 actual dollar wages remain below estimated equilibrium dollar wages for most but not all transition countries covered.
Book Synopsis A Model of Exchange Rate Regime Choice in the Transitional Economies of Central and Eastern Europe by : Vladimir Klyuev
Download or read book A Model of Exchange Rate Regime Choice in the Transitional Economies of Central and Eastern Europe written by Vladimir Klyuev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Equilibrium Exchange Rates of Central and Eastern European Countries on the Road to the European Monetary Union by : Jörg Rahn
Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates of Central and Eastern European Countries on the Road to the European Monetary Union written by Jörg Rahn and published by Peter Lang Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The upcoming enlargement of the European Monetary Union involves the selection of appropriate reference rates at which the exchange rates of the accession countries will be fixed against the euro in order to avoid economic distortions as consequences of serious exchange rate misalignments. Determination of an exchange rate that is neither undervalued nor overvalued raises the issue of equilibrium exchange rates. Based on time series as well as panel estimation techniques three different concepts - BEER, PEER and PPP - are applied in this study to calculate equilibrium exchange rate levels for ten Central and Eastern European countries. The results indicate significant real misalignments in a number of accession countries.
Book Synopsis Competitiveness in the Baltics in the Run-Up to EU Accession by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Competitiveness in the Baltics in the Run-Up to EU Accession written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-28 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes competitiveness in the Baltics in the run-up to European Union accession. Several factors appear to have driven movements in equilibrium real exchange rates in the Baltics since the start of the transition process. In the earlier years of transition, price liberalization, increased demand for services and other nontradables, and shifts in domestic production and exports toward higher valued-added products contributed to real appreciation through higher measured inflation. The strength of the real appreciation during these years appears to also reflect the correction of an initial undervaluation of exchange rates.
Book Synopsis Inclusion of Central European Countries in the European Monetary Union by : Paul C. de Grauwe
Download or read book Inclusion of Central European Countries in the European Monetary Union written by Paul C. de Grauwe and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The creation of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the introduction of the euro is a historical event for the EU countries. The debates on the desirability of the EMU provoked a vast economic literature dealing with the theory of the optimum currency area, costs and benefits of the EMU, symmetric vs. asymmetric shocks, alternative mechanisms of adjustment in a monetary union and so forth. Until recently, for the Central European candidate countries for a full membership in the EU, these issues seemed to be too far away, as they concentrated on devising their own monetary and exchange rate systems suitable for their transition period. The challenges of the EMU for the Central European countries were practically not dealt with in both Western and Eastern economic literature. The present book aims to fill this gap, by focusing on the most direct issue of relevance for the Central European countries with respect to the EMU - why, how and when these countries are expected to join the EMU. The papers included in this volume study the relationship between the EU accession process of the Central European candidate countries and their involvement in the process of European monetary integration.
Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies, EMU and Central and Eastern Europe by : David K. H. Begg
Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies, EMU and Central and Eastern Europe written by David K. H. Begg and published by Centre for Economic Policy Research. This book was released on 1999 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report examines European transition economies and their need to find a robust strategy for macroeconomic policy in the period leading up to accession and in preparation for joining EMU.
Book Synopsis International Trade and Restructuring in Eastern Europe by : János Gács
Download or read book International Trade and Restructuring in Eastern Europe written by János Gács and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: J anos Gaes and Georg Winekler In recognition of the key position of international trade in the transition and the need for concentrated discussions of topical trade issues the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) organized an international conference on "International Trade and Restructuring in Eastern Europe" which took place in Laxenburg, Austria, on 19 and 21 November 1992. The Austrian National Bank joined IIASA to co-sponsor the event. Participants of the conference were experts of international economics and trade policy from East and West, policy makers, and representatives of international organizations like the IMF, the Commission of the European Communities, the OECD, and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). The papers prepared for the event and the lively discussions during the conference itself prove that the topics are intellectually challenging and timely for policy makers. It has widely been recognized that international economic relations play a crucial role in the transition of count ries of Central and Eastern Europe. The scope, speed, and success of the efforts to transform the formerly cen trally planned economies to market economies have increasingly become de pendent on the pattern these count ries have in their relation to the rest of the world. Transition comprises three major processes: macro-stabilization, mar ketization, and restructuring. The success of these three hinges to a large extent on the response of these economies to the new conditions set by international trade and exchange regimes.
Book Synopsis The Experience of East European Countries with Different Exchange-rate Regimes by : Maciej Krzak
Download or read book The Experience of East European Countries with Different Exchange-rate Regimes written by Maciej Krzak and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
