Rational Decision Theory

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Rational Decisions

Author : Ken Binmore
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400833094
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decisions by : Ken Binmore

Download or read book Rational Decisions written by Ken Binmore and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2008-12-29 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, Rational Decisions clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds. The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies. Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, Rational Decisions is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.

Rational Decisions in Organisations

Author : Frédéric Adam
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000543102
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decisions in Organisations by : Frédéric Adam

Download or read book Rational Decisions in Organisations written by Frédéric Adam and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-30 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managers in organisations must make rational decisions. Rational decision making is the opposite of intuitive decision making. It is a strict procedure utilising objective knowledge and logic. It involves identifying the problem to solve, gathering facts, identifying options and outcomes, analysing them, considering all the relationships and selecting the decision. Rational decision making requires support: methods and software tools. The identification of the problem to solve needs methods that would measure and evaluate the current situation. Identification and evaluation of options and analysis of the available possibilities involves analysis and optimisation methods. Incorporating intuition into rational decision making needs adequate methods that would translate ideas or observed behaviours into hard data. Communication, observation and opinions recording is hardly possible today without adequate software. Information and data that form the input, intermediate variables and the output must be stored, managed and made accessible in a user-friendly manner. Rational Decisions in Organisations: Theoretical and Practical Aspects presents selected recent developments in the support of the widely understood rational decision making in organisations, illustrated through case studies. The book shows not only the variety of perspectives involved in decision making, but also the variety of domains where rational decision support systems are needed. The case studies present decision making by medical doctors, students and managers of various universities, IT project teams, construction companies, banks and small and large manufacturing companies. Covering the richness of relationships in which the decisions should and must be taken, the book illustrates how modern organisations operate in chains and networks; they have multiple responsibilities, including social, legal, business and ethical duties. Nowadays, managers in organisations can make transparent decisions and consider a multitude of stakeholders and their diverse features, incorporating diverse criteria, using multiple types and drivers of information and decision-making patterns, and referring to numerous lessons learned. As the book makes clear, the marriage of theoretical ideas with the possibilities offered by technology can make the decisions in organisations more rational and, at the same time, more human.

Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory

Author : Donald Green
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300187084
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory by : Donald Green

Download or read book Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory written by Donald Green and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 1994-09-28 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first comprehensive critical evaluation of the use of rational choice theory in political science. Writing in an accessible and nontechnical style, Donald P. Green and Ian Shapiro assess rational choice theory where it is reputed to be most successful: the study of collective action, the behavior of political parties and politicians, and such phenomena as voting cycles and Prisoner's Dilemmas. In their hard-hitting critique, Green and Shapiro demonstrate that the much heralded achievements of rational choice theory are in fact deeply suspect and that fundamental rethinking is needed if rational choice theorists are to contribute to the understanding of politics. In their final chapters, they anticipate and respond to a variety of possible rational choice responses to their arguments, thereby initiating a dialogue that is bound to continue for some time.

Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory

Author : Mary Zey
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803951365
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory by : Mary Zey

Download or read book Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory written by Mary Zey and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1998 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory is written in response to the neo-classical economic rational choice theories and organizational economic theories which have emerged in the past decade and gained center stage in current organizational analysis.

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

Author : Reid Hastie
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412959039
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2010 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations

Author : Adam Smith
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 522 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations by : Adam Smith

Download or read book An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations written by Adam Smith and published by . This book was released on 1822 with total page 522 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Encyclopedia of Public Administration, Public Policy, and Governance

Author : Ali Farazmand
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030662527
Total Pages : 13623 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Encyclopedia of Public Administration, Public Policy, and Governance by : Ali Farazmand

Download or read book Global Encyclopedia of Public Administration, Public Policy, and Governance written by Ali Farazmand and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-05 with total page 13623 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This global encyclopedic work serves as a comprehensive collection of global scholarship regarding the vast fields of public administration, public policy, governance, and management. Written and edited by leading international scholars and practitioners, this exhaustive resource covers all areas of the above fields and their numerous subfields of study. In keeping with the multidisciplinary spirit of these fields and subfields, the entries make use of various theoretical, empirical, analytical, practical, and methodological bases of knowledge. Expanded and updated, the second edition includes over a thousand of new entries representing the most current research in public administration, public policy, governance, nonprofit and nongovernmental organizations, and management covering such important sub-areas as: 1. organization theory, behavior, change and development; 2. administrative theory and practice; 3. Bureaucracy; 4. public budgeting and financial management; 5. public economy and public management 6. public personnel administration and labor-management relations; 7. crisis and emergency management; 8. institutional theory and public administration; 9. law and regulations; 10. ethics and accountability; 11. public governance and private governance; 12. Nonprofit management and nongovernmental organizations; 13. Social, health, and environmental policy areas; 14. pandemic and crisis management; 15. administrative and governance reforms; 16. comparative public administration and governance; 17. globalization and international issues; 18. performance management; 19. geographical areas of the world with country-focused entries like Japan, China, Latin America, Europe, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, Russia and Eastern Europe, North America; and 20. a lot more. Relevant to professionals, experts, scholars, general readers, researchers, policy makers and manger, and students worldwide, this work will serve as the most viable global reference source for those looking for an introduction and advance knowledge to the field.

Rational Decision Making

Author : Franz Eisenführ
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783642028519
Total Pages : 447 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (285 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decision Making by : Franz Eisenführ

Download or read book Rational Decision Making written by Franz Eisenführ and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Rational Choice Theory

Author : Margaret S. Archer
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134546521
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (345 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice Theory by : Margaret S. Archer

Download or read book Rational Choice Theory written by Margaret S. Archer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Choice Theory is flourishing in sociology and is increasingly influential in other disciplines. Contributors to this volume are convinced that it provides an inadequate conceptualization of all aspects of decision making: of the individuals who make the decisions, of the process by which decisions get made and of the context within which decisions get made. The ciritique focuses on the four assumptions which are the bedrock of rational choice: rationality: the theory's definition of rationality is incomplete, and cannot satisfactorily incorporate norms and emotions individualism: rational choice is based upon atomistic, individual decision makers and cannot account for decisions made by ;couples', 'groups' or other forms of collective action process: the assumption of fixed, well-ordered preferences and 'perfect information' makes the theory inadequate for situations of change and uncertainty aggregation: as methodological individualists, rational choice theorists can only view structure and culture as aggregates and cannot incorporate structural or cultural influences as emergent properties which have an effect upon decision making. The critique is grounded in discussion of a wide range of social issues, including race, marriage, health and education.

Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making

Author : Alex Mintz
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139487221
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making by : Alex Mintz

Download or read book Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making written by Alex Mintz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-22 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making presents a psychological approach to foreign policy decision making. This approach focuses on the decision process, dynamics, and outcome. The book includes a wealth of extended real-world case studies and examples that are woven into the text. The cases and examples, which are written in an accessible style, include decisions made by leaders of the United States, Israel, New Zealand, Cuba, Iceland, United Kingdom, and others. In addition to coverage of the rational model of decision making, levels of analysis of foreign policy decision making, and types of decisions, the book includes extensive material on alternatives to the rational choice model, the marketing and framing of decisions, cognitive biases, and domestic, cultural, and international influences on decision making in international affairs. Existing textbooks do not present such an approach to foreign policy decision making, international relations, American foreign policy, and comparative foreign policy.

Understanding Contemporary Society

Author : Gary Browning
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780761959267
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (592 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Contemporary Society by : Gary Browning

Download or read book Understanding Contemporary Society written by Gary Browning and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2000-02-11 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Contemporary Society: Theories of the Present is a comprehensive textbook to guide students through the complexities of social theory today. Over 30 chapters, written by an international team of contributors, demonstrate clearly the practical applications of social theory in making sense of the modern world. Students are both introduced to the most significant theories and guided through the major social developments which shape our lives. Key features of the book are: clearly structured and readable prose; bullet pointed summaries and annotated further reading for each topic; makes complex issues accessible to undergraduates; focuses on relevance and practicality; chapter lay-out which is ideal for t

Rational Choice

Author : Itzhak Gilboa
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262518058
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice by : Itzhak Gilboa

Download or read book Rational Choice written by Itzhak Gilboa and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2012-08-17 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A nontechnical, concise, and rigorous introduction to the rational choice paradigm, focusing on basic insights applicable in fields ranging from economics to philosophy. This book offers a rigorous, concise, and nontechnical introduction to some of the fundamental insights of rational choice theory. It draws on formal theories of microeconomics, decision making, games, and social choice, and on ideas developed in philosophy, psychology, and sociology. Itzhak Gilboa argues that economic theory has provided a set of powerful models and broad insights that have changed the way we think about everyday life. He focuses on basic insights of the rational choice paradigm—the general conceptualization rather than a particular theory—that survive recent (and well-justified) critiques of economic theory's various failures. Gilboa explains the main concepts in language accessible to the nonspecialist, offering a nonmathematical guide to some of the main ideas developed in economic theory in the second half of the twentieth century. Chapters cover feasibility and desirability, utility maximization, constrained optimization, expected utility, probability and statistics, aggregation of preferences, games and equilibria, free markets, and rationality and emotions. Online appendixes offer additional material, including a survey of relevant mathematical concepts.

Rational Choice

Author : Jon Elster
Publisher : NYU Press
ISBN 13 : 0814721699
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (147 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice by : Jon Elster

Download or read book Rational Choice written by Jon Elster and published by NYU Press. This book was released on 1986-11 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This series brings together a carefully edited selection of the most influential and enduring articles on central topics in social and political theory. Each volume contains ten to twelve articles and an introductory essay by the editor.

Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Rational Decision Making

Author : Tshilidzi Marwala
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319114247
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Rational Decision Making by : Tshilidzi Marwala

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Rational Decision Making written by Tshilidzi Marwala and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-10-20 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Develops insights into solving complex problems in engineering, biomedical sciences, social science and economics based on artificial intelligence. Some of the problems studied are in interstate conflict, credit scoring, breast cancer diagnosis, condition monitoring, wine testing, image processing and optical character recognition. The author discusses and applies the concept of flexibly-bounded rationality which prescribes that the bounds in Nobel Laureate Herbert Simon’s bounded rationality theory are flexible due to advanced signal processing techniques, Moore’s Law and artificial intelligence. Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Rational Decision Making examines and defines the concepts of causal and correlation machines and applies the transmission theory of causality as a defining factor that distinguishes causality from correlation. It develops the theory of rational counterfactuals which are defined as counterfactuals that are intended to maximize the attainment of a particular goal within the context of a bounded rational decision making process. Furthermore, it studies four methods for dealing with irrelevant information in decision making: Theory of the marginalization of irrelevant information Principal component analysis Independent component analysis Automatic relevance determination method In addition it studies the concept of group decision making and various ways of effecting group decision making within the context of artificial intelligence. Rich in methods of artificial intelligence including rough sets, neural networks, support vector machines, genetic algorithms, particle swarm optimization, simulated annealing, incremental learning and fuzzy networks, this book will be welcomed by researchers and students working in these areas.

Risk and Rationality

Author : Lara Buchak
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 0199672164
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Rationality by : Lara Buchak

Download or read book Risk and Rationality written by Lara Buchak and published by . This book was released on 2013-11 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lara Buchak sets out a new account of rational decision-making in the face of risk. She argues that the orthodox view (expected utility theory) is too narrow, and suggests an alternative, more permissive theory: one that allows individuals to pay attention to the worst-case or best-case scenario, and vindicates the ordinary decision-maker.

Theories of Choice

Author : Stefan Grundmann
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0198863179
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Theories of Choice by : Stefan Grundmann

Download or read book Theories of Choice written by Stefan Grundmann and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2021 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an in-depth discussion of the promises and perils of specific types of theories of choice. It shows how the selection of a specific theory of choice can make a difference for concrete legal questions, in particular in the regulation of the digital economy or in choosing between market, firm, or network.

Decision Making

Author : Mary Zey
Publisher : SAGE Publications, Incorporated
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making by : Mary Zey

Download or read book Decision Making written by Mary Zey and published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated. This book was released on 1992-06-22 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prevailing, highly conservative rational choice theories are challenged in this illuminating volume. Mary Zey and other outstanding contributors expand our understanding of decision making theory by presenting evidence that points to the wide range and complexity of human decision making. Labelled as deviations from formal rationality, other models of decision making (habit, emotion, moral and ethical values) are shown to be alternative, not deviant, motives behind decision making. Written at an accessible level, this volume examines criticisms of the rational choice models from a wide range of perspectives. The following chapters then concentrate on micro- and macro- alternatives to rational choice models, including a bala